金融期权波动率
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金融期权波动率日报-20250410
An Xin Qi Huo· 2025-04-10 12:18
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the content 2. Report Core Viewpoints - No clear core viewpoints are presented in the given content 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 50ETF - The current month contract has 9 days until expiration. From April 8 - 10, 2025, the underlying price rose from 2.628 to 2.672, 5HV increased from 44.61% to 46.81%, 10HV from 30.39% to 31.50%, 20HV from 25.02% to 25.41%, and the current month IV decreased from 24.88% to 18.89% [2] - The主力月份skew指数 decreased from 121.27 yesterday to 110.07 today [9] 3.2 Shanghai 300ETF - The current month contract has 9 days until expiration. From April 8 - 10, 2025, the underlying price rose from 3.730 to 3.829, 5HV increased from 47.87% to 53.42%, 10HV from 33.33% to 36.11%, 20HV from 26.38% to 27.60%, and the current month IV decreased from 27.91% to 20.10% [12] - The主力月份skew指数 decreased from 121.27 yesterday to 110.07 today [17] 3.3 Shenzhen 300ETF - The current month contract has 9 days until expiration. From April 8 - 10, 2025, the underlying price rose from 3.764 to 3.851, 5HV increased from 47.35% to 52.24%, 10HV from 32.97% to 35.37%, 20HV from 26.13% to 27.17%, and the current month IV decreased from 27.08% to 20.02% [22] - The主力月份skew指数 decreased from 118.98 yesterday to 113.77 today [24] 3.4 Shanghai CSI 500ETF - The current month contract has 9 days until expiration. From April 8 - 10, 2025, the underlying price rose from 5.313 to 5.535, 5HV increased from 68.57% to 76.41%, 10HV from 47.60% to 52.03%, 20HV from 35.15% to 37.25%, and the current month IV decreased from 33.43% to 26.15% [29] - The主力月份skew指数 decreased from 122.70 yesterday to 119.74 today [35] 3.5 Shenzhen CSI 500ETF - The current month contract has 9 days until expiration. From April 8 - 10, 2025, the underlying price rose from 2.124 to 2.211, 5HV increased from 72.18% to 79.08%, 10HV from 49.85% to 53.89%, 20HV from 36.61% to 38.55%, and the current month IV decreased from 36.59% to 26.74% [40] - The主力月份skew指数 decreased from 126.40 yesterday to 114.78 today [48] 3.6 ChiNext ETF - The current month contract has 9 days until expiration. From April 8 - 10, 2025, the underlying price rose from 1.804 to 1.863, 5HV increased from 88.62% to 95.31%, 10HV from 61.71% to 65.09%, 20HV from 45.89% to 47.45%, and the current month IV decreased from 50.69% to 35.49% [53] - The主力月份skew指数 decreased from 123.29 yesterday to 110.32 today [58] 3.7 Shenzhen 100ETF - The current month contract has 9 days until expiration. From April 8 - 10, 2025, the underlying price rose from 2.487 to 2.556, 5HV increased from 62.39% to 69.02%, 10HV from 44.15% to 47.24%, 20HV from 33.89% to 35.32%, and the current month IV decreased from 33.80% to 26.31% [61] - The主力月份skew指数 decreased from 125.64 yesterday to 119.23 today [68] 3.8 Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF - The current month contract has 9 days until expiration. From April 8 - 10, 2025, the underlying price rose from 0.986 to 1.042, 5HV increased from 67.29% to 80.42%, 10HV from 46.97% to 54.31%, 20HV from 35.16% to 39.91%, and the current month IV decreased from 44.19% to 35.44% [73] - The主力月份skew指数 decreased from 125.78 yesterday to 111.76 today [79] 3.9 Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF E Fund - The current month contract has 9 days until expiration. From April 8 - 10, 2025, the underlying price rose from 0.960 to 1.015, 5HV increased from 60.70% to 75.14%, 10HV from 42.41% to 50.74%, 20HV from 32.30% to 37.48%, and the current month IV decreased from 43.30% to 33.92% [83] - The主力月份skew指数 decreased from 124.60 yesterday to 110.24 today [90] 3.10 300 Index - The current month contract has 6 days until expiration. From April 8 - 10, 2025, the underlying price rose from 3650.759 to 3735.115, 5HV increased from 52.80% to 56.84%, 10HV from 36.31% to 38.39%, 20HV from 28.02% to 28.88%, and the current month IV decreased from 28.54% to 20.68% [94] - The主力月份skew指数 decreased from 116.65 yesterday to 110.46 today [101] 3.11 1000 Index - The current month contract has 6 days until expiration. From April 8 - 10, 2025, the underlying price rose from 5530.019 to 5784.585, 5HV increased from 80.82% to 89.38%, 10HV from 56.19% to 60.89%, 20HV from 41.21% to 43.55%, and the current month IV decreased from 42.12% to 31.88% [103] - The主力月份skew指数 decreased from 126.71 yesterday to 126.20 today [107] 3.12 Shanghai Composite 50 Index - The current month contract has 6 days until expiration. From April 8 - 10, 2025, the underlying price rose from 2574.353 to 2612.619, 5HV increased from 44.77% to 46.63%, 10HV from 30.43% to 31.40%, 20HV from 24.88% to 25.15%, and the current month IV decreased from 26.37% to 19.55% [113] - The主力月份skew指数 decreased from 120.10 yesterday to 112.34 today [121]
国投期货金融期权波动率日报-2025-03-19
An Xin Qi Huo· 2025-03-19 03:25
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the industry or specific ETFs analyzed. Core Insights - The report provides detailed volatility data for various ETFs, including 50ETF,沪300ETF, 深300ETF, 沪中证500ETF, 创业板ETF, and 深证100ETF, highlighting their implied volatility (IV) and historical volatility (HV) trends over recent days. - The implied volatility for the 50ETF on March 18, 2025, was recorded at 16.16%, with a historical volatility of 15.36% over 20 days, indicating a relatively stable market condition [2][3][4]. - The report notes a skew index for the main month of the 50ETF at 82.83, suggesting a slight preference for puts over calls in the options market [9]. - For the沪300ETF, the implied volatility on March 18, 2025, was 15.63%, with a 20-day historical volatility of 14.48%, reflecting a similar stability [11][12]. - The report indicates that the 创业板ETF had an implied volatility of 23.46% on March 18, 2025, which is higher compared to other ETFs, suggesting greater market uncertainty or potential for price movement [52][53]. Summary by Sections 50ETF Analysis - The 50ETF's price on March 18, 2025, was 2.800, with an implied volatility of 16.16% and a 20-day historical volatility of 15.36% [2][3]. - The report shows a decreasing trend in the implied volatility over the past few days, indicating a potential stabilization in market expectations [4][5]. 沪300ETF Analysis - The 沪300ETF's price on March 18, 2025, was 4.103, with an implied volatility of 15.63% and a 20-day historical volatility of 14.48% [11][12]. - The report highlights a consistent pattern in the implied volatility, suggesting a stable outlook for this ETF [12]. 深300ETF Analysis - The 深300ETF's price on March 18, 2025, was 4.207, with an implied volatility of 15.56% and a 20-day historical volatility of 14.70% [22][23]. - The report indicates a slight decrease in implied volatility, reflecting a potential reduction in market uncertainty [23]. 沪中证500ETF Analysis - The 沪中证500ETF's price on March 18, 2025, was 6.126, with an implied volatility of 20.04% and a 20-day historical volatility of 16.95% [29][30]. - The report notes a higher implied volatility compared to other ETFs, indicating greater market expectations for price movements [30]. 创业板ETF Analysis - The 创业板ETF's price on March 18, 2025, was 2.185, with an implied volatility of 23.46% and a 20-day historical volatility of 24.33% [52][53]. - The report suggests that this ETF is experiencing higher volatility, which may present both risks and opportunities for investors [53]. 深证100ETF Analysis - The 深证100ETF's price on March 18, 2025, was 2.845, with an implied volatility of 18.43% and a 20-day historical volatility of 17.53% [62][63]. - The report indicates a stable trend in implied volatility, suggesting a balanced market outlook [63].
金融期权波动率日报-2025-03-18
An Xin Qi Huo· 2025-03-18 04:56
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the industry or specific companies Core Insights - The report provides detailed volatility data for various ETFs, indicating a fluctuating market environment with significant historical volatility levels observed across different time frames [10][20][28] - Implied volatility (IV) for the 50ETF, Hu300ETF, and other ETFs shows a trend of increasing IV, suggesting heightened market expectations for future volatility [11][23][54] - The skew index for the main months of options indicates a shift in market sentiment, with recent values showing an upward trend, reflecting changing investor expectations [9][18][38] Summary by Sections 50ETF - The current price is 2.723 with an implied volatility (IV) of 13.56% and historical volatility (HV) values showing a range from 5.43% to 12.91% over the past days [2][3][10] - The IV percentile for the past year is 39.10%, indicating a relatively high level of implied volatility compared to historical data [2][3] Hu300ETF - The current price is 4.005 with an IV of 14.39% and HV values ranging from 4.80% to 11.43% [11][12] - The IV percentile for the past year is 43.60%, suggesting increased market expectations for volatility [11][12] Deep300ETF - The current price is 4.106 with an IV of 14.21% and HV values from 4.40% to 11.99% [23][24] - The IV percentile for the past year is 37.10%, indicating a moderate level of implied volatility [23][24] Entrepreneur Board ETF - The current price is 2.125 with an IV of 23.06% and HV values ranging from 9.93% to 19.19% [54][55] - The IV percentile for the past year is 40.40%, reflecting significant market expectations for future volatility [54][55] Deep100ETF - The current price is 2.770 with an IV of 18.31% and HV values from 5.00% to 13.57% [60][61] - The IV percentile for the past year is 42.80%, indicating a relatively high level of implied volatility [60][61]
金融期权波动率日报-2025-03-13
An Xin Qi Huo· 2025-03-13 01:13
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the industry or specific ETFs analyzed Core Insights - The report provides detailed volatility metrics for various ETFs, including 50ETF, Hu300ETF, Shen300ETF, and others, indicating a range of implied volatility (IV) and historical volatility (HV) levels across different time frames [6][10][20][54][60][69] - The analysis includes skew indices for the main contract months, reflecting market sentiment and expectations regarding future volatility [9][15][23][36][48][65] - The report highlights the historical volatility ranges, with maximum values reaching up to 434% for ShenZheng 500ETF, indicating significant fluctuations in the market [25][51][67] Summary by Relevant Sections 50ETF Analysis - The 50ETF showed an implied volatility of 13.77% on March 12, 2025, with historical volatility (HV) values of 12.91% (5-day), 12.77% (10-day), and 11.70% (20-day) [6] - The skew index for the main contract month was recorded at 87.47 on the same date, indicating a slight decrease from previous days [9] Hu300ETF Analysis - The Hu300ETF had an implied volatility of 13.93% on March 12, 2025, with HV values of 11.43% (5-day), 12.58% (10-day), and 11.89% (20-day) [10] - The skew index for the main contract month was noted at 87.47, reflecting market sentiment [14] Shen300ETF Analysis - The Shen300ETF reported an implied volatility of 13.96% on March 12, 2025, with HV values of 11.99% (5-day), 12.99% (10-day), and 12.27% (20-day) [20] - The skew index for the main contract month was 93.53, indicating a shift in market expectations [23] Other ETFs Analysis - The report also covers the performance of the ChiNext ETF, with an implied volatility of 23.16% on March 12, 2025, and HV values of 19.19% (5-day), 23.96% (10-day), and 23.74% (20-day) [54] - The skew index for the ChiNext ETF was recorded at 89.02, suggesting a stable market outlook [59] Historical Volatility Insights - Historical volatility metrics for various ETFs indicate significant fluctuations, with maximum values reaching 434% for ShenZheng 500ETF and 253% for ChiNext ETF [25][51] - The report provides a comprehensive view of the volatility landscape, highlighting the potential for investment opportunities based on historical trends and current market conditions [38][66]
金融期权波动率日报-2025-02-25
An Xin Qi Huo· 2025-02-25 07:34
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the industry or specific ETFs analyzed. Core Insights - The report provides detailed volatility metrics for various ETFs, including the 50ETF, Hu300ETF, and others, indicating a range of implied volatility (IV) and historical volatility (HV) levels, which are critical for assessing market conditions and potential investment opportunities. Summary by Relevant Sections 50ETF Analysis - As of February 20, 2025, the 50ETF price was 2.708 with an implied volatility (IV) of 14.04% and a 20-day historical volatility (20HV) of 9.50% [2][3][8] - The one-year IV percentile was 42.00%, indicating a moderate level of volatility compared to historical data [2][3][8] Hu300ETF Analysis - On February 20, 2025, the Hu300ETF price was 4.021, with an IV of 14.52% and a 20HV of 10.07% [13][14] - The one-year IV percentile was 42.00%, suggesting a similar volatility profile to the 50ETF [13][14] Deep300ETF Analysis - The Deep300ETF was priced at 4.122 on February 20, 2025, with an IV of 14.97% and a 20HV of 10.49% [23][24] - The one-year IV percentile was 47.70%, indicating slightly higher volatility compared to the Hu300ETF [23][24] ChiNext ETF Analysis - The ChiNext ETF had a price of 2.184 on February 20, 2025, with an IV of 24.59% and a 20HV of 22.98% [55][56] - The one-year IV percentile was 50.60%, reflecting a higher volatility environment compared to the other ETFs analyzed [55][56] Skew Index and Smile Curve - The skew index for the main months of the 50ETF, Hu300ETF, and Deep300ETF showed variations, with the 50ETF at 100.42 on the latest date, indicating market sentiment towards volatility [10][19][26] - The smile curves for these ETFs suggest varying levels of demand for options at different strike prices, which can indicate market expectations for future volatility [12][18][25] Historical Volatility Metrics - Historical volatility metrics for the ETFs indicate a maximum of 88% for the 50ETF and 110% for the Hu300ETF, suggesting significant past price fluctuations [11][21][28] - The report highlights the importance of these metrics in understanding the risk and potential return profiles of the ETFs [11][21][28]