Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index faces resistance around 27,200 points, with a projected P/E ratio of approximately 13 times over the next 12 months, as the market reacts to eased trade tensions between China and the US and a shift in US monetary policy expectations [2] - The overall market sentiment remains active, with capital rotating across different sectors, although much of the positive news has already been priced in [2] Macro Focus - The Chinese Ministry of Commerce supports the healthy development of new business models such as live-streaming e-commerce and aims to increase the supply of AI terminal products [4][10] - In September, 156 domestic and imported game licenses were approved, including titles from Tencent and NetEase [10] - The US has implemented a 15% tariff on EU automobiles, which may impact the financial performance of major German automakers [10][11] Corporate News - Zijin Mining's international gold subsidiary has postponed its IPO to September 25, aiming to raise up to 24.98 billion HKD [12] - Dongshan Precision plans to list in Hong Kong to raise approximately 1 billion USD [12] - Alibaba is increasing its investment in AI infrastructure to 380 billion RMB, emphasizing the importance of AI in future technology [12] - Mech-Mind Robotics, backed by Meituan, is seeking to raise 200 million USD through a Hong Kong IPO [12] - JD, Midea, and Alibaba are leading the top 100 online retail companies in China, with total sales exceeding 2.17 trillion RMB, reflecting a 13.6% year-on-year growth [10] AI and Technology Sector - The AI industry in China reached a scale of over 900 billion RMB in 2022, growing by 24% year-on-year [10] - Alibaba Cloud is expanding its international presence by establishing data centers in Brazil, France, and other countries, aiming to support global AI enterprises [12] - The rise of AI applications is expected to reshape consumer behavior and drive new business models in the retail sector [10] Trade Relations - Ongoing trade negotiations between the US and China are expected to address various economic issues, although no significant agreements are anticipated in the immediate future [11] - The US is considering providing a 20 billion USD currency swap line to Argentina to stabilize its economy amid recent financial turmoil [11] Stock Market Performance - The Hang Seng Index closed at 26,519 points, reflecting a year-to-date increase of 32.20% [7] - The performance of major indices varies, with the Hang Seng Technology Index showing a year-to-date increase of 41.52% [7] Consumer Behavior - The demand for travel stocks is expected to rise as the Golden Week approaches, indicating a potential increase in consumer spending [9] - Douyin's e-commerce platform has seen a 34% year-on-year increase in order volume, highlighting the growth of digital consumption [10] Investment Opportunities - The report highlights potential investment opportunities in AI and technology sectors, particularly in companies focusing on innovative solutions and digital transformation [10][12] - The ongoing development of the digital economy in China presents avenues for growth in various industries, including e-commerce and AI applications [10]

Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index faces resistance around 27,200 points, with a projected P/E ratio of approximately 13 times over the next 12 months, as the US and China agree to extend the tariff truce and the US Federal Reserve signals potential policy adjustments due to economic conditions [2][5] - The market remains active with a positive risk appetite, as capital rotates among different sectors despite limited corporate profit improvements [2] Sector Focus - The AI sector is gaining traction as mainland China accelerates the application of "Artificial Intelligence+" and breakthroughs in chip development are reported [8] - The humanoid robot sector is expected to see increased confidence in the supply chain due to Tesla's developments [8] - The mobile components sector is entering a traditional peak season for consumer electronics, with major brands launching new smartphones [8] Corporate News - Zijin Mining International (2259) is set to launch an IPO today, aiming to raise up to 25 billion HKD [8] - Ctrip has been summoned for discussions regarding unreasonable restrictions on transaction pricing [8] - Macau Telecom has extended its contract with the Macau government for an additional two years [8] Economic Indicators - The People's Bank of China conducted a reverse repurchase operation of 487 billion RMB, maintaining the interest rate at 1.4% [9] - The retail sales of new energy vehicles in mainland China are projected to reach 1.25 million units in September, with a penetration rate of 58.1% [9] - The Shanghai Municipal Government is set to issue the first round of home appliance replacement subsidy vouchers starting September 20 [9] International Relations - The US and China are expected to have a significant phone call on September 19, focusing on trade issues and the future of TikTok [10] - The EU is planning to propose a new round of sanctions against Russia, targeting the cryptocurrency, banking, and energy sectors [10]

Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index is currently facing resistance at 26,000 points, influenced by the extension of the US-China tariff truce and the Federal Reserve's potential policy adjustments due to changing risk balances [2][4] - The market remains active with a positive risk appetite, as investors rotate funds across different sectors while awaiting earnings reports from major stocks [2] Economic Indicators - The US GDP for Q2 was revised up to a growth of 3.3%, surpassing expectations, which positively impacted US stock indices [3][10] - The Federal Reserve is expected to maintain a cautious approach regarding future interest rate cuts, with projections indicating two rate cuts totaling 0.5% this year [4][10] Company News - Alibaba is reportedly seeking refinancing for a $6.5 billion loan due next year, with ongoing negotiations with banks [3][11] - JD.com is in talks to secure a euro-denominated loan for the acquisition of German retailer Ceconomy [11] - Chery Automobile plans to conduct an IPO in Hong Kong next month, aiming to raise approximately $1.5 billion [11] Sector Focus - The consumer electronics sector is entering a traditional peak season, with major brands set to launch new smartphones [7] - The automotive sector is experiencing mixed results, with Li Auto reporting a 1% decline in Q2 net profit, falling short of expectations, and providing a weak guidance for Q3 [11] Financial Performance - Semiconductor manufacturer SMIC reported a 36% increase in mid-year profit, driven by a 22% rise in revenue [11] - ZTE Corporation's mid-year profit fell by 12%, despite a 14.5% increase in revenue [11] - SenseTime narrowed its mid-year loss to 1.48 billion yuan, with a 35.5% increase in revenue attributed to growth in generative AI [11] Regulatory and Policy Developments - The Chinese government is accelerating reforms to financing platforms to curb local government hidden debt, aiming for sustainable urban development [9] - The Ministry of Commerce is enhancing policy support for foreign trade enterprises to stabilize business confidence and address new challenges [9]

本公告是由品創控股有限公司（「本公司」，連同其附屬公司，統稱「本集團」）董事 （「董事」）會（「董事會」）自願刊發，以知會本公司股東（「股東」）有關本集團的最 新業務發展。 香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告之內容概不負責，對其準確性 或完整性亦不發表任何聲明，並明確表示概不會就本公告全部或任何部份內容而產生或因倚賴 該等內容而引致之任何損失承擔任何責任。 PHOENITRON HOLDINGS LIMITED 品創控股有限公司 （於開曼群島註冊成立之有限公司） （股份代號：8066） 自願性公告 業務最新進展 執行董事 郭榕翔 香港，二零二五年八月六日 謹此提述本公司日期為二零二四年十一月二十一日及二零二五年一月十日之公 告，內容有關（其中包括）本集團發展電子商務業務（「電子商務業務」）及收購山 西動創數娛科技集團有限公司（「山西動創」，前稱海南動創數娛科技集團有限公 司）。 董事會欣然宣佈，電子商務業務（包括泛娛樂數字生態系統會員電子商務平台 － 動創電商APP服務平台的運營及通過人工智能平台提供語音技術相關服務）的發展 甚為樂觀。根據山西動創及賽博幻境（香港）有限公司（前稱智能生產 ...

Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index is expected to rise towards 26,000 points due to the postponement of tariffs by the US and a stable economic outlook in mainland China, although corporate earnings improvements are limited [2] - Active trading in the Hong Kong market indicates a positive risk appetite, with capital rotating across different sectors [2] Macro Focus - The State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission (SASAC) encourages state-owned enterprises to lead in resisting "cut-throat" competition and to optimize the allocation of state capital [8] - The European Central Bank (ECB) has maintained interest rates while awaiting clarity on US tariff policies, with inflation rates reaching 2% [9] - The US Federal Reserve is expected to reduce interest rates twice this year, with a total reduction of 0.5 percentage points [4] Corporate News - Pop Mart (9992) is increasing production monthly and has denied engaging in "hunger marketing," while exploring a potential movie collaboration with a Hollywood company [10] - JD.com (9618) is in negotiations to acquire German electronics retailer Ceconomy for approximately €2.2 billion [10] - OSL Group (0863) plans to raise HK$23.55 billion through a share placement at a 15.34% discount [10] - Sinopec (0386) reported a 2% increase in oil and gas production for the first half of the year [10] - Kwan Tai Group (0148) expects a more than 70% increase in interim net profit [10] Industry Insights - The mainland is implementing measures to regulate low-price competition and address "involution" in various industries [8] - The automotive market in Europe experienced its largest decline in ten months, with electric vehicle growth slowing [9] - The Chinese government is enhancing financial services for rural reforms and encouraging the issuance of "three rural" bonds [8]

Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index is facing resistance at 24,700 points, with a forecasted P/E ratio of 11 times over the next 12 months [2] - The index experienced fluctuations, reaching a high of 24,672 points before closing at 24,498 points, down 0.1% [5] Macro Focus - U.S. retail sales increased by 0.6% in June, exceeding expectations and reversing a two-month decline [3][8] - The unemployment rate for individuals aged 16 to 24 in mainland China decreased to 14.5%, marking a four-month decline [7] - The People's Bank of China conducted a reverse repurchase operation of 450.5 billion yuan, maintaining the interest rate at 1.4% [7] Company News - Luk Fook Holdings reported a 13% increase in overall retail value for the first quarter, reversing previous declines [9] - Federation Pharmaceutical is raising approximately 2.2 billion HKD through a share placement at a discount of 7.9% [9] - Ideal Auto has opened pre-orders for its i8 model, with expected prices starting from 350,000 yuan [9] - October Rice reported a projected net profit increase of at least 90% for the first half of the year [9] - Changjie Tong anticipates a profit of 31 to 37 million yuan for the first half of the year, driven by strong cloud service performance [9] Sector Insights - The biotechnology sector is expected to benefit from new measures supporting the high-quality development of innovative drugs [6] - The tourism sector is seeing an increase in cross-border traffic, indicating a potential rise in summer tourism [6] - Brokerage stocks are gaining traction as the Shanghai Composite Index surpasses 3,500 points, continuing the trend of A+H listings [6]

Core Viewpoint - JD Group's stock price is currently fluctuating around HKD 121.6, showing a decline of 1.38%, with significant market divergence observed [2][5]. Technical Analysis - The stock is trading below key moving averages: MA10 at HKD 126.04, MA30 at HKD 128.3, and MA60 at HKD 130.6, indicating a prevailing "sell" signal [2]. - The technical strength index is low at 14, suggesting dominant downward pressure, while the RSI is at 41, nearing the oversold zone [2]. - Key support levels are identified at HKD 119.4 and HKD 115.2, with resistance at HKD 128 and potential further resistance at HKD 133.4 [5]. Market Sentiment - Recent trading activity shows a significant increase in bearish derivative products, with notable gains in put options as JD's stock price fell [5]. - The trading volume for JD's stock was reported at HKD 2.099 billion, indicating that capital has not significantly exited the market [5]. Derivative Products - Active trading in JD's warrants suggests potential short-term rebounds, with specific warrants offering leverage of 4.7 to 6.1 times [8]. - Investors looking for bearish positions can consider high-leverage put options, which have shown competitive pricing and volatility [8]. Bull and Bear Certificates - For aggressive investors, a bull certificate with a recovery price of HKD 118 offers a high leverage of 14.5 times, while a more conservative option has a recovery price of HKD 115 with 9.9 times leverage [10]. - Bear certificates are also available for those anticipating a rebound followed by a decline, with both options providing around 6.3 times leverage [10].

Group 1 - The current technical signal for Alibaba is "sell," with support levels at HKD 106.7 and HKD 102, and a potential drop to HKD 110 is being monitored [1] - As of the latest update, Alibaba's stock price is HKD 110, down 1.52%, having breached both the 10-day moving average (HKD 113.46) and the 30-day moving average (HKD 117.46) [1] - The RSI indicator is at 39, nearing the oversold zone, while the MACD maintains a sell signal, although the bull-bear power indicator suggests a potential bottoming out [1] Group 2 - Key support levels for Alibaba are at HKD 105.3 and a strong support at HKD 101.1, while the primary resistance is at HKD 113.8, with a potential challenge to HKD 119.1 if broken [1] - The Bollinger Bands indicate that the stock price has touched the lower band, and the VR trading ratio shows oversold signals, increasing the probability of a short-term technical rebound to 56% [1] Group 3 - Recent performance of derivatives linked to Alibaba shows significant gains, with a bear certificate from Societe Generale rising 43% and a put option from HSBC increasing by 45% following a 4.18% drop in the stock price [3][4] - Current bullish instruments include UBS call options with a strike price of HKD 118.88 and BOC call options with a strike price of HKD 125.1, while bearish instruments include UBS put options with a strike price of HKD 99.83 [6][8]

Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index is expected to test the June low of 22,668 points, influenced by a series of financial policies introduced in mainland China to stabilize the market, including reserve requirement ratio cuts and interest rate reductions [2] - The U.S. and China have agreed to lower tariffs, with U.S. tariffs on Chinese imports decreasing from 145% to 30%, and Chinese tariffs on U.S. goods dropping from 125% to 10% for a 90-day period [2] - The Hang Seng Index's valuation has returned to a reasonable level, but rising geopolitical tensions may increase risk aversion among investors [2] Sector Focus - The report highlights a positive outlook for certain sectors, particularly in light of the U.S. manufacturing PMI data for June [3] Corporate News - Pop Mart (9992) has established a film studio to produce the animated series "Labubu and Friends" [5] - China Shenhua (1088) plans to maintain cash dividends of no less than 65% of net profit attributable to the parent company [5] - Union Pharmaceuticals (3933) received a $180 million advance payment from Novo Nordisk as part of an exclusive development agreement [5] - ZhongAn Online (6060) experienced a 3.8% reduction in shares held by Ant Group, raising approximately 655 million yuan [5] Macroeconomic Focus - The U.S. Federal Reserve maintained interest rates, indicating reduced uncertainty in the economic outlook but acknowledging persistent inflation risks [4] - The report notes that the core PCE forecast for 2025-2027 has been adjusted upward, with expectations of two rate cuts this year totaling 0.5 percentage points [4] - The report discusses the ongoing trade negotiations between the U.S. and various countries, with some progress noted but still subject to change [4] Economic Indicators - The Hang Seng Index closed at 23,530 points, up 1.26% year-to-date, while the Hang Seng Tech Index rose 0.88% [7] - The report indicates that the consumer price index in Hong Kong rose by 1.9% year-on-year in May, lower than expected [10] - The report highlights that the Chinese retail sales during the "618" shopping festival increased by 15.2% year-on-year, with total sales reaching 855.6 billion yuan [10] Company Developments - Lens Technology is reportedly assessing investor interest in its Hong Kong listing, with a total revenue of 69.897 billion yuan last year, up 28.27% [12] - Weichai Power's subsidiary, Weichai Lovol, has submitted a listing application to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange [12] - Kuaishou's e-commerce platform reported significant growth during the "618" shopping festival, with over 60% more merchants achieving sales exceeding 100 million yuan [12] - Douyin's e-commerce platform also reported that nearly 2,406 brands achieved sales exceeding 100 million yuan during the same period [12]

Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index is expected to test the June low of 22,668 points due to geopolitical tensions and rising risk aversion, despite recent financial policies from mainland China aimed at stabilizing the market [2] - The U.S. and China have agreed to reduce tariffs, with U.S. tariffs on Chinese imports dropping from 145% to 30%, and Chinese tariffs on U.S. goods decreasing from 125% to 10% for a 90-day period [2] - The Hang Seng Index's valuation has returned to reasonable levels, but ongoing geopolitical tensions may lead to further declines [2] Sector Outlook - Gold mining stocks are favored in the short term due to ongoing geopolitical uncertainties and central banks continuing to increase their gold holdings [3] Company News - Sa Sa International (0178) reported a 65% decline in annual profits, while Oriental Watch Holdings (0398) saw a 20% drop in annual profits [5] - JD Group (9618) reported a more than doubling of user numbers for its 618 shopping event [7] - Sanhua Intelligent Controls (2050) has set a price limit and increased its total fundraising to 9.3 billion HKD [7] Economic Indicators - The U.S. Federal Reserve maintained interest rates, with expectations of two rate cuts totaling 0.5% this year, reflecting a cautious stance on future inflation uncertainties [5] - The People's Bank of China conducted a 203.5 billion RMB reverse repurchase operation, maintaining the interest rate at 1.4% [9] - Fitch Ratings predicts that Hong Kong will see the largest increase in non-performing loans in the Asia-Pacific region this year due to ongoing uncertainties from U.S. tariff policies [10] Stock Market Performance - The Hang Seng Index closed at 23,238, down 1.99% year-to-date, while the Hang Seng Tech Index fell by 2.42% [5] - The CRB Commodity Index increased by 0.12% year-to-date, while gold prices rose by 0.05% [5] Regulatory Developments - The Chinese government has emphasized the need for accurate and truthful advertising in the new energy vehicle sector, prohibiting exaggerated claims [9] - The Financial Regulatory Bureau has issued guidelines to prevent excessive competition in dividend insurance levels among insurance companies [9]