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韩调查称韩国人结婚意愿回升 生育意愿仍偏低
news flash· 2025-05-11 08:16
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article indicates a subtle shift in South Korean societal attitudes towards marriage and childbirth, with an increase in marriage intentions despite a continued decline in birth rates [1] Group 2 - The report titled "2024 Family and Fertility" surveyed 14,372 adults aged 19 to 49, including both married and unmarried individuals [1] - The average number of children women expect to have is 0.85, which is a decrease of 0.18 from three years ago, indicating a clear downward trend in fertility [1] - Among respondents with partners, only 18% expressed plans to have children, with an average desired number of 1.25 children [1] - In contrast, 63.2% of respondents without partners indicated a willingness to have children in the future, with an average desired number of 1.54 children, slightly higher than those with partners [1] - The survey revealed that 62.2% of respondents expressed an intention to marry, an increase of 11.4 percentage points compared to 2021, while those undecided about marriage decreased from 23.9% to 19.4% [1]
中国最能生娃的省,根本不用催生
后浪研究所· 2025-04-03 09:21
Core Viewpoint - Guangdong Province has emerged as a leader in birth rates in China, with a significant increase in newborns, indicating a strong willingness to have children despite national trends of declining birth rates [2][5][10]. Group 1: Birth Rate Statistics - In 2023, Guangdong Province recorded a birth increase of 1.03 million, ranking first in the country, with one in every nine newborns in China born in Guangdong [2][4]. - Guangdong has maintained a birth population exceeding one million for over 40 years, showcasing its consistent reproductive capacity [4]. - The birth rate in Guangdong for 2022 was 8.3‰, ranking eighth among 31 provincial-level regions, and slightly decreased to 8.12‰ in 2023, still surpassing several other provinces [9][10]. Group 2: Comparison with Other Provinces - Guangdong's birth population is significantly higher than that of other populous provinces, with 335,000 more than Henan and 420,000 more than Shandong [5]. - The province has outperformed Shandong, which was historically known for high birth rates, since 2018, maintaining its status as the top birth province for six consecutive years [5][6]. Group 3: Economic and Demographic Factors - Guangdong's large population of 127 million residents contributes to its high birth numbers, but the birth rate is a more accurate reflection of reproductive willingness [8][9]. - Despite a high GDP per capita of approximately 107,000 yuan in 2023, which typically correlates with lower birth rates, Guangdong's situation is atypical, indicating a unique demographic dynamic [14].
80后的中年危机
投资界· 2025-03-01 07:35
以下文章来源于凤凰WEEKLY ,作者卢伊 凤凰WEEKLY . 有温度、有情感、有趣味的新媒体。 一个时代。 记者丨卢伊 编辑丨段文 新媒体编辑|闫如意 来源 | 凤凰WEEKLY (ID:phoenixweekly) 80后的中年危机,来得格外的迅猛。 青山资本在年度消费报告《35岁,中国式中年》中指出,尽管全球范围内的中年危机往往在四五十岁才逐渐显现。 但在中国,随着产业结构、劳动者教育水平的高速变化,35岁以上的劳动力正在被市场出清。 无数政策优惠、就业求职、婚育观念等,也将35岁作为一道门槛,过之即弃。 "好像35岁有一道无形的门,走进去了便'隐入尘烟'。" 在这份报告推出的2024年,35岁有了更为具体的指代——他们出生于1989年,是80后中的最后一批。 尽管他们距离通常意义上的"中年"仍有一定距离,但当35岁成为迈入中年的新标准,这意味着: 整个80后群体已集体步入中年,提前直面来自职场、家庭和社会的中年危机。 80后,这是一个拥有2.2亿人口的庞大群体,他们是中国第一代独生子女,也是教育改革的试验品、东西方思想碰撞的产物。 中国社会科学院研究员沈杰曾指出,这代人出生在改革开放开启的80年代, ...
中国生育报告2024
泽平宏观· 2024-12-24 09:53
文:任泽平团队 导读 12月11日,中央经济工作会议在明年重点任务中提出"制定促进生育政策"。 11 月 27 日,国家卫生健康委召开会议落实国务院办公厅《关于加快完善生育支持政策体系推 动建设生育友好型社会的若干措施》,提出各地各部门要统筹谋划,推进各项政策措施落地见效。 这意味着生育支持体系将会加快构建。 自放开三孩以来,我国生育支持措施主要集中在经济支持、服务支持、时间支持、文化支持四 个方面。 1 )经济支持方面,提供个税抵扣和生育补贴。 2023 年个税专项扣除标准从 1000 元 / 孩 / 月 提高到 2000 元 / 孩 / 月;生育补贴方面,当前 23 个省份的近 60 个城市和地区探索实施生育补贴 制度。 考虑地方财力不足及人口流动的税收跨区贡献等因素,建议国家层面拿出 GDP 的 2% 以 上,作为生育补贴发放。 2 )服务支持方面,增加普惠托育服务供给 。 2020-2023 年千人托位数从 1.8 个增长至 3.4 个,已完成至目标的四分之三,但较法国 32.1 个、加拿大 15.5 个仍有较大提升空间。 3 )时间支持方面,延长各类生育相关假期,需探索成本共担机制。 延长男性陪产或 ...