This linkage will enable individual customers maintaining bank accounts with participating banks to register and transact on the FX-Retail platform via enabled digital channels of these banks and through TPA providers The FX-Retail platform of the Clearcorp Dealing Systems (India) Ltd (Clearcorp) has been linked with Bharat Bill Payment System (Bharat Connect) to expand the reach of the platform, enhance user experience, and enable a larger number of customers to access the FX market transparently and with ...

Group 1: Core Insights - Bill Lipschutz is a renowned forex trader known for his expertise in the foreign exchange market, having started his trading career during his time at Cornell University and later becoming the head of the forex department at Salomon Brothers [2][3] - Lipschutz founded Hathersage Capital Management in 1995, a successful global macro fund that primarily trades G10 currencies, leveraging his extensive experience in forex trading [3] - He gained fame through his appearance in Jack Schwager's "Market Wizards," which features some of the most outstanding trading minds [2][3] Group 2: Early Life and Career - Lipschutz was born and raised in Farmingdale, New York, excelling academically and in mathematics during high school, and he also had a passion for tennis [3] - He inherited a stock portfolio worth $12,000 from his late grandmother, which he liquidated to kickstart his trading career, initially making a profit of $250,000 before facing significant losses due to lack of risk management [3] - During his tenure at Salomon Brothers, he generated approximately $300 million in annual profits for the company and was a key player in the forex trading department [3] Group 3: Notable Trades - One of Lipschutz's significant trades involved a mispriced bond that allowed him to capitalize on the discrepancy between spot and forward exchange rates, resulting in substantial profits [5][6] - He emphasized the importance of seizing opportunities, recounting a trade during a G-7 meeting where he managed to profit significantly despite being on vacation [8][10] - Lipschutz's trading strategies often involved psychological elements, where he would create situations that misled other traders about his positions, leading to profitable outcomes [10] Group 4: Risk Management and Trading Philosophy - Lipschutz advocates for clear risk management practices, emphasizing the importance of understanding current risk/reward dynamics rather than relying on initial assessments [12] - He believes that many traders suffer from overtrading and suggests waiting for optimal trading opportunities, referred to as "fat pitches" [13] - His approach to position sizing involves gradual entry and exit strategies to mitigate risk, ensuring that even if timing is not perfect, the trader is not forced out of the market [12][13] Group 5: Quotes and Wisdom - Lipschutz's insights include the notion that confidence can be distorted during losing streaks, and reducing position sizes can help maintain emotional stability [14] - He stresses that a trader's motivation should not solely be financial, but rather a genuine engagement with the trading process itself [15] - His philosophy highlights the importance of preparation in trading, asserting that most of the work occurs before actual trades are executed [15]

（文章来源：第一财经） 据报道，菲律宾外汇交易因台风将于周五中午起暂停。 ...

Group 1 - The euro is trading around 1.1735 against the dollar, significantly retreating from the previous day's high of 1.1800, influenced by weak Eurozone data and cautious statements from Federal Reserve officials [1] - The GfK consumer confidence index from Germany dropped to -22.3, worse than the market expectation of -23.3 and the previous value of -22.5, raising concerns about the growth momentum of Europe's largest economy [1] - The market is focused on the U.S. Q2 GDP final value, expected to show an annualized growth rate of 3.3%, reversing the 0.5% contraction in Q1 [1] Group 2 - Multiple Federal Reserve officials, including the presidents of various regional banks, are scheduled to speak, which may influence market expectations regarding interest rates [2] - The initial jobless claims data in the U.S. is anticipated to rise to 235,000, up from 231,000 the previous week, indicating potential weakness in the labor market [1]

Market Intervention - Chinese state-owned banks are selling RMB in the spot market to curb its recent appreciation [1] - These banks are also using swaps to hedge their positions [1] - Banks have been increasing their purchases of USD spot in recent months [1] Swap Market Dynamics - Onshore RMB/USD 12-month swap points are at their lowest negative value since 2022, indicating rising costs for forward USD positions [1] - Onshore RMB swap points have exceeded offshore RMB swap points in recent weeks, with the difference reaching its highest level since 2013, suggesting strong onshore demand for USD [1]

Market Trend - Deutsche Bank's foreign exchange weekly report suggests avoiding the US dollar [1]

Labor Market Analysis - Bank of America comments on significant revisions to US non-farm payroll data [1]

Market Overview - Goldman Sachs provides 10 key insights into the current state of the Japanese market [1]

#报告 瑞银：美股接下来怎么走？None (@None):None ...

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - **Industry**: Foreign Exchange (FX) Market - **Key Focus**: Analysis of various currencies including CNY (Chinese Yuan), USD (US Dollar), EUR (Euro), INR (Indian Rupee), Scandi FX (Swedish Krona and Norwegian Krone), and CHF (Swiss Franc) [1][7][9][10][15] Core Insights and Arguments CNY (Chinese Yuan) - Recent strength in CNY is attributed to policy push rather than market pressure, with policymakers moving the fixing stronger despite market conditions [1] - CNY is considered significantly undervalued, comparable to the "China shock" period in the mid-2000s, supported by large export market share gains and a surge in the current account surplus [1] - Continued adjustments in CNY are expected, impacting FX markets and reducing the burden on the Euro to drive Dollar depreciation [1] USD (US Dollar) - The broad Dollar has been range-bound, but factors leading to its depreciation remain active, including a softening labor market and subpar growth expectations [7] - A significant rise in unemployment above 4.40% could impact rates-sensitive currency pairs like EUR/USD and USD/JPY [7] - Global asset allocators are likely to seek ways to hedge FX risks due to Dollar dominance, influenced by institutional governance concerns [8] EUR (Euro) - Political developments in France, including a confidence vote, are unlikely to alter the fundamental outlook for the Euro, despite potential volatility [9] - The Euro is expected to strengthen, with other currencies likely to outperform after the Euro's initial leadership in the Dollar's decline [9] INR (Indian Rupee) - The outlook for INR is clouded by new tariffs on Indian exports to the US, leading to heavy equity outflows and a return to all-time highs for USD/INR [10] - The effective tariff rate is estimated at around 32%, impacting export forecasts and current account projections [10] Scandi FX (NOK and SEK) - Both NOK and SEK are expected to strengthen against the Dollar, supported by global trends and Dollar hedging programs [10] - The upcoming Norwegian general election poses a risk for NOK, particularly regarding potential changes to the sovereign wealth fund's currency channeling policies [10] CHF (Swiss Franc) - A recommendation to short EUR/CHF is based on the belief that US importers will struggle to substitute Swiss goods, thus limiting necessary currency adjustments [15] - The risk-reward for this trade has become less favorable, but further movement towards the target of 0.93 is still anticipated [15] Additional Important Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of macroeconomic factors and policy changes in shaping currency valuations and market dynamics [1][7][9][10][15] - The analysis includes forecasts for various currency pairs over different time horizons, indicating expected movements and potential misalignments with fundamentals [21][23] - The report highlights the need for investors to consider multiple factors in their investment decisions, including geopolitical risks and economic indicators [3][27] This summary encapsulates the key points discussed in the conference call, providing a comprehensive overview of the current state and outlook of the FX market.