Core Viewpoint - Deckers has demonstrated solid growth despite skepticism from Wall Street, with significant stock performance since its IPO in 1993, showing a 9,660% increase, which is more than double that of Nike during the same period [1] Financial Performance - Deckers reported third-quarter revenue growth of 7.1% to $1.96 billion, surpassing the consensus estimate of $1.87 billion [5] - Hoka sales increased by 18.5% to $628.9 million, while Ugg sales rose by 4.9% to $1.31 billion [5] - Operating income grew by 8.3% to $614.4 million, resulting in an operating margin of 31%, and earnings per share (EPS) increased by 11% to $3.33, exceeding expectations of $2.76 [6] Market Dynamics - Deckers faced challenges from tariffs and weak consumer discretionary spending in the U.S., leading to a 46% decline in stock value over the past year [3][4] - However, the company showed improvement in both wholesale and direct-to-consumer channels, with domestic sales recovering to 2.7% growth and international sales up by 15% [7] Future Guidance - Management raised its fiscal year revenue guidance to $5.4 billion-$5.425 billion, with Hoka expected to grow by a mid-teens percentage and Ugg by a mid-single-digit percentage [8] - Projected EPS for the fiscal year is now $6.80-$6.85, up from previous guidance of $6.30-$6.39 [8] Valuation and Sentiment - Deckers' stock is currently trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 17, which is attractive compared to the S&P 500's P/E ratio of around 28 [11] - The company has consistently beaten earnings estimates over the last four quarters, with a cumulative surprise of 26% [10] Strategic Outlook - The strong Q3 results suggest a solid outlook for fiscal 2027, with potential acceleration in growth due to the removal of a $110 million tariff headwind and successful new product launches [12]

Core Insights - Deckers Brands' shares increased over 10% following the release of its Q3 fiscal 2026 earnings report, which showed strong financial performance [1] Financial Performance - Net sales for Q3 fiscal 2026 rose 7.1% to $1.96 billion, up from $1.83 billion in the same quarter last year [1] - Net income for Q3 was $481.15 million, or $3.33 per diluted share, compared to $456.73 million, or $3.00 per diluted share, in the prior year [1] Analyst Expectations - The reported results exceeded analysts' expectations, which forecasted net sales between $1.85 billion and $1.9 billion and diluted earnings per share between $2.67 and $2.88 [2] Brand Performance - Ugg brand net sales reached $1.31 billion, a 4.9% increase from $1.24 billion year-over-year [2] - Hoka brand net sales increased 18.5% to $628.9 million, up from $530.9 million in Q3 of the previous year [2] Other Brands Division - The "Other" brands division, including Teva and Ahnu, experienced a significant decline in net sales, dropping 55.5% to $23.2 million from $52.1 million [3] Sales Channels - Wholesale net sales increased 6% to $864.6 million compared to $815.8 million [4] - Direct-to-consumer channel net sales rose 8.1% to $1.09 billion from $1.01 billion year-over-year [4] Regional Performance - Domestic net sales increased 2.7% to $1.2 billion compared to $1.17 billion in Q3 2025 [4] - International net sales surged 15% to $756.7 million from $657.9 million [4] Strategic Insights - The CEO highlighted record revenue and earnings per share driven by strong global demand for Ugg and Hoka [5] - The company emphasized balanced growth in both direct-to-consumer and wholesale channels, with continued international momentum [6] Future Guidance - Deckers raised its full fiscal year 2026 guidance, expecting net sales between $5.4 billion and $5.43 billion, and diluted earnings per share between $6.80 and $6.85 [6]

Some on Wall Street continue to see Hoka growth, with Ugg trailing somewhat, as Deckers Brands gears up for its third quarter earnings release on Thursday. Analysts will want to know more in detail how wholesale orders shape up going forward, and how direct-to-consumer sales fared over the holiday season. And one interesting plus going forward for Ugg is its growth in men’s footwear. Meanwhile, high-income female earners could continue to help drive Hoka sales going forward. According to a TD Cowen study ...

Core Insights - Investors are adopting a bearish stance towards Deckers Outdoor, indicating potential significant market movements ahead [1] - The options activity shows a divided sentiment among investors, with 60% bearish and 20% bullish [2] Options Activity - There has been notable options activity for Deckers Outdoor, with 10 extraordinary options trades identified, including 2 puts totaling $56,200 and 8 calls amounting to $715,116 [2] - The mean open interest for Deckers Outdoor options trades is 458.83, with a total volume of 1,349.00 [4] Price Targets - Major market movers are focusing on a price range between $80.0 and $120.0 for Deckers Outdoor over the last three months [3] - Recent analyst ratings suggest an average target price of $110.5, with varying opinions from different analysts [9] Company Overview - Deckers Outdoor, founded in 1973, specializes in casual and performance footwear, apparel, and accessories, with Ugg and Hoka accounting for 51% and 45% of total sales in fiscal 2025 [8] - The company generates 64% of its sales in the United States and operates e-commerce in over 50 countries [8] Current Market Position - Deckers Outdoor's stock is currently trading at $102.27, down by 1.02%, with an anticipated earnings release in 7 days [10] - Analysts have varied ratings, with one downgrading to Underweight with a target of $85, while another maintains a Buy rating with a target of $130 [10]

Core Viewpoint - Deckers Brands is restructuring its brand portfolio by focusing resources on its core brands, HOKA and UGG, while discontinuing independent operations of Koolaburra and AHNU by the end of the third quarter of fiscal year 2026 [1][4]. Brand Strategy - The company currently owns five main brands: UGG, HOKA, Teva, AHNU, and Koolaburra, with UGG and HOKA having higher brand recognition in the Chinese market [3]. - Koolaburra's exit from independent operations has been anticipated, with the company gradually ceasing operations since the third quarter of fiscal year 2025 [4]. - Deckers Brands has also sold its Sanuk brand, indicating a trend of brand portfolio simplification [4]. Management Changes - The restructuring may be linked to changes in the management structure, with a shift in focus from distribution channels to brand performance under the new COO [5]. - Stefano Caroti, the current CEO and COO, has a background in senior management roles at Nike and PUMA, which may influence the company's strategic direction [5]. Financial Performance - For fiscal year 2025, Deckers Brands reported net sales of $4.986 billion, a 16.3% increase, primarily driven by HOKA and UGG, despite declines in other brands [6]. - HOKA's growth rate has shown signs of slowing, with a 11.1% increase in net sales for the second quarter of fiscal year 2026, down from 34.7% in the previous year [6]. - UGG's sales are influenced by seasonal factors, with efforts to mitigate these through product line expansion [8]. Market Outlook - Despite strong performance in 2025, analysts express concerns about the sustainability of growth in 2026, with Piper Sandler downgrading the stock rating from "neutral" to "underweight" [9]. - The competitive landscape in the footwear and apparel industry remains intense, with increasing pressure on pricing and inventory management as more competitors enter the market [8].

Group 1 - Deckers Outdoor Corporation, known for brands like UGG, HOKA, and Teva, has faced significant challenges, with a stock decline of 49% in 2025, making it the fourth worst performer in its category [1] - The company's growth driver, HOKA, has experienced a slowdown over the past few quarters, raising concerns about its future performance [1] - Despite the current stock trading at approximately 16 times this year's earnings estimates, there is skepticism about its recovery, as attempts to invest have often resulted in losses for investors [1] Group 2 - Deckers sells footwear, apparel, and accessories for both casual and high-performance use under various brands, including UGG, HOKA, Teva, Koolaburra, and AHNU [2]

Core Insights - Deckers Outdoor (DECK) has experienced a significant decline in share price, dropping nearly 50% over the past 52 weeks, while the S&P 500 Index has increased by 17% during the same period [1][2] Company Performance - Despite the stock decline, Deckers has reported topline growth and increased profitability, raising questions about potential dip-buying opportunities for investors [3] - Deckers' Q2 Fiscal 2026 results showed quarterly net sales of $1.43 billion, representing a 9.1% year-over-year increase, surpassing Wall Street expectations of $1.41 billion [7] - The UGG and HOKA brands are the primary drivers of Deckers' sales, accounting for over 90% of net sales in the second quarter [7] Market Position - Deckers maintains a strong position in the international footwear and lifestyle industry, with a market capitalization of $15.6 billion [4] - The company's price-to-earnings ratio stands at 16 times, which is lower than the industry average, making the stock relatively cheap compared to peers [6] Stock Performance - DECK stock has shown some recovery in the second half of the previous year, gaining 4% over the past three months, although it remains down 52% from its 52-week high of $223.98 reached in January 2025 [5] - The stock also hit a 52-week low of $78.91 in November but has since increased by 34% from that level [5]

Core Viewpoint - Deckers Outdoor Corporation, with a market cap of $15.1 billion, is a global footwear and apparel company known for brands like UGG and HOKA, focusing on casual lifestyle and high-performance products [1] Financial Performance - Analysts predict Deckers to report an EPS of $2.76 for fiscal Q3 2026, an 8% decline from $3 in the same quarter last year, although the company has consistently surpassed earnings estimates in the past four quarters [2] - For fiscal 2026, the expected EPS is $6.41, reflecting a 1.3% increase from $6.33 in fiscal 2024, with further growth anticipated to $6.80 in fiscal 2027, a 6.1% year-over-year increase [3] Stock Performance - Deckers Outdoor shares have decreased by 49.9% over the past 52 weeks, underperforming the S&P 500 Index's 16.9% gain and the State Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF's 5.2% return [4] - Following the Q2 2026 results announcement, shares fell by 15.2% due to a weaker-than-expected outlook, with management forecasting full-year sales of approximately $5.35 billion, which is below analysts' consensus [5] Analyst Sentiment - The consensus rating for DECK stock is "Moderate Buy," with 25 analysts covering the stock: nine recommend "Strong Buy," one "Moderate Buy," 13 "Hold," and two "Strong Sell." The average price target is $109.91, indicating a potential upside of nearly 6% from current levels [6]

Group 1 - Deckers Outdoor Corporation (NYSE:DECK) is facing skepticism regarding its recent stock rebound, with a suggestion that its momentum is not strong [1] - The company is compared unfavorably to Nike, which is recommended as a better investment opportunity for the next five years [1] - Deckers sells footwear, apparel, and accessories under various brands including UGG, HOKA, Teva, Koolaburra, and AHNU [2] Group 2 - There is a belief that certain AI stocks may offer greater upside potential and carry less downside risk compared to Deckers [3]

Core Insights - Deckers Outdoor Corporation, based in Goleta, California, is a prominent designer and producer of niche footwear and accessories, with a market cap of $14.5 billion and brands including UGG, HOKA, Teva, Sanuk, and Koolaburra [1][2] Financial Performance - Despite a solid Q2 performance with a 9.1% year-over-year revenue increase to $1.4 billion, DECK stock fell 15.2% post-earnings release, indicating market disappointment [5] - The earnings per share (EPS) grew 14.5% year-over-year to $1.82, exceeding consensus estimates [5] - Revenue growth was primarily driven by a 13.4% increase in wholesale revenues, while direct-to-consumer (DTC) revenues declined by 80 basis points compared to the previous year [6] Stock Performance - DECK stock has experienced a significant decline of 55.5% from its all-time high of $223.98 on January 30, and a 50.9% drop year-to-date [3][4] - Over the past 52 weeks, DECK stock has decreased by 50.4%, contrasting with the S&P 500 Index's 16.8% increase [4] - The stock has consistently traded below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, indicating a bearish trend [4] Market Position - Deckers has underperformed compared to its peer, Skechers U.S.A., which saw a 6.1% decline in 2025 and a 3.8% drop over the past 52 weeks [7] - Among 25 analysts covering DECK stock, the consensus rating is a "Moderate Buy," with a mean price target of $110.62, suggesting an 11% upside potential from current levels [7]