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贵金属日报-20260119
Guo Tou Qi Huo· 2026-01-19 12:03
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Gold: ★☆★ (indicating a bullish bias but limited trading opportunities on the market) [1] - Silver: ★☆★ (indicating a bullish bias but limited trading opportunities on the market) [1] - Platinum and Palladium: Resources are brittle, and it is still advisable to go long on dips, but track the expected shift in capital liquidity. [2] 2. Core Views - The U.S. economic data shows resilience, and Fed officials are cautious about rate cuts. The market expects the first rate cut this year to be in June. Geopolitical tensions, such as Trump's tariff threats, increase global uncertainty and support gold prices. The administrative order on key minerals eases concerns about silver tariffs and liquidity shortages. [1] - The platinum and palladium market on the Guangzhou Futures Exchange has calmed down after the initial enthusiasm. The price difference remains high. Although the bullish sentiment has declined due to the non - implementation of the 232 tariff, it is still advisable to go long on dips. Technically, it is at the end of a triangle consolidation, and an option strategy of buying a straddle can be considered after the second directional choice. [2] 3. Other Key Points - **Macroeconomic and Policy News** - Trump wants Hassett to stay in his original position, and Hassett promises to maintain the Fed's independence if he becomes the Fed chair. Fed officials have different views on rate cuts, with some focusing on potential lay - off risks and others emphasizing inflation control. [2] - Trump threatens to impose tariffs on countries with different views on Greenland, and the EU may impose tariffs on $93 billion of U.S. goods and plans an offline summit on January 22. [3] - Trump signs an executive order on key mineral imports, setting a 180 - day negotiation window and temporarily not imposing tariffs on key minerals. [1] - **Market Conditions** - The platinum - palladium spread on the Guangzhou Futures Exchange remains at a high of 140 yuan/gram. The market is at the end of a triangle consolidation, and a second directional choice is expected after volatility reduction. [2]
伦敦金陷三角形整理泥潭 多空动能均衡静待破局
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-11-25 02:20
Group 1 - The latest price of London gold is $4,129.87 per ounce, down $13.76 from the previous trading day, representing a decline of 0.33% [1] - The daily high reached $4,144.04 per ounce, while the lowest price was $4,129.09 per ounce [1] Group 2 - The EU antitrust chief has ruled out the possibility of relaxing tech regulation rules, responding to U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick's previous comments [2] - The EU Council officially approved the 2026 EU budget, totaling €192.8 billion, with planned expenditures set at €190.1 billion [2] - The budget will focus on key areas such as defense, immigration, and competitiveness, while retaining flexibility to respond to potential crises [2]