吕特说："如果你们不（把军事化支出）提高到5%，包括3.5%的核心国防开支，你们仍然可以保留 医疗系统、养老金系统等等，但你们最好学会说俄语。" 北约将在6月晚些时候举行峰会，预计各成 员国将在此次峰会上被要求承诺到2030年代时将本国GDP的3.5%用于核心国防开支，另将GDP的 1.5%用于"国防相关支出"。北约的最新数据显示，今年可能会有23个成员国达到军费占GDP的2% 的目标，但仍有9个国家进展缓慢。外界也质疑，欧洲是否会通过削减医疗、养老金等社会开支来挤 出更多国防预算。 据央视新闻援引多家欧洲媒体报道，当地时间9日，北约秘书长吕特在伦敦与英国首相斯塔默会谈 时，警告各成员国提高国防开支，否则就要"开始学俄语"。 ...

据多家欧洲媒体报道，当地时间9日，北约秘书长吕特在伦敦与英国首相斯塔默会谈时，警告各成员国 提高国防开支，否则就要"开始学俄语"。吕特说："如果你们不(把军事化支出)提高到5%，包括3.5%的 核心国防开支，你们仍然可以保留医疗系统、养老金系统等等，但你们最好学会说俄语。"北约将在6月 晚些时候举行峰会，预计各成员国将在此次峰会上被要求承诺到2030年代时将本国GDP的3.5%用于核 心国防开支，另将GDP的1.5%用于"国防相关支出"。北约的最新数据显示，今年可能会有23个成员国达 到军费占GDP的2%的目标，但仍有9个国家进展缓慢。外界也质疑，欧洲是否会通过削减医疗、养老金 等社会开支来挤出更多国防预算。(央视新闻) ...

Core Viewpoint - Pakistan is expected to increase its defense spending while reducing its overall budget in the upcoming fiscal year, amidst economic growth initiatives and challenges from international obligations and tariffs [1] Group 1: Budget Overview - The government is likely to present a budget of 17.6 trillion rupees (approximately 62.45 billion USD) for the new fiscal year starting July 1, which represents a 6.7% decrease from the current fiscal year [1] - The projected fiscal deficit is expected to be 4.8% of GDP, with a target of 5.9% for the fiscal year 2024-25 [1] Group 2: Defense Spending - Analysts anticipate a 20% increase in the defense budget, which may be offset by cuts in research and development expenditures [1]

Core Points - Canadian Prime Minister Carney announced an increase in defense spending to 2% of GDP, aligning with NATO targets [1] - The increased spending will be allocated for new submarines, aircraft, ships, armored vehicles, artillery, and radar systems [1] - The spending increase is five years ahead of schedule, with plans for continued investment in the coming years [1] - Recent signs indicate that Canada and the U.S. are close to reaching a trade agreement, with secret talks confirmed by the U.S. ambassador [1] - Analysts suggest that the timing of the agreement is uncertain, but there is hope for completion before the G7 meeting on June 15 [1] - U.S. demands for increased military spending have been a significant factor in negotiations, and Carney's announcement may address these concerns [1]

意大利经济部长：我们的国防开支略高于北约对GDP的2%目标。 ...

通胀预计快速降温、欧央行6月降息几成定局 在出口面临压力的同时，通货膨胀预计将迅速降温。由于能源价格下跌和欧元走强，欧盟委员会预计 2026年欧元区的通货膨胀率将平均为1.7%，低于欧洲央行2%的通胀目标。这将促使欧洲央行在6月初发 布新预测，并可能进一步降低借贷成本以实现通胀目标。 虽然欧元自征收关税以来意外上涨，降低了进口价格并有助于抑制通胀，但欧元走强也强化了高关税对 出口的影响。Dombrovskis表示: 在半年一度的经济前景报告中，欧盟由于美国提高关税打击出口，大幅下调今明两年经济增长预期，且 同时预计通胀将更快降温。 周二，欧盟委员会在最新报告中预计，欧元区20个国家的GDP今年将增长0.9%，2026年增长1.4%，低 于此前预测的1.3%和1.6%。 欧盟委员会还下调了今年出口的增长预测，从上次预估的2.2%大幅降至0.7%。而且这一预测假设美国 对欧盟大部分进口商品的关税维持在10%的水平，而不是特朗普4月2日宣布的更高水平。 负责经济事务的欧盟高级官员Valdis Dombrovskis表示： 美国关税声明背后不可预测且看似武断的理由，使经济不确定性达到了疫情最黑暗时刻以来 的最高水平。 ...

Investment Rating - The report suggests to pay attention to Lockheed Martin and Rheinmetall, while remaining positive on Safran, Howmet Aerospace, Rolls-Royce, VSEC, and LOAR [13] Core Insights - The long-standing antagonism between India and Pakistan over the Kashmir issue has led to multiple wars, with the recent April 2025 attack escalating tensions. The subsequent military actions and ceasefire agreement indicate ongoing instability despite international mediation efforts [2][10] - The incident involving the downing of an Indian Rafale fighter jet highlights vulnerabilities in India's air defense capabilities, potentially prompting increased investment in electronic warfare and modernization of the Indian Air Force [3][11] - Geopolitical conflicts typically stimulate defense spending, which may boost the aerospace and defense industry, particularly in India, as seen after the 2019 Balakot conflict [4][12] Summary by Sections Incident Overview - On May 10, 2025, a Pakistani military operation resulted in the downing of an Indian Rafale fighter jet, part of India's response to a terrorist attack in Kashmir. This incident has led to heightened military readiness and international diplomatic efforts for a ceasefire [1][9] Military and Defense Implications - The loss of the Rafale fighter may lead India to diversify its fighter aircraft portfolio and increase domestic manufacturing under the "Make in India" initiative. The incident is expected to drive growth in India's defense budget, particularly for air force modernization and maintenance [3][11][12] International Supplier Opportunities - International suppliers with contracts in India, such as Safran, Rolls-Royce, and Lockheed Martin, are likely to benefit from increased defense spending and procurement activities resulting from the heightened geopolitical tensions [5][6][12]

消息人士：北约秘书长吕特建议盟友将GDP的3.5%用于国防，并将另外1.5%用于更广泛的国防相关项 目。 ...

Group 1 - The Liberal Party, led by Prime Minister Mark Carney, won the Canadian federal election, reversing a significant decline in support following former Prime Minister Trudeau's resignation [2][3] - The shift in public opinion was influenced by the current U.S. administration's threats, including tariffs and comments about annexing Canada, which galvanized Canadian voters to support the Liberal Party [3][5] - Canadian voters expressed a desire for a government that prioritizes national interests and maintains a strong stance against U.S. pressures, indicating a shift in focus from domestic issues to foreign relations [10][12] Group 2 - The new government under Carney will face critical tasks, including addressing trade relations and tariffs with the U.S., which are seen as significant threats to the Canadian economy [14] - There is an expectation for the government to engage with other international partners to develop new markets and reduce dependency on the U.S. [12][14] - Voter sentiment indicates a strong preference for a government that is not conservative and focuses on reducing trade barriers and addressing the needs of affected citizens [10][12]

Group 1 - NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg met with Trump and senior U.S. officials to discuss defense spending, NATO summit, and ending the conflict in Ukraine [1]