跨期套利跟踪 2025/06/16 铜 次月-现货月 三月-现货月 四月-现货月 五月-现货月 价差 -890 -1100 -1310 -1540 理论价差 497 891 1295 1698 锌 次月-现货月 三月-现货月 四月-现货月 五月-现货月 价差 -560 -855 -1010 -1105 理论价差 215 336 457 578 铝 次月-现货月 三月-现货月四月-现货月 五月-现货月 价差 -235 -465 -615 -725 理论价差 214 330 445 561 铅 次月-现货月 三月-现货 月 四月-现货月 五月-现货月 价差 65 60 35 45 理论价差 209 315 420 526 镍 次月-现货月 三月-现货月 四月-现货 月 五月-现货月 价差 1920 2120 2260 2480 锡 5-1 价差 1290 理论价差 5448 期现套利跟踪 2025/06/16 铜 当月合约-现货 次月合约-现货 价差 -15 -905 理论价差 114 421 锌 当月合约-现货 次月合约-现货 价差 105 -455 理论价差 8 137 免责声明: 以上内容所依据的信息均来源 ...

有色套利早报 研究中心有色团队 2025/06/11 铜：跨市套利跟踪 2025/06/11 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 79260 9814 8.06 三月 78770 9730 8.13 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 8.17 -1195.14 现货出口 375.79 锌：跨市套利跟踪 2025/06/11 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 22170 2603 8.52 三月 21655 2636 6.39 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 8.70 -481.62 铝：跨市套利跟踪 2025/06/11 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 20160 2472 8.15 三月 19880 2465 8.13 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 8.66 -1240.39 镍：跨市套利跟踪 2025/06/11 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 123050 15171 8.11 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 8.27 -3823.28 跨期套利跟踪 2025/06/11 铜 次月-现货月 三月-现货月 四月-现货月 五月-现货月 价差 -120 -230 -370 -600 理论价差 497 892 1296 1700 锌 ...

有色套利早报 研究中心有色团队 2025/06/09 铜：跨市套利跟踪 2025/06/09 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 78870 9826 7.97 三月 78820 9756 8.07 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 8.18 -1323.74 现货出口 833.76 锌：跨市套利跟踪 2025/06/09 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 22660 2660 8.52 三月 22225 2696 6.19 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 8.73 -556.23 铝：跨市套利跟踪 2025/06/09 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 20230 2462 8.21 三月 19975 2467 8.14 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 8.66 -1105.12 镍：跨市套利跟踪 2025/06/09 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 123450 15320 8.06 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 8.27 -4308.57 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 16450 1963 8.41 三月 16775 1990 11.21 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 8.91 -996.08 跨期套利跟踪 2025/06/0 ...

Report Summary 1. Investment Rating - No investment rating for the industry is provided in the report. 2. Core View - The report presents the cross - market, cross - period, spot - futures, and cross - variety arbitrage tracking data of non - ferrous metals (copper, zinc, aluminum, nickel, lead, tin) on June 6, 2025, including domestic and LME prices, price ratios, spreads, and theoretical spreads. 3. Summary by Category 3.1 Cross - Market Arbitrage Tracking - **Copper**: Spot price in China is 78380, LME is 9731, ratio is 8.06; March price in China is 78040, LME is 9638, ratio is 8.11. Spot import equilibrium ratio is 8.19, profit is - 1366.56; spot export profit is 799.54 [1]. - **Zinc**: Spot price in China is 22870, LME is 2660, ratio is 8.60; March price in China is 22180, LME is 2696, ratio is 6.20. Spot import equilibrium ratio is 8.71, profit is - 303.28 [1]. - **Aluminum**: Spot price in China is 20250, LME is 2469, ratio is 8.20; March price in China is 19935, LME is 2477, ratio is 8.10. Spot import equilibrium ratio is 8.64, profit is - 1099.54 [1]. - **Nickel**: Spot price in China is 123100, LME is 15213, ratio is 8.09. Spot import equilibrium ratio is 8.26, profit is - 3495.98 [1]. - **Lead**: Spot price in China is 16500, LME is 1956, ratio is 8.44; March price in China is 16695, LME is 1979, ratio is 11.32. Spot import equilibrium ratio is 8.90, profit is - 900.72 [3]. 3.2 Cross - Period Arbitrage Tracking - **Copper**: Spreads of next - month, March, April, and May relative to spot - month are - 180, - 310, - 450, - 720 respectively; theoretical spreads are 494, 886, 1286, 1687 respectively [4]. - **Zinc**: Spreads of next - month, March, April, and May relative to spot - month are - 415, - 575, - 695, - 785 respectively; theoretical spreads are 217, 340, 462, 585 respectively [4]. - **Aluminum**: Spreads of next - month, March, April, and May relative to spot - month are - 155, - 230, - 280, - 325 respectively; theoretical spreads are 212, 325, 437, 550 respectively [4]. - **Lead**: Spreads of next - month, March, April, and May relative to spot - month are 75, 75, 55, 55 respectively; theoretical spreads are 208, 312, 416, 520 respectively [4]. - **Nickel**: Spreads of next - month, March, April, and May relative to spot - month are - 730, - 520, - 310, - 170 respectively [4]. - **Tin**: Spread of 5 - 1 is - 100, theoretical spread is 5377 [4]. 3.3 Spot - Futures Arbitrage Tracking - **Copper**: Spreads of current - month and next - month contracts relative to spot are 0, - 180 respectively; theoretical spreads are 207, 615 respectively [4]. - **Zinc**: Spreads of current - month and next - month contracts relative to spot are - 115, - 530 respectively; theoretical spreads are 33, 165 respectively [4]. - **Lead**: Spreads of current - month and next - month contracts relative to spot are 120, 195 respectively; theoretical spreads are 127, 237 respectively [5]. 3.4 Cross - Variety Arbitrage Tracking - Ratios of copper/zinc, copper/aluminum, copper/lead, aluminum/zinc, aluminum/lead, lead/zinc in Shanghai (three - continuous) are 3.52, 3.91, 4.67, 0.90, 1.19, 0.75 respectively; in London (three - continuous) are 3.63, 3.93, 4.92, 0.92, 1.25, 0.74 respectively [5].

免责声明: 以上内容所依据的信息均来源于交易所、媒体及资讯公司等发布的公开资料或通过合法授权渠道向发布人取得的资讯，我们力求分析及建议内 容的客观、公正，研究方法专业审慎，分析结论合理，但公司对信息来源的准确性和完整性不作任何保证，也不保证所依据的信息和建议不会 发生任何变化。且全部分析及建议内容仅供参考，不构成对您的任何投资建议及入市依据，客户应当自主做出期货交易决策，独立承担期货交 易后果，凡据此入市者，我公司不承担任何责任。未经公司授权，不得随意转载、复制、传播本网站中所有研究分析报告、行情分析视频等全 锌 当月合约-现货 次月合约-现货 价差 -330 -480 理论价差 71 206 铅 当月合约-现货 次月合约-现货 价差 80 220 理论价差 124 235 跨品种套利跟踪 2025/06/05 铜/锌 铜/铝 铜/铅 铝/锌 铝/铅 铅/锌 沪（三连） 3.51 3.91 4.68 0.90 1.20 0.75 伦（三连） 3.56 3.87 4.83 0.92 1.25 0.74 部或部分材料、内容。对可能因互联网软硬件设备故障或失灵、或因不可抗力造成的全部或部分信息中断、延迟、遗漏、误导 ...

Report Overview - The report provides cross - market, cross - period, spot - futures, and cross - variety arbitrage tracking data for non - ferrous metals on June 3, 2025 [1] Cross - Market Arbitrage Tracking Copper - Spot price: domestic 78,240, LME 9,604, ratio 8.13; March price: domestic 77,420, LME 9,554, ratio 8.14; equilibrium ratio for spot import 8.22, profit - 778.22; profit for spot export 507.68 [1] Zinc - Spot price: domestic 22,780, LME 2,639, ratio 8.63; March price: domestic 21,980, LME 2,662, ratio 6.22; equilibrium ratio for spot import 8.74, profit - 281.50 [1] Aluminum - Spot price: domestic 20,290, LME 2,446, ratio 8.29; March price: domestic 19,975, LME 2,452, ratio 8.18; equilibrium ratio for spot import 8.67, profit - 945.16 [1] Nickel - Spot price: domestic 122,450, LME 15,179, ratio 8.07; equilibrium ratio for spot import 8.28, profit - 4,102.92 [1] Lead - Spot price: domestic 16,350, LME 1,929, ratio 8.50; March price: domestic 16,610, LME 1,953, ratio 11.39; equilibrium ratio for spot import 8.93, profit - 824.33 [1][3] Cross - Period Arbitrage Tracking Copper - Spread: next month - spot month - 330, March - spot month - 510, April - spot month - 710, May - spot month - 1030; theoretical spread 492, 881, 1280, 1679 respectively [4] Zinc - Spread: next month - spot month - 425, March - spot month - 670, April - spot month - 860, May - spot month - 945; theoretical spread 216, 339, 461, 583 respectively [4] Aluminum - Spread: next month - spot month - 105, March - spot month - 200, April - spot month - 250, May - spot month - 300; theoretical spread 212, 325, 438, 551 respectively [4] Lead - Spread: next month - spot month 85, March - spot month 75, April - spot month 50, May - spot month 50; theoretical spread 208, 311, 415, 519 respectively [4] Nickel - Spread: next month - spot month 1010, March - spot month 1260, April - spot month 1420, May - spot month 1550 [4] Tin - 5 - 1 spread not provided, theoretical spread 5,219 [4] Spot - Futures Arbitrage Tracking Copper - Spread: current month contract - spot - 285, next month contract - spot - 615; theoretical spread 238, 623 respectively [4] Zinc - Spread: current month contract - spot - 130, next month contract - spot - 555; theoretical spread 51, 183 respectively [4][5] Lead - Spread: current month contract - spot 185, next month contract - spot 270; theoretical spread 154, 264 respectively [5] Cross - Variety Arbitrage Tracking - Ratios for Shanghai (three - continuous): copper/zinc 3.52, copper/aluminum 3.88, copper/lead 4.66, aluminum/zinc 0.91, aluminum/lead 1.20, lead/zinc 0.76; ratios for LME (three - continuous): copper/zinc 3.63, copper/aluminum 3.89, copper/lead 4.85, aluminum/zinc 0.93, aluminum/lead 1.25, lead/zinc 0.75 [5]

有色套利早报 研究中心有色团队 2025/05/27 铜：跨市套利跟踪 2025/05/27 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 78525 - - 三月 77600 9614 8.15 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 - - 现货出口 - 锌：跨市套利跟踪 2025/05/27 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 22580 - - 三月 22055 2713 6.20 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 - - 铝：跨市套利跟踪 2025/05/27 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 20350 - - 三月 20090 2466 8.18 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 - - 镍：跨市套利跟踪 2025/05/27 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 124100 - - 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 - -3470.81 铅：跨市套利跟踪 2025/05/27 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 16650 - - 三月 16795 1994 11.12 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 - - 跨期套利跟踪 2025/05/27 铜 次月-现货月 三月-现货月 四月-现货月 五月-现货月 价差 100 -190 -420 -700 理论价 ...

美国货币政策转向构成黄金牛市的第一推动力。连续降息导致美元信用锚点松动，就像地基沉降的建筑物，投资者纷纷转向黄金这类"无主权风险"资产。与 此同时，美国政府债务规模突破历史极值，财政赤字占GDP比重持续扩大，这种"寅吃卯粮"的财政模式引发长期通胀预期，为金价提供了持久燃料。值得注 意的是，上海黄金现货价格已达684.6元/克，境内外价差收窄反映全球市场联动性增强。 历史镜鉴：本轮周期的特殊性 对比2008年金融危机后的黄金走势，当前市场呈现三大差异点：一是央行购金规模创1999年以来新高，官方部门正以"静默抢筹"方式重构外汇储备结构；二 是年轻投资者通过APP定投黄金ETF，形成"蚂蚁搬山"式的需求支撑；三是期货市场未平仓合约显示，投机多头与商业空头对峙程度已达2011年历史高点水 平，市场分歧如同紧绷的弓弦。技术面显示，金价已突破2011-2020年长期整理区间的1.618倍斐波那契扩展位，这种突破往往伴随剧烈波动。 当前全球金融市场正经历复杂波动，黄金作为传统避险资产再次成为焦点。截至2025年5月23日，现货黄金交投于3300.80美元/盎司附近，尽管较前一日有 所回落，但仍处于历史高位区间。这一价格水 ...

有色套利早报 研究中心有色团队 2025/05/21 铜：跨市套利跟踪 2025/05/21 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 78340 9475 8.25 三月 76900 9472 8.23 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 8.25 -23.85 现货出口 -364.39 锌：跨市套利跟踪 2025/05/21 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 22610 2642 8.56 三月 22080 2672 6.29 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 8.70 -369.59 铝：跨市套利跟踪 2025/05/21 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 20210 2437 8.29 三月 20030 2439 8.23 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 8.71 -1031.75 镍：跨市套利跟踪 2025/05/21 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 124500 15251 8.16 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 8.30 -3221.31 跨期套利跟踪 2025/05/21 铜 次月-现货月 三月-现货月 四月-现货月 五月-现货月 价差 -630 -920 -1110 -1310 理论价差 491 880 1278 1676 ...

有色套利早报 研究中心有色团队 2025/05/20 铜：跨市套利跟踪 2025/05/20 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 78070 9497 8.27 三月 77020 9481 8.19 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 8.25 -103.15 现货出口 5.75 锌：跨市套利跟踪 2025/05/20 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 22650 2656 8.53 三月 22120 2688 6.28 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 8.69 -435.22 铝：跨市套利跟踪 2025/05/20 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 20230 2471 8.19 三月 20065 2470 8.14 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 8.70 -1280.43 镍：跨市套利跟踪 2025/05/20 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 125000 15388 8.12 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 8.30 -3655.82 理论价差 451 773 理论价差 121 252 锌 当月合约-现货 次月合约-现货 价差 -150 -405 理论价差 168 280 铅 当月合约-现货 次月合约-现货 价差 120 125 ...