Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index is constrained by the March high of 24,874 points, with expectations of new financial policies from mainland China to stabilize the market, including reserve requirement ratio cuts and interest rate reductions [2] - The recent US-China trade negotiations have led to a temporary reduction in tariffs, with US tariffs on Chinese imports dropping from 145% to 30%, and Chinese tariffs on US goods decreasing from 125% to 10% for a 90-day period [2][3] - The Hang Seng Index's valuation has returned to reasonable levels, requiring significant positive developments in trade agreements and corporate earnings improvements to maintain upward momentum [2] Sector Focus - The report highlights a positive outlook for sectors such as financial stocks, automotive parts, and gold mining stocks, driven by recent developments in trade agreements and geopolitical factors [7][8] - The automotive sector in mainland China saw a year-on-year sales increase of 11.2% in May, with new energy vehicle sales rising by 36.9% [9] Company News - Horizon Robotics plans to raise approximately HKD 47 billion through a share placement at a discount of nearly 7% [10] - Kintor Pharmaceutical is preparing for an IPO in Hong Kong, aiming to raise around USD 100 million [10] - Pop Mart has expanded its production capacity but still faces supply shortages due to high demand for its products [11] - JD Logistics is expanding its operations in Saudi Arabia, having recruited over a thousand staff for its logistics services [10] - Alibaba is focusing on re-establishing its leadership in the technology sector, emphasizing AI and cloud infrastructure as key strategic pillars [10] Economic Indicators - The US Consumer Price Index (CPI) for May showed a year-on-year increase of 2.4%, with core CPI rising by 0.1% month-on-month, indicating that tariffs have not yet significantly impacted overall inflation levels [8] - The Federal Reserve is expected to maintain interest rates, with projections indicating two rate cuts totaling 0.5% for the year [4][8]

Core Insights - The report highlights the performance of the Hong Kong stock market, with the Hang Seng Index at 20,682, reflecting a 2.1% increase year-to-date [3]. - The report indicates that the market is currently influenced by geopolitical tensions, particularly between the US and China, which has led to increased volatility and a rise in gold prices [11][12]. - The report notes that the recent performance of specific stocks within the Hang Seng Index shows significant variances, with JD Health (6618) leading with an 8.2% daily increase and a 15.7% year-to-date increase [4]. Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index has seen a trading volume of HKD 3,955.3 billion, with a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 9.2 and a price-to-book (PB) ratio of 0.98 [5]. - The H-share index recorded a trading volume of HKD 1,659.8 billion, with a PE ratio of 8.6 and a PB ratio of 0.91 [5]. - The technology index had a trading volume of HKD 1,283.1 billion, with a PE ratio of 19.8 and a PB ratio of 2.70 [5]. Stock Performance - The report identifies the top three performing stocks in the Hang Seng Index: JD Health (6618) with a price of HKD 32.50, Lenovo Group (0992) at HKD 8.03, and BYD Electronics (0285) at HKD 31.05 [4]. - Conversely, the worst performers include China Shenhua (1088) at HKD 30.35, New Oriental Education (9901) at HKD 33.60, and Xinao Gas (2688) at HKD 60.00 [4]. Economic Indicators - The report mentions that the People's Bank of China maintained the 5-year Loan Prime Rate (LPR) at 3.60% and the 1-year LPR at 3.10% [11]. - The US Federal Reserve decided to keep interest rates unchanged in March, with expectations of two rate cuts totaling 0.5% later in the year [11]. - The report also highlights the recent inflation data from the US, with the March Consumer Price Index (CPI) at 2.4%, below the expected 2.5% [15]. Company Analysis - The report discusses the strong performance of Zhaojin Mining (1818.HK), which reported a revenue increase of 37.12% year-on-year to RMB 11.55 billion, with a net profit increase of 112% to RMB 1.45 billion [26]. - The company achieved a total gold production of 26,449.73 kg, a year-on-year increase of 7.15%, driven by acquisitions and increased processing capacity [26][27]. - The report notes that Zhaojin Mining's current price of HKD 15.06 reflects a trailing twelve months (TTM) PE ratio of approximately 33.69, which is lower than the 10-year average of 60.65, indicating an attractive valuation [27].

Market Overview - The US stock market indices experienced declines last Friday, with the Nasdaq showing the largest drop due to ongoing concerns about rising inflation and potential economic recession [6] - European stock markets also fell, particularly the DAX 30 index in Germany [6] - In the Hong Kong market, both the Hang Seng Index and the National Index declined, with the National Index experiencing a larger drop [6] - The Shanghai Composite Index and Shenzhen Component Index both saw declines, with the Shanghai Composite Index dropping more significantly [6] Economic Data - The Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for March in the US was reported at 57.9, matching market expectations [7] - Personal income in the US for February increased by 0.8%, exceeding the market expectation of 0.4% [7] - Personal spending in the US for February was reported at 0.4%, slightly below the expected 0.5% [7] - The PCE price index month-on-month for February was 0.4%, above the expected 0.3% [7] - Economic confidence in the Eurozone for March was reported at 95.2, below the expected 96.7 [7] Corporate News - Elon Musk announced that his AI startup xAI has acquired the X platform, valuing the latter at 33 billion USD [8] - Country Garden reported a narrowed loss of 32.8 billion RMB for 2024, significantly lower than the record loss of 178 billion RMB in 2023 [8] - Kaisa Group's overseas debt restructuring plan has been approved by the Grand Court of the Cayman Islands [8] - Morgan Stanley is reportedly considering its first issuance of Panda bonds, with an initial scale of 3 billion RMB [8] International Economic News - US President Donald Trump expressed openness to negotiating tariff reductions but does not expect an agreement before April 2 [9] - The EU is preparing a list of concessions to negotiate with the US regarding tariffs [9] - A key inflation indicator in the US accelerated while consumer spending fell short of expectations [9] - Ukraine is seeking modifications to a proposed economic agreement with the US to secure more investment [9] - Chinese President Xi Jinping met with international business representatives to boost investor confidence amid rising trade uncertainties [9]