国投期货 韩泽文 期货从业号: F03108100 投资咨询号: Z0021517 9 天 日期 标的物价格 标的涨跌幅 当月IV 次月IV 2025/9/29 3.109 1.04% 18.66% 17.92% 2025/9/30 3.126 0.55% 18.25% 17.67% 2025/10/9 3.161 1.12% 15.19% 16.05% 【50ETF】 近1年 当月IV分位数 70.60% 67.30% 46.90% 近2年 当月IV分位数 当月合约距离到期还剩 80.70% 77.90% 57.40% 近1年 次月IV分位数 57.30% 56.10% 48.90% 近2年 次月IV分位数 73.30% 71.30% 62.90% 2025年10月9日 金融期权波动率 0% 10% 20% 30% ATM IV(M1) ATM IV(M2) ATM IV(Q1) ATM IV(Q2) ATM IV期限结构 今日 昨日 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 2.00 2.50 3.00 3.50 2022/9/30 2023/3/6 2023/8/1 2023/12/27 2024/5/31 ...

投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1778 号 金融期权 | 日报 2025 年 9 月 30 日 金融期权 专业研究·创造价值 制造业 PMI 继续修复，股指震荡上涨 核心观点 今日各股指均震荡上涨。沪深京三市全天成交额 21972 亿元，较上日 放量 191 亿元。9 月制造业 PMI 继续修复，表明国内宏观经济的韧性较强， 叠加 10 月重磅会议政策利好预期，市场风险偏好持续回升。不过短期来看， 由于股票估值端显著上升，特别是指数反弹至前期高点附近，获利资金止盈 需求仍存，需要关注后续资金止盈节奏与政策预期发酵的博弈情况。总的来 说，由于指数接近前期高点，短期内股指预计以宽幅震荡为主。 目前期权隐含波动率有所回升，考虑到股指中长线向上，可以继续持 有牛市价差或比例价差。 投资咨询证号：Z0014648 电话：0571-87006873 邮箱：longaoming@bcqhgs.com 作者声明：本人具有中国期货 业协会授予的期货从业资格证 书，期货投资咨询资格证书， 本人承诺以勤勉的职业态度， 独立、客观地出具本报告。本 报告清晰准确地反映了本人的 研究观点。本人不会因本报告 中的具体推荐意见或观点 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - There is no information provided in the report regarding the industry investment rating. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - All stock indices oscillated and pulled back on the day, with the total trading volume of the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing stock markets reaching 2166.1 billion yuan, a decrease of 225.7 billion yuan from the previous day [3]. - Trump's recent announcement of a new round of high - tariffs on various imported products has led to an increase in market risk - aversion sentiment [3]. - As the valuation has risen significantly, especially when the index rebounded near the previous high, the profit - taking demand of profitable funds has increased. Additionally, with the approaching National Day holiday, investors' desire to secure profits has grown [3]. - In the medium - to - long term, the expectation of policy benefits and the long - term net inflow trend of funds constitute the medium - to - long - term driving force for the upward movement of stock indices [3]. - In the future, the focus will be on the game between the rhythm of profit - taking by funds and the fermentation of policy expectations. In general, due to the index approaching the previous high and the approaching holiday, the stock index is expected to fluctuate widely in the short term [3]. - Currently, the implied volatility of options has declined. Considering the medium - to - long - term upward trend of the stock index, investors can continue to hold bull spreads or ratio spreads [3]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Option Indicators - On September 26, 2025, the 50ETF fell 0.32% to close at 3.077; the 300ETF (Shanghai Stock Exchange) fell 0.94% to close at 4.651; the 300ETF (Shenzhen Stock Exchange) fell 0.91% to close at 4.800; the CSI 300 Index fell 0.95% to close at 4550.05; the CSI 1000 Index fell 1.45% to close at 7397.59; the 500ETF (Shanghai Stock Exchange) fell 1.41% to close at 7.336; the 500ETF (Shenzhen Stock Exchange) fell 1.21% to close at 2.934; the ChiNext ETF fell 2.55% to close at 3.129; the Shenzhen 100ETF fell 1.84% to close at 3.529; the SSE 50 Index fell 0.40% to close at 2941.02; the Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF fell 1.55% to close at 1.52; and the E Fund Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF fell 1.32% to close at 1.49 [5]. - The trading volume PCR and open - interest PCR of various options changed compared to the previous trading day. For example, the trading volume PCR of SSE 50ETF options was 91.14 (85.45 the previous day), and the open - interest PCR was 78.68 (77.23 the previous day) [6]. - The implied volatility of the at - the - money options in October 2025 and the 30 - trading - day historical volatility of the underlying assets of various options were provided. For instance, the implied volatility of the at - the - money options of SSE 50ETF options in October 2025 was 14.64%, and the 30 - trading - day historical volatility of the underlying asset was 15.75% [7]. 3.2 Relevant Charts - **SSE 50ETF Options**: Charts include the SSE 50ETF trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, open - interest PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of various tenors [9][11][13][17]. - **SSE 300ETF Options**: Charts cover the SSE 300ETF trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, open - interest PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of various tenors [20][22][24][30]. - **SZSE 300ETF Options**: Charts involve the SZSE 300ETF trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, open - interest PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of various tenors [33][34]. - **CSI 300 Index Options**: Charts include the CSI 300 index trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, open - interest PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of various tenors [36][38][40][42][46]. - **CSI 1000 Index Options**: Charts cover the CSI 1000 index trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, open - interest PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of various tenors [49][51][53][55][59]. - **SSE 500ETF Options**: Charts involve the SSE 500ETF trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, open - interest PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of various tenors [62][64][65][71]. - **SZSE 500ETF Options**: Charts include the SZSE 500ETF trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, open - interest PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of various tenors [75][79][80][82][87]. - **ChiNext ETF Options**: Charts cover the ChiNext ETF trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, open - interest PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of various tenors [90][92][93][98]. - **Shenzhen 100ETF Options**: Charts involve the Shenzhen 100ETF trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, open - interest PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of various tenors [103][105][107][113]. - **SSE 50 Index Options**: Charts include the SSE 50 index trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, open - interest PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of various tenors [116][118][120][126]. - **Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF Options**: Charts cover the Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, open - interest PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of various tenors [129][131][133]. - **E Fund Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF Options**: Charts involve the E Fund Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF trend, option volatility, trading volume PCR, open - interest PCR, implied volatility curve, and at - the - money implied volatility of various tenors [137][139][141][147].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the given documents 2. Report's Core View - No clear core view is presented in the provided documents. The reports mainly focus on presenting data related to various ETFs and indices, including price, volatility, and skew index over a certain period. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 General Data (13 - day data) - For 50ETF, from Sep 23 - 25, 2025, the price increased from 3.054 to 3.087, with the highest daily increase of 0.59% on Sep 24. The monthly IV decreased from 21.49% to 17.69% [1]. - For Shanghai 300ETF, from Sep 23 - 25, 2025, the price rose from 4.622 to 4.695, with the highest daily increase of 0.89% on Sep 24. The monthly IV fluctuated between 16.03% and 19.72% [3]. - For Shenzhen 300ETF, from Sep 23 - 25, 2025, the price increased from 4.762 to 4.844, with the highest daily increase of 1.01% on Sep 24. The monthly IV changed from 17.19% to 19.19% [7]. - For Shanghai CSI 500ETF, from Sep 23 - 25, 2025, the price went up from 7.277 to 7.441, with the highest daily increase of 2.25% on Sep 25. The monthly IV increased from 16.69% to 26.03% [14]. - For Shenzhen CSI 500ETF, from Sep 23 - 25, 2025, the price first rose from 2.906 to 2.972 and then slightly dropped to 2.970. The monthly IV increased from 16.57% to 26.58% [22]. - For ChiNext ETF, from Sep 23 - 25, 2025, the price increased from 3.093 to 3.211, with the highest daily increase of 2.17% on Sep 24. The monthly IV changed from 30.72% to 41.46% [26]. - For Shenzhen 100ETF, from Sep 23 - 25, 2025, the price rose from 3.494 to 3.595, with the highest daily increase of 1.75% on Sep 24. The monthly IV fluctuated between 25.27% and 29.03% [33]. - For Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF, from Sep 23 - 25, 2025, the price increased from 1.475 to 1.548, with the highest daily increase of 3.73% on Sep 24. The monthly IV increased from 41.63% to 50.25% [41]. - For STAR 50ETF, from Sep 23 - 25, 2025, the price rose from 1.442 to 1.513, with the highest daily increase of 3.68% on Sep 24. The monthly IV increased from 41.58% to 49.81% [48]. - For 300 Index, from Sep 23 - 25, 2025, the price increased from 4519.778 to 4593.488, with the highest daily increase of 1.02% on Sep 24. The monthly IV decreased from 20.20% to 18.16% [55]. - For 1000 Index, from Sep 23 - 25, 2025, the price first rose from 7408.069 to 7534.222 and then dropped to 7506.512. The monthly IV fluctuated between 27.42% and 28.25% [63]. - For Shanghai - Shenzhen 50 Index, from Sep 23 - 25, 2025, the price increased from 2919.515 to 2952.735, with the highest daily increase of 0.68% on Sep 24. The monthly IV decreased from 19.89% to 19.08% [68]. 3.2 IV Quantile Data - For 50ETF, the monthly IV quantile in the past 1 - year was between 63.60% and 84.80%, and in the past 2 - year was between 74.80% and 91.00% [1]. - For Shanghai 300ETF, the monthly IV quantile in the past 1 - year was between 47.30% and 77.90%, and in the past 2 - year was between 60.30% and 83.20% [3]. - For Shenzhen 300ETF, the monthly IV quantile in the past 1 - year was between 55.50% and 72.20%, and in the past 2 - year was between 70.90% and 84.00% [7]. - For Shanghai CSI 500ETF, the monthly IV quantile in the past 1 - year was between 21.60% and 80.80%, and in the past 2 - year was between 26.10% and 86.90% [14]. - For Shenzhen CSI 500ETF, the monthly IV quantile in the past 1 - year was between 22.40% and 80.00%, and in the past 2 - year was between 26.70% and 86.50% [22]. - For ChiNext ETF, the monthly IV quantile in the past 1 - year was between 61.60% and 91.70%, and in the past 2 - year was between 78.90% and 94.80% [26]. - For Shenzhen 100ETF, the monthly IV quantile in the past 1 - year was between 70.60% and 86.50%, and in the past 2 - year was between 83.20% and 92.40% [33]. - For Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF, the monthly IV quantile in the past 1 - year was between 73.80% and 87.30%, and in the past 2 - year was between 88.90% and 94.40% [41]. - For STAR 50ETF, the monthly IV quantile in the past 1 - year was between 78.30% and 88.70%, and in the past 2 - year was between 86.90% and 94.60% [48]. - For 300 Index, the monthly IV quantile in the past 1 - year was between 53.40% and 80.50%, and in the past 2 - year was between 62.40% and 83.00% [55]. - For 1000 Index, the monthly IV quantile in the past 1 - year was between 56.70% and 79.90%, and in the past 2 - year was between 70.60% and 79.10% [63]. - For Shanghai - Shenzhen 50 Index, the monthly IV quantile in the past 1 - year was between 65.30% and 90.20%, and in the past 2 - year was between 59.10% and 95.00% [68]. 3.3 Skew Index Data - For 50ETF, the skew index on Sep 25, 2025, was 82.18, decreasing from 83.73 the previous day [2]. - For Shanghai 300ETF, the skew index on Sep 25, 2025, was 98.87, increasing from 94.55 the previous day [5]. - For Shenzhen 300ETF, the skew index on Sep 25, 2025, was 96.50, increasing from 95.51 the previous day [12]. - For Shanghai CSI 500ETF, the skew index on Sep 25, 2025, was 100.56, decreasing from 103.35 the previous day [17]. - For Shenzhen CSI 500ETF, the skew index on Sep 25, 2025, was 98.83, decreasing from 99.08 the previous day [25]. - For ChiNext ETF, the skew index on Sep 25, 2025, was 99.99, increasing from 95.76 the previous day [30]. - For Shenzhen 100ETF, the skew index on Sep 25, 2025, was 98.60, increasing from 96.56 the previous day [37]. - For Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF, the skew index on Sep 25, 2025, was 98.68, increasing from 88.91 the previous day [44]. - For STAR 50ETF, the skew index on Sep 25, 2025, was 94.06, increasing from 91.22 the previous day [51]. - For 300 Index, no skew index data is provided. - For 1000 Index, no skew index data is provided. - For Shanghai - Shenzhen 50 Index, no skew index data is provided.

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided regarding the report industry investment rating 2. Report's Core View - No clear core view is presented in the provided content 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 50ETF - From September 18 - 22, 2025, the price fluctuated, with a -1.30% drop on the 18th, -0.10% on the 19th, and a 0.30% increase on the 22nd; the current month IV ranged from 17.80% - 19.45%, and the next month IV from 18.87% - 20.13% [1] - The current month IV quantiles in the past 1 - 2 years were 65.30% - 76.70%, and the next month IV quantiles were 66.20% - 86.00% [1] 3.2 Shanghai 300ETF - From September 18 - 22, 2025, the price rose gradually, with a -1.27% drop on the 18th, a 0.22% increase on the 19th, and a 0.33% increase on the 22nd; the current month IV ranged from 17.76% - 18.21%, and the next month IV from 19.55% - 20.47% [3] - The current month IV quantiles in the past 1 - 2 years were 62.40% - 74.80%, and the next month IV quantiles were 66.60% - 84.50% [3] 3.3 Shenzhen 300ETF - From September 18 - 22, 2025, the price increased steadily, with a -1.42% drop on the 18th, a 0.32% increase on the 19th, and a 0.36% increase on the 22nd; the current month IV ranged from 18.46% - 19.73%, and the next month IV from 20.50% - 21.64% [9] - The current month IV quantiles in the past 1 - 2 years were 63.20% - 82.60%, and the next month IV quantiles were 70.30% - 86.80% [9] 3.4 Shanghai CSI 500ETF - From September 18 - 22, 2025, the price had minor fluctuations, with a 0.14% increase on the 18th, a -1.30% drop on the 19th, and a 0.36% increase on the 22nd; the current month IV ranged from 22.20% - 24.13%, and the next month IV from 25.49% - 25.82% [13] - The current month IV quantiles in the past 1 - 2 years were 59.10% - 80.10%, and the next month IV quantiles were 76.70% - 87.50% [13] 3.5 Shenzhen CSI 500ETF - From September 18 - 22, 2025, the price increased slightly, with a -1.05% drop on the 18th, a -0.34% drop on the 19th, and a 0.69% increase on the 22nd; the current month IV ranged from 20.78% - 24.98%, and the next month IV from 25.90% - 48.50% [19] - The current month IV quantiles in the past 1 - 2 years were 65.70% - 86.20%, and the next month IV quantiles were 76.70% - 87.30% [19] 3.6 ChiNext ETF - From September 18 - 22, 2025, the price increased slightly, with a -1.67% drop on the 18th, a -0.16% drop on the 19th, and a 0.65% increase on the 22nd; the current month IV ranged from 34.48% - 38.92%, and the next month IV from 42.19% - 43.81% [23] - The current month IV quantiles in the past 1 - 2 years were 74.20% - 92.80%, and the next month IV quantiles were 90.70% - 96.40% [23] 3.7 Shenzhen 100ETF - From September 18 - 22, 2025, the price increased steadily, with a -1.00% drop on the 18th, a 0.38% increase on the 19th, and a 0.55% increase on the 22nd; the current month IV ranged from 23.77% - 25.70%, and the next month IV from 27.03% - 27.77% [32] - The current month IV quantiles in the past 1 - 2 years were 64.40% - 85.00%, and the next month IV quantiles were 77.60% - 90.60% [32] 3.8 Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF - From September 18 - 22, 2025, the price increased significantly, with a 0.69% increase on the 18th, a -1.31% drop on the 19th, and a 3.35% increase on the 22nd; the current month IV ranged from 45.63% - 50.03%, and the next month IV from 50.07% - 54.41% [39] - The current month IV quantiles in the past 1 - 2 years were 81.60% - 94.20%, and the next month IV quantiles were 87.70% - 96.60% [39] 3.9 STAR 50ETF - From September 18 - 22, 2025, the price increased significantly, with a 0.64% increase on the 18th, a -1.20% drop on the 19th, and a 3.51% increase on the 22nd; the current month IV ranged from 38.30% - 49.22%, and the next month IV from 48.55% - 52.77% [46] - The current month IV quantiles in the past 1 - 2 years were 83.60% - 95.50%, and the next month IV quantiles were 70.60% - 93.60% [46] 3.10 CSI 300 Index - From September 18 - 22, 2025, the price increased steadily, with a -1.16% drop on the 18th, a 0.08% increase on the 19th, and a 0.46% increase on the 22nd; the current month IV ranged from 17.81% - 21.19%, and the next month IV from 20.05% - 21.24% [52] - The current month IV quantiles in the past 1 - 2 years were 61.60% - 86.90%, and the next month IV quantiles were 64.40% - 85.00% [52] 3.11 CSI 1000 Index - From September 18 - 22, 2025, the price increased slightly, with a -1.04% drop on the 18th, a -0.51% drop on the 19th, and a 0.69% increase on the 22nd; the current month IV ranged from 19.76% - 28.60%, and the next month IV from 25.77% - 27.61% [60] - The current month IV quantiles in the past 1 - 2 years were 26.50% - 80.50%, and the next month IV quantiles were 56.70% - 85.00% [60] 3.12 SSE 50 Index - From September 18 - 22, 2025, the price increased slightly, with a -1.35% drop on the 18th, a -0.11% drop on the 19th, and a 0.43% increase on the 22nd; the current month IV ranged from 20.16% - 20.74%, and the next month IV from 57.39% - 80.72% [65] - The current month IV quantiles in the past 1 - 2 years were 74.20% - 99.50%, and the next month IV quantiles were 74.60% - 99.10% [65]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - On September 18, 2025, the stock indexes fluctuated and declined throughout the day, with the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing stock markets having a total turnover of 3166.6 billion yuan, a significant increase of 763.7 billion yuan from the previous day. The decline was mainly due to large stock price increases and significant valuation improvements, causing investors to lose confidence in chasing prices and increasing their willingness to take profits. [3] - In the medium to long term, stock indexes are strongly supported by favorable macro - policies and net inflows of funds. Given the weak credit and inflation data in August and the slowdown in consumption growth, there is a high expectation of policies to stabilize demand, with the key window period for policy introduction expected to be in October. The significant increase in non - bank deposits in July and August and the high - level operation of margin trading balances indicate continuous inflows of incremental funds into the stock market. [3] - However, due to the significant increase in the valuation of some stocks, there is still a willingness among profitable funds to take profits, leading to short - term technical adjustment pressure on stock indexes. The subsequent focus should be on the game between the rhythm of profit - taking and the fermentation of policy expectations. In general, stock indexes are expected to experience wide - range fluctuations in the short term. [3] - Currently, the implied volatility of options has increased. Considering the long - term upward trend of stock indexes, investors can continue to hold bull spreads or ratio spreads. [3] 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Option Indicators - On September 18, 2025, most ETFs and stock indexes declined, except for the科创 50ETF and the 易方达科创 50ETF, which rose by 0.69% and 0.64% respectively. For example, the 50ETF fell 1.30% to 3.048, and the 300ETF (Shanghai Stock Exchange) fell 1.27% to 4.594. [5] - The trading volume PCR and open - interest PCR of various options changed compared to the previous trading day. For instance, the trading volume PCR of the Shanghai Stock Exchange 50ETF options was 78.41 (previous day: 87.34), and the open - interest PCR was 73.26 (previous day: 76.66). [6] - The implied volatility of at - the - money options in September or October 2025 and the 30 - trading - day historical volatility of the underlying assets were provided for different options. For example, the implied volatility of at - the - money options of the Shanghai Stock Exchange 50ETF options in September 2025 was 19.35%, and the 30 - trading - day historical volatility of the underlying asset was 15.12%. [7] 3.2 Relevant Charts - Multiple charts were presented for different types of options, including the trend of the underlying asset, volatility, trading volume PCR, open - interest PCR, implied volatility curve, and the implied volatility of at - the - money options for different terms. For example, for the Shanghai Stock Exchange 50ETF options, there were charts showing its trend, volatility, trading volume PCR, etc. [9][11][13]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating There is no information about the report industry investment rating in the provided content. 2. Report's Core View There is no clear statement of the report's core view in the given text. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 General Information - The report provides data on various ETFs and indices, including 50ETF, Shanghai 300ETF, Shenzhen 300ETF, Shanghai CSI 500ETF, Shenzhen CSI 500ETF, ChiNext ETF, Shenzhen 100ETF, Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF, Science and Technology Innovation Board 50ETF, 300 Index, 1000 Index, and Shanghai Composite 50 Index [1][3][7][14][21][25][35][43][50][57][63][69] 3.2 Price and Volatility Data - For each ETF and index, the report shows the price, price change, implied volatility (IV) for the current and next months over a 5 - day period from September 15 - 17, 2025 [1][3][7][14][21][25][35][43][50][57][63][69] - It also presents the IV quantiles for the current and next months over the past 1 and 2 years [1][3][7][14][21][25][35][43][50][57][63][69] 3.3 Volatility Structure and Trends - ATM IV term structures for different months (M1, M2, Q1, Q2, etc.) are provided, comparing the current day with the previous day [1][3][7][14][21][25][35][43][50][57][60][65][70] - Intraday trends of different - month at - the - money (ATM) IV are shown [1][3][7][14][21][25][35][43][50][60][65][70] 3.4 Skew Index and Smile Curve - The skew index for the main contract month is calculated as the ratio of the implied volatility of a call option with a delta of 0.75 to that of a call option with a delta of 0.25, and its values for the past five days are given [2][5][13][17][24][30][39][46][53][62][68][73] - The smile curves for the main contract months of each ETF and index option are presented [2][5][13][16][24][29][38][45][52][62][68][73] 3.5 Other Related Data - The relationship between price, open interest PCR, IV, and trading volume is shown through historical trend charts for each ETF and index [2][5][13][19][24][31][41][48][55][62][68][73] - Intraday synthetic - futures spreads and historical synthetic - futures spreads for some indices are provided [62][68][73]

Group 1: Volatility Index Explanation - Financial option implied volatility index reflects the 30 - day implied volatility (IV) trend as of the previous trading day, while the commodity option implied volatility index is weighted by the IV of the upper and lower two - strike options of the front - month at - the - money options, showing the IV change trend of the front - month contract [2] - The difference between the implied volatility index and historical volatility (HV) indicates the relative level of IV to HV. A larger difference means IV is relatively higher than HV, and a smaller difference means IV is relatively lower [2] Group 2: Volatility Data Chart - The chart shows the IV, HV, and IV - HV differences of various financial and commodity options, including 300 Index, 50ETF, 1000 Index, 500ETF, and many commodity options such as silver, soybean meal, corn, etc [3] Group 3: Implied Volatility Quantile and Volatility Spread Quantile - Implied volatility quantile represents the current level of a variety's IV in history. A high quantile means the current IV is high, and a low quantile means the current IV is low. Volatility spread is the difference between the implied volatility index and historical volatility [4] - The implied volatility quantile rankings of different varieties are presented, such as 300 Index with a quantile of 0.63, 50ETF with 0.73, PTA with 0.22, etc [5]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints No explicit core viewpoints are presented in the given content. The data mainly focuses on the price, volatility, and related indicators of various financial products such as ETFs and indices. 3. Summary by Product 50ETF - **Price and Volatility**: From September 9 - 11, 2025, the price increased from 3.059 to 3.122, with a maximum daily increase of 1.63%. The current month IV ranged from 15.16% - 16.24%, and the next month IV from 17.60% - 18.58% [1]. - **IV Quantiles**: The current month IV quantiles in the past 1 - 2 years were 48.90% - 67.40%, and the next month IV quantiles were 58.60% - 80.50% [1]. Shanghai 300ETF - **Price and Volatility**: From September 9 - 11, 2025, the price increased from 4.528 to 4.660, with a maximum daily increase of 2.69%. The current month IV ranged from 14.58% - 17.98%, and the next month IV from 18.37% - 20.32% [4]. - **IV Quantiles**: The current month IV quantiles in the past 1 - 2 years were 31.80% - 73.80%, and the next month IV quantiles were 59.90% - 84.70% [4]. Shenzhen 300ETF - **Price and Volatility**: From September 9 - 11, 2025, the price increased from 4.671 to 4.800, with a maximum daily increase of 2.56%. The current month IV ranged from 15.27% - 18.07%, and the next month IV from 18.76% - 20.31% [8]. - **IV Quantiles**: The current month IV quantiles in the past 1 - 2 years were 39.50% - 76.20%, and the next month IV quantiles were 60.50% - 84.00% [8]. Shanghai CSI 500ETF - **Price and Volatility**: From September 9 - 11, 2025, the price increased from 7.006 to 7.224, with a maximum daily increase of 3.11%. The current month IV ranged from 19.27% - 21.34%, and the next month IV from 22.92% - 24.33% [16]. - **IV Quantiles**: The current month IV quantiles in the past 1 - 2 years were 38.70% - 67.20%, and the next month IV quantiles were 59.90% - 81.60% [16]. Shenzhen CSI 500ETF - **Price and Volatility**: From September 9 - 11, 2025, the price increased from 2.800 to 2.891, with a maximum daily increase of 3.14%. The current month IV ranged from 19.63% - 21.80%, and the next month IV from 23.46% - 24.69% [22]. - **IV Quantiles**: The current month IV quantiles in the past 1 - 2 years were 42.00% - 70.30%, and the next month IV quantiles were 61.60% - 81.30% [22]. ChiNext ETF - **Price and Volatility**: From September 9 - 11, 2025, the price increased from 2.845 to 3.025, with a maximum daily increase of 5.22%. The current month IV on September 9 - 10 was 32.85% - 33.59%, and the next month IV was 35.81% - 35.99% [26]. - **IV Quantiles**: The current month IV quantiles in the past 1 - 2 years were 72.60% - 86.00%, and the next month IV quantiles were 82.20% - 91.10% [26]. Shenzhen 100ETF - **Price and Volatility**: From September 9 - 11, 2025, the price increased from 3.314 to 3.451, with a maximum daily increase of 3.82%. The current month IV ranged from 20.52% - 25.02%, and the next month IV from 24.00% - 26.67% [36]. - **IV Quantiles**: The current month IV quantiles in the past 1 - 2 years were 55.90% - 83.40%, and the next month IV quantiles were 66.20% - 88.30% [36]. Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF - **Price and Volatility**: From September 9 - 11, 2025, the price increased from 1.307 to 1.393, with a maximum daily increase of 5.45%. The current month IV ranged from 35.02% - 43.96%, and the next month IV from 39.70% - 45.48% [44]. - **IV Quantiles**: The current month IV quantiles in the past 1 - 2 years were 65.30% - 93.20%, and the next month IV quantiles were 77.60% - 90.30% [44]. Science and Technology Innovation Board 50ETF - **Price and Volatility**: From September 9 - 11, 2025, the price increased from 1.277 to 1.361, with a maximum daily increase of 5.50%. The current month IV ranged from 38.59% - 48.40%, and the next month IV from 40.15% - 47.41% [51]. - **IV Quantiles**: The current month IV quantiles in the past 1 - 2 years were 75.10% - 93.60%, and the next month IV quantiles were 73.40% - 91.30% [51]. 300 Index - **Price and Volatility**: From September 9 - 11, 2025, the price increased from 4436.258 to 4548.035. The current month IV ranged from 13.77% - 16.79%, and the next month IV from 18.80% - 20.23% [59]. - **IV Quantiles**: The current month IV quantiles in the past 1 - 2 years were 29.30% - 67.00%, and the next month IV quantiles were 59.10% - 80.30% [59]. 1000 Index - **Price and Volatility**: From September 9 - 11, 2025, the price increased from 7226.028 to 7399.885. The current month IV ranged from 20.56% - 22.39%, and the next month IV from 24.87% - 25.65% [61]. - **IV Quantiles**: The current month IV quantiles in the past 1 - 2 years were 31.00% - 50.50%, and the next month IV quantiles were 55.10% - 72.10% [61]. Shanghai Composite 50 Index - **Price and Volatility**: From September 9 - 11, 2025, the price increased from 2928.632 to 2983.083. The current month IV ranged from 14.52% - 16.95%, and the next month IV from 65.29% - 71.83% [75]. - **IV Quantiles**: The current month IV quantiles in the past 1 - 2 years were 30.60% - 66.60%, and the next month IV quantiles were 97.10% - 99.70% [75].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current state of the A-share market, particularly focusing on the Shanghai Composite Index, and presents a bullish outlook based on macroeconomic factors and the performance of various indices [5][6]. Group 1: Market Overview - The A-share indices, including the 50, 300, 500, and 1000, have experienced significant gains this year, reflecting both domestic support policies and international dovish expectations [6]. - The 50 and 300 indices have lagged behind in terms of cumulative growth, especially the 50 index, which has shown relative stability in recent weeks as funds shift from high-risk to lower-risk assets [6][8]. Group 2: Investor Sentiment and Strategy - Despite concerns about potential pullbacks, there are no clear negative macroeconomic drivers, allowing investors to maintain a bullish stance while being cautious about the depth of any corrections [8]. - Options are highlighted as a valuable tool for bullish investors, providing a strategy that allows for both offensive and defensive positioning [8][10]. Group 3: Options Strategy - The implied volatility of index options has decreased recently, with the 50 ETF options showing a volatility level that is neither too low nor too high, indicating a market sentiment leaning towards bullishness [10]. - A recommended strategy for bullish investors is the "bull call spread," which allows for maintaining a long position while managing the risk of a downturn [12]. - The bull call spread can be adjusted based on market movements, allowing investors to maintain exposure while capitalizing on volatility during price fluctuations [13][14]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The article concludes with an optimistic expectation for the Shanghai Composite Index to exceed 4000 points by the end of the year, reflecting confidence in the market's recovery and growth potential [15].