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Down 12%, Should You Buy the Dip on Eli Lilly?
The Motley Fool· 2025-06-13 07:10
Core Viewpoint - Eli Lilly has experienced significant growth driven by its weight loss drug portfolio, with stock prices increasing over 170% in three years [1][2]. Company Overview - Eli Lilly's weight loss drugs, tirzepatide (Zepbound and Mounjaro), generated over $16 billion in revenue last year [2]. - The company has a diverse portfolio of drugs targeting various indications, reducing reliance on a single treatment area [3]. Market Potential - The weight loss drug market is projected to grow from approximately $28 billion today to nearly $100 billion in five years [7]. - Eli Lilly is developing two additional candidates that may outperform current options, indicating further growth potential [7][10]. Product Development - Tirzepatide is currently administered as a weekly injectable, but Lilly is working on a pill form (orforglipron) that has shown strong efficacy and safety [10][11]. - Another candidate, retatrutide, is in phase 3 trials and targets three hormonal pathways, suggesting it may be more effective than existing drugs [11]. Manufacturing Investment - Eli Lilly has made a significant commitment to manufacturing, investing over $50 billion in the U.S. over the past five years to support its growth [12]. Competitive Landscape - Despite potential challenges such as reimbursement issues and pricing pressures, Lilly is positioned to lead in innovation within the weight loss drug market [14]. - Orforglipron would be the only weight loss drug in pill form without strict food and water guidelines, enhancing its market appeal [14]. Valuation and Investment Outlook - The stock trades at 37 times forward earnings estimates, down from nearly 43 times, reflecting a premium valuation due to its growth prospects [15]. - Eli Lilly offers a combination of strong growth potential and the stability typical of large pharmaceutical companies, making it an attractive investment opportunity [16].
McDonald's Just Got Hammered By Weight-Loss Drugs — Twice
Benzinga· 2025-06-11 16:13
Weight-loss drugs are suppressing appetites for millions of Americans, threatening to upend dining habits at fast-food chains and casting a shadow over the restaurant industry’s long-term growth.The stark warning came from Redburn Atlantic, which on Tuesday issued a rare double downgrade on McDonald's Corp. MCD — cutting the stock from Buy to Sell — amid growing concern that appetite-suppressing medications such as Novo Nordisk A/S’s NVO Wegovy and Eli Lilly and Co.’s LLY Zepbound are reshaping consumer beh ...
X @Sam Altman
Sam Altman· 2025-06-10 22:58
we are going to take a little more time with our open-weights model, i.e. expect it later this summer but not june.our research team did something unexpected and quite amazing and we think it will be very very worth the wait, but needs a bit longer. ...
Downgrade Pressures McDonald's Stock Lower
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-06-10 14:34
Redburn Atlantic earlier downgraded the shares of blue-chip fast food giant McDonald's Corp (NYSE:MCD) to "sell" form "buy," and cut its price target to $260 from $319. This is the third downgrade MCD has received in three days, with the analyst in coverage citing weight-loss drugs like Ozempic as a critical business threat.MCD earlier slipped to its lowest level since April, as it continues to pull away from a late May attempt to conquer long-term resistance at the $320 region. Shares are today testing sup ...
合肥再现排队看房,这背后是轻量化改善市场的空白!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-10 04:20
在刚刚过去的这个周末,朋友圈被两张图片刷屏了,一张是人山人海的售楼部,一张是排队等待看房的客户。 看到这两张图,可能很多人都会有"人气是真是假?""楼市回暖了?""为什么这个楼盘这么火"等等问题,我们来聊一聊。 单从图片上看,与此前一些楼盘发布的着装统一、实为中介集中踩盘的"人气图"相比,这两张图上客户年龄不一、着装不一、男女比例正常,符合正常客户 特征。 班长也通过多个渠道确认了真实性,虽然有一部分原因是案场不大,接待能力有限,但现场确实人气爆棚,看房客户络绎不绝。不过这种排队看房的楼盘还 是个别现象,并不能代表整体市场回暖。 滨投嘉玺,也就是图片中的楼盘,人气暴涨是在公布备案价和优惠政策以后。以10号楼为例,起步单价1.6万,116户型起步总价188万,中高楼层240万左 右,143户型最高300万左右。 这个备案价的基础上,滨投在常规优惠之外,还给予了中专5万、大专10万、普通本科15万、 211本科20万、985本科或硕士研究生25万、博士研究生30万的 人才补贴,补贴完单价最低1.3万+,突破想象。 而且嘉玺还是新计容楼盘,如116平户型相当于前期132平,折算下来单价更低,自然让众多买房人心动不已 ...
ReShape Lifesciences® Announces Pricing of $2.6 Million Public Offering
Globenewswire· 2025-06-09 13:00
Core Viewpoint - ReShape Lifesciences has announced a public offering of 1,054,604 shares of common stock at a price of $2.50 per share, expecting gross proceeds of approximately $2.6 million before expenses [1]. Group 1: Offering Details - The public offering is being conducted under an effective shelf registration statement filed with the SEC, which was declared effective on May 14, 2025 [3]. - Maxim Group LLC is acting as the sole placement agent for this offering [2]. - The offering is expected to close on or about June 9, 2025, pending customary closing conditions [1]. Group 2: Company Overview - ReShape Lifesciences is a leading company in weight loss and metabolic health solutions, offering a range of products and services for obesity and metabolic disease management [4]. - The company’s FDA-approved products include the Lap-Band® systems, which provide minimally invasive treatment options for obesity, and the ReShape Diabetes Neuromodulation system, which targets glucose regulation [4]. - The Obalon® balloon technology is another innovative product that offers a non-surgical method for weight loss [4].
Billionaire Stanley Druckenmiller Has Unloaded Shares of Last Year's 2 Top Performing AI Stocks and Is Piling Into a Growth Stock That Has Climbed 150% in 3 Years
The Motley Fool· 2025-06-07 22:10
Investment Strategy Insights - Billionaire fund managers, such as Stanley Druckenmiller, provide valuable insights for investors looking to build wealth by following their investment strategies [1][4] - Druckenmiller has a history of delivering an annualized average return of 30% over 30 years without a money-losing year, making his investment decisions noteworthy [4] Recent Investment Moves by Druckenmiller - Druckenmiller closed his position in Nvidia, which had a remarkable gain of over 700% from Q4 2022 to Q3 2023, expressing some regret about the timing of the sale [5] - He also exited his position in Palantir Technologies, which had a 340% gain in the previous year [6] Focus on Growth Stocks - Druckenmiller increased his investment in Eli Lilly by 52% in Q1 2023, now holding 94,830 shares valued at approximately $73 million, indicating confidence in the company's growth potential [8] - Eli Lilly's growth is driven by its position in the high-growth weight loss drug market, particularly with its GLP-1 agonist tirzepatide, which has seen significant demand [9][10] Future Growth Potential for Eli Lilly - Analysts predict the weight loss drug market could reach $95 billion annually by 2030, suggesting strong future revenue growth for Eli Lilly [10] - Lilly is also developing a new weight loss pill, orforglipron, which could enhance its market position if it proves effective and gains regulatory approval [11] Investment Considerations - Investors may consider following Druckenmiller's lead by exiting positions in Nvidia and Palantir while investing in Eli Lilly, depending on their individual investment strategies [12]
Should You Invest $1,000 in Eli Lilly today?
The Motley Fool· 2025-06-05 08:15
Core Insights - Eli Lilly has experienced significant revenue growth driven by its weight loss drug portfolio, particularly Mounjaro and Zepbound, which have become blockbusters generating over $11 billion and $4.9 billion in sales respectively [10] - The company is well-positioned in the weight loss market, competing with Novo Nordisk, and has plans to advance its oral weight loss candidate, orforglipron, which could provide a competitive edge [11] Company Overview - Eli Lilly offers a diverse range of medicines, including cancer and immunology drugs, but its weight loss drugs have recently become a standout category [1][2] - The company's weight loss drugs are classified as dual GIP and GLP-1 receptor agonists, which help control blood sugar levels and appetite [5] Market Dynamics - The demand for weight loss drugs has been robust, leading to a significant market presence for both Eli Lilly and Novo Nordisk, with Lilly quickly gaining market share after launching Mounjaro in 2022 and Zepbound in 2023 [6] - Despite a recent reduction in Goldman Sachs' forecast for global sales of anti-obesity medicines to $95 billion by 2030, this still represents a 239% increase from the current $28 billion market [8][9] Financial Performance - Eli Lilly's total sales growth has been impressive, with a 32% increase in the full year and a 45% increase in the most recent quarter [10] - The company's shares are currently trading at 34 times forward earnings estimates, comparable to leading tech companies, indicating strong growth potential [12][14] Competitive Advantage - Lilly's potential oral weight loss drug, orforglipron, could provide a significant advantage over Novo Nordisk's oral semaglutide, as it does not involve strict food and water guidelines [11] - The company combines the growth potential of a tech stock with the stability and dividend growth typical of pharmaceutical companies, making it an attractive investment option [15][16]
Allurion Technologies (ALUR) 2025 Conference Transcript
2025-06-04 20:45
Allurion Technologies (ALUR) 2025 Conference June 04, 2025 03:45 PM ET Speaker0 Alright. We can, we can make a start here. I'm Michael Toomey covering for for Matt Taylor, US med tech analyst at Jefferies. Pleased to be joined by Shantanu Gore, founder and CEO of Allurion. So thank you for joining us today. So maybe we can just level set to start for people not as familiar with the story. Obviously, you founded the company and just run us through maybe a history of Allurion and where we are today. Speaker1 ...
Fractyl Health and Bariendo Sign Letter of Intent to Prepare for Potential Offering of Revita® Across its Bariatric and Metabolic Endoscopy Centers Nationwide
Globenewswire· 2025-06-04 11:00
Core Insights - The collaboration between Fractyl Health and Bariendo aims to develop a scalable clinical pathway for the Revita procedure, which is intended for weight maintenance after discontinuation of GLP-1 drugs, pending FDA approval [1][5][6] - There is a growing demand for endoscopic alternatives to GLP-1 drugs, as many patients experience rapid weight regain after stopping these medications [5][6] - Revita is positioned as a potential first disease-modifying therapy targeting the root causes of obesity by resurfacing the duodenal lining [3][8] Company Overview - Fractyl Health focuses on innovative metabolic therapeutics that address the root causes of obesity and type 2 diabetes, aiming to transform treatment from chronic management to durable therapies [7] - Bariendo is a direct-to-consumer platform that offers advanced endoscopic weight loss procedures and aims to provide long-term solutions to obesity without ongoing medication [9] Clinical Development - Fractyl is preparing for three key data readouts from its pivotal study of Revita: open-label data from REVEAL-1 expected in June 2025, midpoint data from REMAIN-1 in Q3 2025, and primary endpoint data from REMAIN-1 in the second half of 2026 [2] - The collaboration will focus on pre-commercial preparation, including clinical workflow design, provider education, and health economic analysis [5] Market Context - The increasing use of GLP-1 drugs has highlighted the need for effective solutions to maintain weight loss after discontinuation, creating an urgent market opportunity for Revita [5][6] - Bariendo's holistic approach to obesity care aligns with the goals of Revita, emphasizing the importance of integrating metabolic endoscopic solutions into clinical practice [4][6]