2025年07月13日 证券研究报告 | AIDC电力设备/电网产业链周度跟踪（7月第2周） 行业研究 · 行业周报 电力设备新能源 投资评级：优于大市（维持评级） 证券分析师：王蔚祺 010-88005313 wangweiqi2@guosen.com.cn S0980520080003 证券分析师：王晓声 010-88005231 wangxiaosheng@guosen.com.cn S0980523050002 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明及其项下所有内容 摘要及投资建议 【AIDC电力设备】 【电网】 【投资建议】 【风险提示】 AI投资力度不达预期，特高压核准开工进度不达预期，行业竞争加剧，政策变动风险。 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明及其项下所有内容 • 参考IEA预测，我们预计2025-2030年全球新增AI算力负载为9.7/15.9/20.2/22.3/23.4/24.6GW。数据中心配套电力设备容量一般是算力负载的3-5倍，基于3倍的保守估算，我们预计2025- 2030年AIDC电力设备需求分别为29/48/60/67/70/74GW，年均增速为20%；2030年配套干式变压器、中低压开关 ...

证券研究报告 东吴证券晨会纪要 东吴证券晨会纪要 2025-07-10 宏观策略 [Table_MacroStrategy] 海外周报 20250706：6 月超预期非农令市场降息预期延后至 9 月 核心观点：本周美越贸易协议与对华芯片设计软件出口限制解除提振市 场情绪，美股上涨；而经济数据的走强令美债利率随降息预期降温而大幅 上行，10 年期美债利率全周升 6.89bps 至 4.346%。本周美国"软数据" PMI 调查超预期，ISM 服务业 PMI 重回荣枯线之上。而周五公布的"硬 数据"美国 6 月非农就业再度超预期，失业率也有所回落，市场对此解 读偏乐观，7 月降息预期被彻底打消。此外本周特朗普《大美丽法案》 （OBBB）正式签署落地，债务上限进一步提高 5 万亿美元至 41 万亿美 元。由于《大美丽法案》带来的赤字增加预期已被市场关注许久，因此 OBBB 的落地或意味着"买预期、卖现实"的交易进入后半程。短期看， 30 年美债利率或 10s30s 期限利差的上行或因此告一段落。 风险提示： 特朗普政策超预期；美联储降息幅度过大引发通胀反弹甚至失控；美联储 维持高利率水平时间过长，引发金融系统流动性 ...

中信证券研报指出，2025Q2，通信公司业绩预期分化，但总体较Q1改善。得益于北美AI需求爆发，光 模块龙头业绩预计快速增长，光器件及二线光模块业绩亦有望加速增长。国内算力需求持续改善，国内 光模块和交换机龙头预计表现良好；AIDC板块由于重资产特性，业绩预计在25H2改善；国内传统通信 设备总体承压。运营商业绩总体稳健，增速预期较Q1提升。在深海建设拉动下，光缆海缆产业有望进 入向上通道。物联网模组景气度延续，业绩有望环比增长。重点推荐光模块、AIDC、运营商、物联网 等细分龙头。 ...

国内海外变化不断，再谈 AIDC 行业投资机会 20260629 摘要 算力需求强劲增长，世纪互联上修业绩指引，英伟达 B30 显卡积极推进， 短期内有望验证国内外 AIDC 行业景气度，当前行业调整至底部，市场 悲观预期充分释放。 国内外互联网大厂 Token 使用量高速增长，如微软一季度超 100 万亿， 字节跳动豆包大模型 2025 年 5 月日均超 16.4 万亿，较年初增长超 4 倍，较发布初期增长超 100 倍，表明用户量和使用频率提升显著推动底 层 Token 需求爆发。 全球数据中心加权平均空置率 2025 年一季度为 6.6%，同比下降 2 个 百分点，反映数据中心需求端景气度持续高涨。 AI 产业趋势确定性及国内外"军备竞赛"是数据中心建设核心动力。美 国计划增加能源供应支持 AI 扩张，Meta 计划募资 290 亿美元建设 AI 数据中心，世纪互联宣布未来十年建设 10GW 超大规模数据中心集群。 AIDC 建设中，电气设备领域关注电源、变压器和开关等产品。配电系 统从交流向直流（HVDC）转型趋势明确，HVDC 电源系统、继电器和 低压电器等产品价值量存在提升空间。 Q&A 当前 A ...

证券研究报告 | 2025年06月29日 电力设备新能源行业点评 2024 年海风政府拍卖达 56GW，固态电池产业化加速推进 优于大市 |  | 行业研究·行业快评 | |  电力设备 |  投资评级：优于大市（维持） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 证券分析师： | 王蔚祺 | 010-88005313 | wangweiqi2@guosen.com.cn | 执证编码：S0980520080003 | | 证券分析师： | 王晓声 | 010-88005231 | wangxiaosheng@guosen.com.cn | 执证编码：S0980523050002 | | 证券分析师： | 袁阳 | 0755-22940078 | yuanyang2@guosen.com.cn | 执证编码：S0980524030002 | | 证券分析师： | 李全 | 021-60375434 | liquan2@guosen.com.cn | 执证编码：S0980524070002 | 国信电新观点：2024 年全球海风政府拍卖达到 56GW，创历史新高。固态电池产业化 ...

2025 年 06 月 28 日 行业研究 评级：推荐(维持) | 研究所： | | | | --- | --- | --- | | 证券分析师： | | 李航 S0350521120006 | | | | lih11@ghzq.com.cn | | 证券分析师： | | 邱迪 S0350522010002 | | | | qiud@ghzq.com.cn | | 证券分析师： | | 王刚 S0350524020001 | | | | wangg06@ghzq.com.cn | | 证券分析师： | | 李铭全 S0350523030001 | | | | limq@ghzq.com.cn | | 证券分析师： | | 严语韬 S0350525040001 | | | | yanyt@ghzq.com.cn | | 证券分析师： | | 李昂 S0350525030002 | | | | lia@ghzq.com.cn | | 联系人 | ： | 张竞元 S0350124050014 | | | | zhangjy02@ghzq.com.cn | [Table_Title] 抢装支撑风电 Q2 业绩，锂电产 ...

Core Viewpoint - Huasheng Co., Ltd. (600156.SH) is planning a cross-industry layout by acquiring 100% of Shenzhen Yixin Technology Co., Ltd. to transform into the computing power business, driven by declining profitability in its traditional textile sector [1][4]. Group 1: Acquisition Details - The acquisition will be executed through a combination of issuing shares and cash payments, with additional funding raised from the controlling shareholder, Xingxiang Group [2]. - The transaction's audit and evaluation are still ongoing, and the asset price has not yet been determined [3]. Group 2: Business Context - Huasheng Co., Ltd. has faced significant challenges in its core textile business due to fluctuating consumer demand, increased competition, and rising costs, leading to a continuous net profit loss for 17 years [1][6][7]. - In contrast, Yixin Technology has demonstrated strong profitability, with projected revenues of 409 million yuan and net profits of 27.36 million yuan for 2024, reflecting year-on-year growth of 20.05% and 79.45%, respectively [1][9]. Group 3: Financial Performance - Huasheng's cumulative net profit loss from 2008 to 2024 is approximately 1.139 billion yuan, with a significant decline in gross margins due to competitive pricing strategies [7][8]. - As of March 2025, Huasheng's total assets were 865 million yuan, with an equity of 396 million yuan and a debt ratio of 54.28% [8]. - If the acquisition is successful, Huasheng's financial metrics, including total assets, revenue, and net profit, are expected to improve significantly, enhancing its profitability and competitive edge [9].

早盘市场超4600股上涨。 6月24日早盘，A股主要股指集体大涨，沪指再上3400点，涨幅达到1%；深证成指上涨1.45%，创业板指上涨1.94%。市场半日成交额超9250亿元，较昨日 放量超2400亿元。 科技板块集体爆发，机器人、智能驾驶、锂电池等概念涨幅居前；油气开采、航运等概念回调明显。 华升股份在公告中表示，公司通过本次交易拟引入具备AIDC领域核心技术能力和项目运营经验的标的资产，嵌入湖南省绿色智能计算产业链条，从传统 产业平台有序向战略性新兴产业转型升级。 华升股份股价今年以来持续震荡上行，累计涨幅已达到55.49%，早盘股价波动或因"利好出尽"所致。数据显示，华升股份早盘成交额达到6.17亿元，超过 2024年2月以来单日成交额最高值，换手率达到20.13%。 从业绩上来看，华升股份近年来盈利能力表现一般，2024年年报转盈为亏，归母净利润为亏损0.49亿元；今年一季报续亏，亏损0.13亿元。根据公司一季 报，净利润下降主要由于借款利息费用增加及人工成本、电商销售运营费增加导致经营性费用增加。 （文章来源：证券时报网） 华升股份早盘上演"天地板" 华升股份今日复牌，早盘以涨停价开盘，随后直线跳 ...

早盘市场超4600股上涨。 6月24日早盘，A股主要股指集体大涨，沪指再上3400点，涨幅达到1%；深证成指上涨1.45%，创业板指上涨1.94%。市场半日成交额超9250亿元，较昨日 放量超2400亿元。 科技板块集体爆发，机器人、智能驾驶、锂电池等概念涨幅居前；油气开采、航运等概念回调明显。 华升股份早盘上演"天地板" 华升股份今日复牌，早盘以涨停价开盘，随后直线跳水，开盘三分钟后下跌14.8%，盘中一度跌停，截至收盘跌幅有所收窄，报跌4.33%。 昨日晚间，华升股份发布公告，拟通过发行股份及支付现金方式，购买易信科技100%股份，并募集配套资金。 华升股份此次为跨界收购，本次交易前，上市公司主要专注于麻类特色产品，已形成涵盖纺纱、织布、印染、服装、家纺制造的完整产业链。而标的公司 深耕AIDC领域，专注于绿色算力基础设施的全生命周期服务。 华升股份在公告中表示，公司通过本次交易拟引入具备AIDC领域核心技术能力和项目运营经验的标的资产，嵌入湖南省绿色智能计算产业链条，从传统 产业平台有序向战略性新兴产业转型升级。 华升股份股价今年以来持续震荡上行，累计涨幅已达到55.49%，早盘股价波动或因"利好出尽" ...

Group 1: Lithium Battery Sector - The demand for lithium batteries is strong, with a cumulative installation of 184.3 GWh from January to April 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 52.8% [1] - Upstream material prices are at historical lows, and profitability is also low, which may accelerate the clearing process, with continued strong demand expected in the second half of 2025 [1] - Solid-state battery technology is anticipated to lead a new round of material system updates due to its significant advantages in safety and energy density, with applications expected in consumer batteries, eVTOL, and new energy vehicles [1] Group 2: AIDC and Energy Storage - In Q1 2025, the combined capital expenditure of four major overseas cloud vendors reached approximately $71.9 billion, a year-on-year increase of about 62%, while domestic companies Alibaba and Tencent's capital expenditure totaled approximately 52.1 billion yuan, up 112% [2] - The energy storage sector is expected to see steady growth in installed capacity domestically, with high-margin demand in the large-scale energy storage markets in Europe and the U.S., and emerging markets in the Middle East and Africa entering a performance realization phase [2] - The industry is expected to benefit from high growth in demand, technological iterations, and increased concentration [2] Group 3: Wind Power and Photovoltaics - The photovoltaic sector is entering a deep adjustment phase in supply and demand, with a new market structure expected to emerge in 2025 due to policy and market competition [3] - Attention is recommended on the supply-side adjustment progress of heavy asset and high-energy consumption segments such as silicon materials and photovoltaic glass, as well as the performance indicators of new technologies like N-type BC routes and new metallization schemes [3] - In the wind power sector, the domestic offshore wind industry is entering a peak construction season, which is expected to enhance industry prosperity, while onshore wind profitability is anticipated to recover as turbine bidding prices stabilize [3] Group 4: Power Grid Equipment - As of the end of March 2025, cumulative investment in the State Grid's power grid is expected to grow by 27.7% year-on-year, with ongoing high-intensity construction of ultra-high voltage projects [4] - Major projects such as the Southeast Tibet to Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao, Shaanxi-Henan, Inner Mongolia to Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei, Southern Xinjiang to Sichuan-Chongqing, and Kubuqi to Shanghai ultra-high voltage projects are expected to accelerate in 2025, with 4-5 ultra-high voltage direct current lines anticipated to be approved for construction [4] - The increasing reliance on intelligent regulation capabilities in distribution networks is expected to lead to a peak period of intelligent transformation in distribution networks [4]