价格传导效应

Search documents
多晶硅期货本月暴涨近50%!"双硅"触及涨停,硅料企业大幅提价传导下游
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-23 00:37
Core Viewpoint - The recent surge in the "dual silicon" market, particularly in industrial silicon and polysilicon futures prices, is driven by expectations of "anti-involution" policies, leading to price adjustments being transmitted down the supply chain [1][3]. Group 1: Price Trends - Polysilicon prices have significantly rebounded, with the average transaction price for N-type polysilicon reaching 41,700 yuan/ton, a week-on-week increase of 12.4% [3]. - The average price for N-type granular silicon rose to 41,000 yuan/ton, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 15.2% [3]. - The national comprehensive price for industrial silicon has increased to 8,851 yuan/ton, up 108 yuan/ton from previous levels [3]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The price increase by silicon material companies is primarily driven by the need for price recovery, as polysilicon prices have long been below the comprehensive cost line, leading to continuous losses [3]. - The current operating rate of the polysilicon industry is approximately 40%, with significant depreciation costs raising the total production cost by over 10,000 yuan/ton [3]. Group 3: Price Transmission Effects - The price hikes in silicon materials are being transmitted to downstream sectors, with the average transaction price for N-type G10L monocrystalline silicon wafers reaching 1.05 yuan/piece, a week-on-week increase of 22.09% [4]. - The overall operating rate in the silicon wafer industry has slightly decreased, with two leading companies' operating rates dropping to 50% and 40% respectively [4]. - A preliminary price consensus has been reached among silicon wafer companies, with expected new quotes for N-type G10L at 1.45 yuan/piece, N-type G12R at 1.65 yuan/piece, and N-type G12 at 1.93 yuan/piece [4]. Group 4: Cost Influences - The implementation of coal supply control policies has provided additional support for the rise in silicon material prices, as electricity costs account for about 30% of industrial silicon production costs and up to 40% for polysilicon [4]. - The limited coal supply is expected to increase electricity prices, further burdening production costs for both industrial and polysilicon [4]. - The Guangzhou Futures Exchange has implemented trading limits on industrial silicon and polysilicon futures to enhance market risk management and stabilize market expectations [4].
硅片厂商普遍调高报价;天赐材料:申请撤诉技术秘密纠纷案 | 新能源早参
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-07-09 23:54
Group 1 - Enjie Co., Ltd. expects a loss of 82.65 million to 107 million yuan in the first half of 2025, compared to a profit of 291 million yuan in the same period last year [1] - The primary reasons for the expected loss include a decline in the profit margin of lithium battery separator films, losses in certain business segments, increased overseas operating expenses, and a provision for inventory impairment based on prudence [1] - The company needs to adjust its strategy to cope with intensified industry competition and should focus on subsequent performance improvement measures [1] Group 2 - Tianci Materials has filed a request to withdraw a lawsuit regarding a technical secret dispute, which has been approved by the Hangzhou Intermediate People's Court [2] - The withdrawal of the lawsuit is not expected to have a significant adverse impact on the company's current or future profits, and the company plans to file a new lawsuit based on the situation [2] - The outcome of this case may influence the company's future rights protection strategy, necessitating attention to the progress of new litigation and potential risks [2] Group 3 - Multiple silicon wafer manufacturers have raised their prices, with increases ranging from 8% to 11.7% for different sizes of wafers [3] - The price hike is attributed to the upward pressure from rising upstream silicon material costs, although the demand growth at the downstream level is slowing, raising concerns about market acceptance [3] - The ability to pass on price increases to end-users will test the collaborative capacity of the industry chain, and short-term price negotiations are expected to continue [3]