港股震荡回落，恒生指数涨幅收窄至1%，此前涨超2%；恒生科技指数涨0.7%，此前涨近3%。 ...

Group 1 - The Hang Seng Index closed up by 0.51% [1] - The Hang Seng Tech Index increased by 1.35% [1] - The Hong Kong Tech ETF (159751) rose by 1.44% [1] - The Hang Seng Hong Kong Stock Connect ETF (159318) gained 0.58% [1] Group 2 - Meitu Inc. saw a rise of over 10% [1] - Chow Tai Fook Jewelry Group increased by over 8% [1] - Lao Poo Gold experienced a decline of over 5% [1] - Genscript Biotech Corporation (B) fell by over 4% [1]

海外策略：关税主导预期，降息高度谨慎 美债方面，受益于关税政策的暂缓、贝森特表明会在必要时支持美债市场，美债市场的悲观情绪有所缓和，美 债利率高位回落。从基本面的角度来看，我们认为美国经济滞胀风险正在升高，美联储受制于通胀担忧，短期 内降息概率不高，美债利率走势或为宽幅震荡，维持高配中短久期美债的观点不变。 美元方面，短期看，美元有可能进一步向下。中期看，美元基本面的优势正在明显下降。一方面德国财政立场 由保守转为扩张令"美强欧弱"叙事遭遇挑战。另一方面，市场对关税政策的担忧更多集中在了"衰退"层面，美 国经济下行风险增大，对美元不利。 人民币方面，汇率依然面临中美利差倒挂、关税等客观压力。但是自美国推出对等关税以来，CNY中间价仅 缓慢抬升，稳汇率信号较强，叠加美元下行，未来人民币走势预计将以双向波动为主。 黄金方面，中性偏多。第一，美国滞胀风险上升。第二，关税政策不确定性升高，有利于强化央行购金逻辑。 第三，市场避险情绪仍然偏强。 关税博弈主导预期走势，特朗普与美联储的矛盾持续激化。 特朗普关税政策转向缓和，不仅对除中国以外国家暂缓关税90天，而且公开表示将在3-4周内与中国达成协 议。美国经济继续处于非 ...

Group 1: Hong Kong Stock Market - The Hong Kong stock market experienced a decline, with the Hang Seng Index closing at 23,426.6 points, down 1.11% for the week [1] - The Hang Seng Technology Index fell by 2.36%, while the National Enterprises Index decreased by 1.55% [1] - Notable declines in technology stocks included Xiaomi Group down 6.67%, Meituan down 4.5%, and Tencent Holdings down 0.4% [1] - Economist Hong Hao indicated that the market is at a critical resistance level, and further increases depend on the realization of expectations such as profit growth in tech companies and new economic policies [1] Group 2: Pop Mart Financial Performance - Pop Mart reported a revenue of 13.04 billion RMB for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 106.9%, with adjusted net profit reaching 3.4 billion RMB, up 185.9% [2] - Domestic revenue was 7.97 billion RMB, growing by 52.3%, while overseas revenue reached 5.07 billion RMB, a significant increase of 375.2% [2] - The stock price of Pop Mart rose over 9% to 153.70 HKD, with a market capitalization of 206.41 billion HKD [2] - The Southeast Asia market generated 2.4 billion RMB, accounting for 47.4% of overseas revenue, with a staggering growth of 619.1% [2] Group 3: Mengniu Dairy Financial Performance - Mengniu Dairy reported a revenue of 88.6748 billion RMB for 2024, a decline of 10.1%, with a net profit of only 104.5 million RMB, down 97.8% [3] - In the second half of 2024, Mengniu's revenue was 44 billion RMB, down 7.4%, with a net loss of 2.34 billion RMB [3] - The dairy industry is facing challenges, with overall sales down 2.7%, and Mengniu's specific issues include significant impairment losses related to its acquisitions [3][4] Group 4: CK Hutchison Holdings - CK Hutchison Holdings has postponed its plan to sell overseas port assets, with no agreements expected to be signed this week [5][6] - The company had previously reached a principle agreement to sell 80% of its port assets to a consortium led by BlackRock, covering 43 overseas ports in 23 countries [6][7]

我今天没在临海，和小伙伴约出来玩，你们看发布ip，跑江苏南京了。 今天的a股跌的不多，如果不和外面比的话会觉得还行，但... | 口例 | 取利11 | 100% King | の以大・岡 | 日17 | 11.14488 | 加床大郎 | / 広大 / 田 | 口例 | III. IM MITH | 川沢武沢 川八幡 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | ● 上证指数 | 2862.19 | -7.71 | -0.27% | ● 欧洲斯托克50 7 | 4697.93 | 29.19 | 0.63% | ● 道琼斯 | 39446.49 | 683.04 | 1.76% | | ● 深证成指 | 8393.70 | -52.51 | -0.62% | ● 英国富时100 | 8193.74 | 48.77 | 0.60% | ● 标普500 | 5319.31 | 119.81 | 2.30% | | ● 中小100 | 5399.74 | -24.42 | -0.45% | ● 英国富 ...