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Meta Just Made a Striking Move. And It's Excellent News for Nvidia.
The Motley Fool· 2026-02-20 02:10
Nvidia has built an AI empire and dominates the AI chip market.Meta Platforms (META +0.24%) has been one of the most noteworthy names in the artificial intelligence (AI) space over the past couple of years. The company, known for its social media apps, has spoken of its intentions to pursue AI and even bring superintelligence to people around the world. As part of this, Meta has been spending billions of dollars to build out data centers, create large language models, and offer AI features to app users and ...
REIT Fears Could Give Way to Opportunity with this ETF
Etftrends· 2026-02-20 01:03
Core Viewpoint - Recent declines in commercial real estate investment trusts (REITs) highlight their perceived vulnerability, but this apprehension may present a buying opportunity for investors, particularly in ETFs like the NEOS Real Estate High Income ETF (IYRI) [1] Group 1: REIT Market Dynamics - REITs have recently been affected by concerns over artificial intelligence's impact on the real estate sector, yet some experts maintain a positive outlook due to a resilient economic environment [1] - Bank of America Research indicates that 2026 may represent a favorable setup for REITs as post-pandemic weaknesses transition into strengths, alongside compelling yields from high-quality REITs [1] - Currently, 42% of listed REITs offer yields exceeding those of 10-year Treasuries, marking the highest yield among the 11 global industry classification standard (GICS) sectors [1] Group 2: Investment Opportunities in IYRI - The NEOS Real Estate High Income ETF (IYRI) features a distribution rate of nearly 11% and a 30-day SEC yield of 3.15%, indicating strong income generation potential [1] - The real estate sector has seen a 5.4% increase in net flows over the past year, suggesting growing interest despite being overlooked by long-only managers and hedge funds [1] - REITs are currently trading 15-20% below net asset value (NAV) for the first time since the 2008 financial crisis, presenting attractive valuation opportunities [1]
Workiva(WK) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2026-02-19 23:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In Q4 2025, total revenue reached $239 million, a 20% increase year-over-year, exceeding guidance by $3 million [28] - Subscription revenue for Q4 was $219 million, up 21% year-over-year [29] - For the full year 2025, total revenue was $885 million, also a 20% increase compared to the previous year [32] - Non-GAAP operating margin for Q4 was 19.1%, beating guidance by 160 basis points [30] - Full-year non-GAAP operating margin was 9.9%, exceeding guidance by 50 basis points [34] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Professional services revenue in Q4 was $20 million, slightly up from the previous year [30] - The number of customers increased to 6,624, with a gross retention rate of 97% and a net retention rate of 113% for Q4 [31] - 74% of subscription revenue came from customers using multiple solutions, up from 70% in Q4 2024 [31] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total revenue outside the U.S. was 27%, an increase of 300 basis points compared to the prior year [33] - The company added new customers and account expansions, with new customers accounting for approximately 40% of the increase in Q4 subscription revenue [30] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to leverage AI to enhance its platform, focusing on trust and data integrity in an AI-driven world [6][9] - Workiva is positioned as a trusted platform for CFOs, emphasizing the importance of data accuracy and traceability [7][9] - The company is expanding its leadership team to strengthen its go-to-market strategy and operational efficiency [25][26] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the demand for sustainability reporting and the strategic value of this market [17] - The company anticipates growth in IPO activity in 2026, despite a moderation in Q4 2025 [20][66] - Management highlighted the importance of operational rigor and productivity improvements to achieve long-term financial targets [39] Other Important Information - The company repurchased 131,000 shares for $12 million in Q4, with a total of $72 million repurchased in 2025 [35] - A new pricing model was introduced, focusing on value and consumption rather than a seat-based licensing model [21][75] Q&A Session Summary Question: Role of AI in New Wins - AI is a significant topic in customer discussions, contributing to buying decisions, with increasing adoption in a secure environment [41][42] Question: Operational Rigor and Margin Opportunities - Opportunities for operational efficiency exist across the business, particularly in sales and marketing [45][46] Question: Insights from New CRO Michael Pinto - Michael Pinto is focusing on building a strong global team, refining sales strategies, and enhancing the partner ecosystem [49][50] Question: NRR Direction for 2026 - The company is modeling a gross retention rate of 96% and a net retention rate of 110% for 2026 [52] Question: Capital Markets Environment - Management is optimistic about IPO activity in 2026, incorporating growth into guidance while acknowledging macroeconomic factors [66][68]
Tesla, Inc. (TSLA): Our Calculation of Intrinsic Value
Acquirersmultiple· 2026-02-19 22:37
Core Viewpoint - Tesla, Inc. is evaluated through a DCF model, revealing a significant gap between its current market price and intrinsic value, indicating potential overvaluation based on conservative cash flow assumptions [1][6]. Company Profile - Tesla operates as a vertically integrated company in electric vehicles, energy storage, and clean technology, with revenue streams from vehicle sales, regulatory credits, energy solutions, and software upgrades [2]. - The company’s asset base includes manufacturing scale, proprietary battery technology, AI-driven autonomy, and a robust charging infrastructure [3]. DCF Analysis - Key inputs for the DCF model include a discount rate of 10%, a terminal growth rate of 3%, and a WACC of 10% [4]. - Forecasted free cash flows (FCFs) from 2025 to 2029 are projected to grow from $6.5 billion to $10.5 billion, with a total present value of FCFs calculated at $31.5 billion [4]. - The terminal value, calculated using a perpetuity growth model, is estimated at $154.5 billion, leading to a present value of the terminal value of $95.9 billion [4]. Enterprise Value Calculation - The enterprise value of Tesla is determined to be $127.4 billion, factoring in the present value of FCFs and terminal value [5]. - With a net cash position of approximately $29.4 billion, the equity value is calculated at $156.8 billion, resulting in an intrinsic value per share of approximately $42 [5]. Conclusion - The DCF value of Tesla is around $42, while the current market price is approximately $411, indicating a margin of safety of about -90% [5]. - Tesla is recognized for its strategic ambitions in transportation and energy, leveraging its technological leadership and strong balance sheet to support future growth initiatives [5][6]. - However, the current market valuation suggests that it is heavily reliant on future execution and potential growth in autonomy and energy infrastructure rather than current cash flow fundamentals [6].
Alarm.com(ALRM) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2026-02-19 22:32
Alarm.com (NasdaqGS:ALRM) Q4 2025 Earnings call February 19, 2026 04:30 PM ET Company ParticipantsAdam Hotchkiss - VP of Emerging Software and Equity ResearchAdam Tindle - Managing DirectorKevin Bradley - CFOMatthew Zartman - VP of Investor RelationsSaket Kalia - Managing DirectorSteve Trundle - CEOConference Call ParticipantsJack Vander Aarde - SVP and Senior Research Analyst of TMT, Gaming and EntertainmentStephen Sheldon - Research Analyst for Technology, Media, and CommunicationsNone - AnalystNone - Ana ...
Alarm.com(ALRM) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2026-02-19 22:32
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - SaaS and license revenue for Q4 2025 was $180 million, an increase of 8.8% year-over-year [3][4] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q4 2025 was $55 million, with full-year adjusted EBITDA reaching $206 million, representing a 16.9% year-over-year growth [3][21] - Total revenue for 2025 exceeded $1 billion, marking a significant growth milestone for the company [3][4] - Non-GAAP adjusted net income for Q4 was $38.9 million, a 19.2% increase year-over-year, with non-GAAP EPS rising 24.1% to $0.72 per diluted share [21][28] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The core residential business continues to grow primarily through ARPU expansion, with a strong market share in the U.S. and Canada [8][10] - The commercial security and energy businesses contributed 25% of SaaS revenue for 2025, growing approximately 25% year-over-year [10][15] - EnergyHub's connected devices under management increased by over 50% in 2025, with utilities increasing their calls on EnergyHub's virtual power plants by 25% [14][15] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company has seen a continued uptick in video attachment rates to 33% in 2025, indicating strong market demand for video solutions [15][16] - The commercial video solutions have gained traction in high-crime areas, with notable strength in markets like Los Angeles [70] - International markets are gradually adopting commercial assets, particularly in Latin America [71] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on leveraging R&D to expand into additional markets and diversify its business [4][15] - The acquisition of Resideo Grid Services (RGS) is expected to enhance EnergyHub's capabilities and expand its utility client base [14][15] - The company aims to maintain its competitive position by prioritizing high-return organic investments and selective acquisitions [24][25] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the underlying demand environment for commercial markets despite economic uncertainties [10] - The company is well-positioned to leverage AI for productivity gains and enhance its product offerings without altering its fundamental business model [6][7] - The outlook for 2026 includes expected SaaS and license revenue between $743 million and $745 million, reflecting healthy organic growth expectations [25][26] Other Important Information - The company retired $500 million of convertible notes, which will not contribute to diluted share counts in 2026 [22][23] - The cash tax liability for 2025 was $12.1 million, benefiting from R&D tax credits [24] Q&A Session Summary Question: SaaS guidance increase and organic growth expectations - Management noted that the SaaS guidance increase includes contributions from RGS and reflects slightly better-than-expected organic growth [31][34] Question: Competitive environment and EnergyHub's market size - Management discussed the competitive landscape for EnergyHub, emphasizing the importance of partnerships with utilities and the potential for market growth [35][39] Question: AI integration and monetization - Management highlighted ongoing efforts to enhance product capabilities with AI and the potential for increased productivity [44][46] Question: Impact of tariff costs on demand - Management indicated no discernible decrease in demand due to tariff pass-throughs and plans to manage potential manufacturing cost increases [48][50] Question: EnergyHub synergies and growth drivers - Management outlined expectations for synergies from the RGS acquisition and identified growth drivers for EnergyHub, including increased utility partnerships and device enrollment [58][60] Question: Core business performance against competitive headwinds - Management reported that the anticipated headwind from competitors did not manifest as expected, with the core business performing well [87][88] Question: Install base performance and SaaS plans - Management confirmed that growth in the North American business is primarily driven by ARPU expansion, with a consistent movement through the installed base [90][91]
Alarm.com(ALRM) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2026-02-19 22:30
Alarm.com (NasdaqGS:ALRM) Q4 2025 Earnings call February 19, 2026 04:30 PM ET Speaker9Good day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Alarm.com Fourth Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speaker's presentation, there'll be a question-and-answer session. To ask a question during the session, you'll need to press star one one on your telephone. You'll then hear an automated message advising your hand is raised. To withdraw your que ...
Five9(FIVN) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2026-02-19 22:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported total revenue of $300 million for Q4, representing an 8% year-over-year growth [19] - Subscription revenue grew by 12% year-over-year in Q4, now making up 82% of total revenue, up from 79% a year ago [21] - Adjusted EBITDA margin increased to 26%, while free cash flow more than doubled year-over-year to a margin of 22% [10][23] - For the full year 2025, total revenue was $1.15 billion, growing 10% year-over-year, with subscription revenue growing 13% year-over-year [24] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Enterprise AI revenue growth accelerated to 50% year-over-year, contributing significantly to the overall subscription revenue [19][10] - Core CCaaS subscription revenue growth accelerated to 8% year-over-year [19] - The enterprise business represented approximately 91% of total revenue on a last twelve months (LTM) basis, with LTM enterprise subscription revenue growing 15% year-over-year [22] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Gartner forecasts the market for traditional CCaaS to grow at a 9% CAGR and the GenAI customer service market to grow at a 34% CAGR through 2029, reaching a combined annual spend of $48 billion [11] - The company is experiencing strong traction in sectors such as healthcare and retail, with significant adoption of AI capabilities [86] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to lead in AI-powered customer experience (CX) by leveraging conversational data and enhancing its end-to-end platform capabilities [11][12] - A strong focus on partnerships, particularly with Google Cloud, is seen as a key driver for differentiation and innovation in AI solutions [13][79] - The company is committed to expanding its AI capabilities and enhancing customer experiences through new product innovations [12][14] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's positioning for continued success in 2026 and beyond, driven by strong demand for AI solutions [10] - The CEO highlighted the importance of a unified CX platform to meet evolving customer needs and the potential for significant market expansion [8][10] - Management acknowledged macroeconomic challenges but remains optimistic about the company's growth trajectory and operational excellence [3][10] Other Important Information - The company completed a $50 million accelerated share repurchase on February 2, buying back approximately 2.6 million shares, reflecting strong cash generation [27] - The company plans to host an Investor Day in late 2026 to provide additional details on strategic priorities and long-term financial outlook [27] Q&A Session Summary Question: Breakdown of AI revenue growth between new and existing customers - Management indicated that both new logo acquisition and penetration into the existing customer base are contributing significantly to AI revenue growth [31][32] Question: Future product changes and opportunities in AI - The new CEO expressed optimism about transforming the CX space through AI and traditional CCaaS, emphasizing the potential for new customer experiences [40] Question: Risks from LLM native platforms - Management highlighted the competitive moat provided by their orchestration capabilities and historical conversational data, which cannot be easily replicated by LLMs [60][62] Question: Sector performance and customer pain points - The company is seeing strong adoption in healthcare and retail, with customers focusing on improving their data strategies to leverage AI effectively [52][86] Question: Guidance for 2026 revenue and backlog contributions - Management clarified that the guidance for 2026 includes contributions from dollar-based retention rate (DBRR) and backlog, with a focus on consumption-based revenue from AI solutions [68][71]
The Best Stocks to Invest $2,000 in Right Now
Yahoo Finance· 2026-02-19 19:10
If you have $2,000 available for investing that isn't needed for an emergency fund or to pay off monthly bills, there are several attractive stocks out there to take a closer look at. If you are looking at the consumer sector, these three stocks, in particular, are worth considering right now. Image source: Getty Images Will AI create the world's first trillionaire? Our team just released a report on the one little-known company, called an "Indispensable Monopoly" providing the critical technology Nvidia ...
OXY(OXY) - 2025 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2026-02-19 19:02
Financial Performance and Key Metrics - In 2025, the company generated $4.3 billion in free cash flow before working capital, despite a 14% decline in oil prices from 2024 [4][5] - Cash flow from operations increased by 27% year-over-year, excluding OxyChem [4] - The company repaid $4 billion in debt, reducing principal debt to $15 billion, with a tender offer expected to lower it further to $14.3 billion [5][22] Operational Achievements - The company set a new annual production record of 1.4 million barrels of oil equivalent per day, exceeding guidance while spending $300 million less in capital than planned [6] - Achieved a 107% organic reserves replacement ratio and a 98% all-in reserves replacement ratio at a finding and development cost below the DD&A rate [6][7] - Total resource base now stands at 16.5 billion barrels of oil equivalent, with 84% of this resource base breaking even below $50 per barrel [7][8] Business Segments and Market Performance - The midstream segment delivered strong results, with adjusted pretax income surpassing guidance by over $500 million, driven by gas marketing optimization and higher sulfur prices [7][21] - U.S. assets now account for 83% of production, compared to 50% in 2015, while international assets remain high quality with upside potential [8] Company Strategy and Industry Positioning - The company aims to maintain production through safe operations and deliver a sustainable and growing dividend, with an 8% increase announced [10][23] - Focus on high-return oil and gas projects that generate strong cash flow while advancing mid-cycle projects to reduce sustaining capital requirements over time [10][23] - The company plans to invest $5.5 billion to $5.9 billion in capital spending for 2026, reflecting a $550 million reduction from 2025 [10][25] Management Commentary on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to drive sustainable free cash flow growth and deliver long-term value to shareholders [4][19] - The company is focused on operational excellence and cost efficiency, with expectations to achieve an additional $500 million in cost savings in 2026 [14][23] - Management highlighted the importance of maintaining flexibility in capital allocation to respond to market changes [25][28] Other Important Information - The company completed the sale of OxyChem, strengthening its balance sheet and enabling further debt reduction [3][21] - The leadership team announced changes in investor relations, with Jordan Tanner transitioning to a new role and Babatunde Cole appointed as the new Vice President of Investor Relations [29][30] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you explain the lower CapEx guidance compared to previous estimates? - Management noted that the reduction was due to improved project optimization and cost efficiencies achieved by the teams [34][36] Question: What is the expected impact of the Horn Mountain waterflood project on production? - Management indicated that the project is expected to lower decline rates and improve reliability, contributing to sustained production levels [41][42] Question: How sustainable are the cost savings achieved in 2025 for future years? - Management expressed confidence that many of the cost efficiencies are structural and will continue to benefit the company in 2027 and beyond [56][59]