【纠错】 【责任编辑:成岚】 新华社音视频部制作 7月22日,国务院新闻办公室举行新闻发布会，介绍2025年上半年外汇收支数据情况，并答记者问。国家 外汇管理局副局长、新闻发言人李斌介绍，2025年上半年外汇市场运行平稳，表现出较强的韧性和活 力。 ...

最新出炉的外汇数据表明，上半年我国跨境资金净流入1273亿美元，其中，二季度净流入环比增长 46%，延续了去年下半年以来的净流入态势，我国跨境贸易和投融资活动继续保持活跃。跟随这组海 报，一起来看看吧。 上半年外汇收支数据情况 足外收录规模需到第1 企业、个人等非银行部门 跨境收入和支出合计7.6万亿美元 同比增长10.4% 规模创历史同期新高 上半年外汇收支数据情况 外汇市场供家建材工程本平衡 SPECIENCES 银行结售汇沙信253亿美元 企业、个人等主体的交易行为 品体理性有序 x康敏读 上半年外汇收支数据情况 上半年外汇收支数据情况 FF A C A C 7 FL A . L . ! ! D .. ! 企业、个人等非银行部门跨境资金 净流入1273亿美元 延复去年下半年以来的净流入态势 权威顿读 外汇市场交易活跃 人民币兑美元汇率升值1。9% 上半年人民币兑美元汇率 在7.15-7.35之间双向浮动 外市单 Urrency Exc 百营 境内人民币外汇市场交易量 息计达到21万亿美元 同比增长10.2% 上半年外汇收支数据情况 外汇储备规模稳定 6月末 我国外汇储备余额为 33174亿美元 较202 ...

Core Viewpoint - President Trump's recent interview has stirred the forex market, indicating dissatisfaction with the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions and raising concerns about the Fed's independence [1] Group 1: Market Reactions - The disappointing July non-farm payroll data, with only 73,000 jobs added and a downward revision of 260,000 for the previous two months, provides new evidence of economic cooling [1] - The probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in September has surged to 89%, according to the CME's FedWatch tool [1] - Major institutions like Goldman Sachs and Citigroup have warned that if August's employment data remains weak, a 50 basis point rate cut could be on the table [1] Group 2: "Global Economic Eye" Video Channel - The "Global Economic Eye" video channel aims to quickly respond to market-moving events such as Trump's personnel announcements, disappointing non-farm data, and aggressive rate cut predictions [5] - The channel focuses on global economic and political dynamics that can significantly impact the forex market, saving investors the effort of sifting through information [6] - The analysis provided by the experienced team goes beyond mere news reporting, delving into the underlying logic and market transmission mechanisms [6] Group 3: Benefits for Investors - The video format combines audio, visuals, and text, making it a more efficient way to convey complex global financial information, particularly in a fast-paced trading environment [7] - The channel directly addresses the core need of understanding market impacts, eliminating the need for investors to piece together fragmented information [7] - Regular engagement with the channel's in-depth analysis can enhance investors' sensitivity to market reactions to various events [7] Conclusion - The "Global Economic Eye" video channel is positioned as a reliable tool for forex investors, providing timely and insightful interpretations of market-moving events to aid in decision-making [8]

Core Viewpoint - The US dollar index is experiencing slight upward movement despite recent weak employment data and the resignation of a Federal Reserve official, leading to increased demand for bearish options on the dollar [1] Market Analysis - The current price of the US dollar index is reported at 98.81, with a 0.06% increase from an opening price of 98.75 [1] - The market has largely priced in expectations for a rate cut in September, limiting the downside potential for the dollar [1] - Implied volatility has surged, with the 1-month risk reversal indicator rising to 0.55 and the 1-year risk reversal indicator increasing to 0.725 [1] Technical Levels - Short-term resistance for the dollar index is identified at 98.95-99.00, with significant resistance at 99.15-99.20 [1] - Short-term support levels are noted at 98.55-98.60, with important support at 98.35-98.40 [1] - A trading strategy suggests selling in the range of 99.00-98.35, with a stop loss of 20 points and a target at the lower end of the range [1]

美元/人民币报7.1366，下调29点； 欧元/人民币报8.2750，上调55点； 港元/人民币报0.90916，下调3.6 点； 英镑/人民币报9.5021，上调102点； 澳元/人民币报4.6254，上调34点； 加元/人民币报5.1897，上 调7点； 100日元/人民币报4.8709，上调133点； 人民币/俄罗斯卢布报11.1270，上调220点； 新西兰元/ 人民币报4.2292，上调42点； 人民币/林吉特报0.59236，下调39.5点； 瑞士法郎/人民币报8.8504，下调 348点； 新加坡元/人民币报5.5553，上调78点。 ...

Core Insights - China's cross-border travel revenue increased by 42% year-on-year in the first half of the year [1] - The service trade revenue grew by 13% year-on-year, with cross-border travel being a significant contributor [1] - The service trade deficit decreased by 14% year-on-year, indicating a narrowing gap between service trade income and expenditure [1] Economic Performance - The foreign exchange market in China showed strong resilience and vitality, performing better than market expectations [1] - The current account has been stable, with an increase in the international competitiveness of productive service trades such as computer information services and business services [1] - The overall balance of international payments is expected to remain stable due to ongoing economic structural optimization and financial market opening [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Japanese yen has depreciated to a four-month low against the US dollar, raising concerns among Japanese financial officials about potential government intervention in the foreign exchange market to support the yen [1][3][4]. Group 1: Currency Exchange Rate - The USD/JPY exchange rate reached 150.89 yen per dollar, marking the lowest level since March 28, with the rate reported at 150.58 yen at the time of publication [3]. - Japanese Finance Minister Kato Katsunobu expressed concerns about the current exchange rate trends, emphasizing the importance of stable currency fluctuations that reflect economic fundamentals [4]. Group 2: Economic Impact and Predictions - Kato indicated that the US tariffs on Japan could impact the Japanese economy, and the government will continue to analyze the tariffs' effects on Japanese industries [5]. - Marito Ueda from SBI Liquidity Market Research warned that the yen could depreciate to 155 against the dollar, which could trigger intervention from Japanese authorities to support the yen [5]. Group 3: Factors Influencing Currency Movements - The yen's decline is closely linked to the recent strengthening of the US dollar, which has been bolstered by reduced concerns over trade wars and a slightly hawkish signal from the Federal Reserve [7]. - The US dollar index surpassed 100.10 for the first time since May 29, reflecting a strong dollar environment [7]. - The Bank of Japan's dovish stance, as indicated by Governor Ueda, suggests a tolerance for the current weakness of the yen, which has led to increased dollar buying [8][10].

Group 1: Precious Metals - Spot platinum (XPTUSD) is priced at 1297.550, down by 7.000 or 0.54% [2] - Spot palladium (XPDUSD) is priced at 1210.650, down by 1.600 or 0.13% [2] - Gold (COMEX) is priced at 3348.300, up by 20.400 or 0.61% [2] - Silver (COMEX) is priced at 36.365, down by 0.810 or 2.18% [2] Group 2: Foreign Exchange - Euro to US Dollar (EURUSD) is at 1.144, up by 0.34% [3] - British Pound to US Dollar (GBPUSD) is at 1.323, down by 0.06% [3] - US Dollar to Japanese Yen (USDJPY) is at 149.943, up by 0.28% [3] - Australian Dollar to US Dollar (AUDUSD) is at 0.644, up by 0.10% [3] - US Dollar to Swiss Franc (USDCHF) is at 0.813, down by 0.21% [3] Group 3: Cryptocurrencies - Bitcoin is priced at 118505.020, up by 664.720 or 0.56% [4] - Litecoin is priced at 110.620, up by 0.120 or 0.11% [4] - Ethereum is priced at 3855.480, up by 45.480 or 1.19% [4] - Ripple is priced at 3.171, up by 0.075 or 2.41% [4] Group 4: Treasury Bonds - US 2-year Treasury yield is at 3.943, up by 0.006 or 0.15% [6] - US 5-year Treasury yield is at 3.957, down by 0.008 or 0.20% [7] - US 10-year Treasury yield is at 4.360, down by 0.017 or 0.39% [7] - US 30-year Treasury yield is at 4.888, down by 0.025 or 0.51% [7] - UK 10-year Treasury yield is at 4.607, down by 0.002 or 0.04% [7] - German 10-year Treasury yield is at 2.705, down by 0.001 or 0.04% [7] - French 10-year Treasury yield is at 3.364, up by 0.003 or 0.09% [7] - Italian 10-year Treasury yield is at 3.545, down by 0.007 or 0.20% [7] - Japanese 10-year Treasury yield is at 1.562, up by 0.008 or 0.51% [7]

来源：中国银行 美联储维持利率决议不变。美国二季度GDP环比增长3%，预期为2.6%。美国7月ADP就业人数为10.4万 人，预期为7.6万人。 上一交易日，美元指数收于99.82，上涨0.94%；欧元兑美元收于1.1405，下跌1.23%；英镑兑美元收于 1.3237，下跌0.85%；美元兑日元收于149.51，上涨0.71%；澳元兑美元收于0.6434，下跌1.17%；美元兑 墨西哥比索收于18.8780，上涨0.64%。 重要事件和数据 外汇市场主要变化 ...

Core Insights - The Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda stated that the Japan-U.S. trade agreement represents a significant advancement that requires attention to the impact of trade policies on financial markets, foreign exchange markets, the Japanese economy, and prices [1] Group 1 - The Japan-U.S. trade agreement is viewed as a major progress by the Bank of Japan [1] - There is a need to monitor the effects of trade policies on various economic aspects, including financial markets and the economy [1] - The implications of the trade agreement on price levels in Japan are also highlighted [1]