Earnings ESP
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Analysts Estimate Goldman Sachs (GS) to Report a Decline in Earnings: What to Look Out for
ZACKS· 2026-01-08 16:01
Core Viewpoint - Wall Street anticipates a year-over-year decline in earnings for Goldman Sachs despite higher revenues, with the actual results being crucial for stock price movement [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - Goldman Sachs is expected to report quarterly earnings of $11.69 per share, reflecting a year-over-year decrease of 2.2%, while revenues are projected to be $14.53 billion, an increase of 4.7% from the previous year [3]. - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 3.99% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model suggests that a positive or negative Earnings ESP reading can indicate the likely deviation of actual earnings from consensus estimates, with a positive reading being a strong predictor of an earnings beat [9][10]. - For Goldman Sachs, the Most Accurate Estimate is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -0.14%, which complicates predictions of an earnings beat [12]. Historical Performance - Goldman Sachs has beaten consensus EPS estimates in the last four quarters, with a notable surprise of +10.26% in the most recent quarter [13][14]. Comparative Analysis - In contrast, Wells Fargo is expected to report earnings of $1.65 per share, a year-over-year increase of 16.2%, with revenues projected at $21.6 billion, up 6% [18][19]. - Wells Fargo's consensus EPS estimate has been revised 1.1% higher, resulting in a positive Earnings ESP of +0.74%, indicating a higher likelihood of beating the consensus estimate [19][20].
Morgan Stanley (MS) Reports Next Week: Wall Street Expects Earnings Growth
ZACKS· 2026-01-08 16:01
Core Viewpoint - Morgan Stanley is expected to report a year-over-year increase in earnings and revenues for the quarter ended December 2025, with consensus estimates indicating a potential impact on its stock price depending on actual results compared to expectations [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The consensus EPS estimate for Morgan Stanley is $2.36 per share, reflecting a year-over-year increase of +6.3% [3]. - Revenues are projected to be $17.35 billion, which is a 6.9% increase from the same quarter last year [3]. Estimate Revisions - Over the last 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate has been revised 4.05% higher, indicating a positive reassessment by analysts [4]. - The Most Accurate Estimate for Morgan Stanley is higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of +1.72% [12]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - A positive Earnings ESP reading suggests a higher likelihood of an earnings beat, especially when combined with a Zacks Rank of 1 [10]. - Morgan Stanley currently holds a Zacks Rank of 1, indicating strong potential for beating the consensus EPS estimate [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Morgan Stanley exceeded the expected earnings of $2.08 per share by delivering $2.80, resulting in a surprise of +34.62% [13]. - The company has successfully beaten consensus EPS estimates in each of the last four quarters [14]. Industry Context - Citigroup, a peer in the investment banking sector, is expected to report earnings of $1.59 per share for the same quarter, reflecting a year-over-year change of +18.7% [18]. - Citigroup's revenue is anticipated to be $20.94 billion, up 7% from the previous year [18]. However, it has a negative Earnings ESP of -12.71%, making predictions about beating consensus EPS estimates less certain [19].
BlackRock (BLK) Earnings Expected to Grow: Should You Buy?
ZACKS· 2026-01-08 16:00
Core Viewpoint - BlackRock is expected to report a year-over-year increase in earnings and revenues for the quarter ended December 2025, with actual results being crucial for stock price movement [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The upcoming earnings report is anticipated to show earnings of $12.55 per share, reflecting a +5.2% change year-over-year, and revenues of $6.75 billion, which is an 18.8% increase from the previous year [3]. - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 1.17% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a positive reassessment by analysts [4]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that BlackRock has a positive Earnings ESP of +0.77%, suggesting analysts are optimistic about the company's earnings prospects [12]. - A positive Earnings ESP is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, especially when combined with a Zacks Rank of 1, 2, or 3 [10]. Historical Performance - BlackRock has a history of beating consensus EPS estimates, having done so in the last four quarters, including a +3.22% surprise in the most recent quarter [13][14]. Investment Considerations - While an earnings beat can positively influence stock prices, other factors may also affect stock performance, making it essential to consider the broader context [15][17].
WaFd (WAFD) Earnings Expected to Grow: Should You Buy?
ZACKS· 2026-01-08 16:00
WaFd (WAFD) is expected to deliver a year-over-year increase in earnings on higher revenues when it reports results for the quarter ended December 2025. This widely-known consensus outlook gives a good sense of the company's earnings picture, but how the actual results compare to these estimates is a powerful factor that could impact its near-term stock price.The stock might move higher if these key numbers top expectations in the upcoming earnings report. On the other hand, if they miss, the stock may move ...
Should You Buy, Sell or Hold CMC Stock Before Q1 Earnings Release?
ZACKS· 2026-01-08 12:55
Core Viewpoint - Commercial Metals Company (CMC) is expected to report a year-over-year improvement in revenues and earnings for the first quarter of fiscal 2026, with earnings anticipated to jump 99% year-over-year [1][2][6]. Financial Performance Expectations - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for CMC's fiscal first-quarter revenues is $2 billion, reflecting a 4.6% decrease from the previous year [1]. - The consensus estimate for earnings is $1.55 per share, which has increased by 2.6% over the past 60 days and indicates a year-over-year rise of 98.7% [2][6]. Earnings Surprise History - CMC has had mixed earnings surprises in the past four quarters, beating estimates once, matching once, and missing twice, with an average surprise of -6.3% [5]. Market Conditions and Performance Drivers - The company is facing challenges from a prolonged economic slowdown in the Western world and weaker-than-expected steel demand, particularly in Europe [10]. - Despite these challenges, CMC expects improved steel margins in North America due to price hikes offsetting rising scrap costs [6][12]. Strategic Acquisitions and Synergies - CMC has recently completed two significant acquisitions, positioning itself as a leading player in the Mid-Atlantic and Southeastern regions, with expected annual run-rate synergies of $25-$30 million from these acquisitions by year three [18][19]. Valuation and Stock Performance - CMC shares have increased by 56.1% over the past year, outperforming the industry average of 54.5% and the S&P 500's 21% [13]. - The company is currently trading at a forward price/sales ratio of 0.96, which is lower than the industry average of 1.59 [15]. Investment Considerations - Given the expected strong fiscal first-quarter results driven by improving conditions in Europe and demand in North America, along with favorable valuation and upward earnings estimate revisions, it may be a good time to consider investing in CMC [20].
Acuity Brands to Post Q1 Earnings: Here's What You Must Know
ZACKS· 2026-01-07 18:45
Core Insights - Acuity Brands, Inc. (AYI) is set to announce its first-quarter fiscal 2026 results on January 8, with expectations of year-over-year growth in both earnings and revenues supported by strong performance in its segments [1][3][8] Financial Performance - In the last reported quarter, adjusted earnings exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 10.6% and increased by 20.9% year over year, while revenues grew by 17.2% but missed the consensus by 0.3% [1] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for the upcoming quarter's earnings per share (EPS) is $4.45, reflecting a 12.1% increase from $3.97 in the same quarter last year, with revenues expected to reach $1.13 billion, a 19.2% increase year over year [2][8] Segment Analysis - The Acuity Brands Lighting (ABL) segment, which contributed 83.1% to fiscal 2025 net sales, is projected to see revenues rise by 2.6% year over year to $909.3 million, although demand conditions are described as tepid [5] - The Acuity Intelligent Spaces (AIS) segment is expected to experience significant growth, with revenues forecasted to surge by 219.8% year over year to $235.1 million, driven by organic growth from products like Atrius, Distech, and QSC [9] Strategic Initiatives - The company is focusing on developing market-leading solutions and expanding its healthcare portfolio, with new product launches such as the Care Collection and Nightingale range contributing to its performance [4] - Management has implemented permanent restructuring and operating expense actions to maintain a leaner cost base, which is expected to help offset softer volumes and seasonal effects [6] Cost Management and Profitability - Cost-control actions, organizational optimization, and productivity gains are anticipated to support profitability despite challenges from higher tariff costs [10] - The adjusted EBITDA margin is expected to increase to 18.1% in the fiscal first quarter from 18% a year ago, indicating improved operational efficiency [12]
Will Regeneron (REGN) Beat Estimates Again in Its Next Earnings Report?
ZACKS· 2026-01-07 18:10
Core Viewpoint - Regeneron (REGN) is positioned well to continue its trend of beating earnings estimates, particularly in the upcoming quarterly report [1]. Earnings Performance - Regeneron has a strong history of exceeding earnings estimates, with an average surprise of 42.92% over the last two quarters [2]. - In the most recent quarter, Regeneron reported earnings of $11.83 per share, surpassing the expected $9.44 per share by 25.32% [2]. - For the previous quarter, the company reported $12.89 per share against an expectation of $8.03 per share, resulting in a surprise of 60.52% [2]. Earnings Estimates and Predictions - Recent earnings estimates for Regeneron have been increasing, indicating positive sentiment among analysts [5]. - The Zacks Earnings ESP for Regeneron is currently +8.68%, suggesting bullish expectations for near-term earnings [8]. - The combination of a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy) indicates a strong likelihood of another earnings beat [8]. Statistical Insights - Stocks with a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) or better have a nearly 70% success rate in producing positive surprises [6]. - The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, reflecting the latest analyst revisions [7].
Why Estee Lauder (EL) Could Beat Earnings Estimates Again
ZACKS· 2026-01-07 18:10
Core Insights - Estee Lauder is positioned well to continue its trend of beating earnings estimates in upcoming reports [1] Earnings Performance - Estee Lauder has a strong history of surpassing earnings estimates, averaging a 56.25% beat over the last two quarters [2] - In the most recent quarter, the company reported earnings of $0.32 per share, exceeding the expected $0.16 per share by 100.00% [3] - For the previous quarter, Estee Lauder reported $0.09 per share against an estimate of $0.08 per share, resulting in a surprise of 12.50% [3] Earnings Estimates and Predictions - Recent estimates for Estee Lauder have been increasing, with a positive Zacks Earnings ESP indicating potential for another earnings beat [6] - The Zacks Earnings ESP for Estee Lauder is currently +3.82%, suggesting analysts are optimistic about its near-term earnings potential [9] - The company's Zacks Rank is 2 (Buy), further supporting the likelihood of an earnings beat [9] Earnings ESP Insights - Stocks with a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) or better have a nearly 70% chance of producing a positive surprise [7] - The Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate, reflecting the latest analyst revisions [8]
Why Byrna Technologies (BYRN) is Poised to Beat Earnings Estimates Again
ZACKS· 2026-01-07 18:10
Core Insights - Byrna Technologies Inc. (BYRN) is well-positioned to continue its earnings-beat streak, having a strong history of surpassing earnings estimates, particularly in the last two quarters with an average surprise of 90.00% [1][5] Earnings Performance - In the most recent quarter, Byrna Technologies reported earnings of $0.09 per share, exceeding the expected $0.05 per share, resulting in a surprise of 80.00% [2] - For the previous quarter, the company reported $0.10 per share against a consensus estimate of $0.05 per share, achieving a surprise of 100.00% [2] Earnings Estimates and Predictions - There has been a favorable change in earnings estimates for Byrna Technologies, with a positive Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) indicating a strong likelihood of an earnings beat [5][8] - The current Earnings ESP for Byrna Technologies is +15.39%, suggesting that analysts have recently become more optimistic about the company's earnings prospects [8] Zacks Rank and Success Rate - The stock holds a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), which, when combined with a positive Earnings ESP, indicates a high probability of another earnings beat [8] - Research indicates that stocks with a positive Earnings ESP and a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) or better have a nearly 70% success rate in beating consensus estimates [6]
What You Should Expect From RPM International's Q2 Earnings?
ZACKS· 2026-01-07 16:26
Core Insights - RPM International Inc. is set to report its second-quarter fiscal 2026 results on January 8, with adjusted earnings per share (EPS) and net sales expected to show year-over-year growth [1][3] Financial Performance - In the last reported quarter, RPM's adjusted EPS and net sales exceeded the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.5% and 3.4%, with year-over-year growth of 2.2% and 7.4%, respectively [1][2] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for the upcoming quarter's adjusted EPS has decreased to $1.42 per share, reflecting a 2.2% increase from the previous year's figure of $1.39 per share [3] - The consensus for net sales is projected at $1.93 billion, indicating a 4.7% year-over-year growth [3] Sales Growth Drivers - RPM's net sales are anticipated to have increased due to contributions from all reportable segments: Construction Products Group (CPG), Performance Coatings Group (PCG), and Consumer Group [4] - Growth is expected to be driven by stronger sales in construction systems and turnkey solutions, alongside ongoing demand for maintenance and repair products [4] - Recent acquisitions, including The Pink Stuff and Ready Seal, are likely to have provided additional revenue benefits [5] Segment Performance - CPG is projected to grow by 4.3% year over year to $757.3 million, while the Consumer Group and PCG segments are expected to see increases of 5.9% and 5%, respectively [6] - The Consumer Group is anticipated to outperform PCG and CPG in sales growth due to acquisitions [5] Strategic Initiatives - RPM has restructured its Specialty Products Group among its other segments as part of its MAP 2025 initiative, aiming to enhance collaboration and drive future revenue growth [7] Challenges - Economic uncertainty, tariff-related inflation, and subdued consumer confidence are expected to pose challenges during the quarter [8] - Temporary inefficiencies from plant consolidations and increased interest expenses may also impact results [8] Margin and Earnings Outlook - The bottom line is expected to benefit from MAP 2025 initiatives, leading to savings in procurement, manufacturing, and commercial excellence [9] - Adjusted EBIT is projected to increase by 5.9% year over year to $319.4 million, supported by reduced advertising, insurance costs, and decreased bonus expenses [11]