Q2 GDP was 3.8% and people are worried about a recession.Ridiculous. ...

Consumers will keep spending, AI and tech aren't in a bubble, and the stock market has room to run. ...

Summary of Phillips Edison & Company Update - September 24, 2025 Company Overview - **Company**: Phillips Edison & Company (NasdaqGS:PECO) - **Industry**: Grocery-anchored neighborhood shopping centers Key Points and Arguments Macroeconomic Environment - Current inflation rate is 2.9%, near the 30-year average, indicating economic resilience despite inflation concerns [3][4] - Unemployment rate in August was 4.3%, which is low compared to long-term averages [3][4] - Phillips Edison & Company has limited exposure to heavily imported retail categories, mitigating tariff impacts [3][4] Business Performance and Growth - Increased full-year 2025 guidance due to strong retailer demand and higher rents [4][5] - Dividend distribution rate raised by 5.7%, marking the fifth consecutive annual increase [5][6] - Stock price is approximately 6% lower year-to-date, attributed to macroeconomic concerns and elevated interest rates [6][7] - Total return of approximately 47.3% since IPO through June 30, 2025 [7] Portfolio and Investment Strategy - Focus on necessity-based retail, with 70% of total rent from necessity-based goods and services [13][41] - Same-center NOI growth projected between 3% and 4% annually [9][14] - Strong acquisition pipeline with $302 million in acquisitions closed to date, targeting $350 million to $450 million for the year [8][9] - Low leverage at approximately 32% loan-to-value, providing financial capacity for growth [9][10] Resilience and Risk Management - Historical occupancy loss during economic downturns was minimal, with only 60 basis points during the pandemic [27][28] - Limited exposure to at-risk retailers, focusing on essential services [41][42] - Confidence in the ability to deliver strong earnings growth even in potential recession scenarios [26][27] Technological Advancements - Engaging in 20 active artificial intelligence projects aimed at improving operational efficiency [29][33] - Recognized with a Digital Innovation Award for best use of AI, highlighting commitment to technological advancements [33] Future Outlook - Management believes current stock price offers a favorable entry point for investors [19][49] - Commitment to increasing dividends as cash flow grows, maintaining a low payout ratio [46][47] - Potential for mergers or acquisitions if favorable opportunities arise [44][45] Community and Customer Focus - Emphasis on building community through tenant relationships, referring to tenants as "neighbors" [15][16] - Centers are strategically located in suburban markets with strong demographics, enhancing foot traffic [13][15] Additional Important Insights - The company is well-aligned with its investors, with management owning 8% of the company [17] - The focus on omnichannel retailing positions Phillips Edison & Company favorably in the evolving retail landscape [12][16] - The company’s strategy is designed to provide a balance of stability and growth, appealing to both retail and institutional investors [5][19]

Let's get the opening bell here in the CNBC realtime exchange. The big board, it is the president of the Swiss Confederation in New York for the UN General Assembly at the NASDAQ security national financial celebrating its 60th anniversary. As uh some of the desk notes today, Jim, BA is a good example.S&P trades like it's a new risk-free rate. >> Yeah, look, there's just so much. maybe some evidence because of the of the Fed chair, but there's absolutely a sense that we're bumping up against levels that we ...

A slump in demand for cardboard packaging is ringing alarm bells across the United States. Far more than just a shipping material, corrugated cardboard is a barometer of consumer activity and industrial health. When fewer boxes are being made and shipped, it usually signals that households are spending less, businesses are pulling back, and economic momentum is slowing. Cardboard boxes as an economic indicator Cardboard boxes may seem ordinary, but they move almost everything in the modern economy—fro ...

In the meantime, Trump cancelling a meeting with top congressional Democrats that just days before the government is set to shut down if a funding deal cannot be reached. But even through all this, your next guest is not too concerned. He still expects a strong endofear rally.Joining us now to discuss is Ryan Dietrich. He's chief market strategist at Carson Group. He has been long. He has been correct for years.It's like you and Tom Lee and a few others, Ryan, have been sticking to your guns even when other ...

Joining me now, Mark Zandandy, chief economist at Moody's Analytics. Mark, great to have you back. Thanks so much for joining us. >> Yeah, thanks for having me.I appreciate the opportunity. >> So, Mark, the Fed cut interest rates. We've been waiting for this.The big question now is now what. So, let's break it down. What does this mean for the housing market.Is now the time to buy a house. >> Well, it's still pretty unaffordable. uh despite the lower mortgage rates uh you know we got very high house prices ...

Whether you lived through the Great Depression or have been on the edge of your seat through the Great Recession, planning for retirement is challenging in any environment, but especially during times of economic crisis. It’s hard to know exactly how much you’ll need to set aside and, perhaps more importantly, to save enough to cover unexpected expenses. Check Out: I Help People Retire Every Day — Here’s the Most Common Retirement Mistake People Make Find Out: 3 Advanced Investing Moves Experts Use to Mini ...

ab 17 September 2025 Global Research Global Equity Strategy What to do as the Fed cuts… normally and this time What to do as the Fed starts (or restarts) a rate-cutting cycle: Global Andrew Garthwaite Strategist andrew.garthwaite@ubs.com +44-20-7567 4343 Marc el Koussa Strategist marc.el-koussa@ubs.com +44-20-7567 0298 This report has been prepared by UBS AG London Branch. ANALYST CERTIFICATION AND REQUIRED DISCLOSURES, including information on the Quantitative Research Review published by UBS, begin on pag ...

More youth and young adults are unemployed than at any point in the last 9 years, outside of recession.unusual_whales (@unusual_whales):US unemployment rate for ages 16-24 is 10.5%, per WaPo ...