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8月“大限”前缅甸争取特朗普猛砍关税,提议对美或可零关税
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2025-07-10 20:25
Core Viewpoint - Myanmar is negotiating with the U.S. to reduce high tariffs imposed by President Trump, proposing to lower its own tariffs on U.S. goods in exchange for a significant reduction in U.S. tariffs on Myanmar's exports [1][5]. Group 1: Tariff Negotiations - Myanmar's military government has proposed a tariff range of 0% to 10% on exports to the U.S., while requesting that the U.S. reduce its tariffs from 40% to between 10% and 20% [1]. - This is the first public proposal from Myanmar since Trump announced new tariffs, indicating a proactive approach to mitigate the impact of the tariffs [1][5]. - Trump's letter to leaders of 14 countries, including Myanmar, indicated that new tariffs would take effect on August 1, with rates ranging from 25% to 40% [1][2]. Group 2: Current Tariff Levels - Myanmar's tariff level has been reduced from 44% to 40%, which remains the highest among the countries mentioned in Trump's initial tariff announcement [2]. - The new tariffs are independent of industry-specific tariffs, and any attempts to circumvent them through third-party countries will incur higher tariffs [2][3]. Group 3: Potential Adjustments and Negotiation Dynamics - Trump has indicated that if countries open their markets to the U.S. and eliminate trade barriers, there may be room for adjusting the proposed tariffs [4]. - The extension of the tariff implementation deadline from July 9 to August 1 provides additional time for negotiations, potentially allowing for a more favorable outcome for involved countries [4]. Group 4: Industry Impact - The garment and textile sectors in Myanmar may face significant challenges due to the new tariffs, although the actual impact might be less severe than anticipated due to the low volume of U.S. orders [5][6]. - Analysts suggest that the current tariff adjustments may be a strategy to encourage negotiations, particularly with smaller Southeast Asian nations like Myanmar [7].
特朗普新政系列研究十七:如何理解“新版”对等关税
ZHESHANG SECURITIES· 2025-07-09 09:01
Group 1: Tariff Adjustments Overview - Trump's recent reciprocal tariff adjustments categorize countries into three groups based on economic size and negotiation progress[1] - Major economies like China, the UK, India, and the EU saw no new tariff changes, indicating a potential return to rationality in Trump's tariff policy[1] - Japan and South Korea are under pressure for tariff adjustments due to slow negotiation progress and high geopolitical reliance on the US[1] Group 2: Specific Tariff Changes - 14 countries received updated tariff rates, with Japan and South Korea facing potential increases while countries like Cambodia saw reductions of up to 13%[2][3] - The new tariff rates for 11 of the 14 countries are whole numbers, suggesting a degree of subjectivity in the adjustments[3] - The deadline for tariff exemptions for countries other than China has been extended to August 1, 2025, while China's exemption remains valid until August 12, 2025[2][4] Group 3: Negotiation Dynamics - The adjustments appear to be more about leveraging negotiations rather than substantial tariff increases, as indicated by Trump's willingness to reconsider if countries express a desire to negotiate differently[10] - The focus on East Asian and Southeast Asian countries suggests ongoing strategic considerations in US-China relations, with Japan and South Korea as key negotiation points[11]
中国对美国留的后手见效,特朗普束手无策,只渴望尽快与中方通话
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-02 17:07
Group 1 - The article discusses the strategic leverage China holds over the U.S. in the ongoing trade negotiations, particularly through its control of rare earth materials, which are critical for various industries, including technology and defense [1][3][6] - The U.S. is facing significant pressure as over 200 American companies have applied for tariff exemptions, indicating the adverse impact of tariffs on domestic industries [4][6] - The current situation is characterized by a direct exchange of bargaining chips, with China's rare earth resources corresponding to U.S. demands for tariff cancellations and the lifting of technology bans [6][9] Group 2 - The article highlights the irony of the U.S. administration's position, as it attempts to maintain a hardline stance on tariffs while simultaneously needing China's rare earth supplies [4][6] - China's dominance in the rare earth market, accounting for 90% of global production of neodymium-iron-boron magnets, is forcing U.S. companies to rethink their supply chains [6][9] - The ongoing negotiations are framed as a critical moment for both nations, with the potential for a breakdown in talks looming despite a temporary agreement on tariffs [9]