Group 1 - The adjustment of the evaluation mechanism for primary dealers is a crucial part of the transformation of the monetary policy framework, with the People's Bank of China (PBOC) first establishing primary dealers in 1996 and implementing a regular evaluation system in 2004 [4] - The newly revised evaluation indicators emphasize the requirements for monetary policy transmission, significantly simplifying the number of indicators while enhancing the importance of both money market transmission and bond market making [4] - The evaluation mechanism maintains a focus on compliance and sound operational practices, with institutions exhibiting improper behavior during the evaluation period facing suspension of their dealer qualifications [5] Group 2 - The evaluation method is now more scientific and fair, categorizing different types of institutions for assessment, which helps to enhance the diversity of primary dealers and better support the central bank's macro-control and policy transmission [5] - The PBOC's adjustments to the evaluation indicators are designed to better serve the transformation of the monetary policy framework, reflecting the evolving needs of the market [4] - The 2025 primary dealer list will remain unchanged, providing a transition period for institutions to adapt and adjust to the new evaluation criteria [5]

◇ 本文原载《债券》2025年7月刊 摘 要 ◇ 作者：上海农商银行金融市场部总经理 张天海 上海农商银行金融市场部高级交易员 金天立 上海农商银行金融市场部头寸管理岗 骆映希 我国货币政策框架顺应经济发展阶段，从以数量型调控为主逐步转向数量型与价格型调控并行。2024年，我国货币政策框架加速转 型，明确了7天期逆回购操作利率的政策利率地位，在适度收窄利率走廊的同时，进一步丰富了货币政策工具体系。对于债券市场 而言，货币政策框架转型后，短期市场波动幅度有所收窄，由交易行为引发的非理性定价得到纠正，政策利率成为银行等机构的定 价基准。展望未来，货币政策框架转型将有助于引导债券市场合理定价，调节国债交易活跃度，为利率上行期储备政策工具，助力 我国债券市场对外开放。 货币政策 转型 价格型调控 定价基准 关键词 货币政策是宏观调控的重要组成部分，其框架必然随着内外部宏观经济环境的变化和经济发展阶段的跃迁而适时调整优化。参考海 外经验，21世纪以来，美国为应对经济增长挑战，先后实施了四轮量化宽松（QE）政策；日本通过QE、质化量化宽松（QQE）及 收益率曲线控制（YCC）等政策应对通缩压力。当前，我国经济正处于新旧动 ...

1. Market Data Summary Interest Rates - DRO01 closed at 1.37 with a 0.29bp increase; DR007 at 1.49 with a 5.00bp decrease; GC001 at 1.45 with a 16.50bp increase; GC007 at 1.59 with a 3.00bp increase; SHBOR 3M at 1.63 with a 0.10bp decrease; LPR 5-year at 3.50 with a 10.00bp decrease; 1-year treasury at 1.36 with a 0.99bp decrease; 5-year treasury at 1.51 with a 0.39bp decrease; 10-year treasury at 1.64 with a 0.32bp decrease; 10-year US treasury at 4.38 with no change [4] Stock Indexes - CSI 300 closed at 3847 with a 0.09% increase; SSE 50 at 2674 with a 0.31% increase; CSI 500 at 5640 with a 0.66% decrease; CSI 1000 at 6000 with a 0.80% decrease; IF current month at 3804 with a 0.2% increase; IH current month at 2637 with a 0.6% increase; IC current month at 5588 with a 0.5% decrease; IM current month with a 0.6% decrease [6] Trading Volume and Open Interest - IF trading volume was 93277 with a 20.6% decrease, open interest 213382 with a 12.2% decrease; IH trading volume 54538 with a 4.2% decrease, open interest 72451 with a 13.3% decrease; IC trading volume 95848 with a 9.5% decrease, open interest 208030 with a 8.7% decrease; IM trading volume 211961 with a 7.2% decrease, open interest 307602 with a 8.6% decrease [6] A-share Market - Last week, CSI 300 fell 0.45% to 3846.6, SSE 50 fell 0.1% to 2673.7, CSI 500 fell 1.75% to 5639.5, CSI 1000 fell 1.74% to 5999.6. Among Shenwan primary industry indexes, only banking (2.6%), communication (1.6%), and electronics (1%) rose, while textile and apparel (-5.1%), pharmaceutical biology (-4.4%), non-ferrous metals (-3.6%), social services (-3.3%), and agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry and fishery (-3.1%) led the decline. A-share daily trading volumes were 11575 billion yuan, 11524 billion yuan, 11390 billion yuan, 11920 billion yuan, 10153 billion yuan respectively, with the average daily trading volume decreasing by 1422.5 billion yuan compared to the previous week. As of June 19, A-share margin trading balance was 18154.6 billion yuan, an increase of 42.1 billion yuan from the previous week [6] Futures Contracts' Premium and Discount - IF premium/discount: current month expired, next month 15.42%, current quarter 0.02%, next quarter 5.35%; IH premium/discount: current month expired, next month 19.38%, current quarter 5.88%, next quarter 3.06%; IC premium/discount: current month expired, next month 12.72%, current quarter 11.31%, next quarter 9.69%; IM premium/discount: current month expired, next month 15.16%, current quarter 14.48%, next quarter 12.85% [8] 2. Central Bank Operations - Last week, the central bank conducted 960.3 billion yuan of reverse repurchase operations, with 858.2 billion yuan of reverse repurchase and 182 billion yuan of MLF maturing. So, the net withdrawal was 79.9 billion yuan. This week, 960.3 billion yuan of reverse repurchase will mature, with 242 billion yuan, 197.3 billion yuan, 156.3 billion yuan, 203.5 billion yuan, 161.2 billion yuan maturing from Monday to Friday respectively. Also, 100 billion yuan of treasury cash fixed deposit will mature on Monday [4][5] 3. Policy and Geopolitical Situation - The central bank governor said that in the past year, the central bank adhered to a prudent monetary policy stance, implemented multiple measures from multiple dimensions such as quantity, price, and structure to support economic recovery and maintain financial market stability. The central bank also worked on improving the monetary policy framework, and the transformation is an ongoing process that will be continuously evaluated and improved [5] - The Israel-Iran conflict continues to intensify, with the US attacking three Iranian nuclear facilities on June 21. Iran confirmed the attacks, and the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps vowed to strike US interests in the Middle East, and the Strait of Hormuz may be closed. Due to weak domestic fundamentals, policy vacuum, and intensified overseas geopolitical disturbances, the stock index is expected to be weak and volatile in the short term. Options can be used to hedge macro risks [7]

Report Summary 1. Core View - The central bank maintains a prudent monetary policy stance, using various tools to keep the liquidity of the banking system abundant. The transformation of the monetary policy framework is an ongoing process that will be continuously evaluated and improved [4]. - The 2025 Lujiazui Forum focuses on the long - term development of the financial market, with limited short - term boost to the capital market. The domestic factors driving the stock index are weak, and overseas uncertainties remain. The stock index is expected to be weakly volatile in the short term [6]. 2. Market Data Summary 2.1 Macro - financial Data - Interest rates: DRO01 closed at 1.37 with a - 0.06bp change; DR007 at 1.54 with a 1.75bp change; GC001 at 1.28 with a - 34.50bp change; GC007 at 1.56 with a - 8.00bp change; SHBOR 3M at 1.63 with no change; LPR 5 - year at 3.50 with a - 10.00bp change. Bond yields: 1 - year treasury at 1.36 with a 0.25bp change; 5 - year treasury at 1.48 with a 0.45bp change; 10 - year treasury at 1.64 with a 0.50bp change; 10 - year US treasury at 0.00 with a - 1.00bp change [3]. - Central bank operations: The central bank conducted 2035 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations, with 1193 billion yuan of reverse repurchases maturing, resulting in a net injection of 842 billion yuan [3]. - This week, 8582 billion yuan of reverse repurchases are due in the central bank's open - market operations, with 2025 billion yuan due on Friday [4]. 2.2 Stock Index Data - Index closing prices: CSI 300 closed at 3843, down 0.82%; SSE 50 at 2666, down 0.54%; CSI 500 at 5677, down 1.20%; CSI 1000 at 6048, down 1.42%. Futures closing prices: IF当月 at 3840, down 0.8%; IH当月 at 2659, down 0.7%; IC当月 at 5678, down 1.0%; IM当月 at 6050, down 1.2% [5]. - Trading volume and open interest: IF trading volume was 117508, up 11.2%; IF open interest was 242993, up 2.0%; IH trading volume was 56937, up 17.6%; IH open interest was 83607, up 2.8%; IC trading volume was 105878, up 19.0%; IC open interest was 227844, up 4.0%; IM trading volume was 228414, up 21.4%; IM open interest was 336516, up 4.5% [5]. - The total trading volume of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets was 12506 billion yuan, an increase of 596 billion yuan from the previous day. Most industry sectors declined, while the mining, petroleum, and gas industries strengthened [5]. 2.3 Futures Contract Premium and Discount - IF: The premium and discount rates for the current - month, next - month, current - quarter, and next - quarter contracts were 25.56%, 14.64%, 7.96%, and 5.59% respectively [7]. - IH: The premium and discount rates for the current - month, next - month, current - quarter, and next - quarter contracts were 86.54%, 21.40%, 7.13%, and 3.69% respectively [7]. - IC: The premium and discount rates for the current - month, next - month, current - quarter, and next - quarter contracts were - 6.23%, 13.18%, 12.05%, and 10.35% respectively [7]. - IM: The premium and discount rates for the current - month, next - month, current - quarter, and next - quarter contracts were - 13.13%, 16.03%, 15.89%, and 13.75% respectively [7]. 3. Event Summary - The 2025 Lujiazui Forum focused on promoting financial opening and enhancing the support of the financial market to industries, but did not significantly address further monetary policy tightening or equity market rescue tools [6].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core Viewpoints - The central bank uses medium - and short - term liquidity management tools to maintain sufficient liquidity in the banking system. The transformation of the monetary policy framework is a gradual process and will be continuously evaluated and improved [4] - The LuJiaZui Forum focuses on the long - term development of the financial market, with limited short - term boost to the capital market. Domestic factors have weak driving force on stock indices, and overseas uncertainties remain. Stock indices are expected to oscillate weakly in the short term [6] 3. Summary According to Related Content 3.1 Macro - financial Data - **Interest Rates**: DRO01 closed at 1.37 with a - 0.06bp change, DR007 at 1.53 with a 0.40bp change, GC001 at 1.63 with a - 7.00bp change, GC007 at 1.64 with a 2.00bp change, SHBOR 3M at 1.63 with a - 0.40bp change, LPR 5 - year at 3.50 with a - 10.00bp change, 1 - year treasury at 1.36 with a - 1.00bp change, 5 - year treasury at 1.47 with a 0.25bp change, 10 - year treasury at 1.64 with a 0.50bp change, and 10 - year US treasury at 0.00 with a - 7.00bp change [3] - **Central Bank Operations**: The central bank conducted 1563 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations at an interest rate of 1.40% yesterday. With 1640 billion yuan of reverse repurchases maturing, the net withdrawal was 77 billion yuan. This week, 8582 billion yuan of reverse repurchases are due, with 1193 billion and 2025 billion maturing on Thursday and Friday respectively [3][4] 3.2 Stock Index Data - **Index Performance**: The CSI 300 rose 0.12% to 3875, the SSE 50 fell 0.15% to 2680, the CSI 500 fell 0.09% to 5746, and the CSI 1000 fell 0.10% to 6135. The trading volume of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets was 11911 billion yuan, a decrease of 161 billion yuan from the previous day. Industry sectors had more decliners than gainers [5] - **Futures Contracts**: IF volume increased 10.5% to 105667, and its open interest increased 0.2% to 238264; IH volume decreased 4.4% to 48430, and its open interest decreased 1.5% to 81317; IC volume increased 3.0% to 88945, and its open interest increased 0.4% to 219162; IM volume increased 4.6% to 188199, and its open interest decreased 2.4% to 321988 [5] - **Premium and Discount**: IF premium and discount rates were 13.05% for the current - month contract, 13.74% for the next - month contract, 7.43% for the current - quarter contract, and 5.22% for the next - quarter contract; similar data were provided for IH, IC, and IM contracts [7] 3.3 LuJiaZui Forum - The 2025 LuJiaZui Forum focused on promoting financial opening and enhancing the financial market's support for industries. It had limited short - term impact on the capital market, and expectations for further monetary policy easing and equity market rescue tools were not met [6]

Group 1: Global Financial Governance - The People's Bank of China emphasizes active participation in improving global financial governance amid challenges to the US dollar's dominance[1] - The report identifies four key issues: international monetary system, cross-border payment system, global financial stability system, and governance of international financial organizations[2] - The international monetary system may evolve towards a few competing sovereign currencies due to inherent instability in a single sovereign currency system[2] Group 2: Financial Regulation and Policy - Challenges in global financial stability include fragmented regulatory frameworks and insufficient oversight in emerging areas like digital finance[2] - The report advocates for a robust global financial safety net centered around the International Monetary Fund to maintain regulatory consistency[2] - Future monetary policy will focus on gradual transformation and innovation in structural monetary policy tools in Shanghai[3] Group 3: Capital Market Development - The financial regulatory authority plans to replicate successful practices from free trade zones to enhance foreign investment participation in financial services[5] - Emphasis on improving the capital market's inclusivity and adaptability to support technological and industrial innovation[6] - Five measures proposed to deepen capital market reforms include enhancing the role of the Sci-Tech Innovation Board and fostering long-term capital[6] Group 4: Foreign Exchange Management - The report highlights the importance of a stable foreign exchange market for high-quality economic development, with measures to monitor cross-border capital flows[7] - Policies to support high-quality development include enhancing foreign exchange services for key sectors and establishing evaluation mechanisms for foreign exchange management[8]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the opening of the 2025 Lujiazui Forum and highlights key financial opening measures announced by the Governor of the People's Bank of China, Pan Gongsheng, aimed at enhancing Shanghai's status as an international financial center. Group 1: Financial Opening Measures - Eight financial opening measures were announced, including the establishment of an interbank market trading report library, a digital RMB international operation center, and a personal credit institution in Shanghai [2] - Additional measures include offshore trade financial service pilot programs, development of offshore bonds, optimization of free trade account functions, and innovation in structural monetary policy tools [2][3] Group 2: Currency and Payment Systems - The RMB has become the second-largest trade financing currency globally and the third-largest payment currency [4] - China has established a multi-channel, widely covered RMB cross-border payment clearing network, addressing issues in traditional cross-border payment systems [5] Group 3: Technological Advancements - New technologies such as blockchain and distributed ledger technology are accelerating the development of central bank digital currencies and stablecoins, reshaping traditional payment systems and posing challenges for financial regulation [6] Group 4: Global Economic Oversight - Major international financial organizations should enhance their economic oversight functions and guide countries to support economic globalization [7] - The People's Bank of China has signed bilateral currency swap agreements with over 30 countries and regions, contributing to the global financial safety net [8] Group 5: IMF and Global Financial Governance - The current IMF quota distribution does not reflect the relative positions of member countries in the global economy, and adjustments are necessary for legitimacy and representation [9] Group 6: Monetary Policy Framework - The transformation of the monetary policy framework is a gradual and ongoing process, with the People's Bank of China implementing supportive measures to stabilize the economy and financial markets [10]

Group 1 - The People's Bank of China announced the establishment of an interbank market trading report database to collect and analyze trading data across various financial sub-markets, including bonds, currency, derivatives, gold, and bills, aimed at serving financial institutions, macroeconomic regulation, and market supervision [1][3] - The introduction of eight significant financial opening measures, including the establishment of a digital RMB international operation center to promote the internationalization of digital currency and financial market business development [3][4] - The establishment of a personal credit institution to provide diversified credit products for financial institutions, enhancing the social credit system [3][4] Group 2 - The launch of offshore trade finance service reform pilot in Shanghai's Lingang New Area to innovate business rules and support offshore trade development [3][4] - Development of offshore bonds following international standards to broaden financing channels for enterprises involved in the Belt and Road Initiative [3][4] - Upgrading the functions of free trade accounts to facilitate efficient capital flow between quality enterprises and foreign funds, enhancing the liberalization of cross-border trade and investment [3][4] Group 3 - Implementation of innovative structural monetary policy tools in Shanghai, including blockchain credit refinancing and cross-border trade refinancing, to support private equity institutions in issuing technology innovation bonds [4] - Collaboration with the China Securities Regulatory Commission to promote RMB foreign exchange futures trading, improving the product series in the foreign exchange market [4][5] - The establishment of a comprehensive RMB cross-border payment clearing network, enhancing the efficiency and security of the cross-border payment system [5][7] Group 4 - The total assets of foreign banks and insurance institutions in China exceed 7 trillion yuan, with all business lines showing good growth [7] - The Financial Regulatory Administration is promoting pilot projects for financial asset investment companies and exploring new paths for technology finance development [7][8] - China leads globally in green credit scale, with significant market sizes in green bonds and green insurance [7]

Key Points - The 2025 Lujiazui Forum opened on June 18, with the People's Bank of China Governor Pan Gongsheng announcing eight significant financial opening measures [1] - Establishment of an interbank market trading report database to analyze trading data across various financial sub-markets [1] - Creation of a digital RMB international operation center to promote the internationalization of digital RMB and support financial market innovation [1] - Establishment of a personal credit agency to provide diversified credit products for financial institutions, enhancing the social credit system [1] - Launch of offshore trade finance service reform pilot in Shanghai's Lingang New Area to support offshore trade development [1] - Development of offshore bonds in free trade zones to broaden financing channels for enterprises involved in the Belt and Road Initiative [1] - Optimization of free trade account functions to enhance cross-border trade and investment facilitation [1] - Innovation in structural monetary policy tools in Shanghai, including blockchain credit refinancing and cross-border trade refinancing [2][3] - Discussion on the evolution of the international monetary system and the potential for a multi-polar currency landscape [4][5] - The SDR (Special Drawing Rights) is proposed as a potential international reserve currency, but faces challenges in political consensus and market depth [5] - The RMB has become the second-largest trade financing currency globally and ranks third in the IMF SDR currency basket [5] - China's banking system has met all standards for total loss-absorbing capacity, ensuring stability in the financial sector [6][9] - A comprehensive cross-border payment clearing network for RMB has been established, enhancing the efficiency and security of cross-border transactions [6] - The application of new technologies like blockchain in cross-border payments is reshaping traditional payment systems [6] - Regulatory oversight of non-bank intermediaries is highlighted as an area needing improvement due to rising leverage and opacity [7] - The need for unified standards in the application of artificial intelligence in finance is emphasized [8] - The People's Bank of China has signed bilateral currency swap agreements with over 30 countries, contributing to the global financial safety net [9]

Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) has maintained a supportive monetary policy stance over the past year, implementing various measures to support economic recovery and stabilize financial markets [1] Group 1: Monetary Policy Measures - The PBOC has introduced multiple monetary policy measures focusing on quantity, price, and structure to effectively support the ongoing economic recovery [1] - The transformation of the monetary policy framework is a gradual and continuous process, with ongoing assessments and improvements planned for the future [1] Group 2: Policy Framework Optimization - Efforts are being made to optimize the monetary policy framework, enhance the efficiency of monetary policy transmission, and cultivate policy interest rates [1] - The PBOC aims to enrich its toolbox of monetary policy instruments and improve policy communication and expectation management [1]