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Group 1 - The recent gold market trends are influenced by multiple factors, including a net purchase of 243.7 tons of gold by global central banks in Q1 2025 and China's continuous increase in gold reserves for five consecutive months [1] - On the bearish side, a calming international situation has reduced global risk aversion, while a strong rebound in the US dollar index, coupled with the Federal Reserve's hawkish stance and positive US economic data, has diminished the attractiveness of gold priced in dollars [1] - The overall market is maintaining a high-level oscillation pattern, with a potential for a short-term spike followed by a pullback, leading to a recommended trading strategy focused on short selling, supplemented by short-term buying [1] Group 2 - Technical analysis of gold's 1-hour chart indicates that prices have rebounded after finding support at the mid-band, but the market remains in a consolidation phase with technical pressure for a pullback in the short term [2] - The recommended trading strategy emphasizes short selling on price rebounds, particularly in the 3390-3395 range, while also considering short-term buying opportunities in the 3345-3350 range [2] - Key resistance levels are identified at 3395-3400, while important support levels are noted at 3345-3350, guiding the trading decisions [2] Group 3 - Specific operational strategies include short selling in the 3390-3395 range with a stop loss at 3403, targeting a price range of 3380-3370 and a goal of 3330 [3] - For buying opportunities, the strategy suggests entering in the 3345-3350 range with a stop loss at 3337, targeting a price range of 3350-3360 and a goal of 3380 [3] - The analysis emphasizes practical insights over elaborate language, focusing on solid analysis and theory for traders [3]

Core Viewpoint - The gold market has experienced significant fluctuations in 2023, reaching a historical high above $3,500 per ounce but recently dropping to around $3,120 due to changing inflation expectations, U.S. Treasury yield volatility, and varying diversification demand for safe-haven assets [1]. Scenario Summaries Scenario 1: Stabilization of Gold Prices - Experts predict that gold prices may remain relatively stable throughout June, largely due to the upcoming Federal Reserve meeting on June 17, which could influence demand based on potential changes in the federal funds rate [2]. - As of May 27, the probability of a rate change in June was only 5.6%, suggesting limited potential for significant price fluctuations [2]. - The implementation of proposed tariffs may also impact gold prices, with recent trends indicating that gold has reacted more to tariff news than to substantial global developments [2]. Scenario 2: Decline in Gold Prices - There is a possibility of gold prices declining, particularly if the Federal Reserve unexpectedly raises interest rates during the June meeting, although this is considered unlikely [3]. - Factors such as rising inflation due to tariffs and a strong labor market could lead to a rate hike, prompting funds to shift from gold to U.S. Treasuries [3]. - Geopolitical developments, such as a resolution to trade tensions or a reduction in central bank gold purchases, could also contribute to a decrease in gold prices [3]. - Despite potential declines, the extent is expected to be limited due to ongoing aggressive gold purchases by central banks, which provide a solid support base for prices [3]. Scenario 3: Rebound in Gold Prices - If economic data released in June indicates a weakening economy, the Federal Reserve may be compelled to lower interest rates, which could drive gold prices higher [3]. - A softening economic outlook would likely increase calls for rate cuts, boosting demand for gold as a weaker dollar stimulates buying [3]. - Significant geopolitical events that heighten risks, such as stalled trade negotiations or increased global tensions, could also lead to a surge in gold prices, potentially breaking historical highs [3].

Core Viewpoint - Gold prices have significantly corrected this week, retreating over 7% from last week's historical high, but analysts suggest that the market is not experiencing panic, indicating a healthy adjustment phase [1] Group 1: Market Sentiment - Despite the short-term adjustment, the bullish logic for gold remains solid, with investors willing to "buy on dips" due to ongoing policy fluctuations from the Trump administration and a slowdown in the U.S. economy providing strong support for gold [3] - The market's reaction during the May Day holiday, where gold prices fell to the critical support level of $3200, will determine whether investors will sell or buy on dips, influencing short-term trends [3] Group 2: Price Levels and Trends - Gold is currently stabilizing around the $3250 mark, with a need to break through the $3300 barrier for further upward movement, though market readiness for this breakthrough is still uncertain [1] - The key support levels are identified between $3160 and $3170, with a significant reassessment of bullish views if prices drop below $2950 [3] - The market is expected to continue its adjustment trend, with a focus on the pressure level at $3265 for potential upward movement or short-selling opportunities [5][6]