今天，多元金融板块表现活跃。其中，拉卡拉领涨，翠微股份、鲁信创投、越秀资本均10cm左右涨停。其中，鲁信创投"一字"涨停，实现四连板。 在消息面上， 12月26日，据上交所网站消息，为了进一步规范科技型企业适用科创板第五套上市标准，更好支持尚未形成一定收入规模的优质商业火箭 企业适用第五套上市标准，加快推进商业航天创新发展、主动服务航天强国战略，上海证券交易所制定了《上海证券交易所发行上市审核规则适用指引第 9号——商业火箭企业适用科创板第五套上市标准》。 在岁末年初的交替阶段，A股市场迎来新"惊喜"。 12月29日，A股三大指数涨跌不一，沪指录得"9连阳"。截至12月26日，上证指数今年以来的最长连阳纪录是"8连阳"，共发生2次：一次发生在4月11日— 22日，另一次在8月4日—13日。 截至今天收盘，沪指涨0.04%，深成指跌0.49%，创业板指跌0.66%，北证50指数跌0.45%。沪深京三市成交21577亿元，较上一日缩量234亿元。 在板块题 材上，碳纤维、脑机接口、多元金融等板块涨幅居前。 01 多元金融板块表现活跃 业内人士表示， 商业航天产业的快速发展，将为碳纤维复合材料带来巨大市场空间。据不 ...

Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. Core Viewpoints of the Report The report comprehensively presents the overnight performance of the global financial and commodity markets, along with significant macro - economic and corporate news. It shows that geopolitical factors are affecting the energy market, and various industries such as metals, black - series, and agriculture are experiencing different trends due to factors like policy, production, and market demand. The financial market also shows a complex situation with the divergence of stock indices and fluctuations in different asset classes. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Overnight Night - Market Market Trends - The US crude oil main contract rose 1.92% to $57.83 per barrel, and Brent crude oil main contract rose 1.66% to $61.24 per barrel. Geopolitical issues and production decline in Kazakhstan drove up oil prices [5][43]. - Most London base metals declined, with LME lead and copper rising slightly, and LME tin falling 6.55% to $40010 per ton [5][43]. - Spot silver first broke through the $80 per ounce mark but then plunged, dragging down other precious metals. COMEX gold futures fell 4.45% to $4350.2 per ounce, and COMEX silver futures fell 7.2% to $71.64 per ounce [6][7]. - Domestic futures main contracts showed mixed performance, with some like asphalt rising and others like pulp falling [7]. Important News Macroeconomic News - The National Development and Reform Commission proposed to develop new - quality productivity in a coordinated manner [9]. - Trump said the US military's strike on a Venezuelan factory reduced drug trading by 97% [9]. - The Shanghai Export Container Settlement Freight Index (European route) rose 9.7% [10]. - Russia set the withdrawal of Ukrainian armed forces from the Donbass as a pre - condition for a truce [10]. - The State Administration for Market Regulation deployed key tasks for 2026, including anti - monopoly measures [11][12]. Energy and Chemical Futures - The start - up rate of China's LOW - E glass sample enterprises increased [14]. - A subsidiary of Boyuan Chemical decided to shut down due to continuous losses [14]. - The expected arrival of New Zealand coniferous logs at 13 Chinese ports increased significantly [14]. - Guyana's oil production in November rose to about 894,000 barrels per day [15]. Metal Futures - Yunnan Province plans to strengthen resource - based industries [17]. - Longpan Technology will conduct production line maintenance, reducing lithium iron phosphate output [19]. - The price of high - quality and battery - grade lithium carbonate decreased [19]. - UBS raised its gold price target for the first three quarters of 2026 [19]. - Environmental controls in some areas affected the aluminum market [19]. - Zinc mines in different regions had production changes [20]. - Chuanfa Longmang's projects were put into production or in trial production [20]. Black - Series Futures - Global iron ore shipments increased, while China's 47 - port and 45 - port arrivals decreased [22][24]. - Hebei steel mills lowered coke prices, starting the fourth round of price cuts [24]. - Tiansteel will conduct blast furnace maintenance [25]. Agricultural Product Futures - India's domestic sugar quota for January 2026 was set at 2.2 million tons, and the market is expected to be stable [27]. - China's domestic oil mills' soybean crushing volume remained high in December [27]. - The commercial inventory of soybean oil decreased, while that of palm oil increased [27]. - US soybean export data showed changes, and Brazil's soybean sowing rate was 97.9% [27][30]. Financial Market Finance - A - share indices were divergent, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising 0.04%, and the Shenzhen Component Index and ChiNext Index falling [32]. - Hong Kong stocks fell, with large - cap tech stocks generally declining [32]. - China's public - offering fund scale exceeded 37 trillion yuan in November [32]. - GSM, an electric mobility service provider in Vietnam, plans to list in Hong Kong [34]. Industry - The National Energy Administration emphasized the construction of charging infrastructure [35]. - The 2026 auto market growth is complex, with a possible January increase [35]. - Shenzhen proposed to adjust real - estate investment [35]. - Hong Kong's private housing prices rose in November [35]. - The price of imported GLP - 1 diet pills was halved [36]. - AI Agent is expected to be popularized in 2026 [36]. - The global memory industry's "super - cycle" is expected to last until 2027 [36]. Overseas - Trump criticized the Fed and considered suing Powell [38]. - Trump met with Zelensky, but no major announcements were made [38]. - The US government investigated large companies' DEI projects [38]. - US pending home sales rose in November [38]. - The Bank of Japan hinted at future interest - rate hikes [38]. - Most German business associations expect to lay off employees in 2026 [39]. - The ACCA will end online exams in March 2026 [39]. International Stock Markets - US stock indices fell, with AI - related stocks under pressure [40]. - European stock indices were mixed, with the German DAX and French CAC40 rising slightly, and the UK FTSE 100 falling slightly [42]. - Wall Street is optimistic about US stocks in 2026 [42]. - Intel bought back over 214.7 million shares worth $5 billion [42]. Commodities - Crude oil prices rose due to geopolitical factors [43]. - Most London base metals declined [43]. Bonds - China's bond market weakened, and long - term bonds were under pressure [44]. - The yield of treasury bond reverse repurchase in the Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges rose [44]. - The US federal debt exceeded $38.5 trillion, and the buyer structure changed [46]. - US bond yields fell [46]. Foreign Exchange - The on - shore RMB against the US dollar fell slightly, and the central parity rate rose [47]. - The US dollar index fell slightly, and non - US currencies showed mixed performance [47].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - The global economic and financial markets are experiencing significant fluctuations, with various industries showing different trends. For example, the metal market has seen extreme price swings, the energy market has supply - related changes, and the stock and bond markets have their own performance characteristics [4][10][30] - China is implementing a series of economic policies, such as tariff adjustments and promoting the development of digital RMB, which will have an impact on domestic and international trade and the financial system [2][15] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Macro Data - GDP in Q3 2025 grew by 4.8% year - on - year, slightly lower than the previous quarter's 5.2% [1] - In November 2025, the manufacturing PMI was 49.2%, and the non - manufacturing PMI for business activities was 49.5%, both showing certain trends compared to the previous month and the same period last year [1] - Social financing scale, M0, M1, M2, and other monetary indicators also had corresponding changes in November 2025 [1] Commodity Investment Comprehensive - From January 1, 2026, China will implement import provisional tax rates lower than the most - favored - nation rates for 935 commodities to enhance resource linkage and expand high - quality supply [2] - On December 29, 2025, 40 domestic commodity varieties had positive basis, and 26 had negative basis [2] Metal - Precious metals had a volatile "Black Monday". Silver first soared and then plunged, dragging down other precious metals. International and domestic metal prices and futures contracts showed significant declines [4][5] - On December 29, 2025, CME Group raised metal futures trading margins, triggering price drops [5] - In 2025, silver prices broke a 45 - year record and were higher than crude oil prices, driven by industrial and investment demand [5] Coal, Coke, Steel, and Ore - Bauxite miner Axis has filed a $29 billion claim against Guinea [9] Energy and Chemicals - U.S. refineries are expected to have capacity outages in the coming weeks, with the scale increasing [10] - India's oil imports from Russia in December 2025 are expected to exceed 1 million barrels per day [10] Agricultural Products - China's grain output in 2025 was 1.43 trillion jin, a 1.2% increase from the previous year, mainly due to the increase in corn production [12] - As of December 2025, the autumn grain purchase volume exceeded 200 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 32 million tons [13] Financial News Open Market - On December 29, 2025, the central bank conducted 482.3 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations, with a net investment of 415 billion yuan [14] Important News - The Chinese military conducted the "Justice Mission - 2025" exercise around Taiwan [15] - China will start to pay interest on digital RMB from January 1, 2026 [15] Bond Market - The bond market was generally weak, with treasury bond futures falling and bond yields rising [21] Foreign Exchange Market - The on - shore RMB against the US dollar closed at 7.0098 on December 29, 2025, down 13 points from the previous trading day [26] Research Report Highlights - Xingzheng Fixed Income believes that in the short term, the bond market carry strategy is relatively certain, and there is room for the repair of long - end bonds [27] - CITIC Securities suggests paying attention to high - grade state - owned enterprise perpetual bonds in industries such as public utilities, transportation, and construction [27] Stock Market - A - shares showed a divergence between large and small indexes. The Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.04%, while the Shenzhen Component Index and the ChiNext Index fell [30] - Hong Kong stocks fluctuated, with the Hang Seng Index falling 0.71% [30]

英大证券研究所证券研究报告 金 点 策 略 晨 报 2025 年 12 月 30 日 沪指九连阳后或有惯性上冲，获利盘了结需求也在积累 观点： 总量视角 【A 股大势研判】 周一 A 股市场震荡分化，沪指险守 9 连阳。早盘三大指数涨跌不一，沪指震 荡上扬，创业板指翻红后再度回落；午后沪指一度回升，但深成指与创业板指走 低翻绿带动市场承压，三大指数随小幅下行，不过尾盘略有回升，最终沪指顽强 收红险守 9 连阳。两市全天成交额突破 2 万亿。 近期市场缓步上行得益于全球流动性担忧的缓解、政策利好及汇率改善的多 重驱动。另外，成交额实现温和释放，市场活跃度提升。根据历史经验，出现类 似连阳走势后，市场往往仍有惯性上冲的余力。不过结合当前市场表现，还是需 要警惕风险：其一，连阳之后，获利盘了结需求逐步累积，大概率会引发阶段性 调整；其二，上周五至周一，市场盘中多次出现跳水波动，这一信号表明短期上 行后，上方抛压已有所加大，市场短期承压明显。 对于市场而言，政策面的刺激无疑是重要的期待点，但结合此前重要会议释 放的信号来看，增量政策的出台大概率集中在春节前后，短期内政策面难以出现 超预期的利好支撑，这也在一定程度上限 ...

Market Overview - A-shares experienced a pullback after an initial rise, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing up 0.04% at 3,965 points, marking a nine-day winning streak, while the Shenzhen Component and ChiNext Index fell by 0.49% and 0.66% respectively[15] - The Hang Seng Index declined by 0.71% to 25,635 points, with major tech stocks like Alibaba dropping 1.8%[10] - The KOSPI index in South Korea rose by 2.2% to 4,220 points, leading gains in the Asia-Pacific region[20] Economic Predictions for China - In 2026, China's macroeconomic growth is expected to be driven by domestic demand recovery, with investment shifting from total pressure to structural optimization[5] - Export growth is anticipated to remain resilient, supported by easing US-China relations and diversified market deployments, contributing to a moderate appreciation of the RMB[5] Commodity and Forex Market - Gold and silver prices fell by 4.5% and 8.7% respectively after reaching new highs, while copper prices hit a historical peak due to supply concerns[26] - International crude oil prices rose over 2%, with WTI crude oil reaching $58.08 per barrel[26] Fixed Income Market - Global focus on geopolitical developments has led to increased risk aversion, with European bond markets showing significant gains and US Treasury yields slightly rising[4] - The yield on 10-year US Treasuries decreased by approximately 1.8 basis points to 4.11%[29] Sector Performance - In the US market, technology stocks are expected to yield a reasonable target of 20% returns in 2026, driven by EPS growth despite potential market volatility[8] - The carbon fiber sector is projected to benefit from the booming commercial aerospace industry, with companies like Jilin Chemical Fiber and Guangwei Composite expected to gain[18]

[Table_Title] 万联晨会 [Table_MeetReportDate] 2025 年 12 月 30 日 星期二 市 场 研 究 [Table_Summary] 概览 核心观点 【市场回顾】 周一 A 股三大指数涨跌不一，截止收盘，沪指收涨 0.04%，深成指收 跌 0.49%，创业板指收跌 0.66%。沪深两市成交额 21392.07 亿元。申 万行业方面，石油石化、国防军工、银行领涨，有色金属、公用事业、 电力设备领跌；概念板块方面，PEEK 材料、碳纤维、兵装重组概念领 涨，乳业、盐湖堤锂、DRG/DIP 领跌。港股方面，恒生指数收跌 0.71%， 恒生科技指数收跌 0.3%；海外方面，美国三大指数集体收跌，道指收 跌 0.51%，标普 500 收跌 0.35%，纳指收跌 0.5%。 【重要新闻】 【我国明年将调整部分商品关税税率税目】国务院关税税则委员会12 月 29 日对外发布《2026 年关税调整方案》，将自 2026 年 1 月 1 日起 实施。根据方案，为增强国内国际两个市场两种资源的联动效应，扩 大优质商品供给，明年我国将对 935 项商品实施低于最惠国税率的进 口暂定税率。优化 ...

12月29日，三大指数涨跌不一，沪指微涨走出九连阳，创业板指一度跌超1%。沪深两市成交额2.14万亿，较上一个交易日缩量209 亿。盘面上，全市场超3300只个股下跌。截至收盘，沪指涨0.04%，深成指跌0.49%，创业板指跌0.66%。 | 大涨板块 | 251229 (周1) | 251226 (周5) | 251225 (周4) | 251224 (周3) | 251223 (周2) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1 | 航天30 | 航天29 | 航天42 | 玩天37 | 锂电池8 | | 2 | 机器人22 | 海南自由贸易港8 | 机器人24 | 福建自贸/海西概念11 | 液冷服务器7 | | 3 | 碳纤维4 | 锂电池16 | 造纸4 | 液冷服务器3 | 海南自由贸易港5 | | 4 | 数字人民币3 | 黄金3 | 跨境支付3 | 国产芯片5 | PCB板4 | | ર્ | 云计算数据中心4 | 光伏7 | 西部大开发3 | 光通信8 | 有色 · 钨2 | | 6 | ST股14 | ST股10 | ST股15 | ST股10 ...

每经记者｜肖芮冬 每经编辑｜赵云 3.单日债基涨跌幅榜 | 证券代码 | 证券间称 | 单日净值增长率(%) | 近1周回报(%) | 今年以来回报(%) | 基金经理(现任) | 基金规模(乙元) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 004005.OF | 东方民丰回报赢安A | 1.35 | 6.47 | 14.46 | 徐奥干 | 0.02 | | 015315.OF | 富国汇享三个月定开A | 0.97 | 2.09 | 2.18 | 吕春杰,李金柳 | 8.81 | | 007161.OF | 南方恒庆一年定开 | 0.94 | 1.4 | 2.81 | 黄河 | 46.64 | | 015211.OF | 招商安鼎平衡1年持有A | 0.75 | 3.04 | 10.7 | 王刚,王景绰 | 0.59 | | 519622.OF | 银河君怡纯债 | 0.63 | 0.82 | 1.91 | 蒋磊 | 8.99 | | 018250.OF | 华泰保兴科睿一年持有A | 0.62 | 1.36 | -2.96 | 周咏梅,黄俊卿 | 0 ...

商业航天概念延续强势，神剑股份8连板，金风科技、雷科防务等十余股涨停。碳纤维概念表现活跃， 吉林化纤、和顺科技双双涨停。（中经实习记者 孙小琴 记者 夏欣 北京报道） 【沪指实现"九连阳" 商业航天、人形机器人概念延续强势上涨态势】12月29日，三大指数涨跌不一， 沪指微涨走出九连阳，创业板指一度跌超1%。沪深两市成交额2.14万亿元，较上一个交易日缩量209亿 元。盘面上，全市场超3300只个股下跌。 从板块来看，机器人概念午后反复活跃，步科股份20cm涨停创历史新高，五洲新春、模塑科技等多股 涨停。 ...

Group 1: Metal Futures and Market Impact - Recent rapid increases in precious and industrial metal futures prices have led to heightened volatility risks, prompting the CME Group to raise margin requirements for trading metals including gold, silver, palladium, and lithium [1] - The new margin requirements, effective after the close of trading on the upcoming Monday, include a 10% increase for gold futures, approximately 13.6% for silver, and 23% for platinum [1] - Following the announcement, international metal futures prices experienced multiple rounds of declines, with gold prices falling below the $4500 per ounce mark, closing at $4497.9 per ounce, a decrease of 1.20% [1] Group 2: AI and Investment Insights - Jinglin Asset Management, a major private equity firm, has indicated that 2026 may mark the true beginning of the widespread adoption of AI Agents [1] Group 3: Fund and Market Adjustments - Guotou Silver LOF announced a temporary suspension of trading on December 30, 2025, to protect investor interests, with the possibility of extending the suspension if market price premiums do not decrease [2] Group 4: Airline Fuel Charges - Starting January 5, 2026, domestic airlines in China will reduce the fuel surcharge for passenger transport, with fees decreasing by 10 yuan for flights under 800 kilometers and 20 yuan for longer flights [3] Group 5: Energy and Technology Developments - The first 30MW pure hydrogen gas turbine has successfully achieved stable operation, marking a significant advancement in hydrogen power generation technology [3] - The Chinese government has confirmed the continuation of the "national subsidy" for consumer goods, which has significantly boosted the sales of mid-to-high-end products in recent years [4] Group 6: Corporate Changes and Developments - Financial adjustments include the appointment of Bi Chunhui as the deputy director of the research institute at Zheshang Securities [5] - Zero Run Technology's CEO confirmed that the company will maintain control by the founding team despite the investment from FAW [6] - China Software plans to sell 555 X86 servers and two properties to optimize idle assets [7] Group 7: Market Transactions and Contracts - Financial services firm Caitong Securities has received approval from the China Securities Regulatory Commission to publicly issue bonds totaling up to 150 billion yuan [8] - Southeast Network Frame has won an EPC project worth 8.87 billion yuan [11] - Shanxi Expressway intends to acquire a 15% stake in Shanxi Transportation Development Group for 74.8 million yuan [12] - Rima Precision's subsidiary has been designated as a supplier for a new energy vehicle project, with expected sales of approximately 1.342 billion yuan over its lifecycle [13] - Nankuang Group signed a 3 billion yuan equipment procurement contract for iron ore processing [14] - Guangdong Yuedian A's Dapu Power Plant's second phase has successfully commenced commercial operations [15] - China Energy Construction's subsidiary has won an EPC project worth approximately 6.864 billion yuan [16] Group 8: Stock Market Updates - ST Dongtong's stock will resume trading on December 30, 2025, entering a delisting preparation period [17] - The Shanghai Composite Index recorded a slight increase, marking a nine-day rise, while the Shenzhen Component Index experienced a decline [18][19]