Industry Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained at "Outperform" [1] Core Insights - High-growth companies in ride-hailing, digital freight, and instant delivery platforms are expected to deliver significant returns, with business volume and revenue growth around 20% and operating profits increasing substantially [3][4] - As competition stabilizes, operating leverage will lead to greater growth in operating profits, with companies like Manbang Group and Meituan projected to see substantial profit increases in 2024 [4][5] - The rising penetration rates in ride-hailing, digital freight, and instant delivery are expected to drive revenue and gross profit growth of approximately 30% for leading companies in 2024 [5] Summary by Sections Growth Logic - Revenue growth and declining expense ratios are key drivers for profit growth, with companies like Manbang Group benefiting from rapid revenue increases and improved monetization rates [14][17] - The report highlights that the faster the revenue growth and the quicker the expense ratio declines, the more significant the profit growth potential [16] High Growth in Leading Companies - In 2024, leading companies in ride-hailing, freight platforms, and instant delivery are expected to see high growth in operating profits, with Didi Chuxing turning profitable [19][23] - The operating profit growth rates for these companies are significantly higher than their gross profit growth rates, indicating effective cost management [23] Operating Leverage - The report notes that the increase in operating profit growth is due to a decrease in sales, management, and R&D expense ratios, showcasing the effect of operating leverage [28][31] - As leading companies solidify their market positions, their expense ratios are expected to stabilize, further enhancing profit margins [28][46] Revenue and Market Penetration - The revenue growth for leading companies is primarily driven by increases in business volume, with many companies outpacing industry growth rates [39][41] - The rising market penetration rates in various segments, such as ride-hailing and digital freight, are contributing to revenue growth exceeding overall market growth [44] Monetization Rates - Manbang Group's monetization rate is on the rise, which is expected to accelerate revenue growth compared to competitors whose monetization rates are stabilizing [49]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with an expected relative return of over 20% within the next six months [8][19]. Core Views - The company has shown significant growth in Q1 2025, with a year-over-year increase in net profit attributable to shareholders of 47% and a 28% increase in net profit excluding non-recurring items [1][2]. - The company is expected to benefit from operational leverage as it continues to expand its network of learning centers, which increased from over 240 to over 300 in 2024, covering more than 100 cities [4][5]. - The education sector remains in a growth phase, particularly for high school education, with a projected growth period of about ten years due to the stable population of high school-age students [5][6]. Financial Performance Summary - For the full year 2024, the company anticipates revenue of 2.8 billion yuan, a 26% year-over-year increase, and a net profit of 180 million yuan, a 17% increase [1]. - The gross margin for 2024 is projected to be 35%, slightly down by 1.9 percentage points year-over-year, primarily due to the costs associated with network expansion and an increase in teaching staff [1]. - The company has a target net profit of 261.35 million yuan for 2025, reflecting a 45.45% increase compared to 2024 [7][14]. Shareholder Returns - The company announced a share buyback plan of 110 to 150 million yuan, with a maximum price of 66.8 yuan per share, aimed at equity incentives and potential cancellation of shares [3][6]. Industry Context - The company is focusing its resources on educational training and vocational education, having terminated a project related to higher vocational education to enhance operational efficiency [6]. - The competitive landscape favors leading national brands in the education sector, which are expected to benefit from their established brand strength during the recovery phase of the industry [5][6].

证券研究报告 2025年04月27日 行业报告 | 行业专题研究 分析师 陈金海 SAC执业证书编号：S1110521060001 联系人 李宁 请务必阅读正文之后的信息披露和免责申明 1 行业评级： 上次评级： 强于大市 强于大市 维持 （ 评级） 交通运输 摘要 交运平台高增长，进入利润兑现期 ⚫ 估值相对低位，发掘成长公司 作者： ⚫ 经营杠杆，利润进入兑现期 随着竞争格局稳定，销售、管理、研发费用维持稳定，毛利润增长有望带动营业利润更大 幅度增长。2024年满帮集团、美团、顺丰同城的营业利润成倍增长，未来或持续较快增长。 ⚫ 渗透率上升，毛利持续增长 网约车、网络货运、即时配送的渗透率上升，带动满帮集团、美团、顺丰同城等公司2024 年营收和毛利润30%左右增长。满帮集团的变现率上升，2024年毛利润增速42%。 风险提示：公路运价下跌风险，市场竞争加剧风险，监管要求降低佣金率风险 请务必阅读正文之后的信息披露和免责申明 2 1.1 聚焦交运高成长板块 高成长公司带来高回报机会。新兴的网约车、数字货运、即时配送等平台头部公司，业务 量和收入增速20%左右，营业利润成倍增长。随着新能源汽车普及、智能驾驶 ...

"七巨头"（简称Mag-7）约占标普500指数总市值的三分之一，一直是近期季度盈利增长的主要贡献者。在 2023年，S&P 500的盈利增长为4.1%，但如果排除Mag-7所带来的盈利增长，增长率则跌至-1.3%。 尽管 Mag-7有望持续增长，但我们预计未来盈利增长将进一步扩展到指数中的其他成分股（即"S&P 493"）。 这 一趋势已经在2024年第四季度初露端倪。 Tajinder Dhillon LSEG理柏管理 基本面研究负责人 具体而言，2024年Mag-7的盈利增长高达33.4%，相比之下，整体S&P 500指数的增长率仅为10.0%。当我 们将Mag-7的盈利增长排除在外，整体指数的增长率则下降至5.2%。 展望2025年，Mag-7的盈利增长预计 为18.6%，依然强劲，而整体指数的增长率预计为14.1%。然而， 若将Mag-7的盈利增长排除在外，整体指 数的增长率也仅下降至13.0%。 换言之，在2024年，Mag-7对S&P 500指数盈利增长的贡献率达到了约 57%。这一贡献率预计将在2025年有所回调，下降至约28%。如果我们将英伟达（Nvidia）排除在外， Mag-7对S&P 5 ...