Core Viewpoint - The A-share market has shown significant performance in 2025, with major indices like the Shanghai Composite Index up over 16%, the Shenzhen Component Index up over 24%, and the ChiNext Index up over 42% as of November 2025. However, there is notable sector divergence, with strong performances in banking, electronics, telecommunications, non-ferrous metals, and power equipment, while sectors like liquor and real estate lag behind [2][3]. Group 1: Top Quantitative Private Equity - A total of 36 private equity firms with over 10 billion in assets made it to the top quantitative private equity list, with firms like Lingjun Investment, Ningbo Huanfang Quantitative, and Stable Investment ranking in the top 10 [3][5]. - The average yield for the top quantitative private equity firms from January to November 2025 is close to ***%, with 76 firms employing stock strategies, 11 using multi-asset strategies, 10 focusing on futures and derivatives, 2 on bonds, and 1 on combination funds [2][5]. - The top 10 private equity firms by yield include Huacheng Private Equity, Longyin Huxiao, and Tianhui (Shanghai) Private Equity, among others [3][5]. Group 2: Top Subjective Private Equity - The threshold for the top subjective private equity firms is higher than that of quantitative firms, with an average yield close to ***% for the top firms from January to November 2025 [9][11]. - 85 firms in the subjective strategy category dominated the top 20, with only 7 firms with over 10 billion in assets making the list, including Yuanxin Investment and Fusheng Asset [9][11]. - The top 10 subjective private equity firms by yield include Beijing Xiyue Private Equity, Luyuan Private Equity, and Qiantou Investment, among others [9][11]. Group 3: "Small but Beautiful" Private Equity - The "Small but Beautiful" category features 79 firms using stock strategies, with the average yield threshold exceeding ***% [13][15]. - The top three firms in this category are Longhuixiang Investment, Jingying Zhito, and Moku Asset [13][15]. - The top 10 firms in this category include Longhuixiang Investment, Moku Asset, and Jingying Zhito, among others [13][15].

Summary of the Conference Call Industry Overview - The discussion revolves around the **quantitative investment** landscape and its performance relative to **active investment** strategies, particularly in the context of market conditions from 2017 to 2026 [1][3][6]. Key Insights and Arguments - **Market Conditions**: The performance of quantitative versus active investment is closely tied to market patterns. Divergent markets (frequent sector rotations) favor quantitative strategies, while consensus markets (high sector concentration) favor active strategies [1][3]. - **Historical Performance**: From 2013 to 2017, quantitative investment significantly outperformed active investment, driven by the strong performance of small-cap factors. However, from 2017 to 2021, quantitative investment underperformed due to market phenomena like the "beautiful 50" and the concentration in sectors like renewable energy and semiconductors. Since 2022, quantitative strategies have regained an edge [3][6]. - **Capital Concentration**: The concentration of capital is a key indicator for determining market patterns. High concentration indicates a consensus market, where cognitive alpha (industry trend predictions, in-depth stock analysis) is advantageous. Low concentration indicates a divergent market, where trading alpha (capturing behavioral biases, price-volume relationships) is more beneficial [4][6]. - **Future Outlook for 2026**: A structural market is anticipated in 2026, with a high probability that quantitative investment will outperform active investment. The recent rise in capital concentration, driven by sectors like AI and technology, may face challenges as valuations become high, potentially weakening the "herding" effect [6][8]. - **Institutional Preferences**: There are notable differences in asset allocation among institutions. Public funds favor technology sectors, while foreign and insurance companies lean towards dividend and value sectors. This suggests a potential shift in market focus between technology growth and traditional industry recovery [6][8]. Additional Important Points - **Short-term Market Sentiment**: The sentiment towards the stock market is optimistic, with a shift in investment style from growth to value since September. The current market shows a balanced approach between large-cap and small-cap stocks, with a slight preference for small-cap value [7][8]. - **Performance Metrics**: Historical data indicates that the narrow win rate for recommended styles is approximately 40%, while the broad win rate is around 80% [7]. - **Investment Recommendations**: There is a recommendation for a small-cap value style in the short term, alongside a suggestion to monitor the performance of models and strategies over the long term [2][7]. This summary encapsulates the key points discussed in the conference call, providing insights into the quantitative investment landscape and its future trajectory.

Market Overview - In October, the A-share market is characterized by a "slow bull market" with indices fluctuating upwards, rapid sector rotation, and increasing trading volume [2] - The number of private equity firms with assets exceeding 10 billion reached 18 in October, setting a new monthly record for the year [2] Performance of Private Equity Firms - The average return of private equity products from January to October has shown significant changes in rankings among different investment modes [2] - Among private equity firms managing over 500 million, a list of the top 100 subjective and quantitative private equity firms based on returns has been compiled [2] Quantitative Private Equity Rankings - In the top 100 quantitative private equity firms, 36 firms have over 10 billion in assets, with 22 of them ranking in the top 50 [3] - The average return threshold for firms to be included in the top 100 was set at ***% [3][11] Subjective Private Equity Rankings - In the top 100 subjective private equity firms, the average return also surpassed that of the top quantitative firms [11] - The majority of subjective private equity firms are in the 500 million to 1 billion range, with Shenzhen having the highest number of firms [12] Small and Beautiful Private Equity Rankings - Among the "small and beautiful" private equity firms with assets between 0-2 billion, there are 457 firms that meet the ranking criteria [20] - The majority of these firms are subjective private equity, with significant representation from Shanghai and Shenzhen [20] Notable Firms and Strategies - Huacheng Private Equity achieved the highest average return among quantitative firms, focusing on derivatives trading [6] - Yongshu Investment, ranked 9th among subjective firms, emphasizes a balanced approach to risk and return, focusing on sectors like semiconductors and new energy [19][24]

Core Insights - As of October 31, 2025, 91.33% of the 10,969 private equity funds achieved positive returns, with an average return rate of 24.32% [1][3] - The top 5% of funds yielded an impressive return of 72.03%, indicating a strong performance across the market [1][3] Strategy Performance - **Equity Strategy**: Leading with an average return of 29.52%, 92.73% of equity funds reported positive returns. Among 6,931 funds, 6,427 were profitable, with the top 5% achieving a return of 82.48% [1][3] - **Multi-Asset Strategy**: Ranked second with an average return of 19.71% and a positive return rate of 91.61%. This strategy effectively captured equity market gains while diversifying risks through bonds and commodities [1][3] - **Combination Funds**: Showed strong stability with 96.85% of funds in positive territory, although the average return of 17.86% was slightly lower than that of multi-asset strategies [1][3] - **Bond Strategy**: Maintained a conservative approach with an average return of 8.77%, but 90.09% of funds achieved positive returns, highlighting its risk-averse nature [2][3] - **Futures and Derivatives Strategy**: Experienced moderate performance with an average return of 13.02% and 82.43% of funds in positive territory, affected by volatile commodity prices [2][3] Sub-Strategy Insights - **Quantitative Long Strategy**: Emerged as the top performer within equity strategies, boasting an average return of 36.76% and a positive return rate of 96.52%, significantly outperforming subjective long strategies [3][5] - **Subjective Long Strategy**: Achieved a return of 29.72%, with a notable 5% percentile return of 86.45%, indicating strong performance in specific sectors like technology [4][5] - **Market Neutral and Long-Short Strategies**: Reported lower average returns of 9.22% and 18.29%, respectively, due to their hedging mechanisms limiting upside potential [4][5] Market Dynamics - The performance of quantitative strategies has been attributed to several factors, including rapid sector rotation in technology and high trading volumes in the A-share market, which support high-frequency trading [6]

Market Overview - In September, the A-share market showed an overall upward trend, with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 0.64% and the Shenzhen Component Index increasing by approximately 6.54% [2] - The ChiNext Index and the STAR 50 Index performed particularly well, with increases of about 12.04% and 11.48%, respectively [2] - The bond market continued its adjustment from August, with overall rising yields and a decline in bond indices, including a drop of 0.41% in the China Bond Index [2] - Commodity prices, particularly gold, surged due to multiple factors, including the onset of a Federal Reserve rate cut cycle and global central bank gold purchases, with the Nanhua Precious Metals Index rising over 13% in a month [2] Private Fund Performance - Private equity funds achieved good returns, especially in stock long and macro strategy products, with an average return of approximately 28.72% for 5,051 products recorded from January to September [2] - The proportion of products with positive returns increased to 95.41%, up from 94.43% in the previous month [2] - Among secondary strategies, quantitative long, subjective long, and macro strategy products had average returns of 39.85%, 37.63%, and 26.43%, respectively, ranking as the top three [3] Rankings of Private Funds - The top subjective private funds, with an average return of 48.28%, included firms like Beijing Xiyue Private Fund and Fuyuan Capital, with a total product scale of approximately 853.28 billion yuan [4] - The threshold for the subjective private fund rankings was set at a specific percentage return, with the top ten funds achieving significant returns [4] - The top quantitative private funds, with an average return of 31.17%, included firms like Longyin Tiger Roar and Lingjun Investment, with a total product scale of about 810.04 billion yuan [15] Small and Beautiful Private Funds - The "small and beautiful" private fund rankings featured firms with an average return of 68.06%, with the top ten including Longhui Xiang Investment and Jingying Zhito [26] - The threshold for this ranking was also based on a specific percentage return, highlighting the performance of smaller funds [26] Notable Fund Managers - Lu Yuan Private Fund, established in November 2023, quickly rose to the top three in the subjective private fund rankings, with a product scale of approximately 7.94 billion yuan and impressive returns [9] - The founder, Lu Wentao, has nearly 20 years of experience and has adjusted holdings towards gold and military sectors based on market changes [9] - Dayou Investment, a top private fund, has consistently achieved positive returns over five years, showcasing its ability to navigate market cycles effectively [14]

Core Insights - The A-share market has shown a significant divergence in the third quarter, with a strong structural performance in the technology sector providing opportunities for subjective investments to outperform [2] - Quantitative long products achieved average returns of 17.41% in Q3 and 2.55% in the last month, while subjective long products had average returns of 20.43% in Q3 and 4.21% in the last month, indicating a clear advantage for subjective strategies [2] - The number of private equity firms managing over 10 billion yuan has increased, with 42 firms now classified as "billion-yuan private equity" as of September 2025 [3] Group 1: Performance of Billion-Yuan Private Equity - As of September 2025, there are 42 billion-yuan private equity firms, with notable new entrants and returning firms, such as Kaishi Private Equity and Hongchou Investment [3] - The expansion in the number of billion-yuan private equity firms is attributed to the recovery of the A-share market, which has boosted returns on equity assets and increased investor trust in leading private equity firms [3] - Among the 42 firms, 28 are located in Shanghai and Beijing, with only 9 firms having more than 50 employees, indicating a concentration of resources in major cities [3] Group 2: Top Performers in Various Scales - In the billion-yuan category, the top three firms are Fusheng Asset, Kaishi Private Equity, and Jiuqi Investment, with Fusheng Asset achieving an average return of ***% [11][12] - In the 50-100 billion category, the top three firms are Tongben Investment, Shengqi Asset, and Wangzheng Asset, with the average return threshold for the top performers being ***% [12][16] - In the 20-50 billion category, Beijing Xiyue Private Equity leads with an average return of ***%, reflecting a significant increase in its management scale [20] - In the 10-20 billion category, Luyuan Private Equity and Rongshu Investment are the top performers, with Luyuan achieving an average return of ***% [21][24] - In the 5-10 billion category, Fuyuan Capital ranks first with an average return of ***%, emphasizing its commitment to long-term value investment [26][29]

Core Viewpoint - The private equity industry in China has seen a significant shift, with quantitative funds now surpassing subjective funds in number among the hundred billion-level private equity firms, marking a pivotal change in the investment landscape [2][6]. Group 1: Market Environment Changes - The market has transitioned from a "wild" era characterized by slow information dissemination and significant mispricing to a more civilized and efficient environment [8][15]. - In the past, the market was dominated by retail investors, leading to prolonged deviations of stock prices from their intrinsic values [10][12]. - The current market environment, influenced by technological advancements and macroeconomic changes, presents greater challenges for subjective fund managers, as mispricing opportunities have become shorter and more complex [17][20]. Group 2: Investment Products and Tools - The availability of investment products and tools has evolved from scarcity to abundance, with the introduction of stock index futures in 2010 marking a turning point for quantitative strategies [26][27]. - The diversification of trading products has led to the emergence of various innovative quantitative strategies, providing more profit opportunities [29][31]. Group 3: Technological Advancements - Technological progress has played a crucial role in the rise of quantitative strategies, with the volume of data available for analysis significantly exceeding that of subjective approaches [33][35]. - Quantitative strategies benefit from faster execution and continuous improvements in computational power, enhancing their effectiveness compared to subjective strategies [37][39]. - The distinction between subjective and quantitative investment lies in their methodologies, with subjective investment relying on individual insight and quantitative investment relying on data and algorithms [39].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent performance of private equity fund managers in the A-share and Hong Kong stock markets, highlighting the successful strategies employed by quantitative, subjective, and mixed-type fund managers during the "924" market rally [1]. Quantitative Private Fund Managers - In the quantitative private fund sector, 90 fund managers had at least three products that met ranking criteria, with an average return of ***%. The top 20 managers had a minimum return threshold of ***% [2][4]. - The top-ranked managers include Nie Shouhua and He Jie from Hanrong Investment, followed by Zeng Shuliang from Shanghai Zijie Private Fund and Ding Peng from Liangying Investment [3][4]. - The distribution of top-performing managers shows that those managing under 5 billion have a more aggressive approach, with many in the top 10 [2]. Subjective Private Fund Managers - In the subjective private fund sector, 161 fund managers had at least three qualifying products, with an average return of ***%. The top 20 managers had a minimum return threshold of ***% [8]. - The top five managers include Han Yongfeng from Yijiu Private Fund and Yao Yong from Qinxin Fund, with most managers managing funds below 5 billion [8][9]. Mixed-Type Private Fund Managers - In the mixed-type private fund sector, 18 fund managers had at least three qualifying products, with an average return of ***%. The top 10 managers had a minimum return threshold of ***% [10]. - The leading managers include He Zhenquan from Liangli Private Fund and Wang Jiangming from Zhongmin Huijin, with two top managers from Xuan Yuan Investment [11][13].

Core Viewpoint - The discussion at the forum highlighted the evolving landscape of the private equity industry in China, emphasizing the importance of both quantitative and subjective investment strategies in navigating market cycles and identifying investment opportunities [1][2][5]. Group 1: Market Cycles and Investment Strategies - The capital market operates under various cycles, including not only bull and bear markets but also style rotation cycles [2][8]. - Quantitative investment can help stabilize volatility and discover value, while subjective investment allows for deeper industry insights [6][9]. - The current A-share market is characterized by friendly policies, ample liquidity, and reasonable valuations, suggesting that the bull market is progressing well [16]. Group 2: Value of Private Equity - The private equity industry plays a crucial role in enriching the financial market ecosystem and promoting long-term investment philosophies [4][5]. - Private equity is seen as a pioneer in product innovation within China's asset management sector, effectively meeting diverse investment needs [6]. - The industry attracts high-quality talent, which can lead to technological and service innovations, indicating a bright future for private equity [6]. Group 3: Investment Recommendations - Investors are advised to shift their mindset from bear to bull market thinking and avoid chasing past performance when selecting funds [14][15]. - Diversification across various asset classes is recommended to mitigate risks, and professional management should be sought for investment decisions [16]. - The importance of understanding market adjustments within a bull market is emphasized, suggesting that investors should be prepared for periodic corrections [15][16].

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market showed strong performance in August, with major indices rising significantly, while the bond market faced pressure due to the "stock-bond seesaw" effect [2][3]. Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index rose 7.97% in August, surpassing 3800 points, marking a nearly 10-year high. The Shenzhen Component Index increased by 15.32%, and the ChiNext Index surged over 24% [2]. - In the bond market, the China Bond Index fell by 0.61%, and the China Government Bond Index decreased by 0.58% [2]. - The commodity market exhibited mixed results, with the Nanhua Commodity Index down 0.62% and the Industrial Products Index down 2.17%. However, the precious metals index rose by 2.85% due to increased expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [2]. Private Equity Performance - Data from Private Equity 排排网 indicates that among 4936 products with performance data, the average return from January to August was approximately 23.28%. The proportion of products with positive returns increased to 94.43%, up from 91.20% in the previous month [3][4]. - Among various strategies, long equity strategies (both subjective and quantitative) led the returns, with average returns of 35.67% and 30.08% respectively for the first eight months of the year [3]. Strategy Breakdown - The performance of different private equity strategies varied significantly, with the following average returns for the first eight months: - Long Equity: 35.67% (subjective), 30.08% (quantitative) - Composite Strategy: 20.80% - Macro Strategy: 18.68% - Convertible Bond Trading Strategy: 17.16% - Fund of Funds (FOF): 14.20% - Other Derivative Strategies: 14.16% - Market Neutral Equity: 7.81% [3]. Top Private Equity Firms - The top 10 subjective private equity firms by average return this year include: 1. 富延资本 (Fuyuan Capital) 2. 北京禧悦私募 (Beijing Xiyue Private Equity) 3. 同犇投资 (Tongben Investment) 4. 一久私募基金 (Yijiu Private Fund) 5. 能敬投资控股 (Nengjing Investment Holdings) 6. 玖歌投资 (Jiuge Investment) 7. 龙航资产 (Longhang Asset) 8. 榕树投资 (Rongshu Investment) 9. 路远私募 (Luyuan Private Equity) 10. 晨耀私募 (Chenyao Private Equity) [4][6]. Quantitative Private Equity - The average return for the top 100 quantitative private equity firms was 26.69%, with a total of 676 products and a combined scale of approximately 804.91 billion [12][14]. - The top 10 quantitative private equity firms by average return include: 1. 翰荣投资 (Hanrong Investment) 2. 云起量化 (Yunqi Quantitative) 3. 稳博投资 (Wenbo Investment) 4. 橡木资产 (Xiangmu Asset) 5. 阿巴马投资 (Abama Investment) [12][14]. Mixed Strategy Private Equity - The average return for the top 100 mixed strategy private equity firms was 20.78%, with a total of 449 products and a combined scale of approximately 284.03 billion [24][26]. - The top 10 mixed strategy private equity firms by average return include: 1. 深圳泽源 (Shenzhen Zeyuan) 2. 量利私募 (Liangli Private Equity) 3. 中闽汇金 (Zhongmin Huijin) 4. 金塔克资产 (Jintake Asset) 5. 嘉信融成 (Jiaxin Rongcheng) [24][26].