Market Overview - The market experienced a broad decline after a previous day of enthusiasm, leading to discussions about the differences between past market cycles, particularly the short-lived bull market of September 24 and the conditions surrounding June 24 [1][3] - The banking sector has shown resilience, achieving nine consecutive days of gains, indicating a potential localized bull market despite overall market fluctuations [1][3] Market Sentiment - The notion that a bear market has begun due to a drop in the securities sector is questioned, suggesting that market dynamics are more complex and that understanding market rhythm is crucial for profitability [3][5] - The presence of a significant number of stocks still performing well, particularly in sectors like solid-state batteries and military technology, indicates that the market is not uniformly weak [5][6] Trading Data - Today's trading data shows a buy volume of 437, while sell volume was 443, indicating a slight imbalance but not a definitive trend towards a bear market [4] - The number of stocks hitting the daily limit up was 46, while the limit down was only 12, suggesting that bullish sentiment remains in certain sectors [4][6] Sector Analysis - The RWA (Real World Assets) theme has emerged, linked to the concept of tokenization, reflecting market interest in blockchain-related assets [5][6] - The solid-state battery sector has seen significant activity, with multiple stocks reaching their daily limit up, indicating strong investor interest and potential for growth [5][6] Conclusion - Overall, while there are signs of market weakness, particularly in the securities sector, there are also strong performances in specific industries, suggesting a more nuanced market environment where localized bull trends may still exist [1][3][5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive investment rating for the stablecoin industry, particularly focusing on the implications of Hong Kong's Stablecoin Regulation [4]. Core Insights - Stablecoins are crucial infrastructure in the cryptocurrency ecosystem, designed to maintain price stability by pegging their value to stable underlying assets [8][9]. - The global trading volume of stablecoins has seen exponential growth, with daily average trading volume increasing from $432 million in 2019 to $84.143 billion in 2024, representing a CAGR of 187.1% [2][42]. - The introduction of Hong Kong's Stablecoin Regulation is expected to create structural impacts on the non-bank financial sector, allowing qualified non-bank institutions to participate in stablecoin issuance [3][13]. Summary by Sections 1. What are Stablecoins? - Stablecoins are a special type of cryptocurrency designed to maintain price stability by pegging their value to stable assets such as fiat currencies, commodities, or algorithms [8]. - They serve as a bridge between traditional finance and the volatile cryptocurrency market, facilitating transactions, payments, and hedging [9]. 2. Core Mechanism of Stablecoins - Stablecoins can be categorized into four main types based on their collateral: fiat-collateralized, commodity-collateralized, crypto-collateralized, and algorithmic [23][24]. 3. Core Value of Stablecoins - Stablecoins act as a payment tool, providing a low-volatility "value benchmark" for transactions in the cryptocurrency market [29]. - They serve as a value storage mechanism, allowing users to convert volatile assets into stablecoins to mitigate market risks [34]. - Stablecoins enhance transaction efficiency by reducing costs and improving speed, especially in cross-border payments [35]. 4. Global Regulatory Mechanisms for Stablecoins - Hong Kong's Stablecoin Regulation aims to create a robust regulatory environment, requiring all stablecoin issuers to obtain licenses, thereby preventing regulatory arbitrage [15][16]. - The regulation emphasizes a "same activity, same risk, same regulation" principle, ensuring that stablecoin activities are subject to stringent oversight [13]. 5. Impact on Non-Bank Financial Institutions - The regulation is expected to lead to compliance upgrades and create new business opportunities for non-bank institutions, with a focus on major players like ZhongAn Online, Hong Kong Stock Exchange, and LianLian Digital [3][22].