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东方证券:国产模型绑定国产芯片 AI算力链、交换芯片等方向值得关注
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-08-25 06:44
Core Insights - DeepSeek-V3.1 utilizes UE8M0 FP8 Scale parameter precision, indicating a significant advancement in domestic chip technology, which is expected to lead to large-scale applications of domestic chips [1][2] - The continuous improvement in domestic AI chip design and manufacturing processes, along with the ongoing development of domestic large models, is likely to enhance the market share of domestic computing power [2][3] - The collaboration between Tesla and ByteDance's Volcano Engine for AI services in the new Model Y L demonstrates the growing recognition and application of domestic AI models [3] Domestic Chip Development - The new generation of domestic chips, including models like Muxi 690 and Cambricon 690, are beginning to support FP8 technology, which is crucial for AI applications [2] - The market for domestic chips is expected to grow as the technology and manufacturing processes improve, alongside the support for domestic large models [2][4] AI Application Growth - The recent release of DeepSeek V3.1 enhances capabilities in various applications, providing a broader scope for AI agents to tackle real-world tasks effectively [3] - The partnership between Tesla and Volcano Engine for AI services in vehicles signifies a shift towards practical applications of AI technology in consumer products [3] Market Opportunities - The demand for AI infrastructure is increasing, particularly for low-latency and high-bandwidth solutions, which is beneficial for companies like Astera Labs [4] - The trend towards the localization of switch chips in the AI chip market is expected to continue, providing further growth opportunities [4] Investment Recommendations - Suggested stocks in the AI computing chain include companies like Cambricon-U, Haiguang Information, and Inspur Information, which are positioned to benefit from the growth in domestic AI chip development [5] - In the AI application sector, companies such as Kingsoft Office and Dingjie Smart are recommended for their potential in the expanding AI application market [6] - For switch chips, companies like Shengke Communication and ZTE are highlighted as key players in the market [7]
AIDC的发展前景与投资机会
2025-08-19 14:44
Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The AI industry chain and AIDC sector are significant drivers in the technology sector, with overseas cloud vendors' capital expenditures exceeding expectations, leading to growth in sub-sectors like optical modules, PCBs, and liquid cooling [1][2][3] - North American cloud vendors such as AWS, GCP, and Microsoft are increasing capital expenditures, with AWS expected to reach $118 billion in annual capital spending, a 20% year-on-year increase [1][13] - The A-share market is optimistic, driven by China's economic transformation and capital market reforms, with significant growth in the technology sector [2][6] Key Insights and Arguments - The introduction of ISIC chips is reshaping the supply chain landscape, providing more opportunities for domestic suppliers, particularly in liquid cooling and power supply sectors [1][7] - The demand for 800G optical modules is projected to exceed 20 million units in 2025 and potentially reach over 40 million in 2026, benefiting companies like ZTE and NewEase [2][19] - The AI server market is experiencing rapid growth, with China's market size surpassing $56 billion, accounting for nearly 40% of the global market [2][26] Investment Opportunities - The AIDC industry has seen a surge in computing power demand, with ByteDance's daily computing power usage expected to rise significantly, leading to increased capital expenditure in various equipment [4][10] - Companies like Shengke Communication are positioned to benefit from the expansion of AI clusters, with potential market increments of 15 billion RMB by 2027 [1][18] - Liquid cooling technology is gaining traction in the automotive parts sector, with companies like Zhongding actively entering the server liquid cooling market [2][23] Emerging Trends - The communication industry is expected to grow rapidly, with significant demand for optical modules and network devices, driven by the increasing interconnectivity of machines [19][20] - The diesel engine market is facing tight supply and demand, with existing companies like Cummins and MTU seeing substantial performance improvements [2][22] - The AI application landscape is evolving, with a notable increase in daily token consumption, driving demand for underlying computing power [25][28] Additional Important Insights - The liquid cooling market is expanding into civilian applications, with companies like AVIC Optoelectronics leveraging military experience to enter sectors like data communication and renewable energy [30] - The quartz fiber material market is dominated by companies like Feilihua, which has a strong position due to its military background and technological advancements [32][34] - The overall market is expected to remain active, with quality assets in technology, new consumption, and innovative pharmaceuticals likely to attract incremental capital [6][10]