据证券日报，东方金诚首席宏观分析师王青预计，短期内人民币汇率还会处于偏强运行状态。长期来 看，国际方面，伴随美联储恢复降息以及关税政策对美国经济冲击逐步显现，美元指数还将承受一定下 行压力；但上半年美元跌幅巨大，后期也会有较强的抗跌韧性。国内方面，外部波动对我国出口的影响 或逐步显现，而逆周期调节政策加码将确保经济运行基本稳定，这方面有充足的政策空间。由此，接下 来人民币对美元汇率仍将以稳为主，持续升值或大幅贬值的风险都不大。 来源：滚动播报 ...

Core Viewpoint - The onshore Chinese yuan (CNY) against the US dollar (USD) closed at 7.1621 at 16:30 Beijing time, marking a decline of 104 points from the previous trading day's official closing price [1] Currency Exchange Summary - The official closing rate of the onshore CNY against the USD indicates a depreciation, reflecting market sentiment and potential economic factors influencing currency valuation [1]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market experienced a significant volume increase on August 25, followed by a style shift and adjustments in major indices on August 26, indicating potential volatility and market reactions to external factors [1][2][6]. Market Performance - After the initial drop, the three major indices turned positive by midday, with the Shanghai Composite Index up 0.11%, the Shenzhen Component Index up 0.73%, and the ChiNext Index up 0.21% [2]. - The MSCI China Index adjustment, which included the addition of 14 stocks and the removal of 17, is expected to cause short-term market fluctuations [2][6]. Market Dynamics - The market showed a divergence in performance, with technology stocks underperforming while micro-cap stocks gained strength, as indicated by the micro-cap index rising over 1% [4][6]. - The average stock price rebounded after adjustments, and the trading volume showed a contraction of nearly 240 billion, suggesting a potential for further market movement if volume stabilizes [6]. Currency and Policy Impact - The recent appreciation of the RMB, with a gain of over 500 points since August, is likely to support asset prices in the short to medium term [2][6]. - Changes in real estate policies and expectations of interest rate cuts in the U.S. are contributing to the RMB's strength, which in turn affects market liquidity and stock performance [9]. Future Expectations - Analysts anticipate increased market volatility in September, with the potential for early market reactions to this expectation [8]. - Key variables influencing future market trends include the performance of the RMB and the real estate market, with recent data indicating a decline in housing transactions and prices in major cities [9]. Economic Indicators - The M1 money supply is highlighted as a crucial variable, with current A-share gains driven more by liquidity and market sentiment rather than fundamental improvements [10].

【纠错】 【责任编辑:吴京泽】 100美元 711.88人民币 100欧元 829.8人民币 100日元 4.8344人民币 100港元 91.164人民币 100英镑 960.81人民币 100澳元 462.66人民币 100新西兰元 417.81人民币 100新加坡元 555.19人民币 100瑞士法郎 885.9人民币 100加元 515.26人民币 100人民币113.04澳门元 100人民币58.959马来西亚林吉特 100人民币1128.7俄罗斯卢布 100人民币246.94南非兰特 100人民币19450韩元 100人民币51.442阿联酋迪拉姆 100人民币52.552沙特里亚尔 100人民币4786.59匈牙利福林 100人民币51.323波兰兹罗提 100人民币90.0丹麦克朗 100人民币134.3瑞典克朗 100人民币141.85挪威克朗 100人民币574.058土耳其里拉 100人民币261.95墨西哥比索 100人民币454.14泰铢 新华社北京8月26日电 中国外汇交易中心8月26日受权公布人民币对美元、欧元、日元、港元、英 镑、澳元、新西兰元、新加坡元、瑞士法郎、加元、澳门元 ...

北京商报讯（记者 廖蒙）8月26日，中国人民银行授权中国外汇交易中心公布，当日银行间外汇市场人 民币汇率中间价为1美元对人民币7.1188元，相较前一交易日中间价7.1161元，调贬27基点。 同日，在岸人民币对美元、离岸人民币对美元汇率小幅走贬。截至当日9时35分，在岸人民币对美元报 7.1566，日内贬值幅度为0.08%；离岸人民币对美元报7.1582，日内贬值幅度为0.01%。 ...

Core Points - The central exchange rate of the Chinese yuan against the US dollar is reported at 7.1188, which represents a depreciation of 27 basis points compared to the previous trading day [1] Exchange Rate Summary - The exchange rates for various currencies against the Chinese yuan are as follows: - 1 USD = 7.1188 CNY - 1 EUR = 8.2980 CNY - 100 JPY = 4.8344 CNY - 1 HKD = 0.91164 CNY - 1 GBP = 9.6081 CNY - 1 AUD = 4.6266 CNY - 1 NZD = 4.1781 CNY - 1 SGD = 5.5519 CNY - 1 CHF = 8.8590 CNY - 1 CAD = 5.1526 CNY - 1 MOP = 1.1304 CNY - 1 MYR = 0.58959 CNY - 1 RUB = 11.2870 CNY - 1 ZAR = 2.4694 CNY - 1 KRW = 194.50 CNY - 1 AED = 0.51442 CNY - 1 SAR = 0.52552 CNY - 1 HUF = 47.8659 CNY - 1 PLN = 0.51323 CNY - 1 DKK = 0.9000 CNY - 1 SEK = 1.3430 CNY - 1 NOK = 1.4185 CNY - 1 TRY = 5.74058 CNY - 1 MXN = 2.6195 CNY - 1 THB = 4.5414 CNY [2]

Core Viewpoint - The onshore RMB against the USD strengthened significantly on August 25, closing at 7.1517, an increase of 288 basis points from the previous trading day, driven by multiple factors including a weaker USD index, a substantial adjustment in the central parity rate, and improved capital market sentiment [2][3]. Group 1: Factors Supporting RMB Strength - The RMB/USD exchange rate surged, breaking through multiple key levels, with a closing price of 7.1517, marking a new high since November 2024 [3]. - The weakening of the USD index, influenced by rising expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut, provided upward momentum for the RMB. The USD index fell below 98, decreasing by 0.94% on August 22 [3]. - The central parity rate for RMB against USD was significantly raised by 160 points to 7.1161, the highest since November of the previous year, which positively impacted both domestic and foreign trading prices [4]. Group 2: Future Outlook for RMB Exchange Rate - The RMB exchange rate is expected to exhibit a dual-directional fluctuation, influenced by both internal and external factors. The future trajectory of the USD index remains a critical variable for the global forex market [5]. - The potential for further USD weakness due to Fed rate cuts could benefit the RMB, but uncertainties regarding the continuity of rate cuts may affect the USD's performance [5]. - Domestic economic trends play a crucial role in determining the RMB exchange rate, with the possibility of increased foreign capital inflows contributing to RMB appreciation [6].

Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China announced an increase in the central parity rate of the RMB against the USD, indicating a strengthening of the RMB and potential positive market sentiment towards Chinese assets [1][5]. Exchange Rate Summary - The central parity rate for USD/CNY was set at 7.1161, up 160 basis points from the previous day's rate of 7.1321, marking the highest level since November 2024 [1][2]. - The onshore RMB closed at 7.1517 against the USD, reflecting an increase of 288 points from the previous trading day [3]. - The Euro and Japanese Yen also saw changes against the RMB, with the Euro rising to 8.3446 (up 466 points) and the Japanese Yen to 4.8480 (up 249 points) [2]. Market Sentiment and Predictions - Analysts suggest that the market's expectation of a potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve has increased, which may lead to further appreciation of the RMB [5]. - According to招商证券, if the RMB continues to appreciate and the central bank maintains a market-driven policy, there is a possibility for the RMB exchange rate to return to the 6 range, enhancing the attractiveness of Chinese assets [6].

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese yuan is expected to accelerate its recovery and appreciation against the US dollar, driven by the anticipated interest rate cuts from the Federal Reserve and easing trade tensions between China and the US [1][2]. Group 1: Currency Exchange Rate Trends - The People's Bank of China announced that the central parity rate of the yuan against the US dollar was set at 7.1161, an increase of 160 basis points from the previous day's rate of 7.1321, marking the highest level since November 2024 [1]. - Since July, the yuan has maintained a steady appreciation against the dollar, with expectations that the scale of yuan settlement will increase around the time of the Fed's potential rate cuts in September [1]. - The yuan has appreciated by 479 basis points against the dollar since 2025, with the dollar index declining over 10% [2]. Group 2: Monetary Policy and Economic Factors - Analysts suggest that if the Federal Reserve resumes interest rate cuts in September, it will provide greater flexibility for China's monetary policy, which may need to lower interest rates further due to existing deflationary pressures [2]. - The current monetary policy in China remains accommodative, and there is a necessity to adjust the reserve requirement ratio to increase money supply and maintain market liquidity [2]. - Future yuan exchange rate trends will be influenced by three main factors: progress in China-US trade negotiations, the performance of the US dollar, and the pace and intensity of domestic macroeconomic policies [3].

在岸人民币兑美元北京时间16:30官方收报7.1517，较上一交易日官方收盘价涨288点。（第一财经AI快 讯） ...