黄金市场走势

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黄金市场风云变幻,6月或出现三种走向!
Jin Shi Shu Ju· 2025-05-28 14:41
今年以来,黄金表现相当亮眼,一度触及每盎司3500美元上方的历史新高。但近几周情况生变。受通胀 预期变化、美债收益率波动以及多元化避险需求的不断变化影响,金价波动加剧,5月中旬下探至3120 美元左右的低点。尽管金价已有所回升,但其波动也提醒投资者,黄金市场始终处于变化之中,尤其是 在当下不可预测的经济环境中。 一些专家就6月金价走势做出预测。总体而言,金价在6月可能出现三种情景。 情景一:金价趋稳 专家预计,6月大部分时间里,黄金市场可能保持相对稳定。一方面,下一次美联储会议要到6月17日才 会举行,届时央行可能决定上调或下调联邦基金利率。这可能会刺激或抑制黄金需求,具体取决于央行 的政策走向。 "这将是一个值得关注的重要事件,"Monetary Metals内容主管本·纳德尔斯坦(Ben Nadelstein)表 示,"任何政策方向的变化,甚至是围绕未来降息的基调转变,都可能影响黄金市场。" 截至5月27日,芝加哥商品交易所(CME Group)的FedWatch工具显示,6月利率变动的概率仅为 5.6%,因此,金价不太可能出现大幅波动。专家称,美联储会议后,拟议关税的实施可能影响金价。 "近几个月来,金 ...
秦氏金升:5.11倒锤头警示跌势延续,黄金下周行情走势分析及操作建议
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-10 23:49
现货黄金本周先涨后跌走势,收于3326.56美元/盎司。周初,受美元走软和避险需求推动,以及得益于亚洲买家节后重返黄金市场,现货黄金日内再现近 100美元的涨幅。周三开始,因市场对贸易谈判持乐观态度,加上美元走强,现货黄金转为下跌,但并未全部抹去此前涨幅,本周仍录得收涨。 四小时级别上,金价仍处于三角收敛形态的整理区间,尽管周五早盘出现短暂下轨刺破,但该支撑位的有效性仍需进一步确认。预计下周金价将在3378- 3274区间维持震荡,投资者可密切关注区间破位信号,待趋势明朗后再调整交易策略。值得警惕的是,当前消息面波动频繁,黄金市场高基数背景下,单日 百点波动已成常态,建议投资者务必做好仓位风险管理。 黄金走势分析:本周黄金市场以一根标志性的"倒锤头"阳线收官,K线形态尽显多空博弈的激烈交锋。周初,受消息面避险情绪驱动,金价一度强势上扬, 但相较于此前关税战助推金价触及3500历史高位的盛况,本次市场反应明显钝化,涨势在3439处戛然而止。随着后半周美联储利率决议按兵不动的靴子落 地,金价开启剧烈回调模式,短短两日累计下挫170点,最终收盘守住3300关键关口。结合此前的黄昏之星K线组合与本周倒锤头形态,秦氏金 ...
赵兴言:降息与否?黄金市场迎来押注?下周走势一文解答!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-04 14:29
Core Viewpoint - Gold prices have significantly corrected this week, retreating over 7% from last week's historical high, but analysts suggest that the market is not experiencing panic, indicating a healthy adjustment phase [1] Group 1: Market Sentiment - Despite the short-term adjustment, the bullish logic for gold remains solid, with investors willing to "buy on dips" due to ongoing policy fluctuations from the Trump administration and a slowdown in the U.S. economy providing strong support for gold [3] - The market's reaction during the May Day holiday, where gold prices fell to the critical support level of $3200, will determine whether investors will sell or buy on dips, influencing short-term trends [3] Group 2: Price Levels and Trends - Gold is currently stabilizing around the $3250 mark, with a need to break through the $3300 barrier for further upward movement, though market readiness for this breakthrough is still uncertain [1] - The key support levels are identified between $3160 and $3170, with a significant reassessment of bullish views if prices drop below $2950 [3] - The market is expected to continue its adjustment trend, with a focus on the pressure level at $3265 for potential upward movement or short-selling opportunities [5][6]
翁富豪:4.20黄金多头能否再创新高?下周黄金操作策略建议
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-04-20 14:46
Core Viewpoint - The gold market is currently experiencing a technical correction, with prices dipping to $3,283 per ounce, but the overall bullish trend remains intact, supported by strong buying interest around $3,327 per ounce [1][3] Group 1: Market Analysis - The gold market showed significant volatility, with prices initially dropping to $3,283 per ounce before rebounding to around $3,330 per ounce, indicating strong bullish momentum [3] - The current market structure is still bullish, with technical analysis suggesting a potential target of $3,400 per ounce in the near term [3] - The recent price drop is viewed as a technical adjustment, aligning with market behavior where deeper pullbacks often lead to stronger rebounds [3] Group 2: Trading Strategy - The recommended trading strategy is to adopt a bullish approach, focusing on buying near the $3,300 support level, with a stop loss set at $3,290 and a target of $3,380 [3] - Investors are advised to adjust their trading pace and optimize their positions in preparation for the market's reopening next week [1]