欧洲准备了几十万大军，只等一声令下便可开进乌克兰，却在普京一纸停火条件前瞬间梦碎。 若和平只能建立在克里姆林宫的底牌之上，乌克兰的主权还剩多少回旋余地？ 欧洲的梦想，被美俄联手否决 欧洲长期以来试图以北约东扩为蓝本，在乌克兰建立直接的军事存在以遏制俄罗斯。 然而，这一设想正面临来自莫斯科和华盛顿的双重政治否决，使其从一个潜在选项，沦为一个不切实际 的构想。 欧洲方面的规划曾十分宏大。法国总统马克龙在2024年就曾威胁要直接向乌克兰派兵。 到了2025年初，一个由31个国家组成的"自愿联盟"正式成立，计划在乌克兰部署维和部队，其任务还包 括提供武器训练和支持经济重建。 英法两国甚至提出了一个组建20万维和部队的具体构想，其中英国计划出兵5万，法国也计划出兵至少5 万。 这些行动的战略核心，是希望在乌克兰土地上形成对俄罗斯的长期威慑与牵制。 然而，俄罗斯的立场给这个计划划下了一条绝对的红线。莫斯科提出的停火条件中，明确包含了"任何 北约或西方国家的军队都不能在乌克兰驻扎"这一条。 俄罗斯外长拉夫罗夫在21日更是强硬地表示，外国军队出现在乌克兰是俄方绝对无法接受的。 而真正为欧洲计划带来致命一击的，是来自美国的态度 ...

Core Points - The root cause of the Ukraine crisis is linked to Russia's security concerns, particularly the repeated violations of the guarantee of "NATO not expanding eastward" over the decades [1] - Russia's Foreign Minister Lavrov emphasized that any long-term agreements cannot be discussed without respecting Russia's security interests and the rights of Russian-speaking populations in Ukraine [1] - Lavrov stated that Russia does not reject any working models for resolving the Ukraine issue, whether bilateral or trilateral, and suggested starting from expert-level discussions [1] Summary by Sections - **Russia's Security Concerns** - Lavrov pointed out that NATO has expanded five times after promising not to, which undermines Russia's security interests [1] - **Diplomatic Engagements** - The meeting between the US and Russian presidents in Anchorage was described as "constructive" and "productive," but no agreements were reached on a ceasefire in Ukraine [1] - US President Trump held meetings with Ukrainian President Zelensky and European leaders, and initiated arrangements for a bilateral meeting between Putin and Zelensky, followed by a trilateral meeting involving the US, Russia, and Ukraine [1]

Group 1 - European leaders are gathering in Washington to support Ukrainian President Zelensky, showcasing unity on the Ukraine issue and preventing further marginalization of Europe [1][2] - The meeting is expected to discuss territorial claims by Russia and the framework for security guarantees for Ukraine, with a potential trilateral meeting involving the US, Russia, and Ukraine [3][4] - There is a significant divide between Ukraine and the US regarding territorial issues, particularly concerning Crimea, with Zelensky asserting that Ukraine should not have given up Crimea [3][6] Group 2 - The prospect of a peace agreement to end the Russia-Ukraine conflict is complicated, with both sides needing to agree on a ceasefire before discussing long-term solutions [6] - European leaders, including von der Leyen, emphasize continued support for Ukraine until a just and lasting peace is achieved, while also applying pressure on Russia [6] - US Secretary of State Rubio acknowledges that there is still a long way to go before a peace agreement can be reached, highlighting the need for concessions from both sides [6]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article revolves around the significance of Ukrainian President Zelensky's visit to the White House, supported by multiple European leaders, highlighting European unity and support for Ukraine amidst ongoing tensions with Russia [1][2]. - European leaders' collective visit aims to prevent further marginalization of Europe in the Ukraine issue and to provide backing for Zelensky, emphasizing the importance of European involvement in resolving the Russia-Ukraine conflict [2][3]. - The discussions during the meetings are expected to cover key issues such as Russia's territorial claims and the framework for security guarantees for Ukraine, with a focus on how the U.S. will participate in these efforts [3][6]. Group 2 - The article outlines the contrasting perspectives on achieving peace, with Trump advocating for a direct peace agreement to end the conflict, while Ukraine and European leaders believe a ceasefire must precede any long-term solutions [6]. - There is an acknowledgment of the long road ahead for a peace agreement, with significant divisions remaining between Russia and Ukraine, necessitating concessions from both sides for a resolution [6].

Group 1 - The article discusses a recent event in Berlin commemorating the 80th anniversary of the United Nations Charter, highlighting its relevance to current geopolitical issues, particularly the conflicts in Ukraine and Gaza [7][10][11] - The event featured prominent speakers, including former UN Assistant Secretary-General Michael von der Schulenburg, who emphasized the importance of adhering to the UN Charter for maintaining international peace and resolving conflicts [15][16][17] - Schulenburg argued that the UN Charter should not only be seen as a prohibition against military force but also as a commitment to resolving conflicts through negotiation and peaceful means [16][17] Group 2 - The event was characterized by a strong leftist sentiment, with speakers criticizing NATO's role in the Ukraine conflict and advocating for peace negotiations [10][11][18] - Sevim Dağdelen, a representative of the left-wing party, highlighted NATO's expansion as a root cause of the conflict and called for unity among the Global South to reshape international order [18][19] - Reiner Braun, a peace activist, condemned the militarization of the EU and NATO, urging citizens to take action for peace and to rethink security structures [22][23] Group 3 - The article also reflects on the broader context of German-Chinese relations and the challenges faced in academic exchanges, particularly in the field of Chinese studies in Germany [24][25][28] - The author suggests that Germany could benefit from a more nuanced understanding of China, drawing parallels with historical academic exchanges and advocating for constructive dialogue [28][29]

近期，乌克兰的国民警卫队似乎出现了内部反弹的迹象，根据外媒的报道，关于前往前线参战的任务， 该部队中部分士兵表现出了明显的反对态度。这一现象突显了乌克兰国内当前所面临的诸多问题。尽管 如此，乌克兰基辅当局依然坚持与俄罗斯进行对抗，特别是乌克兰总统泽连斯基似乎已经能够掌控局势 的发展。根据乌克兰媒体的报道，泽连斯基已经正式呼吁欧洲国家向乌克兰提供财政支持，以便能够给 前线军队提高薪资待遇。泽连斯基这一行为不仅表明了他在缓和军队内部情绪的努力，同时也显示出他 坚决继续与俄罗斯作战的决心。 俄乌冲突如今已进入了第四个年头，近期西方各国的态度再次趋于强硬，分析指出，这与美国的政策转 向密切相关。美国在之前对乌克兰的策略中，采取了较强的压力手段，试图促成乌克兰与俄罗斯的和平 谈判。然而，最近美国的立场发生了显著变化，不仅重启了对乌克兰的军事援助，还宣布将提供先进的 爱国者3型防空系统。此外，美国还同意了向乌克兰提供3.2亿美元的军售，其中包含霍克防空导弹和 M2步兵战车等一系列武器装备。这一态度的转变，促使欧洲国家对俄罗斯采取更加强硬的措施，因而 启动了针对俄罗斯的新一轮制裁，以应对不断升级的紧张局势。 俄乌冲突的由来 ...

Group 1 - Recent military cooperation between North Korea and Russia has garnered global attention, with reports suggesting North Korea may supply up to 12 million artillery shells and potentially send 30,000 soldiers to the Ukrainian battlefield [1][10] - The historical relationship between North Korea and Russia dates back to the Cold War, where both nations collaborated against external threats, and their current partnership is a strategic choice to counter Western sanctions [1][10] - Russian military actions in Ukraine have intensified, with large-scale airstrikes targeting critical infrastructure to weaken Ukraine's combat capabilities [1][2] Group 2 - Russian military operations appear to be transitioning from a defensive posture to a full-scale offensive, aided by artillery support from North Korea [2] - In the eastern Donetsk region, Russian forces have captured key strategic points, significantly impacting Ukraine's defensive lines [3] - The U.S. has responded by pledging to provide Ukraine with Patriot missile defense systems through NATO, enhancing Ukraine's defensive capabilities and signaling a warning to Russia [5] Group 3 - Some U.S. hawks are proposing high tariffs on countries like China and India for purchasing Russian oil, viewing it as indirect support for Russia's military [6] - China and India have adopted different strategies in response to U.S. pressure, with China emphasizing normal energy trade with Russia and India continuing to import cheap Russian oil while exploring new defense cooperation [6][8] - China and India are gradually aligning their positions, with discussions on supply chain stability to mitigate external economic risks, potentially reducing the impact of U.S. tariffs [8] Group 4 - The escalation of the Russia-Ukraine conflict is occurring against the backdrop of NATO's eastward expansion, which Russia perceives as a direct threat to its national security [8][10] - The potential accession of Ukraine to NATO is viewed as a critical point that could exacerbate tensions, with Russia attributing the conflict to NATO's expansionist policies [8][10] - The complex interplay of Russian military advances, North Korean support, U.S. military aid, and tariff threats creates a multifaceted international situation [10]

特朗普称对俄罗斯非常不满，威胁对其征收100%关税 当地时间14日，美国总统特朗普称对俄罗斯感到非常不满，威胁将对俄罗斯征收100%关税。 "我们对（俄罗斯）非常、非常不满意。如果我们在50天内没有达成协议，我们将征收非常严厉的关税。税率约为100%。"特朗普接着提到要征收次级关 税，但未具体说明。 一名白宫官员稍后向媒体记者解释说，特朗普的意思是，如果俄乌50天内达不成协议，美国将对俄罗斯征收100%的关税，对购买俄罗斯石油的国家征收次 级关税。这名官员也没有就次级关税作详细介绍。 俄罗斯股市大涨2% 当地时间14日，受美国总统特朗普最新表态影响，俄罗斯股市持续走强，莫斯科交易所指数上涨至2700点附近，日内涨幅达2%。 特朗普称将向乌克兰转售最先进武器 当地时间14日，美国总统特朗普在会见北约秘书长吕特时表示，美国与北约当天达成了向乌克兰运送武器的协议。美国将向北约提供最先进的武器装备，美 国会把最好的资源派给北约，由北约协调，以支持乌克兰。 特朗普表示，美国将与北约合作，协议已"完全批准，全部执行"，美国将向北约运送大量各种武器，北约会立即将这些武器运送到战场，北约将支付全部费 用。 特朗普说，"北约将 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the shift in U.S. President Trump's stance towards Russia and Ukraine, indicating a commitment to support NATO and Ukraine with military aid, which NATO will fully fund [1][2] - Trump's dissatisfaction with Russia's lack of progress in resolving the Ukraine issue is evident, as he expressed disappointment after a call with President Putin [1] - Russia's response to Trump's changing attitude is characterized by calmness, with officials suggesting that they are accustomed to Trump's unpredictable behavior and view his threats as posturing for domestic audiences [2][3] Group 2 - The ongoing dialogue between Russia and the U.S. continues despite Trump's changing rhetoric, with recent talks between Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov and U.S. Secretary of State Rubio indicating a mutual desire for dialogue and cooperation [2] - Russia's strategic objectives regarding Ukraine remain unchanged, focusing on preventing Ukraine from becoming a security threat and seeking a comprehensive resolution to the crisis rather than temporary ceasefires [2][3] - The Russian government maintains a strategic awareness of U.S. policies, recognizing that the U.S. has not abandoned its containment strategy against Russia, as highlighted in the 2023 Foreign Policy Concept of the Russian Federation [3]

Group 1 - The article reports that Russia has gathered 110,000 soldiers near the strategically significant city of Pokrovsk, aiming to capture it [1][5][6] - The Ukrainian armed forces have conducted an attack on a Russian airbase, hitting four aircraft including Su-34s, to weaken Russia's airstrike capabilities against Ukraine [2][9][10] - President Putin stated that under President Trump's influence, relations between Russia and the U.S. have begun to normalize, with Trump expressing appreciation for Putin's friendly remarks [3][21][22] Group 2 - Pokrovsk is identified as a strategic target for Moscow, with Putin's clear objective being the capture of eastern Ukraine's Donetsk and Luhansk regions, where parts are already under Russian control [6][7] - Despite having a numerical and weaponry advantage, Russian forces have not succeeded in capturing Pokrovsk over the past year [6][7] - The article highlights that prior to the conflict, Pokrovsk had a population of approximately 60,000, most of whom have since evacuated due to the ongoing war [7]