专题：2025企业家之夜启动仪式 "为中国经济点赞——企业家之夜"启动仪式于12月17日在北京举行。《财经》杂志主编何刚出席并致 辞。 何刚表示，有人认为当下特别艰难，但对很多企业和企业家而言，现在恰是大干快上的时代。他具体谈 了三点。 第一，要全面理性认识全球变局和中国变化。何刚指出，变局真实发生，但变局并非全是坏事，从历史 和现实看皆是如此。认识全球变局和中国变化，能让我们保持理性客观心态。 第二，对于企业和企业家，所有成功者从来都是乐观且长期的，尤其能长期保持成功。所以，乐观主义 和长期主义是企业家面对变局时必须重新思考的事。 第三，未来世界机会肯定存在，放眼全球机会更大。何刚称，若企业家要用创新引领、配置全球资源， 从去年9月以来，全球投资家给出很好答案，即重新评估中国价值、重新评估中国资产价值、重新评估 中国企业和中国企业家价值，以及重新评估中国市场价值。也许随着收入增长，物质商品消费会减少， 但精神文化娱乐消费大量增加。 新浪声明：所有会议实录均为现场速记整理，未经演讲者审阅，新浪网登载此文出于传递更多信息之目 的，并不意味着赞同其观点或证实其描述。 责任编辑：王翔 专题：2025企业家之夜启动仪 ...

Core Insights - The pursuit of longevity is driven by both market demand and personal desire for a healthier life [2][3] - Optimism is linked to a significant increase in lifespan, with studies indicating a potential extension of 11% to 15% for highly optimistic individuals [3][4] Group 1: Longevity and Health - Engaging in 150 to 300 minutes of moderate to vigorous exercise weekly is necessary to counteract the mortality risk associated with prolonged sitting [2] - Research shows that running five days a week for 30 to 40 minutes can slow the aging process by approximately nine years [2] Group 2: Optimism and Social Connections - Strong social ties can increase survival rates by 50%, regardless of age, gender, health status, or cause of death [6] - Optimistic individuals are more likely to take action towards their goals, as they perceive the journey as achievable [6][5] Group 3: Psychological Factors - Approximately 25% of a person's tendency towards optimism is genetically determined, while 75% can be shaped through learning and experience [8][9] - Visualization techniques, such as imagining the "perfect self" for five minutes daily, can significantly enhance optimism levels [10] Group 4: Mindset and Growth - Individuals with a growth mindset believe that abilities can be developed through effort, which correlates with both success and longevity [12][13] - Fixed mindset individuals view their traits as unchangeable, which may hinder their potential for growth and longevity [15]

Core Insights - A new study from Kobe University reveals that optimists exhibit remarkably similar brain activity patterns when envisioning the future, suggesting a shared neural framework for organizing future thoughts [1][2] - The research indicates that this "synchronized" brain activity may explain why optimists tend to achieve greater success in social interactions, as their brains operate in a more intuitive and connected manner [1] Group 1: Research Findings - The study involved 87 participants who completed a questionnaire on optimism and underwent MRI scans while imagining various future scenarios, including positive, neutral, and negative situations [1] - Results showed that more optimistic participants displayed more consistent brain activity patterns in the medial prefrontal cortex, which is associated with future-oriented thinking [1][2] Group 2: Comparison with Pessimists - In contrast, pessimists exhibited greater variability in brain activity within the same region, potentially due to the complexity and diversity of issues they consider when faced with negative scenarios [2] - The researchers suggest that optimists frame their future thinking around socially accepted goals, while pessimists may diverge from this "mainstream framework," leading to differentiated thought processes [2] Group 3: Expert Commentary - Professor Lisa Bortolotti from the University of Birmingham commented that optimists tend to imagine negative events in less vivid and specific terms, resulting in a reduced negative impact [2] - Bortolotti emphasized that optimism does not distort reality but alters how individuals are affected by it, suggesting that while blind optimism can be detrimental, a constructive form of optimism can enhance the likelihood of success [2]

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes that while pessimism is prevalent in financial markets, it is optimism that ultimately leads to investment success. Investors should focus on high-quality companies rather than being swayed by negative market sentiment [1][6]. Group 1: Pessimism in Investment - Pessimism tends to attract more attention than optimism, as it appears more novel and is often perceived as more rational. This tendency can lead investors to overlook the long-term benefits of the stock market [2][3]. - Historical data shows that the stock market has provided an annualized return of approximately 12%, which is significantly higher than other asset classes. However, during periods of market weakness, this long-term performance is often forgotten [4][5]. Group 2: Behavioral Finance Insights - Behavioral finance suggests that humans are wired to respond more quickly to threats than opportunities, which explains the prevalence of pessimistic views in financial markets [2][3]. - The slow nature of progress makes it hard to notice improvements, while setbacks are immediate and noticeable. This dynamic contributes to a focus on negative events in the financial sector [3]. Group 3: Investment Strategies - Investors are advised to avoid letting pessimism dictate their investment decisions. Historical events have shown that significant market downturns often present the best buying opportunities [5][6]. - Focusing on high-quality companies that can withstand challenges is crucial. Investors should not overly concentrate on macroeconomic uncertainties but rather seek out companies with strong fundamentals [6].

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes that while pessimism often dominates market sentiment, it is the optimists who ultimately succeed in investing, highlighting the importance of focusing on high-quality companies rather than succumbing to negative market outlooks [1][16]. Group 1: Pessimism vs. Optimism - Pessimism tends to attract more attention due to its novelty and immediate relevance, while optimism requires a historical perspective that is often overlooked [2][5]. - Historical data shows that the stock market has provided an annualized return of approximately 12%, despite its inherent volatility, which can lead to short-term pessimism overshadowing long-term gains [3][10]. - The tendency to focus on negative events in finance is exacerbated by the fact that financial crises impact a broader audience, making them more memorable than gradual progress [7][8]. Group 2: Investment Strategies - Investors are cautioned against allowing pessimistic views to dictate their investment decisions, as high-quality companies can navigate challenges effectively [4][16]. - Warren Buffett's experiences illustrate that significant market downturns often present the best buying opportunities, regardless of prevailing negative sentiments [14][16]. - The article suggests that the long-term returns from stocks are primarily driven by business performance rather than speculative gains, with a historical average return of 9.5% attributed to operational success [12]. Group 3: Market Performance - The A-share market has shown significant growth over the past 20 years, with total market capitalization increasing from 4.25 trillion to 26.65 trillion, reflecting a 5.27-fold increase and an annualized growth rate of 9.6% [15]. - Despite initial high valuations compared to mature markets, the long-term performance of quality companies in the A-share market underscores the potential for substantial returns [15].

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes that while pessimism is prevalent in the current financial climate, it is optimism that ultimately leads to investment success. Investors should focus on high-quality companies rather than being swayed by negative market sentiment [1][10]. Group 1: Pessimism vs. Optimism - Pessimism tends to attract more attention than optimism, as it appears more novel and compelling in the face of recent events [2][3]. - Historical data shows that the stock market has provided an annualized return of approximately 12%, despite its volatility [8][9]. - Investors often overlook the long-term benefits of the stock market due to short-term negative sentiments [7][10]. Group 2: Investment Strategies - Investors should not let pessimistic views dictate their investment decisions; instead, they should focus on identifying high-quality companies capable of weathering economic challenges [10]. - The article cites that over the past 20 years, the total market capitalization of comparable companies in the A-share market increased from 4.25 trillion to 26.65 trillion, reflecting a growth rate of 5.27 times, with an annualized growth of 9.6% [10]. - It is crucial to avoid overemphasizing macroeconomic uncertainties and instead concentrate on the fundamentals of individual companies [10].