Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Recommended" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The domestic energy storage market continues to thrive, and the demand for space photovoltaic is further strengthened. The recent acquisition of xAI by SpaceX and the approval of a million-satellite application by the FCC are expected to drive rapid growth in space energy, particularly solar wing demand [4][5] - The report highlights the positive changes and potential catalysts across various sectors within the power equipment industry, maintaining an overall "Recommended" rating for the sector [6] Summary by Sections Recent Performance - The power equipment sector has shown a performance increase of 3.0% over the last month, with a 54.2% increase over the past year, outperforming the CSI 300 index, which has decreased by 3.1% in the last month and increased by 20.8% over the past year [3] Key Events and Insights - In the photovoltaic sector, the approval of SpaceX's satellite application is expected to significantly boost demand for solar energy solutions. The report suggests focusing on companies involved in photovoltaic battery equipment and components, such as Maiwei Co., Jiejia Weichuang, and others [4] - The wind power sector is expected to accelerate following the signing of the "Hamburg Declaration," which commits nine countries to develop 100GW of offshore wind power, potentially benefiting domestic manufacturers [5] - The energy storage market saw a total order volume of 36.3GWh in January 2026, with significant contributions from regions like Ningxia and Hebei. The average price for a 4-hour system has increased by 42% compared to the lowest point in July 2025 [6] - The lithium battery sector is witnessing accelerated industrialization of dry electrode equipment, with companies like Xianzhong Intelligent and others leading the way [6] Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on key players in the photovoltaic sector, such as Longi Green Energy and Aiko Solar, as well as companies in the wind power sector like Goldwind Technology and Mingyang Smart Energy [5][6] - In the energy storage space, companies like Sungrow Power Supply and EVE Energy are highlighted as potential investment opportunities [6]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the ongoing recovery in demand for construction machinery, with a notable increase in the performance of the Guotai Robot ETF (159551), which rose over 2.7% on February 3 [1] - Zhongyuan Securities indicates that the recovery trend in construction machinery demand is expected to continue into 2026, driven by the arrival of equipment replacement cycles [1] - The industrial robot sector is experiencing a cyclical recovery, and the mass production of humanoid robots is expected to resonate positively, indicating strong investment value in the robotics industry chain [1] Group 2 - The shipbuilding industry is also showing signs of continued recovery, with the current cycle of prosperity expected to persist despite slow supply recovery [1] - The rapid development of the AIDC industry is benefiting both main equipment and supporting equipment, leading to strong growth in demand for air conditioning systems, UPS power supplies, and backup power supplies [1] - The Guotai Robot ETF (159551) tracks the robotics index (H30590), which selects listed companies involved in robotics technology, automation equipment, and related services from the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets to reflect the overall performance of the robotics industry [1]

锂电：全国容量电价政策落地，储能爆发确定 电新周观点更新：好看太空光伏、储能、锂、钠电 #周度变化：1）全国容量电价政策出台，预计储能IRR增加 3%以上，26年会有更多省份储能0-1；2）2月锂电排产 中枢环降10%+，排产淡季不淡；3）钠电宁德开启多个车企冬季测试，Q2有望批量出货。 看好环节排序：储能电芯（鹏辉）＞铁锂正极＞储能集成（海博）＞隔膜（恩捷）、铜铝箔（诺 风电：业绩预告多不及预期，主机现确定性底部 #周度变化：风电板块业绩预告密集落地，受q4出货量下降和年底减值影响，业绩多数不及预期；其中主机板块低 价单已大幅出清，确定性底部已现，预计26Q1毛利率整体开启修复。 看好标的排序：首推金雷股份、大金重工以及主机（金风、三一、运达、明阳）；海风链—塔桩（泰胜、天 顺），海缆（东缆、中天），此外现阶段建议重点关注海力风电。 光伏：看好太空光伏和无银化 电新周观点更新：好看太空光伏、储能、锂、钠电 锂电：全国容量电价政策落地，储能爆发确定 #周度变化：1）全国容量电价政策出台，预计储能IRR增加 3%以上，26年会有更多省份储能0-1；2）2月锂电排产 中枢环降10%+，排产淡季不淡；3）钠电宁德开 ...

电新周观点更新：好看太空光伏、储能、锂、钠电 锂电：全国容量电价政策落地，储能爆发确定 #周度变化：1）全国容量电价政策出台，预计储能IRR增加 3%以上，26年会有更多省份储能0-1；2）2月锂电排产 中枢环降10%+，排产淡季不淡；3）钠电宁德开启多个车企冬季测试，Q2有望批量出货。 电新周观点更新：好看太空光伏、储能、锂、钠电 锂电：全国容量电价政策落地，储能爆发确定 #周度变化：1）全国容量电价政策出台，预计储能IRR增加 3%以上，26年会有更多省份储能0-1；2）2月锂电排产 中枢环降10%+，排产淡季不淡；3）钠电宁德开启多个车企冬季测试，Q2有望批量出货。 看好环节排序：储能电芯（鹏辉）＞铁锂正极＞储能集成（海博）＞隔膜（恩捷）、铜铝箔（诺德、鼎胜）、 6F等。 #周度变化：风电板块业绩预告密集落地，受q4出货量下降和年底减值影响，业绩多数不及预期；其中主机板块低 价单已大幅出清，确定性底部已现，预计26Q1毛利率整体开启修复。 看好标的排序：首推金雷股份、大金重工以及主机（金风、三一、运达、明阳）；海风链—塔桩（泰胜、天 顺），海缆（东缆、中天），此外现阶段建议重点关注海力风电。 看好环节排 ...

证券研究报告 | 行业专题 | 机械设备 机械设备 报告日期：2026 年 01 月 30 日 AI 引领成长崛起，反内卷周期反转，出海进一步提速 ——机械行业 2025 年度业绩前瞻 投资要点 ❑ 2026 年投资策略 1、周期反转：工程机械、工业气体、船舶 工程机械：周期反转向上，海外与国内共振 工业气体：周期底部，气价有望企稳回升，行业整合提速 2、成长崛起：具身智能、可控核聚变、光伏设备、锂电设备、半导体设备、 AIDC、PCB 设备 具身智能：应用——算力——资本，三重拐点叠加，期待具身智能飞轮启动 可控核聚变：招标提速，设备先行 光伏设备：太空光伏星辰大海，HJT/钙钛矿设备+电池制造将受益 锂电设备：储能需求带动景气向上，固态电池产业化拐点已至 半导体设备及 EDA：自主可控重要性凸显，国产替代势在必行，市场扩容叠加 格局优化 AIDC：AI 需求持续高景气，看好柴发国产替代、量价齐升，燃气轮机国内龙头 空间加速打开 PCB：AI 催化行业量+价齐升，国内龙头空间加速打开 3、出海提速：对美战略乐观，非美行稳致远 对美战略乐观，精选景气：贸易争端缓和，寻觅中期选举的刺激方向、联储降息 周期与 A ...

Core Viewpoint - The AIDC (Artificial Intelligence Data Center) sector is entering a critical transition period from "concept narrative" to "performance verification" driven by policies, technology, and global computing power demand by the end of 2025 to early 2026 [1] Group 1: Market Dynamics - The AIDC industry is entering a new phase of market differentiation due to the ongoing global AI competition, the implementation of domestic policies like "East Data West Computing," and accelerated technological iterations such as liquid cooling and high-speed interconnects [4] - The capital expenditure of major North American cloud providers reached $257.4 billion in the first three quarters of 2025, a 65% year-on-year increase, indicating a strong demand-side momentum [5] - Major domestic internet companies are expected to reach a peak capital expenditure of 77.2 billion yuan in Q4 2024, reflecting the urgency for cloud providers to layout the next round of intelligent computing centers [5] Group 2: Supply Chain Challenges - The effective supply of AIDC is constrained by multiple hard constraints, particularly in energy and equipment, with electricity demand for data centers expected to rise significantly [7] - By 2028, data center electricity demand in the U.S. is projected to account for 6.7%-12% of total electricity consumption, leading to an expanded supply-demand gap and rising electricity prices [7] - The global supply of gas turbines is highly concentrated, with three major companies holding 88% of the market share, creating an opportunity for Chinese manufacturers to enter the global supply chain [7] Group 3: Technological Innovations - Liquid cooling technology is becoming essential as AI chip power consumption increases, with a projected global penetration rate of 30% by 2026, representing a market space of approximately 68.8 billion yuan [8] - The shift to liquid cooling is expected to reshape the cooling equipment market and drive structural upgrades in data center power distribution systems [8] Group 4: Investment Opportunities - Companies with core customer resources, technological advantages, or the ability to solve key bottlenecks are becoming focal points for investment in the AIDC sector [10] - Key investment targets include IDC leaders with core internet clients, second-tier firms capable of absorbing overflow demand, and upstream suppliers of power distribution and cooling equipment [10] - Specific companies such as Shenghong Co. in power supply and cooling equipment are highlighted as key observation targets due to their potential to address bottlenecks in the industry [11]

Summary of Conference Call Notes Industry Overview - The conference call discusses the **AIDC (Artificial Intelligence Data Center)** industry, highlighting significant growth and changes in demand for domestic computing power cards and large models in China [1][3][4]. Key Points and Arguments 1. **Growth in Domestic Card Shipments**: - Domestic card shipments are expected to grow rapidly in 2026, with an increase in overall deployment rates. The sector is currently at a low valuation but shows signs of fundamental improvement supported by various event-driven plans [1][4]. 2. **Market Performance**: - Companies like Century Interconnect and WanGuo Data in the US, along with domestic firms like Runze, have seen stock price increases, partly due to the US lifting restrictions on the H200 card. However, the primary demand is shifting towards domestic large models and cards [1][4]. 3. **Government Support**: - Government policies are crucial for the development of domestic computing power. Beijing and Shanghai are set to launch large-scale subsidies for projects exceeding 100 million yuan, with a 20% funding rate for projects that meet specific criteria [5][1]. 4. **Market Dynamics**: - The AIDC industry is experiencing a significant growth phase, with increased bidding activity expected by the end of 2025. The market is likely to evolve towards large-scale park development to meet customer expansion and stable delivery needs [3][6]. 5. **Competitive Landscape**: - Major players like ByteDance, Alibaba, Baidu, Huawei, and Tencent continue to dominate the market. ByteDance plans to deliver approximately 300-400 MW of computing power in 2026 [4][20]. 6. **Cost and Pricing Trends**: - The price per kilowatt is currently stable at around 280 yuan, with significant regional variations. Short-term market competition is intense, and no significant price turning point is expected in the next one to two years [7][9]. 7. **Liquid Cooling Technology**: - Demand for liquid cooling technology is increasing, with design capacities reaching 170 kW per cabinet. However, profit margins remain limited despite slight cost increases [10][12]. 8. **Profitability Challenges**: - Despite increased bidding volumes, the market remains focused on volume rather than profitability. Head companies are concentrating resources, which limits expansion and keeps costs high [16][19]. 9. **Regional Insights**: - Areas like Shaoguan and regions with lower electricity prices (e.g., Inner Mongolia and Xinjiang) have potential advantages, but overall project numbers are limited [17][19]. 10. **Future Demand Trends**: - There is a noticeable increase in demand for edge computing nodes and urban-level inference computing nodes, with high-cost performance solutions becoming mainstream [6][18]. Other Important Insights - **Storage Costs**: Rapid increases in storage costs (over 40%) are affecting project budgets, particularly for small and medium enterprises that need to focus on cost control [2][5]. - **Market Supply and Demand Mismatch**: There is a national oversupply issue, with scattered projects lacking a cluster effect. However, the market will still be dominated by large clusters from leading companies [19][24]. - **Energy Approval Processes**: Energy approval processes remain slow in major cities, impacting new project developments [22][23]. This summary encapsulates the key insights and trends discussed in the conference call, providing a comprehensive overview of the current state and future outlook of the AIDC industry.

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Recommended" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report highlights a positive outlook on the recovery of lithium battery material prices and anticipates accelerated development in the sodium battery industry [3] - The electric power equipment sector has shown strong performance, with a 42.8% increase over the past 12 months, outperforming the CSI 300 index [4] - The report emphasizes the ongoing high demand for energy storage, with significant project signings and a robust pipeline for future installations [7] Summary by Sections Wind Power - Domestic land wind turbine bidding reached 9.64GW as of December 20, 2025, with major companies initiating large-scale procurement [5] - The report expects continued growth in installed capacity for 2026, driven by high demand and favorable bidding conditions [5] Photovoltaics - The photovoltaic industry chain has seen widespread price increases, with N-type polysilicon prices rising by 1.2% and N-type TOPCon battery prices increasing by 13.3% [6] - The report suggests that supply-side reforms are enhancing industry sentiment, with a positive outlook for profitability in 2026 [6] Energy Storage - China Power Construction Corporation signed contracts for energy storage projects totaling 50 billion yuan, with a significant number of projects in the pipeline [7] - The report anticipates strong growth in overseas energy storage demand, particularly in Europe and emerging markets [7] Lithium Batteries - Several leading lithium iron phosphate manufacturers are undergoing simultaneous production halts for maintenance, coinciding with a price increase trend in the industry [7] - The report indicates that improved supply-demand dynamics may lead to a recovery in prices and profitability for lithium iron phosphate manufacturers [7] Sodium Batteries - The sodium battery industry is entering a phase of deep development, with advancements in technology and market penetration [7] - The report highlights the growing demand for sodium batteries in various applications, including energy storage and commercial vehicles [7] AIDC (Artificial Intelligence Data Center) - ByteDance plans to invest $23 billion in artificial intelligence, which is expected to drive demand for AIDC infrastructure [8] - The report notes that the shift towards energy-intensive operations by tech giants is likely to increase the demand for power equipment [8] Electric Grid - Alphabet's acquisition of an energy developer marks a trend of tech companies investing in power infrastructure [8] - The report suggests that the growing demand for data centers will continue to drive the need for electric power equipment [8]

Core Viewpoint - The electric new energy industry is entering a new phase of cycle bottoming and recovery driven by "anti-involution" and technology [3][4][18]. Group 1: Industry Recovery and Trends - The electric new energy industry experienced a significant rebound in 2025, with an index increase of 39%, ranking among the top in the market [8]. - Long-term trends show that the photovoltaic, lithium battery, and wind power indices exhibit a typical "three years up, three years down" pattern, closely linked to macro policies and industrial changes [9]. - The industry is expected to benefit from the implementation of anti-involution policies and the promotion of supportive regulations, leading to robust growth [15][24]. Group 2: Key Indicators and Fund Allocation - Key indicators suggest that the electric new energy industry has begun to rebound after a peak and decline in revenue and net profit in 2022, with clear rebound trends in lithium batteries and wind power [19]. - The inventory levels have gradually returned to normal since 2022, indicating risk release, and the ratio of inventory to revenue has started to decline in 2025, reflecting improved supply-demand relationships [20][21]. - As of Q3 2025, the fund allocation ratio in the electric new energy sector is only 2.1%, significantly lower than the peak in 2022, indicating substantial room for increased fund allocation [22][24]. Group 3: Nuclear Fusion Opportunities - The nuclear fusion sector is entering a strategic opportunity period, with significant policy support emerging from the top down [27]. - By 2025, a clear logic for policy support for controllable nuclear fusion is expected to take shape, with local governments actively following up with new projects [28]. - The global landscape shows a policy resonance, with countries like the US, Japan, and the UK viewing nuclear fusion as a key energy solution and implementing supportive policies [30]. Group 4: AIDC and Solid-State Battery Developments - The AIDC power supply segment is characterized by rising computing power demands and a revolution in SST technology, driving new industry trends [37]. - Recent price changes in lithium battery materials are noteworthy, with a rebound following a three-year low, indicating ongoing investment opportunities [45]. - The future growth of the industry will be propelled by demand growth and the iteration of solid-state technology, with solid-state batteries being recognized as a strategic direction by national policies [47]. Group 5: Energy Storage Industry Growth - The energy storage industry is poised for growth driven by increased market demand for trading [53]. - The release of document 136 in 2025 is expected to have a revolutionary impact on the new energy market, necessitating more adjustable power sources [55]. - By mid-2025, cumulative installed capacity for new energy storage reached 101.3 GW, marking a significant milestone, with a continued high growth rate anticipated [57]. Group 6: Wind Power Sector Outlook - The wind power industry is experiencing a notable recovery, with a focus on offshore and overseas markets supporting long-term development [65]. - The wind power sector is in a relatively advantageous position within the overall power grid structure [66]. - The profitability of the wind power supply chain has shown significant improvement, with strong earnings growth across various components by Q3 2025 [69].

Core Viewpoint - The Artificial Intelligence Data Center (AIDC) industry is becoming a core growth engine for the machinery sector, benefiting from the strong momentum of global AI development and computing power expansion [1] Group 1: Industry Insights - The gas turbine sector is experiencing significant growth due to increased orders and energy bottlenecks in North America, with both quantity and prices showing a clear upward trend [1] - Market confidence in diesel engines, liquid cooling, and gas turbines has strengthened since the beginning of the year [1] Group 2: Investment Recommendations - The company maintains an "overweight" rating for the industry, suggesting a focus on gas turbines, diesel generators, and cooling equipment sectors amid simultaneous growth in sales and prices [1]