Core Viewpoint - The major indices in the Chinese stock market showed positive performance at midday, with the Sci-Tech 100 Index leading the gains at 2.2% increase, indicating a bullish sentiment in the market. Group 1: Index Performance - The Sci-Tech 100 Index increased by 2.2% [1] - The CSI 500 Index rose by 1.1% [1] - The CSI 1000 Index saw an increase of 0.8% [1] - The CSI 2000 Index grew by 0.7% [1] - The ChiNext Mid-cap 200 Index experienced a rise of 0.5% [1] Group 2: ETF Information - The CSI 500 ETF tracks the CSI 500 Index, which consists of 500 stocks with a total market capitalization ranking below the top 300, and it had a rolling P/E ratio of 35.4 times with a valuation percentile of 67.8% [3] - The CSI 1000 ETF follows the CSI 1000 Index, made up of 1000 smaller, liquid stocks, with a rolling P/E ratio of 47.9 times and a valuation percentile of 70.2% [3] - The CSI 2000 ETF tracks the CSI 2000 Index, which includes stocks outside the CSI 1000 Index, and it had a rolling P/E ratio of 47.9 times [3] - The Sci-Tech 100 ETF focuses on 100 medium-sized, liquid stocks from the Sci-Tech Board, with over 75% of its composition in electronics, power equipment, and biomedicine [3] - The ChiNext 200 ETF tracks the ChiNext Mid-cap 200 Index, which consists of 200 medium-sized stocks from the ChiNext market, with over 40% in the information technology sector and a rolling P/E ratio of 109.5 times [4]

2025.12. 24 市场呈现强普涨特征,市场情绪回暖,赚钱效应 从"局部修复"转向"全面扩散",是政策、景气 度与资金面共振的结果。中小盘成长股(商业航 天、算力硬件、PCB等）领涨,权重股 (如金融、 地产、消费)稳定支撑,贵金属、保险、乳业等传 统行业板块有所调整。 资金情经 主力资金净流入 A股市场呈现震荡拉升格局,三大指数均实现小幅上涨。上证指数主要受权重股稳定及题材 股轮动支撑。深证成指涨幅最大,主要受题材股活跃及中小盘成长股上涨驱动。创业板指在 科技、算力等成长股的上涨推动下实现温和涨幅。 4125家上涨 涨跌停比 37 HG 两市成交额 ● ● 万亿元 ▼1.03% 两市成交额小幅缩量,但市场普涨、抛压减轻、 资金聚焦高景气赛道,从高位题材股(如新能 源、消费电子）流向低估值蓝筹(如银行、公用 事业)与科技龙头(如AI算力、半导体)。调仓 行为导致市场"赚钱效应"分散,部分资金选择 观望,从而抑制了成交额的扩张。 散户资金净流入 机构聚焦高景气赛道. 结构分化显著. 电子、半导体、液冷设备等科技成长板块成为核心配置方向,减仓有 色金属、贵金属等传统周期板块。散户短期博弈、追逐热点，资金活跃于 ...

Market Overview - A-shares are expected to face a critical week with the implementation of the new quantitative trading regulations on July 7, which is considered the strictest regulatory policy in the past decade, potentially altering market structure [1][3] News Impact - Key economic data, including June's CPI and PPI, will be released next week, serving as indicators for market sentiment. Lower-than-expected figures may prompt further policy easing, while higher figures could raise inflation concerns [3] - The expiration of tariff issues on July 9 is anticipated to relieve market sentiment, regardless of the outcome [3] - A total of 31.294 billion yuan worth of stocks will be unlocked next week, with the largest amount on Monday, which may impact related sectors [3] Policy Changes - The new quantitative trading regulations impose strict limits on high-frequency trading, with a threshold of 300 orders per second triggering regulatory scrutiny. The cancellation fee has increased to 0.05 yuan per order, affecting the operations of quantitative funds [3] - The abolishment of T+0 for margin trading will prevent quantitative institutions from exploiting short-term arbitrage, which is seen as beneficial for retail investors by reducing information asymmetry [3] External Market Conditions - The U.S. stock market has faced pressure due to Apple lowering its product sales forecast, leading to a 0.73% decline in the Nasdaq index. European markets also showed weakness, with Germany's DAX index down 0.78% due to declining industrial orders [4] - The Hong Kong Hang Seng Index performed relatively well, with Tencent Holdings slightly up by 0.8%, potentially providing some support for A-share technology sectors [4] Technical Analysis - The Shanghai Composite Index has been fluctuating around 3472 points, with a recent peak at 3497 points before a pullback, indicating significant selling pressure near the 3500-point mark. Historical data suggests a potential average decline of 3.5% following similar patterns [4] - The index has shown strong support at 3452 points over the past two weeks, and if it can maintain above 3430 points, the upward trend may continue [4] Capital Flow - There is a noticeable divergence in capital flow, with active funds experiencing significant outflows, particularly from cyclical stocks and diversified financials. Meanwhile, passive funds continue to accumulate, albeit at a reduced pace [5][6] - Northbound capital has recently increased its positions, particularly in consumer and technology sectors, while bank stocks have seen net outflows [6] Investment Strategy - For short-term defensive strategies, high-dividend and defensive sectors such as electricity and coal are recommended, with specific stocks like Huaneng International and China Shenhua offering attractive dividend yields [6] - Mid-term opportunities in technology and small-cap stocks are highlighted, particularly in semiconductor and renewable energy sectors, with specific stocks showing potential for rebound [6] - High-risk stocks to avoid include high-priced weight stocks and those without performance catalysts, especially in light of the new quantitative regulations [6] Conclusion - The market is expected to undergo a "stress test" next week, with key support levels and trading volume being critical observation points. Investors are advised to avoid chasing high-priced stocks and instead consider undervalued technology and high-dividend sectors [7]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market showed a collective increase in the first half of 2025, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 2.76%, while the North Stock 50 Index outperformed with a remarkable increase of 39.45% [1][2]. Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3444.43 points, up 0.59% on June 30, 2025, with a total trading volume of 63.7 trillion yuan, remaining stable compared to the second half of 2024 [1]. - The Shenzhen Component Index and the ChiNext Index saw smaller gains of 0.48% and 0.53%, respectively, while the North Stock 50 Index had a significant increase of 39.45% [1][2]. - The average A-share price increased by 11.99%, rising from 19.69 yuan to 22.05 yuan, indicating a strong market performance compared to the major indices [2]. Market Structure - The performance of small and mid-cap growth stocks was notably better than large-cap blue chips, with the CSI 2000 Index rising by 15.24% and the CSI 1000 Index by 6.69% [2]. - The STAR Market's composite index increased by 9.93%, but the STAR 50 Index only rose by 1.46%, indicating that large-cap stocks may have dragged down overall performance [2]. Outlook for the Second Half - CITIC Securities predicts that the synchronization of the US and Chinese economic and policy cycles will lead to macroeconomic resilience, favoring growth-oriented stocks in the second half of the year [3]. - Core assets are expected to show significant relative profitability and operational resilience, with a potential revaluation of A-share assets in Hong Kong, which could act as a "blue-chip engine" [3]. - The reform of public fund management is anticipated to shift institutional investors' focus towards core company pricing rather than chasing industry trends, leading to a gradual return to leading companies with pricing power [3].