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中长期纯债基金收益回升
Guo Tou Qi Huo· 2025-08-04 12:37
Overall Summary - The report is a weekly financial engineering report on the fund market, covering market performance, style analysis, and factor performance as of August 1, 2025 [3]. Market Performance - In the week ending August 1, 2025, the weekly returns of Tonglian All A (Shanghai, Shenzhen, Beijing), ChinaBond Composite Bond, and Nanhua Commodity Index were -1.14%, 0.13%, and -2.46% respectively [3]. - In the public - fund market, there was a divergence in stock - bond returns in the past week, with medium - and long - term bonds outperforming. The index weekly return was 0.14%. Passive index returns in the equity market weakened, neutral strategy products mostly rose, pure - bond strategy returns in the bond market rebounded, convertible bond returns declined, and silver and energy - chemical ETFs in the commodity market significantly corrected, while gold and soybean meal ETFs had slightly weaker returns [3]. Style Analysis 1. Zhongxin Five - Style Index - Last Friday, the style index closed down, with growth and consumption relatively stronger. The style rotation chart showed that the relative strength of each style decreased month - on - month, and the cyclical style had a large decline in the indicator momentum [3]. - In the public - fund pool, the average return of consumption - style funds in the past week did not outperform the benchmark index, while cyclical and growth - style funds had better excess performance. The style coefficients of growth and stable styles slightly increased [3]. - The growth style rose to a historically high - congestion range [3]. 2. Style Timing Model - According to the latest scoring results of the style timing model, the financial style weakened marginally this week, the stable style rebounded, and the current signal favored the consumption style. The return of the style timing strategy last week was -0.41%, and the excess return compared to the benchmark balanced allocation was 0.97% [3]. Barra Factor Performance - In the past week, the return of the residual volatility factor continued to strengthen, with a weekly excess return of 1.02%. The returns of the profitability and liquidity factors weakened. In terms of winning rate, the capital flow factor strengthened marginally, and the leverage and residual momentum factors decreased month - on - month [3]. - This week, the cross - sectional rotation speed of factors decreased marginally and was currently in a historically low - quantile range [3].