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产需指数均有回升,8月PMI数据解读
21世纪经济报道· 2025-08-31 14:28
Core Viewpoint - The manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) in China for August 2025 is reported at 49.4%, indicating a slight improvement from the previous month, suggesting a modest recovery in manufacturing activity [1][5]. Group 1: Manufacturing PMI Overview - The manufacturing PMI increased by 0.1 percentage points from the previous month, reflecting an overall improvement in the manufacturing sector's economic conditions [1][5]. - The production index stands at 50.8%, up 0.3 percentage points, indicating accelerated production expansion for the fourth consecutive month [3][6]. - The new orders index is at 49.5%, showing a slight increase of 0.1 percentage points, suggesting a minor improvement in market demand [5][6]. Group 2: Sector Performance - High-tech manufacturing and equipment manufacturing PMIs are reported at 51.9% and 50.5%, respectively, both showing increases and indicating strong performance in these sectors [9]. - The consumer goods industry PMI is at 49.2%, down 0.3 percentage points, indicating weak terminal demand [9]. - The high-energy-consuming industries PMI is at 48.2%, reflecting a continuous recovery trend [9]. Group 3: Price Indices and Market Expectations - The main raw material purchase price index is at 53.3%, up 1.8 percentage points, while the factory price index is at 49.1%, up 0.8 percentage points, indicating an overall improvement in manufacturing market prices [9][10]. - The production and business activity expectation index is at 53.7%, up 1.1 percentage points, suggesting increased confidence among manufacturing enterprises regarding future market conditions [10].
中国8月官方制造业PMI小幅回升至49.4,新订单指数升至49.5
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2025-08-31 04:08
Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - In August, China's manufacturing sector showed slight improvement in economic sentiment, while non-manufacturing activities accelerated expansion, indicating a general trend of economic growth [1][2]. Manufacturing Sector - The Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) rose to 49.4%, an increase of 0.1 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a slight improvement in manufacturing sentiment [3][5]. - The production index and new orders index both showed recovery, with the production index at 50.8%, up 0.3 percentage points, suggesting accelerated manufacturing production [5][7]. - The new orders index improved to 49.5%, reflecting a slight enhancement in market demand [5][6]. - Large enterprises reported a PMI of 50.8%, while medium and small enterprises had PMIs of 48.9% and 46.6%, respectively, indicating varying levels of economic activity across different enterprise sizes [5]. Non-Manufacturing Sector - The Non-Manufacturing Business Activity Index increased to 50.3%, up 0.2 percentage points, indicating continued expansion in the non-manufacturing sector [1][18]. - The service sector's business activity index reached 50.5%, marking a year-to-date high, with significant growth in sectors like capital market services and transportation [2][13]. - The construction sector's business activity index fell to 49.1%, indicating a decline in activity [13][16]. Price Indices - The main raw material purchase price index rose to 53.3%, and the factory price index increased to 49.1%, both showing a continuous upward trend for three months [1][2]. - The input price index for non-manufacturing remained stable at 50.3%, indicating a general increase in operational costs [16]. Future Expectations - The production and business activity expectation index for manufacturing was reported at 53.7%, suggesting increased confidence among manufacturers regarding future market conditions [2][17]. - The business activity expectation index for non-manufacturing reached 56.2%, indicating optimism about market prospects [17][18].