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What's the Outlook for Interest Rates in 2026?
Investopedia· 2025-12-31 13:09
The rates that individual customers pay depend on their credit history. Banks and other lenders charge more to those with lower credit scores or curtail their lending to higher-risk customers when the economy wobbles. Key Takeaways The Federal Reserve is leaning toward cutting interest rates again in 2026, but that doesn't mean that all consumer borrowing costs would fall equally. Credit cards and high-yield savings accounts are more closely tied to Fed policy, as the Fed has a heavier influence over short- ...
Are We Headed For a ‘Soft Landing’ or a Recession in 2026?
Investopedia· 2025-12-31 13:09
Key Takeaways In recent years, the start of a new calendar year has also been accompanied by concerns about an impending economic recession; however, most forecasters expect the U.S. to steer clear of an economic downturn in 2026. But whether the U.S. economy sees the "soft landing†that some had forecast remains a question. For example, JPMorgan expects economic growth in the first half of 2026 to be around 3%, primarily driven by the stimulus effects from the OBBBA, but then slowing to between 1% and 2% gr ...
Will FD rates bounce back in 2026 after big fall in 2025? Here’s how you can make the best of FD investment
The Economic Times· 2025-12-31 11:42
The reduced rates impacted new FD investors as they invested in FD with lesser maturity amounts than earlier. As the year 2026 begins, will FD rates fall further, or will they bounce back from this point? Let’s find out- Why did FD rates fall in 2025?Banks and SFBs cut interest rates on their FDs after the RBI slashed repo rates by 125 basis pints in the year 2025. The last repo rate cut came in the December in the RBI monetary policy meeting when the central bank cut the rate by 25 bps. The transmission of ...
Best CD rates today, December 31, 2025: Lock in up to 4% APY
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-31 11:00
Core Insights - Deposit account rates are declining, but competitive returns on certificates of deposit (CDs) can still be locked in, with the best CDs offering rates above 4% [1] Group 1: Current CD Rates - The best short-term CDs (six to 12 months) currently offer rates around 4% to 4.5% APY, with Marcus by Goldman Sachs offering the highest rate of 4% APY on its 1-year CD [2] - Historical trends show that CD rates were significantly higher in the early 2000s but fell to around 1% APY for one-year CDs by 2009 due to economic slowdowns and Federal Reserve rate cuts [2] - The average rates on 6-month CDs fell to about 0.1% APY and 5-year CDs to 0.8% APY by 2013, reflecting the impact of the Fed's near-zero interest rate policy [3] Group 2: Economic Influences on CD Rates - Between 2015 and 2018, the Fed's gradual rate increases led to a slight improvement in CD rates, marking the end of nearly a decade of ultra-low rates [4] - The COVID-19 pandemic prompted emergency rate cuts by the Fed, resulting in new record lows for CD rates [4] - Following the pandemic, the Fed raised rates 11 times between March 2022 and July 2023 to combat inflation, leading to higher APYs on savings products, including CDs [5] Group 3: Future Trends and Considerations - As of September 2024, the Fed began cutting the federal funds rate, resulting in a steady decline in CD rates from their peak, although they remain high by historical standards [6] - Traditionally, longer-term CDs offered higher interest rates, but currently, the highest average CD rate is for a 12-month term, indicating a flattening or inversion of the yield curve [6][7] - When choosing a CD, factors such as goals, type of financial institution, account terms, and inflation should be considered to ensure the best fit for individual needs [8]
光大期货1231黄金点评:金银回弹,元旦关注外盘资金博弈
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-31 05:26
热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 客户端 隔夜贵金属大幅波动,伦敦现货黄金冲高回落,盘中一度冲上4400美元/盎司,最终收涨0.13%, COMEX黄金期货反弹0.43%,SHFE黄金小幅收涨0.04%。近期贵金属波动幅度较大,元旦期间外盘仍 有两个交易日,短线资金博弈,谨慎对待。 美联储会议纪要显示,大多数与会者认为,若通胀如预期逐步下降,可能适合进一步降息;大多数与会 者支持12月降息,支持降息者普遍提及近几个月就业下行风险增加;大多数与会者认为降息有助于防止 劳动力恶化,部分官员指出存在通胀升高的风险。美联储调查显示,受访者预计在购买启动后的前12个 月内,净购买规模约为2200亿美元。地缘政治方面,俄乌冲突有继续恶化迹象,沙特空袭穆卡拉港,也 门局势进一步升级,避险情绪或将影响黄金走势。 撰稿:李琪 新浪合作平台光大期货开户 安全快捷有保障 责任编辑:朱赫楠 热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 客户端 隔夜贵金属大幅波动,伦敦现货黄金冲高回落,盘中一度冲上4400美元/盎司,最终收涨0.13%, COMEX黄金期货反弹0.43%,SHFE黄金小幅收涨0.0 ...
US stocks dip on penultimate 2025 trading day
Jamaica· 2025-12-31 05:07
Stocks fell slightly on Wall Street Tuesday as trading for 2025 nudges closer to the finish line.With just one trading day left before the year ends, most big investors have closed out their positions and volume has been thin. Every major index is headed for a double-digit gain for the year.The S&P 500 fell 9.50 points, or 0.1 per cent, to 6,894.24. Even with three straight days of small losses, the S&P 500 is on track for an annual gain of more than 17 per cent.The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 94.87 p ...
What Will Prompt the Fed to Cut Interest Rates Again? FOMC Minutes Offer Key Insights.
Investopedia· 2025-12-31 01:03
Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve is considering further interest rate cuts if inflation continues to decline, although there is division among officials regarding recent economic data [2][9]. Group 1: Interest Rate Decisions - The Federal Reserve cut interest rates for the third consecutive time during its December meeting due to concerns about a weakening labor market, despite inflation remaining above the 2% target [5]. - The minutes indicate that most Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) members would support further rate cuts if inflation decreases as expected [3][9]. - Some FOMC members suggested maintaining the target range for interest rates unchanged for a period after the recent cut, emphasizing the need to address emerging labor market weaknesses [8]. Group 2: Economic Indicators - The latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) report indicated that inflation was at 2.7% in November, down from a previous 3% annual increase [6]. - The jobs report following the FOMC meeting revealed that unemployment rose to 4.6%, the highest level since 2021, highlighting concerns about labor market conditions [8]. - Many FOMC members noted reduced risks of tariffs driving inflation higher, while expressing concerns about potential deterioration in the labor market if interest rates remain elevated [9].
美联储会议纪要曝光内部分歧:降息共识脆弱 政策路径待数据指引
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-12-30 23:23
主席鲍威尔在会后记者会上表示,当前利率水平"足以防范劳动力市场更严重恶化,同时仍能持续抑制 通胀"。 由于2024年10月至11月期间美国政府停摆,关键经济数据发布延迟。多位委员强调,未来几周公布的劳 动力市场与通胀数据将对2026年1月会议决策至关重要。截至目前,新公布数据显示:11月失业率升至 4.6%,为2021年以来最高;同期消费者价格涨幅低于预期;但第三季度GDP年化增速达4.3%,创两年 新高。这些相互矛盾的信号尚未弥合内部意见分歧。 纪要发布后,基于联邦基金期货合约的市场定价显示,2026年1月降息概率已小幅降至约15%,强化了 当次会议维持利率不变的预期。 (文章来源:新华财经) 新华财经北京12月31日电根据联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)于2025年12月9日至10日召开的政策会议 纪要,尽管多数官员支持在通胀持续回落的前提下进一步降息,但在降息时机与幅度问题上,委员之间 存在显著分歧。 会议纪要显示,部分支持本次降息的官员认为该决定属于"微妙的平衡",甚至表示"本也可以支持维持 目标利率区间不变"。这一表述凸显了决策过程中的谨慎态度。最终,FOMC以9比3的投票结果,连续 第三次将联邦基金 ...
Most Fed officials see more rate cuts ahead as long as inflation cools, minutes reveal
New York Post· 2025-12-30 22:13
Most Fed officials believe additional interest rate cuts are appropriate as long as inflation continues to cool, according to minutes from the Federal Reserve’s meeting of Dec. 9 and 10.Policymakers slashed interest rates earlier this month to a target range of 3.5% to 3.75% in a 9-3 vote – the most dissents since 2019 as officials debated whether to prioritize inflation fears or concerns around the labor market.Fed Governor Stephen Miran dissented in favor of a more aggressive half-point cut, while Chicago ...
Stocks Fall Slightly in Thin Holiday Trade
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-30 21:31
The S&P 500 Index ($SPX) (SPY) on Tuesday closed down -0.14%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index ($DOWI) (DIA) closed down -0.20%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX) (QQQ) closed down -0.25%. March E-mini S&P futures (ESH26) fell -0.14%, and March E-mini Nasdaq futures (NQH26) fell -0.22%. Stock indexes settled slightly lower on Tuesday in thin, year-end trading. Higher bond yields were negative for stocks, as the 10-year T-note yield rose by 2 bp to 4.13%. Stock losses were limited by some positive carryov ...