Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market is showing resilience and strength compared to other global markets, with significant interest from Middle Eastern investors considering reallocating assets back to Hong Kong [1][3][6]. Group 1: Market Performance - The Hang Seng Technology Index rose over 1%, while the Hang Seng Index and the National Enterprises Index also saw collective gains, contrasting sharply with declines in indices like Japan's Nikkei and South Korea's KOSPI [1][3]. - Notable stocks such as NIO, BYD, JD Health, Meituan, and Xiaomi experienced gains exceeding 2% to 4% [3]. Group 2: Investor Sentiment - Michael Burry, known as a "big short" investor, publicly stated that the Hang Seng Technology Index is significantly undervalued, attributing its decline to multiple compressions rather than fundamental issues [3]. - There is a noted increase in inquiries from Middle Eastern clients regarding investment opportunities in Hong Kong, indicating a potential influx of capital seeking safer investment environments [6][7]. Group 3: External and Internal Factors - The Hong Kong market has shown relative resilience despite high volatility in external markets due to geopolitical tensions and oil price fluctuations [3][4]. - The current strong dollar and the nearing end of the earnings season may impact market dynamics, with ongoing verification needed for domestic fundamentals, particularly in real estate [4]. Group 4: Family Offices and Asset Allocation - A significant 91% of surveyed family offices have established a presence in Hong Kong, with plans to increase investment in risk products from 54% to 78% over the next three years [7]. - The Hong Kong government has noted a growing interest from overseas investors, particularly in diversifying asset allocations due to the ongoing geopolitical situation in the Middle East [7].

Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index decreased by 3.3% this week, while the Hang Seng Composite Index fell by 3.8%. Large-cap stocks outperformed small-cap and mid-cap stocks, with declines of 3.6%, 4.0%, and 4.6% respectively [1] - Major concept indices experienced declines, with the Hang Seng Consumer Index dropping by 4.8%. The free cash flow strategy showed resilience, increasing by 0.4% [1] - Among 30 sectors, 4 sectors saw gains while 26 sectors declined. The strongest performers were Oil & Petrochemicals (+5.1%), Coal (+2.6%), Construction (+2.6%), and Utilities (+0.5%). The weakest sectors included Computer (-7.8%), Retail (-7.4%), Electronics (-6.3%), and Steel (-6.0%) [1] Valuation Levels - The valuation of the Hang Seng Index decreased by 1.1% to 11.2x, while the Hang Seng Composite Index valuation fell by 2.1% to 11.2x. Most major concept indices saw a decline in valuation [2] - The Hang Seng High Dividend Index increased by 2.0% to 7.7x, while the Hang Seng Biotechnology Index decreased by 4.8% to 24.5x [2] - Valuations rose in 5 sectors and fell in 23 sectors. The largest increases were in Comprehensive Finance (+33.5%) and Oil & Petrochemicals (+3.3%), while the largest declines were in Retail (-8.5%) and Computers (-7.7%) [2] Earnings Expectations - The EPS for the Hang Seng Index decreased by 1.5% compared to last week, while the EPS for the Hang Seng Composite Index fell by 1.0% [3] - Most major concept indices saw downward revisions in EPS expectations, with the Hang Seng High Dividend Index experiencing a significant decrease of 2.2% [3] - Among 15 sectors, 12 sectors had downward revisions in EPS expectations, with Comprehensive Finance seeing the largest cut at -27.4%. In contrast, sectors like Construction (+4.9%) and Coal (+1.9%) had upward revisions [3]

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKEX) achieved record high revenues and profits in 2025, driven by increased trading activity, although growth rates showed signs of slowing in the fourth quarter [4][5]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In 2025, HKEX reported total revenue of HKD 29.16 billion, a year-on-year increase of 30.3%, with Q4 showing a year-on-year growth of 14.6% but a quarter-on-quarter decline of 6.0% [4]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached HKD 17.75 billion, up 36.0% year-on-year, with Q4 growth of 14.7% year-on-year but a decline of 11.5% quarter-on-quarter [4][5]. - The EBITDA profit margin was 79%, reflecting a 5 percentage point increase year-on-year [4]. Group 2: Revenue Breakdown - Trading fees, system usage fees, and settlement fees totaled HKD 17.38 billion, accounting for 59.6% of total revenue, with a year-on-year increase of 45.9% [5][6]. - Investment income netted HKD 5.11 billion, representing 17.5% of total revenue, with a year-on-year growth of 3.7% [6]. - Listing fees from the exchange amounted to HKD 1.79 billion, making up 6.1% of total revenue, with a year-on-year increase of 20.6% [6]. Group 3: Market Activity - The average daily trading volume for stock securities reached HKD 231.5 billion, a record high, with a year-on-year increase of 92.9% [8]. - The average daily trading volume for derivatives was HKD 18.3 billion, up 55.1% year-on-year [8]. - Northbound and southbound trading average daily transaction amounts were RMB 212.4 billion and HKD 121.1 billion, respectively, both achieving record highs [8]. Group 4: New Listings - In 2025, HKEX saw a significant increase in new listings, with 119 new companies, a year-on-year growth of 67.6% [9]. - The total funds raised from new listings reached HKD 286.9 billion, a 226.0% increase year-on-year, with 66% of this amount coming from new economy sectors [9]. - As of Q4 2025, there were 345 listing applications pending, representing a 310.7% increase from the previous year-end [9].

Group 1 - The landscape of Chinese companies listing overseas is undergoing significant transformation, with Hong Kong's strategic position being elevated as a key hub connecting domestic and international markets [1] - The central economic work conference in December 2025 emphasized the need to broaden channels for overseas listings, reinforcing Hong Kong's role in the gradual opening of the capital market [1] - Hong Kong is expected to play a crucial role as a "super connector" for capital, especially in the context of the complex international environment and the ongoing internationalization of the Renminbi [1] Group 2 - The U.S. stock market is showing signs of recovery, but new Nasdaq regulations have raised the core financial thresholds for IPOs by 200%, making it more challenging for small and medium-sized enterprises to meet these requirements [3] - The SEC's new regulations require foreign private issuers to comply with insider reporting obligations, which could hinder smaller companies lacking solid performance and governance structures from listing on U.S. exchanges [3] - In 2025, 17 A-share companies successfully listed in Hong Kong, contributing to 53.65% of the financing scale in the Hong Kong market, showcasing the attractiveness of Hong Kong for quality enterprises across various sectors [3] Group 3 - The high liquidity and brand effect of the U.S. market remain appealing for leading companies, but the increased compliance thresholds will exclude 80% of small and medium enterprises [5] - The choice of listing is now influenced by compliance costs, regulatory alignment, and strategic development rather than just valuation comparisons [5] - Professional investment banks with cross-market capabilities are becoming essential for companies aiming to successfully navigate the capital markets [5]

Investment Rating - The industry is rated as "stronger than the market," indicating an expected increase of over 10% in the industry index relative to the CSI 300 index over the next six months [16]. Core Insights - The A-share market experienced slight fluctuations with a high opening followed by a retreat, finding support around 4127 points. Key sectors such as electronic components, communication equipment, power supply equipment, and grid equipment performed well, while sectors like film and television, tourism retail, insurance, and real estate lagged behind [3][4][8]. - The average price-to-earnings ratios for the Shanghai Composite Index and the ChiNext Index are 17.04 times and 53.74 times, respectively, indicating a suitable environment for medium to long-term investments [4][15]. - The total trading volume on the two exchanges reached 25,568 billion, above the median of the past three years, suggesting a healthy trading environment [4][15]. - There is a notable inflow of overseas mutual funds into A-shares, reaching a multi-month high, which enhances the attractiveness of Chinese assets for global allocation [4][15]. - The market is expected to maintain a slight upward trend, with a focus on sectors such as communication equipment, electronic components, grid equipment, and general equipment for short-term investment opportunities [4][15]. Summary by Sections A-share Market Overview - On February 26, the A-share market faced resistance after a high opening, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 4146.63 points, down 0.01%. The Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14,503.79 points, up 0.19% [8][9]. - Over 50% of stocks declined, with electronic components, special steel, wind power equipment, communication equipment, and power supply equipment showing the highest gains [8][10]. Future Market Outlook and Investment Recommendations - The market is expected to experience a broad fluctuation with structural differentiation, with the Shanghai Composite Index likely to maintain a slight upward trend [4][15]. - Investors are advised to closely monitor macroeconomic data, changes in overseas liquidity, and policy developments, with a short-term focus on investment opportunities in communication equipment, electronic components, and grid equipment [4][15].

Market Overview - A-shares showed mixed performance with the Shanghai Composite Index slightly down by 0.08% as of midday trading [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing markets reached approximately 1.65 trillion yuan, an increase of over 110 billion yuan compared to the previous day [1] Sector Performance - The sectors with the highest gains included CPO, optical fiber, copper cable high-speed connections, PCB, liquid cooling servers, power grid equipment, cultivated diamonds, and aviation engines [1] - Conversely, sectors that experienced the largest declines included film and television, insurance, real estate, complete automobiles, epoxy propane, short drama games, construction materials, and duty-free shops [1] Index Performance - The CSI A500 Index decreased by 0.1% with a rolling P/E ratio of 17.5 times, placing it in the 76.9% valuation percentile since its inception in 2004 [2] - The CSI 300 Index fell by 0.2% with a rolling P/E ratio of 14.2 times, which is in the 65.4% valuation percentile since its launch in 2005 [2] - The ChiNext Index dropped by 0.4% with a rolling P/E ratio of 43.6 times, ranking in the 43.3% valuation percentile since its introduction in 2010 [2] - The STAR Market 50 Index saw a slight increase of 0.1% with a rolling P/E ratio of 167.3 times, placing it in the 95.4% valuation percentile since its establishment in 2020 [2]

Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market continued its rebound, with the Hang Seng Index opening at 27,019.74 points, up 254.02 points, a rise of 0.95% [1] - The Hang Seng Tech Index opened at 5,284.51 points, increasing by 24.01 points, a gain of 0.46% [3] Group 2 - HSBC Holdings reported a revenue of $68.3 billion for 2025, a year-on-year increase of 4%, while net profit decreased by $1.9 billion to $23.1 billion. The revenue growth was driven by wealth management and wholesale banking [5] - Ctrip Group-S announced a net profit of 33.294 billion yuan for 2025, a year-on-year increase of 95.08% [7] - Sihuan Pharmaceutical reported a revenue of approximately 7.7 to 7.8 billion yuan for the 2025 fiscal year, a year-on-year increase of 16.0% to 17.6%, with net profit expected to be around 1.3 to 1.4 billion yuan, a growth of 80.1% to 93.9% [7] - Yancoal Australia reported a revenue of 5.949 billion AUD for 2025, a year-on-year decrease of approximately 13%, with net profit down by about 64% to 440 million AUD [7] Group 3 - The technology sector saw mixed performance, with Lenovo and Tencent rising over 1%, while NetEase fell over 1%. The property sector was active, with Yuexiu Property increasing over 2%. The lithium battery sector opened higher, with Tianqi Lithium rising over 6%, while automotive stocks showed divergence, with BYD opening nearly 1% higher [8] Group 4 - CCB International believes that preventing risks in the real estate sector remains a priority, and the market's downward trend and bearish expectations may prompt quicker policy responses. There are significant opportunities for returns in the real estate sector in 2026 [9] - Nuode Fund suggests that recent volatility in the Hong Kong stock market is due to concerns over tightening liquidity and declining attractiveness of the market's unique structure. The overall credit cycle is unstable, limiting upward potential for market indices, with opportunities mainly arising from structural trends [9]

Market Performance - The Hang Seng Index closed at 26,765.72, up 175 points or 0.66%[2] - The Shanghai Composite Index rose to 4,147.23, an increase of 0.72%[2] - The Shenzhen Component Index increased by 1.29%, closing at 14,475.87[2] Economic Indicators - Hong Kong's inflation rate slowed to 1.1% in January, down from 1.4% in December[6] - The basic inflation rate, excluding one-off government relief measures, was 1%[6] - The year-on-year price increases for various categories included electricity, gas, and water at 3%[6] Corporate Earnings - Hong Kong's San Miguel Brewery reported a profit of HKD 76.12 million for the year, compared to a loss of HKD 20.10 million the previous year[11] - New World Development's rental income from office spaces is expected to decline at a slower rate, with occupancy rates stabilizing at 81.6%[12] - Neway Data's net profit for the six months ending December rose by 9.72% to HKD 531 million[13] Government Fiscal Policy - The government plans to increase tax allowances for dependents, estimating a reduction in tax revenue by HKD 5 billion this fiscal year[7] - The Financial Secretary proposed transferring HKD 150 billion from the Exchange Fund to support infrastructure projects[8] - The Exchange Fund recorded an investment income of over HKD 330 billion in 2025, with total reserves exceeding HKD 780 billion[8] Industry Developments - Steel mills in northern China are required to reduce production by at least 30% to improve air quality during the upcoming National People's Congress[9]

Market Overview - The Hong Kong stock market opened higher on February 26, with the Hang Seng Index rising by 0.95% to 27,019.74 points, the Hang Seng Tech Index up by 0.46% to 5,284.51 points, and the National Enterprises Index increasing by 0.49% to 9,078.96 points [1] Company Performance Highlights - Sensen Pharmaceutical projected a revenue of approximately RMB 7.7 billion to RMB 7.8 billion for the fiscal year 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of about 16.0% to 17.6% [2] - Nine Dragons Paper reported a mid-year revenue of RMB 37.221 billion, an increase of 11.22% year-on-year, with net profit soaring by 318.78% to RMB 1.966 billion [2] - Wan Ke Yi Lian expects a revenue of RMB 4 billion to RMB 4.4 billion for 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 52.2% to 67.5%, with net profit projected to increase by approximately 690.3% to 795.7% [2] - New Idea Network Group reported a total revenue of HKD 1.508 billion for the six months ending December 31, 2025, a 3% year-on-year increase, with EBITDA rising by 4% [2] Company Performance Challenges - HSBC Holdings reported a revenue of USD 68.3 billion for 2025, a 4% year-on-year increase, but net profit decreased by USD 1.9 billion to USD 23.1 billion, raising concerns about profit margins [3] - Yancoal Australia recorded a revenue of AUD 5.949 billion for 2025, a decrease of approximately 13%, with net profit dropping by 64% to AUD 440 million [3] - Champion Real Estate Investment Trust reported a total rental income of HKD 1.988 billion for 2025, a 9% year-on-year decrease, with distributable income down by 10.4% [3] - Great Wall Holdings issued a profit warning, expecting a comprehensive loss of approximately HKD 452 million to HKD 500 million for the year [3] Capital Operations - Cheung Kong Infrastructure, Power Assets Holdings, and Cheung Kong Holdings sold their stakes in UK Power Networks to French utility company Engie for HKD 44.3 billion, raising speculation about strategic adjustments [4] - SMIC's application to issue shares for acquiring a 49% stake in SMIC North was accepted by the Shanghai Stock Exchange, potentially strengthening its position in the semiconductor sector [4] - Conch Venture plans to acquire additional equity from Conch Group [4] - Hang Wan Technology proposed a spin-off and independent listing of the spun-off entity on NASDAQ, indicating active capital operations [4] Share Buybacks - ZTO Express repurchased 617,800 shares for USD 15.47 million at prices ranging from USD 24.67 to USD 25.21 [5] - Xiaomi Group repurchased 2.8094 million shares for HKD 99.997 million at prices between HKD 35.52 and HKD 35.74 [5] - NetEase Cloud Music repurchased 93,700 shares for HKD 14.99 million at prices from HKD 158.1 to HKD 162.4 [6] Market Sentiment and Outlook - Tianfeng Securities noted that the Hong Kong stock market continues to show resilience and structural opportunities despite external constraints, with a cautious optimistic outlook for the mid-term [7] - Bank of China International emphasized the importance of mitigating real estate risks, suggesting that the market's downward inertia may prompt policy responses [7] - UOB Kay Hian reported positive consumer data during the recent Spring Festival, indicating a potential recovery in the domestic consumption market, particularly in tourism and dining sectors [7] Lithium Market Insights - UBS believes the market has entered a third lithium price supercycle, with ongoing supply-demand gaps expected to support prices significantly above market consensus [8] - The forecast for lithium spodumene prices has been raised by 74% to USD 3,131 per ton, with carbonate prices adjusted to USD 26,000 per ton, driven by electric vehicle pricing and surging storage demand [8]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market experienced a collective rise on February 24, with the Shanghai Composite Index increasing by 0.87%, and the total market turnover exceeding 2.2 trillion yuan, marking an increase of approximately 220 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day. Over 4,000 stocks closed in the green [1]. Market Performance - The A-share indices saw the following changes: - CSI A500 Index rose by 1.2% - CSI 300 Index and ChiNext Index both increased by 1.0% - STAR Market 50 Index fell by 0.3% - Hang Seng China Enterprises Index decreased by 2.1% [1]. Sector Performance - The sectors that performed well included: - Oil and gas extraction and services - Precious metals - Cultivated diamonds - Glyphosate - Fertilizers - Coal mining and processing - Fiber optics - Power grid equipment - Port and shipping [1]. - The sectors that underperformed included: - Film and cinema - AI applications - Computing power leasing - Tourism and hotels - Insurance - Baijiu (Chinese liquor) - Duty-free shops - Brain-computer interface [1]. ETF Performance - The A500 ETF by E Fund (159361) closely tracked the CSI A500 Index, with a total trading volume of 3.166 billion yuan, indicating active trading [1]. - The CSI 300 ETF by E Fund (510310) also closely followed the CSI 300 Index, providing coverage of core leading assets in the A-share market while balancing value and growth [1].