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Too early to tell if AI is in a bubble, says Goldman Sachs' Kim Posnett
Youtube· 2025-11-19 19:39
Core Insights - AI is perceived as transformative and value-creating across various industries, with potential for broader applicability compared to previous tech innovations [2][4] - Historical analysis indicates that 75% of major tech innovations over the past 175 years led to equity price bubbles, but the current environment does not yet reflect an AI bubble [3][4] - The path of AI development is expected to be upward over time, albeit with fluctuations and varying success among companies [4][5] Capital Allocation and Debt Issuance - Significant capital raising is primarily driven by hyperscalers, with debt investors eager to gain exposure to these large, diversified businesses [7][8] - Despite increased debt issuance, hyperscalers maintain healthy credit metrics and still possess substantial debt capacity [8][9] - The heavy supply of debt has led to a slight widening of credit spreads, reflecting a recalibration by debt investors [9] Strategic Partnerships and Market Dynamics - The interconnectedness of deals among model companies, infrastructure providers, and hyperscalers raises concerns about elevated risks, especially during market corrections [10][12] - The current macroeconomic environment is favorable, with a pro-growth US administration and robust public market valuations contributing to increased CEO confidence [14][15] - This confidence is driving a rise in M&A and IPO activity, fueled by the growth potential of AI across sectors [15]
Dow Jones Today: Stock Indexes Mostly Rise Ahead of Nvidia Earnings; S&P 500 on Pace to End 4-Session Skid
Investopedia· 2025-11-19 17:00
Market Overview - Major stock indexes mostly rose, with the Nasdaq and S&P 500 advancing 0.4% and 0.2% respectively, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average slipped 0.3% [2] - The S&P 500 was on pace to snap a four-session losing streak [1][16] - Investors are focused on Nvidia's upcoming quarterly results, which could have significant implications for the AI trade and the broader market [2][11] Nvidia and AI Sector - Nvidia's shares have fallen nearly 5% this week and are down more than 12% from their closing high on October 29 [2] - Concerns about AI valuations are prevalent, with 45% of fund managers surveyed by Bank of America citing an AI bubble as the biggest tail risk for the market [14] - Peter Thiel's hedge fund sold its entire stake in Nvidia during the third quarter, raising concerns among investors [23][24] Retail Sector Performance - Lowe's shares surged 5% after reporting a third-quarter profit that exceeded analysts' expectations and raising its full-year sales projection to $86 billion [4][10] - Home Depot's stock fell 6% after reporting disappointing profits and cutting its full-year outlook [4] - Target's stock declined about 1% after missing sales estimates and lowering its full-year profit forecast [5] Other Notable Companies - Microsoft shares fell 2.7% after announcing partnerships with Nvidia and Anthropic, and were down more than 1% recently [3] - Amazon's stock slipped 0.2% following a 4.4% drop due to a rating cut [5] - Alphabet's shares jumped 4% to an all-time high after announcing its latest AI model, Gemini 3 [3] Economic Indicators - Investors are awaiting the delayed September jobs report, originally scheduled for October 3, due to the U.S. government shutdown [2] - The Cboe Volatility Index (VIX) is near its highest level since May, indicating increased market anxiety [12][13]
Target issues warning ahead of the holidays, Upwork CEO discusses AI and the freelance economy
Youtube· 2025-11-19 16:51
Hello, hello. Good Wednesday morning from Yahoo Finance's New York City headquarters studios. I'm Yao Finance executive editor Brian Sazi.The day has arrived. It's Nvidia earnings day after the close and by judging what Nvidia founder and CEO Jensen Wong was doing last night. He thinks the earnings results will crush.Let's put up a photo here. There you can see Jensen uh just hanging out at the White House with Nvidia chip users. Elon Musk of Tesla and opening eyes.Greg Brockman. No clue if AI's David Saxs ...
Is Meta Stock a Buy or a Sell Before Michael Burry Drops His Bombshell on November 25?
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-19 16:46
Core Insights - Meta Platforms has experienced a significant decline, losing nearly 25% of its value from its peak and entering a bear market, with stock prices dropping below $600 [1] - Following the Q3 2025 earnings release, Meta's stock fell below $700 due to increased capex guidance for 2025 and anticipated higher expenses in 2026, raising market concerns about tech companies' AI-related capital expenditures [2] - Meta's 2025 capex is projected to be around 36% of the expected $199 billion in revenue, indicating aggressive investment in AI despite scrutiny over the AI stock rally [4] Financial Performance - The company raised the midpoint of its 2025 capex guidance, indicating "upward pressure" on capital expenditures and expenses for 2026, which will be "notably larger" than in 2025 [2] - Analysts predict Meta will generate $199 billion in revenue in 2025, with a significant portion allocated to AI capex [4] Market Sentiment - Michael Burry has raised concerns about potential accounting fraud among Big Tech companies, including Meta, suggesting that they may be overstating earnings by 20.8% by 2028 due to depreciation accounting practices [5] - The debate around the AI bubble is polarized, with some analysts like Dan Ives maintaining a bullish outlook on Meta, setting a target price of $920, while others express skepticism [6]
3 AI-Driven Dividend Stocks That Still Offer Real Value
247Wallst· 2025-11-19 16:45
Even as the investing world continues to debate whether we are or are not in an "AI bubble,†there shouldn't be any question whether AI-driven dividend stocks are still enjoying a moment. ...
Here’s What Suze Orman Thinks You Should Do When Market Volatility Strikes
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-19 15:47
Stephen Lovekin/Getty Images Quick Read Suze Orman advises investors to stay diversified and consistent through market volatility rather than panic selling. A 3-4% drop in the S&P 500 represents a mild decline that doesn’t warrant panic. Dollar-cost averaging removes timing pressure and keeps investors buying during market dips. If you’re thinking about retiring or know someone who is, there are three quick questions causing many Americans to realize they can retire earlier than expected. take 5 m ...
Tesla Stock’s Rally Hits the Brakes: Time to Sell?
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-19 15:23
Core Viewpoint - Tesla's stock has experienced significant volatility, recently falling to around $400 per share after facing resistance near $470, raising concerns among investors about the future trajectory of the stock amidst a broader tech market downturn [1][2]. Company Performance - Tesla's shares dropped nearly 10% over the past five sessions, trading at 181 times forward earnings, indicating a high valuation relative to earnings [6]. - The company received a ride-hailing permit from Arizona for its robotaxi rollout, which could enhance its market position in the autonomous vehicle sector [6]. Market Sentiment - There is a growing bearish sentiment towards Tesla and other AI-related stocks, with notable investors like Bill Gates reportedly betting against Tesla, although it is unclear if he still holds a short position [2]. - The emergence of short-sellers and calls for a correction in the tech sector suggest a challenging environment for net buyers of big tech stocks [3]. Investment Outlook - The valuation of Tesla remains complex, with opinions divided on whether it is undervalued or overvalued compared to other AI stocks. The company is considered one of the more difficult stocks to value among the "Magnificent Seven" tech stocks [5]. - Analysts have raised Tesla's price target to $508 from $483, driven by optimism surrounding its full self-driving technology [6].
NVDA Impact on Overall Market, FOMC Minutes Later Today
Youtube· 2025-11-19 14:46
Company Insights - Nvidia is positioned to have a significant impact on the market, with many high-profile companies expected to move based on Nvidia's earnings report [2][3] - The anticipation surrounding Nvidia's earnings is heightened due to the recent earnings reports from large-cap tech companies, making this a pivotal moment for the stock [3] - Concerns about an AI bubble are influencing trading behavior not only in Nvidia but also in related companies, with expectations that Nvidia's results will clarify market uncertainties [4] Analyst Sentiment - The analyst community remains overwhelmingly positive on Nvidia, with 60 buy ratings, 5 holds, and only 1 sell rating, indicating strong confidence in the company's future performance [5] - While some money managers suggest taking profits due to high concentration in Nvidia and similar stocks, institutional investors are required to maintain heavier weightings in these names [6] Market Context - The upcoming Fed minutes are anticipated to be a market-moving event, with discussions around labor market conditions and inflation influencing investor sentiment [7][9] - Recent comments from Fed officials suggest a shift in focus towards the labor market rather than inflation, which could impact future rate hike expectations [10][11] - Crude oil futures have seen a significant decline, dropping towards $59, which may also affect inflation discussions and overall market dynamics [12]
What's The Downside Risk For META Stock Amid AI Bubble
Forbes· 2025-11-19 14:10
Core Insights - META Platforms stock has experienced an 18.4% decline over 21 trading days, raising investor concerns about its spending on AI and Reality Labs [2] - The decline prompts questions about whether it is a temporary setback or indicative of deeper issues, particularly amid fears of an "AI bubble" [3] - The company has committed nearly $600 billion to AI initiatives and data centers, significantly outpacing competitors [5] Financial Performance - META has a market capitalization of $1.5 trillion and reported $189 billion in revenue, with a revenue growth of 21.3% and an operating margin of 43.2% over the last 12 months [10] - The stock is currently trading at $597.69, with a P/E multiple of 25.7 and a P/EBIT multiple of 17.7 [10] - Historically, the stock has returned a median of 74.5% within a year following previous sharp declines since 2010 [10] Business Challenges - There is a deceleration in META's core business growth, particularly in ad revenue, which is crucial for funding AI and Reality Labs investments [7] - Concerns arise regarding the sustainability of META's spending without severely impacting profitability or increasing debt [7] - Unlike Amazon, META's AI initiatives focus on product development, making ROI predictions more challenging [7] Stock Resilience - The stock has underperformed compared to the S&P 500 during economic downturns, raising questions about its resilience if market conditions worsen [8] - Historical performance shows that META stock fell 76.7% from a peak in September 2021 to November 2022, while the S&P 500 saw a peak-to-trough decline of 25.4% [12] - The stock has shown recovery patterns, bouncing back to pre-crisis highs after significant declines [12][17] Strategic Outlook - CEO Mark Zuckerberg views AI investment as revolutionary and essential for future innovation, preferring the risk of over-investing [11] - However, there are concerns about the potential for an AI bubble due to the scale and speed of investments, with long timelines for financial returns [11]
Elevation offloads Paytm stake; Souring Bira bet
The Economic Times· 2025-11-19 13:37
Elevation Capital and Paytm - Elevation Capital sold 2% of its stake in Paytm for ₹1,556 crore, marking its first sale since the fintech's 2021 listing [5][22] - The investment had previously dropped to ₹3,800 crore in February 2024 but has since recovered to a value of ₹11,150 crore [22] - Elevation has realized approximately ₹7,300 crore from Paytm shares, achieving a total paper gain close to 35x on its investment held since 2007 [3][24] Kirin Holdings and Bira 91 - Kirin Holdings is seeking to divest from B9 Beverages, the maker of Bira 91, due to financial strains and has asked founder Ankur Jain to find a new strategic investor [9][24] - Kirin, which holds a 20% stake in B9, is also looking to offload debt extended to the company [9] - The rebranding efforts for Bira 91 have led to sales disruptions, causing inventory write-offs and financial difficulties [24] Groww's Stock Performance - Groww's stock experienced a significant drop after a near 90% increase from its listing price, hitting its lower circuit limit [7][24] - The stock climbed to ₹193.80 before profit-taking triggered a rapid decline, closing just below ₹170 [24] Lightspeed Venture Partners on AI - Lightspeed's Ravi Mhatre discussed the current AI wave, emphasizing that only businesses solving real problems will endure [12][24] - Mhatre noted that India is evolving from a large user market to a hub for AI-assisted labor, automating repetitive tasks while humans manage workflows [12][24] - The firm acknowledged the existence of a valuation bubble in the AI sector but maintained that the transformation is significant and real [12][24] Raise Financial and Stratzy Acquisition - Raise Financial acquired algo trading platform Stratzy in a cash-and-stock deal valued at $4-4.5 million [20][24] - Stratzy will operate as an independent entity under Raise, enhancing Dhan's technology stack for automated investing [20][24] Meta's Legal Victory - A US judge ruled that Meta's acquisitions of Instagram and WhatsApp did not violate antitrust laws, allowing the company to maintain its current structure [22][24] - The ruling has restored confidence in Meta's long-term strategy and its ability to compete in the social networking space [22][24]