最近A股市场热闹非凡，半导体、医疗器械、稀土永磁轮番上阵，上证指数四连阳，外资回流，私募加仓，一切看起来都很美好。但作为一个在量化投资领 域摸爬滚打多年的上海人，我深知这表面的繁华背后，藏着多少散户看不见的暗流涌动。 机构专家，有时候真的是"浆糊"，券商素来牛心熊胆，总要提示风险，但又说向好趋势不变。表面看，这就是浆糊，实际浆糊的背后，一些大实话不肯说， 说没有神秘感。就是为何大趋势不变，就是因为他们身处一线，自然清楚钱在不断通过ETF、私募、公募、重新激活的股民账户进来。 真正的风险，根本不是中报风险，而是你看不清具体的机构动作，导致了这么多股票， 二、定价权才是股市的本质 股市争夺的从来不是对错，而是定价权。没有定价权的一方，永远是被收割的韭菜。而定价权，永远掌握在机构手里。 机构投资者也是一百个心眼。但无论他们怎么玩花样，最终都要落实到交易行为上。这就好比黄浦江再浑浊，水质检测数据总能告诉你真相。 一、专家观点为何总是"浆糊"？ 最近中报预增概念炒得火热，但同样是预增股，「盛屯矿业」和「齐峰新材」的表现却天差地别。有人说是行业不同，有人说市场情绪使然。要我说，这些 都是表象。 上面两张图中的橙色柱体就是 ...

最近A股市场热闹非凡，机器人概念、钢铁板块轮番表演，12只个股获得融资客超亿元净买入。北方稀土3.8亿的净买入额高居榜首，新易盛、海南华铁紧 随其后。电子和有色金属板块成为资金宠儿，机构调研也密集指向这些领域。 | | | 7月18日融资净买入居前个股 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 代码 | 简称 | 融资净买入 | 最新融资余额 | 占流通市 值比例 | 行业 | | | | (亿元) | (亿元) | | | | | | | | (%) | | | 600111 | 北方稀土 | 3.80 | 41.44 | 3.48 | 有色金属 | | 300502 | 新易盛 | 2.81 | 57.64 | 3.57 | 通信 | | 603300 | 海南华铁 | 1.63 | 18.57 | 7.92 | 非银金融 | | 603228 | 景旺电子 | 1.45 | 8.23 | 1.67 | 电子 | | 002463 | 沪电股份 | 1.28 | 16.42 | 1.64 | 电子 | | 600316 | 洪都航空 | 1.27 | ...

Market Overview - A-shares experienced a rebound today, with all three major indices rising, led by the ChiNext Index, and the Shanghai Composite Index reaching a new high for the year. The total market turnover exceeded 1.33 trillion yuan [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.18%, the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 1.17%, and the ChiNext Index gained 1.9%. Over 3,200 stocks in the market saw gains [1] Key Stocks and Sectors - Solid-state battery concept stocks rebounded today, with Dazhongnan (002263) experiencing a "limit-up" [10] - Industrial Fulian (601138), with a market capitalization exceeding 460 billion yuan, hit the daily limit with a net inflow of 2.023 billion yuan, ranking first in A-shares [3][5] - Institutional research indicates that Industrial Fulian's capital expenditure intensity from cloud vendors is expected to remain strong over the next 3-5 years, with robust order growth anticipated by 2025 [3] Sector Performance - The PCB (Printed Circuit Board), consumer electronics, innovative pharmaceuticals, and solid-state battery sectors saw significant gains, while sectors such as controllable nuclear fusion, marine economy, oil and gas, and gaming experienced declines [6] - The innovative pharmaceutical sector saw a surge, with stocks like Changchun High-tech hitting the daily limit [7] - The PCB sector saw a midday rally, with leading stocks like Shenghong Technology and Dongshan Precision reaching new highs [8] Solid-State Battery Developments - Dazhongnan's main business involves the research, production, and sales of plastic films and packaging products, with a significant focus on capacitor films used in various industries [13] - The solid-state battery industry is accelerating its industrialization process, with significant advancements in performance and commercialization expected [13] Mid-Year Earnings Forecast - The mid-year earnings season is becoming a focal point for the A-share market, with stocks like Meinuohua and Guomai Technology hitting the daily limit due to positive earnings forecasts [15][17] - Meinuohua expects a net profit of 46 to 52 million yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 142.84% to 174.52% [17] - Guomai Technology anticipates a net profit of 125 to 156 million yuan for the same period, reflecting a growth of 60.52% to 100.33% compared to the previous year [17] Market Outlook - According to research from CITIC Securities, the domestic macro environment is expected to remain stable in July, with easing geopolitical tensions and renewed expectations for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, potentially leading to increased global liquidity [18] - The market is likely to focus on trading mid-year earnings, with positive expectations for sectors such as overseas computing power chains (PCB, optical modules), edge AI, innovative pharmaceuticals, wind power, and military industries [18]