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时报访谈丨张立群:促进供需在更高水平上实现动态平衡
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-11 00:43
Group 1 - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) in June increased by 0.1% year-on-year, ending a four-month decline, while the Producer Price Index (PPI) decreased by 3.6% year-on-year, indicating a mixed price trend in the economy [3][4][16] - The core CPI, excluding food and energy, rose by 0.7% year-on-year, marking a 0.1 percentage point increase from the previous month and reaching a 14-month high, reflecting improvements in supply-demand structures in certain industries [3][17] - The persistent low prices in the market are attributed to an oversupply situation, which could lead to a negative cycle affecting corporate expectations and investment, potentially dragging the economy into a "low inflation trap" [5][18] Group 2 - The decline in PPI is primarily driven by seasonal factors and the construction progress of infrastructure projects, along with an oversupply of raw materials like steel and cement, which has negatively impacted production material prices [4][17] - Key factors contributing to the current supply-demand imbalance include a decline in real estate investment, high tariff barriers affecting exports, and weak consumer income expectations leading to insufficient consumption willingness [4][18] - The overall economic recovery is influenced by a combination of supportive incremental policies and complex external environments, with expectations for CPI to show a trend of low-to-high throughout the year [8][10]