2月15日深夜，加密货币市场跳水，以太坊跌近4%，比特币跌超1%。 多项指标预示，比特币一旦跌破60000美元大关，恐将引发新一轮的极端动荡。 渣打银行的分析师团队表示，作为加密货币的鼻祖，比特币在企稳前可能会一路跌至50,000美元。根据 Deribit的数据，该点位也是看跌期权未平仓合约量第二高的水平。 有分析师称，"我们接触到的每一个人在'短期'（无论他们如何定义短期）内都持悲观态度，这足以说 明目前的市场情绪和仓位布局。" 看跌期权赋予持有人在特定日期或之前以预定价格出售资产的权利。如果比特币向60000美元滑落，卖 出这些看跌期权的交易员为了对冲风险，往往会反向抛售比特币现货或期货，这无疑会产生额外的下行 压力。 Deribit数据显示，挂钩60000美元的看跌期权未平仓合约总额达12.4亿美元。 多位分析师都将200周均线视为核心支撑位。一旦失守，价格可能再面临近20%的回调。"如果持续跌破 60000/58000美元这一关键区域，可能会打开进一步下行的大门，回测40000美元上方附近的下一个支撑 位。" 责编:刘安琪 | 审核:李震 | 监审:古筝 根据Deribit的数据，比特币期权市场中规模 ...

2月15日，比特币价格继续剧烈波动，一度触及71000美元/枚的比特币再度直线跳水，以太坊一度跌近4%。 截至2月16日发稿，比特币报68894.51美元，跌幅1.32%。 另据媒体报道，美联储降息又将迎来重要变数。 2月20日周五，"美联储最爱通胀指标"去年12月PCE数据及第四季度GDP初值将公布。 近期比特币价格在69000美元附近波动，较去年10月的峰值已回落约40%。这波跌势始于去年底，当时超过190亿美元的多头头寸在一次剧烈的去杠杆进程中 被清算，终结了此前的强势涨幅。自那以后，币价一直难以站稳脚跟。进入2月初，抛压再次加剧。 多项指标预示，比特币一旦跌破60000美元大关，恐将引发新一轮的极端动荡。 根据Deribit的数据，比特币期权市场中规模最大的头寸集群是看跌 60000美元以下的合约。紧随其后的支撑位是比特币的200周均线（目前略高于58000美 元），不少技术分析师将其视为至关重要的生命线。 图片来源：每日经济新闻 祝裕 数据显示，加密货币市场全网近24小时有超11万人爆仓，3.31亿美元（约合人民币23亿元）资金灰飞烟灭。 | 1小时爆仓 | $302.71万 | 4小时爆仓 | $ ...

Core Viewpoint - The cryptocurrency market is experiencing a significant downturn, with major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum seeing substantial declines in value, leading to widespread liquidations among investors [1][4][6]. Market Performance - Bitcoin has dropped by 1.86%, trading at $68,523.0, while Ethereum has seen a more severe decline of over 6%, currently priced at $1,952.00 [2]. - Other cryptocurrencies such as FIL and XRP have also faced declines of approximately 6% and 3.11%, respectively [2]. Liquidation Data - In the past 24 hours, over 118,000 traders have been liquidated, with a total liquidation amount reaching $334 million [4]. - The breakdown of liquidations shows that in the last hour, $9.295 million in long positions were liquidated, while $2.939 million in short positions were also liquidated [5]. Market Sentiment and Predictions - The cryptocurrency market sentiment is bearish, with predictions indicating an 82% probability that Bitcoin will fall below $65,000 this year, and a 60% chance of dropping below $55,000 [6]. - Concerns regarding cryptocurrency miners are increasing, as investors are adjusting their positions in response to market conditions [6]. Regulatory Environment - U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Benset has indicated that the government will not provide bailouts for cryptocurrencies, emphasizing the lack of authority to purchase Bitcoin or other cryptocurrencies [7].

Core Viewpoint - Bitcoin experienced a sharp decline, dropping over 1% as of February 16, with Ethereum falling nearly 6% and SOL dropping close to 2% [1] Group 1: Market Impact - Over the past 24 hours, more than 117,000 individuals in the global cryptocurrency market faced liquidation, with a total liquidation amount of $330 million [1] - A strategist from Ned Davis Research indicated that Bitcoin's price could potentially fall to $31,000, representing a further decline of approximately 55% from current levels [1] Group 2: Federal Reserve Insights - The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates has surged, with traders now expecting an 83% chance of a rate cut in June [1] - As of February 16, the latest data shows a 9.8% probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by March, down from a previous prediction of 19.6% [1]

2月15日，比特币价格继续剧烈波动，今日一度触及71000美元/枚的比特币再度直线跳水，截至发稿跌至69225.91美元/枚。以太坊更是跌超3%。 剧烈波动下，加密货币近24小时全球有超8万人爆仓。 | 1H爆仓 | $299.76万 | 4H爆仓 | $6427.42万 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 多更 | $103.05万 | 名車 | $5907.24万 | | 空单 | $196.71万 | 空单 | $520.19万 | | 12H爆仓 | $1.37亿 | 24H爆仓 | $2.14亿 | | 多車 | $9132.65万 | 名車 | $1.19亿 | | 空車 | $4563.94万 | 容更 | $9460.85万 | 消息面上，春节周来临，美联储降息又将迎来重要变数。 2月20日周五，"美联储最爱通胀指标"去年12月PCE数据及第四季度GDP初值将公布。 彭博经济预计，去年12月核心PCE物价指数环比或上涨0.3%，将同比推高至2.9%，显示年末通胀有所升温。尽管美国政府停摆带来干扰，但第四季度GDP 增速料将达到3.0%，高于市场预期的2.8%。 投资者还 ...

Group 1 - Bitcoin experienced a sharp decline, dropping over 1% and Ethereum nearly 6%, with a total liquidation amount of $330 million affecting over 117,000 individuals in the crypto market [1] - Ned Davis Research predicts Bitcoin could fall to $31,000, indicating a potential decrease of approximately 55% from current levels [1] Group 2 - The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates in June has surged to 83%, up from 49.9% previously, while the likelihood of a 25 basis point cut by March is now at 9.8%, down from 19.6% [3] Group 3 - Upcoming economic data releases include the PCE data and preliminary GDP figures for Q4, with the Federal Reserve meeting minutes also drawing significant market attention [4]

2月15日，比特币价格继续剧烈波动，一度触及71000美元/枚的比特币再度直线跳水，以太坊一度跌近 4%。 截至2月16日发稿，比特币报68894.51美元，跌幅1.32%。 数据显示，加密货币市场全网近24小时有超11万人爆仓，3.31亿美元（约合人民币23亿元）资金灰飞烟 灭。 近期比特币价格在69000美元附近波动，较去年10月的峰值已回落约40%。这波跌势始于去年底，当时 超过190亿美元的多头头寸在一次剧烈的去杠杆进程中被清算，终结了此前的强势涨幅。自那以后，币 价一直难以站稳脚跟。进入2月初，抛压再次加剧。 多项指标预示，比特币一旦跌破60000美元大关，恐将引发新一轮的极端动荡。 根据Deribit的数据，比特币期权市场中规模最大的头寸集群是看跌 60000美元以下的合约。紧随其后的 支撑位是比特币的200周均线（目前略高于58000美元），不少技术分析师将其视为至关重要的生命线。 另据媒体报道，美联储降息又将迎来重要变数。 2月20日周五，"美联储最爱通胀指标"去年12月PCE数据及第四季度GDP初值将公布。 彭博经济预计，去年12月核心PCE物价指数环比或上涨0.3%，将同比推高至2.9%， ...

大家好哇，今天是农历蛇年的最后一天，告别旧岁，我们在马年迎来新的征程。愿大家在新的一年里， 持仓皆是大牛，净值日日长红。愿我们都能在波动的市场中保持"龙马精神"的韧性，精准捕捉每一 个"马"上升值的机会。 【导读】币圈跳水啦 中国基金报记者 泰勒 近期比特币价格在69000美元附近波动，较去年10月的峰值已回落约40%。这波跌势始于去年底，当时 超过190亿美元的多头头寸在一次剧烈的去杠杆进程中被清算，终结了此前的强势涨幅。自那以后，币 价一直难以站稳脚跟。进入2月初，抛压再次加剧，回吐了自支持加密货币的特朗普再次当选美国总统 以来的全部涨幅。 目前，各种看空预期正笼罩着加密市场。曾因在2008年金融危机前做空美股房地产而声名大噪的迈克尔 ·伯里近期警告称，比特币的暴跌可能会深化为自我强化的"死亡螺旋"。 渣打银行的分析师团队表示，作为加密货币的鼻祖，比特币在企稳前可能会一路跌至50，000美元。根 据Deribit的数据，该点位也是看跌期权未平仓合约量第二高的水平。 好了，今晚就简单关注一下比特币跳水的消息。 2月15日深夜，加密货币市场跳水，以太坊跌近4%，比特币跌超1%。 多项指标预示，比特币一旦跌破6 ...

多项指标预示，比特币一旦跌破60000美元大关，恐将引发新一轮的极端动荡。 2月15日，比特币价格继续剧烈波动，一度触及71000美元/枚的比特币再度直线跳水，以太坊一度跌近4%。 截至2月16日发稿，比特币报68894.51美元，跌幅1.32%。 数据显示，加密货币市场全网近24小时有超11万人爆仓，3.31亿美元（约合人民币23亿元）资金灰飞烟灭。 | 1小时爆仓 | $302.71万 | 4小时爆仓 | $4513.55万 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | ミ東 | $45.45万 | 多車 | $3452.89万 | | 空車 | $257.26万 | 空单 | $1060.67万 | | 12小时爆仓 | $2.12亿 | 24小时爆仓 | $3.31亿 | | 多单 | $1.89亿 | 多单 | $2.43亿 | | 空单 | $2313.40万 | 空首 | $8782.64万 | 近期比特币价格在69000美元附近波动，较去年10月的峰值已回落约40%。这波跌势始于去年底，当时超过190亿美元的多头头寸在一次剧烈的去杠杆进程中 被清算，终结了此前的强势涨幅。自那以后 ...

Core Insights - The crypto market cap has decreased by over 30% in the last three months, impacting crypto treasury firms that had previously thrived during price surges [1] - Many crypto treasury firms hold significant amounts of Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Solana, but the decline in value has left many underwater on their investments [2][3] Group 1: Crypto Treasury Firms' Strategies - Crypto treasury firms are likely to start selling their holdings to manage debt obligations, which could lead to further declines in crypto prices [4] - Strategy (NASDAQ: MSTR) has stated it will not sell its crypto despite its market cap being lower than its Bitcoin holdings, while Mara Holdings (NASDAQ: MARA) may sell some Bitcoin as it prepares for potential sales [5] - BitMine Immersion Technologies (NYSEMKT: BMNR) is facing around $7.5 billion in unrealized losses but has recently purchased more Ethereum, indicating a strategy to endure the price slump [6][7] Group 2: Impact of Crypto ETFs - The emergence of cryptocurrency ETFs is expected to pressure digital asset treasuries, as they provide a less risky alternative for investors compared to actively managed crypto treasury firms [8]