Core Viewpoint - The company reported a significant decline in revenue and net profit for 1H25, but there are signs of recovery in Q2, driven by strong overseas demand and expected price increases in the glass market [1][2]. Financial Performance - 1H25 revenue was 7.737 billion yuan, down 28% year-on-year; net profit attributable to shareholders was 261 million yuan, down 83%, with earnings per share at 0.11 yuan [1]. - Q2 revenue reached 3.658 billion yuan, down 26% year-on-year and down 10% quarter-on-quarter; net profit was 155 million yuan, down 79% year-on-year but up 46% quarter-on-quarter [1]. Industry Trends - The decline in revenue was primarily due to falling glass prices, while overseas sales contributed significantly to profits, with overseas revenue accounting for 30.07% of total sales in 1H25 [1]. - The company has reduced production capacity by conducting cold repairs on three glass furnaces, resulting in a current production capacity of 16,400 tons per day, which is a year-on-year decrease [1]. - The gross margin for Q2 was 16.65%, down 9.8 percentage points year-on-year but up 4.9 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, indicating a recovery trend [1]. Market Outlook - The industry is expected to reach a supply-demand balance in the second half of the year, with price increases anticipated in September, benefiting leading companies [2]. - The glass industry has seen a short-term supply-demand imbalance due to production ramp-up in March and April, but leading companies have begun to reduce production, leading to a downward trend in capacity [2]. - A rapid decrease in glass inventory days is expected to drive up glass prices, with a forecasted increase of 2 yuan per square meter for photovoltaic glass in September [2]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company maintains its profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026, with a target price of 18.51 yuan for A-shares, representing a 12% upside potential based on a P/B ratio of 2/1.9x for 2025/2026 [2]. - The target price for H-shares remains at 13.3 HKD, indicating a 31% upside potential based on a P/B ratio of 1.3/1.2x for 2025/2026 [2].

Group 1 - The photovoltaic industry showed marginal improvement in Q2 performance, with expectations for measures to curb low-price competition and improve industry standards in the second half of the year [1] - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology emphasized the need to curb low-price disorderly competition and promote the orderly exit of backward production capacity during a recent industry meeting [1] - The photovoltaic industry is currently at a historically low valuation level, presenting an opportunity for valuation recovery under the backdrop of anti-involution policies [1] Group 2 - After the end of the domestic photovoltaic installation rush, new installation demand has significantly declined, with July's new capacity down 47.55% year-on-year [2] - The export of photovoltaic components remains weak, with a 3% month-on-month decrease in June [2] - The demand in the Asia-Pacific market continues to decline, while imports in the Middle East, Americas, and Africa are increasing [2] Group 3 - The supply of polysilicon has increased month-on-month, but the overall supply-demand situation remains unbalanced [3] - Major manufacturers are reducing production to alleviate inventory pressure, leading to a decrease in the supply of silicon wafers [3] - The inventory days for photovoltaic glass have returned to previous low levels due to production cuts by leading companies [3] Group 4 - Prices in the photovoltaic industry chain have remained stable, with slight increases in polysilicon prices and minor rebounds in silicon wafer and solar cell prices [4] - The "anti-involution" policy has not yet been formally implemented, leading to moderate price increases [4] - Short-term price trends are expected to remain stable [4]

Report Summary 1. Market Performance Review and Outlook - The price of the main polycrystalline silicon contract continued to fluctuate at a high level. The closing price of PS2511 was 49,665 yuan/ton, down 0.10%. The trading volume was 376,304 lots, and the open interest was 143,912 lots, with a net decrease of 10,625 lots [4]. - The transaction price range of n-type re-feeding polycrystalline silicon was 46,000 - 51,000 yuan/ton, with an average transaction price of 47,900 yuan/ton, remaining unchanged week-on-week. The polycrystalline silicon output in August will increase to 125,000 tons, and in September, it will enter the stage of production restriction and sales control, but the monthly output is expected to remain above 120,000 tons. The demand is simply calculated to be 56.8GW, higher than the expected output of solar cells. The downward pressure on terminal demand will gradually be transmitted to the upstream of the industrial chain. The domestic new photovoltaic installed capacity in July was only 11GW, and the fundamentals remained loose. The rigid spot price provides strong support for the futures price, but the implementation of policies has not been significantly reflected in the fundamentals. The weak terminal demand pressure is emerging, and the high-level warehouse receipts continue to increase, so the futures price is under pressure and will mainly fluctuate widely [4]. 2. Market News - On August 28, the number of polycrystalline silicon warehouse receipts was 6,880 lots, unchanged from the previous trading day [5]. - As of August 22, many photovoltaic listed companies, including LONGi Green Energy, Tongwei Co., Ltd., and Trina Solar, released their first-half "report cards". Some photovoltaic module manufacturers such as Aikosolar Co., Ltd. and Hongyuan Green Energy showed signs of performance improvement, achieving loss reduction or turning losses into profits in the first half of the year. Experts believe that in the context of the continuous advancement of the "anti-involution" process in the photovoltaic industry, as the price adjustment in the polycrystalline silicon segment is gradually accepted by the downstream market, the module price will soon return to the cost line. The whole industry maintaining low-load production and low gross profit margins may become the norm. In addition, promoting "anti-involution" in the photovoltaic industry cannot only focus on the manufacturing end, and the role of the asset end is also crucial [5]. - From January to July 2025, the cumulative photovoltaic installed capacity reached 1,109.6GW, and the new installed capacity from January to July was 223.25GW. The new installed capacity in July was 11GW, a year-on-year decrease of 47.7%, hitting a new low in 2025 [5].

Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic glass industry is experiencing price adjustments and production capacity reductions due to declining sales and increased competition, with leading company Fulete facing significant revenue and profit declines in the first half of 2025 [1][2][3]. Company Summary - Fulete's revenue for the first half of 2025 was 7.737 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 27.66%, with net profit down 82.58% to 261 million yuan, attributed to falling sales prices and volumes of photovoltaic glass [1]. - The contribution of photovoltaic glass to Fulete's revenue has dropped below 90% for the first time in two years, with 89.76% in the first half of 2025, down from 91.42% in 2023 [2]. - Fulete has reduced its production capacity by cooling three glass furnaces, resulting in a current daily melting capacity of 16,400 tons, down from 19,400 tons at the end of 2024 [2]. Industry Summary - The photovoltaic glass industry has seen a significant reduction in production capacity, with domestic capacity dropping from 100,000 tons per day at the end of May to 89,000 tons per day by the end of July [4]. - The industry is experiencing a rebound in glass prices due to low inventory levels and increased demand from downstream component manufacturers, with the price of 2.0mm glass rising from a low of 10.5 yuan to 11 yuan per square meter [4][6]. - Recent government measures aim to combat below-cost sales, which may help stabilize prices and encourage the exit of less competitive production capacities [4][6].

Core Viewpoint - JinkoSolar's performance has been significantly impacted by intensified market competition, resulting in a substantial decline in revenue and a shift from profit to loss in the first half of 2025 [1][6][12]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, JinkoSolar reported revenue of 31.83 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 32.63% [6][14]. - The company incurred a net loss of 2.91 billion yuan, compared to a net profit of 1.2 billion yuan in the same period last year, marking a significant shift from profit to loss [6][14]. - The basic earnings per share were -0.29 yuan, a decline of 341.67% compared to the previous year [8][14]. - Total assets at the end of the reporting period were 119.1 billion yuan, with a net asset value of 29.4 billion yuan, reflecting a decrease of 8.99% year-on-year [8][14]. Market Position and Competitors - JinkoSolar's stock price has been on a downward trend since October last year, with a cumulative decline of over 22% year-to-date, making it the worst performer among the top five companies in the photovoltaic equipment sector [2][4][5]. - In comparison, other major players like Tongwei Co., LONGi Green Energy, and Daqo New Energy have shown positive performance, with year-to-date increases of 30.72%, 5.35%, and 21.09% respectively [5]. Industry Context - The photovoltaic industry is experiencing a significant downturn, with many companies reporting declining revenues and increasing losses. Out of 30 listed photovoltaic companies that have released their half-year reports, 20 reported a year-on-year revenue decline, and 15 reported net losses [12][13]. - The overall market is facing severe supply-demand imbalances and significant price drops, with average prices for mainstream models decreasing by 66.4% to 89.6% since 2020 [15][16]. Future Outlook - JinkoSolar is focusing on technological advancements and operational efficiency to navigate the current challenges in the industry. The company aims to enhance product quality and reduce costs through lean operations [10][19]. - There are signs of potential recovery in the industry, driven by government policies aimed at regulating competition and improving product quality, which may lead to better performance in the second half of the year [19][21].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a price increase of over 15% in the next 6-12 months [5][11]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 6.435 billion RMB for the first half of 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 4.87%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 181 million RMB, down 39.58% year-on-year. The second quarter showed a revenue of 3.441 billion RMB, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 14.93%, and a net profit of 91.1 million RMB, up 1.51% quarter-on-quarter, aligning with expectations [2]. - The company is focusing on rapid iteration in the photovoltaic paste product development to meet customer demands, achieving significant breakthroughs in various metallization technologies, which have led to a cumulative efficiency gain of 0.2% for the year [3]. - The company is extending its industrial chain and expanding its product matrix, with its subsidiary achieving mass production in non-photovoltaic silver paste fields and developing new generation encapsulation adhesives for photovoltaic modules [4]. Summary by Sections Performance Review - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 6.435 billion RMB, down 4.87% year-on-year, and a net profit of 181 million RMB, down 39.58% year-on-year. The second quarter saw a revenue of 3.441 billion RMB, up 14.93% quarter-on-quarter, and a net profit of 91.1 million RMB, up 1.51% quarter-on-quarter, meeting expectations [2]. Operational Analysis - The industry is experiencing an upward turning point, with a significant reduction in credit impairment provisions. The company's cash flow from operating activities in the second quarter was -979 million RMB, a decrease of 722.69% quarter-on-quarter. The company recorded an impairment loss of 39 million RMB in the second quarter, indicating potential recovery in cash flow and impairment situations as the photovoltaic industry continues to improve [2]. Product Development - The company has established a comprehensive technology matrix in the photovoltaic conductive paste field, achieving breakthroughs in high-performance silver paste and UV-resistant silver paste technologies, contributing to a significant reduction in battery costs [3]. Industry Chain Expansion - The company is expanding its product offerings beyond photovoltaic silver paste, with its subsidiary achieving mass production in various electronic paste products and developing advanced encapsulation adhesives for photovoltaic modules, addressing industry pain points [4]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The profit forecasts for 2025-2027 are adjusted to 411 million RMB, 506 million RMB, and 604 million RMB, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.70, 2.09, and 2.50 RMB. The current stock price corresponds to PE ratios of 31, 25, and 21 times [5].

Group 1 - The A-share market showed mixed performance on August 27, 2025, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 0.15%, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 0.83%, and the ChiNext Index increased by 1.72% [1] - The China Securities Regulatory Commission and other government bodies held a meeting on August 19 to discuss the photovoltaic industry, emphasizing four key points: strengthening industry regulation, curbing low-price disorderly competition, standardizing product quality, and supporting industry self-discipline [1] - Longjiang Securities believes that the anti-involution trend in the photovoltaic industry remains the main theme of the market, with stable prices in the supply chain and a focus on price transmission to downstream sectors [1] Group 2 - The ChiNext New Energy ETF Huaxia (159368) is the first ETF in the market tracking the ChiNext New Energy Index, covering various sectors such as batteries and photovoltaics, with strong growth potential [2] - The management fee for the ChiNext New Energy ETF Huaxia (159368) is 0.15%, and the custody fee is 0.05%, totaling only 0.2%, making it the lowest fee among similar products [2] - Investors are encouraged to continuously monitor investment opportunities in the new energy sector, given the favorable conditions and policies aligning with the industry [2]

Group 1: Company Performance - The company achieved a revenue of 23.905 billion CNY and a net profit attributable to shareholders of -2.580 billion CNY during the reporting period [2] - The total assets at the end of the reporting period were 105.598 billion CNY, with net assets attributable to shareholders amounting to 24.800 billion CNY [2] - The battery module shipment volume reached 33.79 GW, with overseas shipments accounting for approximately 45.93% [2][3] Group 2: Innovation and R&D - R&D investment for the first half of 2025 was 1.388 billion CNY, representing 5.81% of revenue [4] - The company holds a total of 2,072 valid patents, including 1,109 invention patents [4] - New product solutions were launched for various extreme environments, including "Desert Blue" and "Ocean Blue" products, enhancing product competitiveness [5] Group 3: Cost Management - The company established teams focused on cost reduction and efficiency improvement across various operational aspects [6] - Strategies include optimizing design costs, improving manufacturing costs, and enhancing supply chain collaboration [6] Group 4: Capacity and Technology Development - Current module capacity stands at 100 GW, with silicon wafer and battery capacities exceeding 80% and 70% of module capacity, respectively [7] - The N-type Bycium+ battery has achieved a maximum conversion efficiency of 27% [7] - The company is exploring various battery technology paths, including BC and perovskite technologies [7] Group 5: Global Strategy and Supply Chain - The company is optimizing its global logistics network to mitigate risks associated with international trade policies [8] - An international capital operation platform is being developed to enhance the company's global brand image and capital strength [9] Group 6: Market Outlook and Pricing - The overall component order prices are on an upward trend, with strategies tailored to different markets and scenarios [11] - The global installation demand is expected to increase by 15-18% in 2025 compared to 2024, primarily driven by China [12] - The company anticipates a gradual improvement in performance as the industry shifts towards high-quality development [14]

2025年8月26日早盘A股三大股指涨跌不一，沪指跌0.28%，深成指涨0.08%，创业板指跌0.45%。创 业板新能源 ETF 华夏（159368）小幅回调，下跌0.43%，持仓股天孚通信强势领涨，涨幅超15%。 创业板新能源ETF华夏（159368）是全市场首只上市跟踪创业板新能源指数的ETF基金，该指数主 要涵盖新能源和新能源汽车产业，涉及电池、光伏等多个细分领域，弹性大、成长性强，行业结构与反 内卷政策高度契合。此外，创业板新能源ETF华夏（159368）管理费率为0.15%，托管费率为0.05%，合 计仅为0.2%，同类产品费率最低档，助力大家"一键上车"快速把握投资机遇。如果看好未来新能源发展 投资机遇，建议持续关注。 每日经济新闻 （责任编辑：董萍萍 ） 【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点，与和讯网无关。和讯网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立，不对所包含内容 的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何明示或暗示的保证。请读者仅作参考，并请自行承担全部责任。邮箱： news_center@staff.hexun.com 消息面上，光伏组件厂商出现业绩改善信号。截至8月22日，包括隆基绿能、通威股份、天合光能 ...

Group 1 - The Hong Kong photovoltaic stocks generally rose, with notable increases including 3.5% for Shanshan New Energy, 2.5% for GCL-Poly Energy, and over 2% for Xinyi Solar [1][1][1] - The China Photovoltaic Industry Association recently issued an initiative to strengthen industry self-discipline, advocating for strict compliance with laws and regulations to combat malicious competition through pricing below cost [1][1][1] - Experts believe that as the process of "anti-involution" in the photovoltaic industry continues, the adjustment of polysilicon prices will gradually be accepted by the downstream market, leading to component prices returning to cost levels soon [1][1][1] Group 2 - The entire industry is expected to maintain low production loads and low profit margins as a new norm [1][1][1] - The push for "anti-involution" in the photovoltaic sector should not only focus on manufacturing but also emphasize the importance of the asset side [1][1][1]