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Why 2026 may bring modest gains and more volatility, David Katz, Matrix
Youtube· 2025-12-30 12:14
So David, first and foremost, are you a believer in the Santa Claus rally. And I want to go back to the action we saw yesterday. Uh major indices lower.A lot of people thought it was profit taking specifically when it comes to tech. All right, that was yesterday. If you look throughout the month, you're seeing the eco weight outperforming the market cap weighted.That's kind of a sign of broadening. Can we get a Santa Claus rally. Can we get a strong start to the year if people are broadening out.>> Well, we ...
Stock Market Today: S&P 500, Dow Jones Futures Trade Mixed Amid Blip In Santa Claus Rally—Boeing, Freeport-McMoRan, Fonar In Focus - SPDR S&P 500 (ARCA:SPY)
Benzinga· 2025-12-30 10:21
U.S. stock futures swung between gains and losses on Tuesday after Monday’s declines. Futures of major benchmark indices were mixed.The Santa Claus rally, which began on Dec. 24 last week, seems to have resumed gains after a day of losses on Monday.Meanwhile, President Donald Trump escalated his long-standing conflict with Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on Monday by threatening a lawsuit over alleged “gross incompetence,” a move that has reignited concerns regarding central bank independence just month ...
US stocks end down as tech shares drop ahead of New Year
The Economic Times· 2025-12-30 01:58
"This ‌is (not) the beginning of ‌the end of the tech dominance, it'll turn out to be a buying opportunity," said Hank Smith, director and head of investment strategy at Haverford Trust. "A big reason for that is the top tech names, ‌excluding Tesla, do not have challenging valuations given their growth rate, the moat around their business and their financial strength, which is unparalleled." The S&P 500 lost 24.20 points, or 0.35%, to 6,905.74 and the The Materials slipped, with precious-metal miners sl ...
Lloyd: Gold Still a Buy, GOOGL & MSFT to Outperform AMZN in 2026
Youtube· 2025-12-29 23:00
Market Overview - The S&P 500 and NASDAQ experienced a rebound in December after being down approximately 7% from their peak a month prior, driven by increased liquidity in the market [2] - The Federal Reserve is actively injecting liquidity into the stock market on a weekly basis, contributing to a favorable market environment [3] Commodities Insights - Gold prices have seen a significant drop of $131, raising questions about whether this presents a buying opportunity; generally, it is viewed as such despite potential volatility [4][5] - The demand for commodities, particularly copper, is expected to rise significantly due to its essential role in AI infrastructure, with copper prices projected at $12,000 per ton [8][9] AI and Technology Sector - The AI trade is anticipated to expand in 2026, with a focus on second and third derivative plays as liquidity flows into various sectors [11] - Companies like MEI, which operates in the fintech and AI space, are seen as potential investment opportunities, especially as they are currently down about 20% from their highs [12] Stock Picks and Predictions - Microsoft and Google are favored over Amazon in the "MAG 7" stocks due to their growth potential, particularly in cloud services and chip infrastructure [14] - Blue Owl Capital is highlighted as a bullish asset management firm, benefiting from a lower rate environment and strong liquidity for acquisitions [15] - Coreweave, a high beta name in the AI space, is noted for its potential to benefit from strong liquidity, although it carries significant risk [17] Market Forecast - The S&P 500 is projected to end the year close to 7,000, with an expected increase of 5-10% from current levels, although the MAG 7 may not perform as well as other stocks [18][19]
Stock market today: Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq slip as Santa Claus rally stumbles amid Nvidia, Tesla slide
Yahoo Finance· 2025-12-29 21:01
US stocks slipped Monday to start the final three days of trading in a rollercoaster 2025 that looks likely to end with sizable gains. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) declined 0.5%, as shares of megacaps Nvidia (NVDA) and Tesla (TSLA) both fell over 1.2%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) also fell 0.5%, while the S&P 500 (^GSPC) dipped around 0.3%. Meanwhile, volatility gripped the precious metals trade after a furious rally to all-time highs. Silver (SI=F) retreated, plummeting as much a ...
S&P 500 Drops. The Market Is Headed for a Risk-Off New Year.
Barrons· 2025-12-29 21:01
The stock market erased its Santa Claus rally gains on Monday as Wall Street sold precious metals and technology stocks.The Nasdaq Composite fell 0.5%. The S&P 500 dropped 0.4%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 260 points, or 0.5%.Wall Street was generally in risk-off mode, as low volatility exchange-traded funds outperformed the broader market. Bond prices also rallied, sending yields lower. ...
The final push for the year
Youtube· 2025-12-29 18:35
分组1 - The market is currently experiencing profit-taking, which is reflected in the recent volatility and movements in precious metals, particularly silver [1][3][4] - The environment in 2026 is expected to be more challenging, characterized by fits and starts rather than a straightforward upward trend, indicating a shift towards a rental market rather than an ownership market [2][4] - There is anticipation of significant volatility in 2026, particularly surrounding the Supreme Court's decision on tariffs, which could create uncertainty and impact market stability [5][10][12] 分组2 - Earnings expectations for the S&P 500 are projected to grow by 15% year-over-year, but even a slight miss could lead to volatility given the market's current valuation [11][22] - The sectors expected to perform well in 2026 include financials, industrials, materials, energy, and healthcare, with a tactical preference for equal-weighted S&P 500 investments [12][13][29] - The market is currently showing strong performance in healthcare, while other sectors like technology may experience more volatility, necessitating careful positioning and risk management [25][26][28]
Wall Street cools after tech rally as 2025 comes to an end
Fastcompany· 2025-12-29 18:11
Market Overview - Wall Street's main indexes started the final week of the year on a softer note, with technology stocks retreating from previous gains that had pushed the S&P 500 to record highs [1] - The S&P 500 has added approximately 17% year-to-date, driven by enthusiasm around AI, despite earlier investor diversification away from U.S. stocks [6] Sector Performance - The information technology sector negatively impacted the S&P 500, with notable declines in major tech stocks such as Nvidia (down 1.8%), Broadcom (down 1%), and Palantir Technologies (down 1.4%) [1] - The materials sector slipped by 1%, influenced by a sharp drop in silver prices after previously exceeding $80 per ounce, while gold also fell [3] - Energy stocks gained the most, increasing by 1.2%, in line with a 2% rise in oil prices [3] Investor Sentiment - Some investors are anticipating a "Santa Claus rally," a seasonal trend where the S&P 500 typically sees gains in the last five trading days of the year and the first two in January [4] - Despite concerns over high valuations in technology, the bull market that began in October 2022 remains intact, supported by optimism around AI, interest-rate cuts, and a resilient economy [5] Trading Activity - Trading volumes are expected to be light due to the holiday season, with U.S. markets closed on New Year's Day [7] - On the NYSE, declining issues outnumbered advancers by a ratio of 1.85-to-1, and on the Nasdaq, the ratio was 2.56-to-1 [7] Notable Developments - DigitalBridge saw a significant gain of 9.6% as Japan's SoftBank Group is set to acquire the digital infrastructure investor in a deal valued at $4 billion [6] - The S&P 500 recorded 9 new 52-week highs and one new low, while the Nasdaq Composite noted 22 new highs and 177 new lows [8]
The Big 3: GLD, OKLO, BA
Youtube· 2025-12-29 18:00
Welcome back to Trading 360. I'm Jenny Horn and it's time for the big three. Three stocks, three charts, and three trades.Rick Dukat of course will take us through the charts and here to take us through the trades is Scott Bower, CEO of Prosper Trading Academy. So Scott, thank you so much for being with us and of course Rick, thank you as well. But wanted to get your big picture thoughts right now on this market as we close out this year.>> Sure. Sure. I mean, everyone's, you know, looking for Santa Claus a ...
2026 market drivers, Elon Musk tweets silver pullback is not good, Nvidia's Groq deal
Youtube· 2025-12-29 15:30
Market Overview - Precious metals trade is experiencing a decline, with silver prices down nearly 3% after reaching a record above $80 an ounce, and its market cap briefly surpassing Nvidia's at $4.63 trillion [1][2] - Bitcoin has broken out of an 11-week downtrend, trading above $90,000, although it has since pulled back [2][3] - Major indices, including the Dow Jones, S&P 500, and Nasdaq, are up by double-digit percentages year-to-date, but are showing bearish trends ahead of the holiday trading week [4] Industry Insights - Chris Versace from Tamatica Research notes that investors are preparing for 2026, with a focus on upcoming earnings growth and the CES event potentially driving new AI adoption [5][6] - Edardini expects productivity growth to drive momentum into 2026, with bullish S&P 500 targets as high as 7,100, and earnings growth of about 10% anticipated [8][9] - There is a broadening out of the AI trade beyond the MAG 7 stocks, with expectations that AI users will also contribute to productivity growth [10][11] Commodity Market Dynamics - Silver's price surge has raised concerns about its impact on industrial applications, especially with China imposing export restrictions starting January 1 [13][16] - The precious metals market has seen significant volatility, with silver prices increasing by 155% over the past year before recent declines [15] - The demand for industrial metals remains high, which could affect profit margins for companies reliant on these materials [17][18] Company Developments - Digital Bridge shares surged after SoftBank announced a $4 billion acquisition, focusing on data centers and digital infrastructure [33] - Nvidia completed a stock sale to Intel, acquiring over 200 million shares, as part of a $5 billion stake [34] - Lululemon's founder is initiating a proxy fight to change the board amid a 40% stock decline this year, with Elliot Investment Management also involved [36] Strategic Moves in Tech - Nvidia's $20 billion acquisition of Grock has raised questions due to the lack of an SEC filing, indicating a significant competitive move in the AI space [39][40] - Amazon's stock performance is under scrutiny, with concerns about AWS growth and its potential as an AI player [45][46] - Marll is highlighted as a key tech stock for the upcoming year, benefiting from increased AI adoption and network congestion [53]