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'PERIOD OF UNCERTAINTY': St. Louis Fed president issues warning over tariff shift
Youtube· 2026-02-20 21:35
Fox Business Alert. We got new inflation data out today showing that inflation is stubbornly sticky and that's slamming the brakes on investors hopes for an early summer rate cut. So, let me show you.Exactly one week ago, the market was pricing in a 66% chance of a rate cut in June. On Tuesday, that number jumped to 70%. But now, a reality check for investors betting on more Fed easing.That drop signals that uh the Fed is laser focused on personal consumption expenditure. The price index which heated up to ...
Central Bank Watch: A divided Fed and Lagarde succession rumours
Youtube· 2026-02-20 08:41
Central Banks Overview - The Federal Reserve's January meeting minutes revealed a divide among officials regarding future interest rate paths, with some open to rate hikes if inflation remains high [1] - The European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde faces speculation about her potential early departure, although she stated her intention to complete her term until October 2027 [2] - The Bank of England is expected to implement two rate cuts this year, influenced by rising unemployment and softer wage growth, alongside a decrease in consumer price inflation to 3% in January [3][4] Economic Indicators - The UK's unemployment rate has reached its highest level in nearly five years, prompting market expectations for rate cuts [3] - Consumer price inflation in the UK has fallen to its lowest level in almost a year, indicating a potential easing of monetary policy [4] - KPMG UK chief economist noted signs of a softer labor market and a positive trend in inflation, suggesting more room for rate cuts [4][5]
China Waives Trade Reciprocity for South Africa as Central Banks Signal Caution
Stock Market News· 2026-02-19 08:38
Key TakeawaysChina grants South Africa 100% zero-tariff access to its markets starting May 1, 2026, notably waiving the requirement for reciprocal tariff cuts from Pretoria.The European Central Bank (ECB) released its Economic Bulletin today, confirming that Eurozone inflation has cooled to 1.7%, though officials remain "prudent" due to geopolitical risks.Federal Reserve Vice Chair Michelle Bowman and Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic are scheduled to speak today, with markets focused on Bowman’s recent ...
Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500 gain for 3rd straight day, Nasdaq jumps as traders brush aside AI worries
Yahoo Finance· 2026-02-18 21:00
US stocks edged higher on Wednesday as AI fears waned and investors digested the release of the Federal Reserve minutes. The S&P 500 (^GSPC) added 0.6%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) picked up 0.8%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI), which is less exposed to tech, moved up 0.3% after the major US gauges closed Tuesday with modest gains. Technology stocks were recovering composure after a turbulent stretch that saw software names in particular take a bruising. But while the pressure ...
Economic Data Weekly Outlook: FOMC Minutes, GDP, PCE, PMIs, UMich
See It Market· 2026-02-18 15:48
Amid earnings and conferences, a packed week of macro releases could reshape the growth and inflation narratives heading into MarchQ4 GDP and PCE inflation data may test whether the bond market’s slowdown signal holds upFOMC Minutes, Flash PMIs, and UMich sentiment round out a pivotal stretch for policy expectations and risk assetsJanuary Retail Sales was the big data point to kick off the holiday-shortened trading week on Wall Street… just kidding… at least it was in an alternate, non-government-shutdown ...
US Stock Market S&P 500 Dow Jones Nasdaq: S&P 500, Nasdaq, Dow Jones set for red opening at U.S. Stock Market as Wall Street investors worry over AI disruptions
The Economic Times· 2026-02-17 11:50
is heading for an opening in red as worries about AI-driven disruption unsettled investors after the long weekend, while markets also focused on corporate earnings.Concerns over artificial intelligence sparked a selloff in software firms, brokerages and trucking companies last week, causing Wall Street's three main indexes to log ‌their steepest weekly declines ⁠since ⁠mid-November.Potential ​risks from Chinese AI players also added to the uncertainty. On Monday, Alibaba unveiled a new AI model, Qwen 3.5, ...
Friday's Final Takeaways: Bitcoin, Metal Volatility & Software Softness
Youtube· 2026-02-13 22:00
Cryptocurrency Market - Bitcoin has experienced its fourth consecutive weekly loss, down more than 20% year-to-date and nearly 50% from its October 2025 peak of $126,000, resulting in over half a trillion dollars wiped out across the crypto markets this month [1][2] Precious Metals - Gold rebounded above $5,000 per ounce after dipping below that level, while silver also recovered some ground following a steep selloff, managing to close the week with a gain [2][3] Technology Sector - The technology sector, particularly software stocks, showed signs of recovery after a significant selloff, with the IGV index rallying over 2% [4] - Analysts have expressed concerns about the overblown nature of the tech selloff, particularly regarding AI implementation strategies and the associated risks [5][6] Upcoming Earnings Reports - Palo Alto Networks is expected to report strong earnings, with estimates of $0.93 EPS on approximately $2.58 billion in sales, supported by robust demand for AI security solutions [9][10] - Walmart is also set to report earnings, with analysts expecting about $0.73 EPS on roughly $188.4 billion in revenue, which would indicate a modest year-over-year increase [8][10] Economic Data and Market Outlook - A shortened trading week is anticipated, with limited top-tier economic data releases, including updates on the housing market and import prices, as well as the FOMC minutes [12][14] - Market participants are closely watching for potential Supreme Court decisions on tariffs and the implications of the Chinese New Year on trading volumes [13][14]
Gold Whipsaws on Risk-Off Selling, Then Rallies on Cooler CPI
Yahoo Finance· 2026-02-13 19:22
Happy Friday, traders. Welcome to our weekly market wrap, where we take a look back at these last five trading days with a focus on the market news, economic data, and headlines that had the most impact on gold prices and other key correlated assets— and may continue to in the future. Here’s what you need to know: Gold traded in a tight range early in the week as weak Retail Sales and a stronger-than-expected Jobs Report pulled sentiment in opposite directions. A sharp equity sell-off on Thursday trig ...
Gold and Silver Price Plunge as US Financial Crisis Signals Flash Red
Yahoo Finance· 2026-02-12 18:35
Gold and silver tumbled sharply on Thursday, rattling markets already on edge amid surging US financial stress. Spot gold dropped by more than 3% while silver plunged by more than 10%, reversing a portion of their recent rally. Bad News for Gold and Silver Amid Record US Debt and Rising Bankruptcies As of this writing, gold was trading for $4,956, down 3.97% while silver exchanged hands for $76.74 after losing 10.65% in the last 24 hours. Gold and Silver Price Performance. Source: TradingView The sudde ...
Jobless Claims Little Changed & U.S. House Tackles Canada Tariffs
Youtube· 2026-02-12 14:30
Economic Data - Jobless claims data showed a revised increase from 231,000 to 232,000, with new claims at 227,000, down by 5,000 from the previous week [1][2][3] - Continuing claims rose to 1.8862 million, an increase of 21,000 from the revised number last week [2][3] Inflation and Federal Reserve - The unemployment rate stands at 4.3%, and upcoming CPI data is anticipated to provide further insights into inflation trends [3][4] - The Federal Reserve may shift focus from the labor market back to inflation, potentially delaying rate cuts [4] Tariff Developments - The House has sent a strong message regarding tariffs on Canada, with six Republicans voting against President Trump's stance [5][6] - The Senate's response remains uncertain, and any potential legislation may face a presidential veto due to insufficient support [6][7] - The Supreme Court is expected to address tariff-related issues on February 20, with speculation about the administration's response to a potential ruling against it [7][9]