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Core Insights - The article discusses the expertise of Labutes IR, a fund manager and analyst with over 18 years of experience in the financial sector, particularly in portfolio management [1]. Group 1 - Labutes IR specializes in the financial sector and has extensive experience in various types of institutions on the buy side [1]. - The focus is on portfolio management, indicating a strong background in managing investments effectively [1].

Market Overview - The market has shown surprising strength despite various challenges such as government shutdowns, tariffs, and geopolitical tensions, driven largely by an AI-driven bull market [4][5][18]. - The sentiment among investors is shifting towards a more optimistic view, with many focusing on the potential for continued growth rather than the risks [18][24]. Investment Opportunities - The technology sector, particularly companies involved in AI and utilities, is highlighted as a key area for capturing alpha [6][7]. - Small-cap stocks, particularly those in the Russell 2000, are gaining attention as they are tied to technology, industrials, and utilities, with notable performers like Credo Technology and Bloom Energy [10][11]. Economic Data and Market Sentiment - Economic data has been puzzling, with mixed signals regarding job markets and consumer behavior, leading to uncertainty among investors [48][50]. - The lack of key economic reports due to the government shutdown is causing complacency among investors, who are not as concerned as expected [56][60]. Earnings Growth - Earnings are expected to grow by 8% year-over-year in the third quarter, with estimates suggesting a potential 13% growth, indicating strong underlying support for the current market highs [81][82]. ETF Market Dynamics - The ETF market is experiencing a surge, with 115 launches in September, reflecting a bullish sentiment among ETF managers [33][34]. - ETFs are seen as a good way for retail investors to gain diversification, especially in sectors like uranium, which has seen significant growth [75][76]. Gold Market Insights - Gold has been rallying, attracting retail investors looking for diversification, although its long-term performance compared to equities is questioned [67][70][72]. Government and Geopolitical Factors - The government's support for companies like Intel is noted, but investing solely based on government backing is seen as speculative [73][74]. - The geopolitical landscape, particularly regarding China and tech, remains a concern for investors [73].

Welcome back to Morning Trade Live. It is time now for the big picture. Let's welcome in the team from Charles Schwab.Very pleased to say as always I'm joined by Lisan Saunders who is the chief investment strategist Charles Schwab. Thanks so much for joining me this morning Lisan. We're seeing a bit of a push and pull going on in this market between these sort of renewed trade tension fears going on with respect to obviously Trump's truth social posts which has caused some volatility there.But no doubt putt ...

All right. Well, let's turn now to our question of the day. Is the taco trade back.Taco, that acronym for Trump always chickens out. Lou, what say you. I mean, we had that two trillion selloff on Friday.Green across the screen today. >> Look, as a long-term investor that likes to trade around positions, I'll take the taco trade because it presents some real good opportunities. But I think this is what we talked about earlier.Uncertainty in the markets is is not thing something we love. uncertainty in politi ...

Market Trends - The current market shows a rebound across the board, with volatility increasing over the past month [1] - The S&P 500 has rebounded approximately 2% after significant one-day drops, marking the best year for the "buy the dip" strategy since 2019 and the second best since the 1980s [2] Retail Investor Behavior - Retail investors are actively participating in the market, with many buying the dip, indicating a lack of nervousness among them [2][3] - A notable increase in market participation is observed among younger investors, with about one-third of 25-year-olds currently invested, up from 6% in 2015 [4] Income Level Participation - Investors from various income levels, particularly those earning between $30,000 and $80,000, are increasingly entering the market, contributing to the current bull market [6] Leverage and Volatility - The use of leveraged trading, particularly in crypto markets, is prevalent, with some traders utilizing up to 100x leverage, which can lead to significant gains or losses [9][11] - The volatility in the stock market may be exacerbated by leveraged trades, as traders often rebalance positions around market close, contributing to extreme price movements [12] Global Market Dynamics - The trading activity is not limited to the U.S., with significant participation from international investors, particularly in leveraged crypto trades, which account for a substantial portion of Bitcoin volumes [13]

Market Overview - US stocks are rebounding after a significant selloff that wiped out $2 trillion in value, with the Dow up approximately 540 points or 1.2% [3][4] - Despite the rebound, major indices remain in the red due to the depth of the previous selloff [2][3] - The NASDAQ is also experiencing gains, up about 1.9%, but still not recovering fully from prior losses [4] Trade Tensions and Tariffs - President Trump announced new tariffs on China due to export controls on rare earth minerals, but later reassured that a resolution would be found [4][25] - The market reacted negatively to the initial tariff announcement, reflecting concerns over renewed trade tensions [11][25] - Analysts suggest that the recent selloff may present a "buy the dip" opportunity, as sentiment indicators are moving towards more buying territory [12][19] Technology Sector - Broadcom's expanded partnership with OpenAI to build custom chips for data centers has positively impacted tech stocks, with Broadcom shares rising by 10% [6] - Other major tech stocks, including Nvidia, also saw gains, indicating a broad-based rally in the technology sector [6][7] Precious Metals Market - Gold and silver prices are reaching record highs, with gold trading above $4,100 per ounce and silver surpassing $50 [47] - The performance of precious metals is attributed to expectations of Fed rate cuts and increased industrial demand for silver [50][51] - Analysts predict that gold could reach a target of $5,200 by 2026, contingent on market corrections and investor behavior [62][63] Company-Specific Developments - Estee Lauder's stock rose after Goldman Sachs upgraded it to a buy rating, citing positive trends in the beauty industry and stabilizing business in China [68] - AMD's stock also saw an increase following bullish calls from analysts, with price targets raised significantly [69] - Beyond Meat's shares plummeted after announcing a debt swap that will dilute shareholders, reflecting ongoing challenges in the meat alternatives market [74] Consumer Behavior and Market Sentiment - Retail investors have been actively buying stocks, with $7 billion spent in the week of October 8th, indicating a potential shift in market sentiment [117] - Analysts caution that while the "buy the dip" mentality is prevalent, it may not be sustainable if underlying economic conditions worsen [119]

Market Trends & Investment Opportunities - Renewed Sino-American trade tensions are causing a selloff in Chinese stocks [1] - Market watchers believe the selloff presents a buying opportunity [1]

Core Viewpoint - Paychex's stock price has declined due to valuation and growth concerns but shows signs of recovery following strong FQ1 results, supported by growth from the Paycor merger and an improved outlook [1][6]. Financial Performance - In FQ1, Paychex reported revenue growth of 16.5% year-over-year, driven by organic strength and the Paycor acquisition, which contributed 17% growth to the Management Solutions segment [6]. - Adjusted earnings increased by 5% compared to the previous year, exceeding expectations by over 100 basis points, indicating strong margin performance [7]. Growth Projections - The company is projected to maintain steady growth in the mid-to-high single digits over the next five years, with expectations for margin improvement [2]. - Analysts forecast a 15.18% upside in stock price, with a 12-month target of $142.83, despite recent reductions in price targets [10]. Capital Returns and Dividends - Paychex generates significant cash flow and has a healthy balance sheet, allowing for capital returns through dividends and buybacks [3]. - The dividend yield is currently at 3.48%, with a history of double-digit compound annual growth rate (CAGR) in distribution growth, although the pace has slowed [4]. Market Sentiment and Institutional Activity - Institutional investors own 85% of Paychex stock, providing a solid support base and indicating a trend of accumulation throughout 2025 [9]. - The stock is trading at a discount relative to its earnings outlook, which is expected to be low, but the market response is driven by cash flow and capital returns [8].

As you can see, #Bitcoin broke through a crucial resistance zone and has a ton of upwards potential.I would assume that we'll have a slight pullback and start running upwards from there.It's buy the dip season and I think we'll see a new ATH in October. https://t.co/smMiW0Jt2I ...