Group 1 - The manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for January is 49.3%, a decrease of 0.8 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a decline in manufacturing activity due to seasonal factors and insufficient market demand [2] - The production index stands at 50.6%, indicating continued expansion in manufacturing production, while the new orders index is at 49.2%, reflecting a drop in market demand [2] - Certain industries such as agricultural processing and aerospace have production and new orders indices above 56.0%, indicating strong demand, while sectors like petroleum and automotive show indices below the critical point, suggesting a slowdown in market demand [2] Group 2 - The main raw materials purchasing price index and the factory price index are at 56.1% and 50.6%, respectively, both showing increases from the previous month, with the factory price index rising above the critical point for the first time in nearly 20 months [3] - Large enterprises maintain a PMI of 50.3%, indicating continued expansion, while medium and small enterprises show PMIs of 48.7% and 47.4%, reflecting a decline in their economic performance [3] - High-tech manufacturing leads with a PMI of 52.0%, remaining above 52.0% for two consecutive months, while consumer goods and high-energy industries show lower PMIs of 48.3% and 47.9%, indicating a decrease in their economic conditions [3] Group 3 - The production and business activity expectation index is at 52.6%, indicating optimism among enterprises, particularly in agricultural processing and food industries, which have indices above 56.0% [4] - The non-manufacturing business activity index for January is 49.4%, a decrease of 0.8 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a decline in overall non-manufacturing activity [4] - The service industry business activity index is at 49.5%, down 0.2 percentage points, with sectors like financial services showing high activity indices above 65.0%, while the real estate sector drops below 40.0%, indicating weak performance [4]

21世纪经济报道记者冉黎黎 北京报道 1月31日，国家统计局服务业调查中心和中国物流与采购联合会发布了中国采购经理指数。1月份，制造业采购经理指 数（PMI）为49.3%，比上月下降0.8个百分点，制造业景气水平有所回落。 对于制造业PMI回落的原因，国家统计局服务业调查中心首席统计师霍丽慧解读时提到，1月份，部分制造业行业进入传统淡季，加之市场有效需求仍显不 足。 中信证券首席经济学家明明对21世纪经济报道记者表示，2025年12月制造业PMI超预期回升至50.1%，产需全面改善下，春节备货情况有所前置，导致本月 数据回落。 从供需来看，生产指数为50.6%，高于临界点，制造业生产保持扩张；新订单指数为49.2%，市场需求有所回落。从行业看，农副食品加工、铁路船舶航空 航天设备等行业生产指数和新订单指数均高于56.0%，产需释放较快。 需要注意的是，高技术制造业PMI为52.0%，连续两个月位于52.0%及以上较高水平，相关行业发展态势持续向好。装备制造业PMI为50.1%，保持在扩张区 间。 另外，制造业市场价格总体水平改善。受近期部分大宗商品价格上涨等因素影响，主要原材料购进价格指数和出厂价格指数分别为 ...

Core Viewpoint - The manufacturing PMI in January fell below the growth line, indicating a decline in economic activity and a need for stronger foundational support for economic recovery [3][5]. Manufacturing Sector - The manufacturing PMI for January is reported at 49.3%, a decrease of 0.8 percentage points from the previous month, indicating fluctuations in manufacturing operations [5]. - The new orders index dropped to 49.2%, down 1.6 percentage points, reflecting a tightening of market demand [5]. - Seasonal factors and changes in the export environment are contributing to the slowdown in market demand, with the new export orders index at 47.8%, a decline of 1.2 percentage points [5][7]. - The production index remains in the expansion zone at 50.6%, despite a decrease of 1.1 percentage points, suggesting continued overall expansion in manufacturing [7]. - The prices of major raw materials and factory output have increased, with the purchasing price index at 56.1% and the factory price index at 50.6%, indicating an improvement in overall price levels in the manufacturing market [7]. Non-Manufacturing Sector - The non-manufacturing business activity index is at 49.4%, down 0.8 percentage points, primarily due to a decline in the construction sector [10]. - The service sector remains relatively stable, with the business activity index slightly decreasing by 0.2 percentage points, maintaining around 49.5% [10][11]. - The service industry anticipates a boost from the upcoming Spring Festival, with a business activity expectation index of 57.1%, indicating optimism for consumer-related services [10][11]. Economic Outlook - The overall economic climate is expected to be influenced by changes in export growth, the domestic real estate market, and the timing and intensity of growth-stimulating policies [8]. - There is potential for monetary policy easing in the second quarter, with fiscal policies aimed at boosting consumption and investment expected to gain momentum [8].

1月31日，国家统计局、中国物流与采购联合会发布2026年1月份中国采购经理指数。数据显示，1月 份，非制造业商务活动指数为49.4%，比上月下降0.8个百分点。 分行业看，建筑业商务活动指数为48.8%，比上月下降4.0个百分点；服务业商务活动指数为49.5%，比 上月下降0.2个百分点。从服务业行业看，货币金融服务、资本市场服务、保险等行业商务活动指数均 高于65.0%；批发、住宿、房地产等行业商务活动指数均低于临界点。 新订单指数为46.1%，比上月下降1.2个百分点，表明非制造业市场需求景气度下降。分行业看，建筑业 新订单指数为40.1%，比上月下降7.3个百分点；服务业新订单指数为47.1%，比上月下降0.2个百分点。 销售价格指数为48.8%，比上月上升0.8个百分点，表明非制造业销售价格总体水平降幅收窄。分行业 看，建筑业销售价格指数为48.2%，比上月上升0.8个百分点；服务业销售价格指数为48.9%，比上月上 升0.8个百分点。 从业人员指数为46.1%，与上月持平，表明非制造业企业用工景气度基本稳定。分行业看，建筑业从业 人员指数为41.1%，比上月上升0.1个百分点；服务业从业人员指数为 ...

Group 1 - The manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for December 2025 is reported at 50.1%, an increase of 0.9 percentage points from the previous month, marking a return to the expansion zone after eight consecutive months below 50% [1] - The production and business activity expectation index for December is at 55.5%, up 2.4 percentage points, the highest since April 2024 [1] - The new orders index for December is at 50.8%, rising 1.6 percentage points, indicating a return to the expansion zone after five months below 50% [1] Group 2 - The new export orders index for December is at 49%, an increase of 1.4 percentage points, indicating stable development in manufacturing exports [1] - The production index for December is at 51.7%, up 1.7 percentage points, showing significant growth in manufacturing activity [1] - The high-tech manufacturing PMI is reported at 52.5%, an increase of 2.4 percentage points, indicating a notable acceleration in expansion [1] Group 3 - The consumer goods industry PMI is at 50.4%, up 1 percentage point, with the production index exceeding 52% and the new orders index exceeding 51%, reflecting good expansion in the consumer goods manufacturing market [1] - The non-manufacturing business activity index for December is at 50.2%, an increase of 0.7 percentage points from the previous month [2] - The composite PMI output index for December is at 50.7%, up 1 percentage point from the previous month [2]

Core Viewpoint - The non-manufacturing business activity index in China rose to 50.2% in December, indicating a recovery in growth and returning to the expansion zone [1][2]. Group 1: Business Activity Index - The non-manufacturing business activity index increased by 0.7 percentage points month-on-month, reflecting an acceleration in business activities compared to the previous month [1]. - The construction industry business activity index saw a significant rise of over 3 percentage points, reaching a six-month high, indicating a boost in investment-related activities [2]. Group 2: Sub-indices Performance - The new orders index, inventory index, employment index, supplier delivery time index, and business activity expectation index all experienced increases ranging from 0.1 to 1.6 percentage points compared to the previous month [1]. - The new export orders index, backlog orders index, input prices index, and sales prices index showed a decline compared to the previous month [1]. Group 3: Market Expectations and Economic Outlook - Market expectations have improved, with the business activity expectation index rising for three consecutive months, indicating a positive shift in demand [2]. - Financial and investment activities are providing strong support for the economy, with the financial industry business activity index and new orders index both increasing for two consecutive months [2]. - The information services sector continues to be active, contributing to the overall stability and quality improvement of the economy [2].

Core Viewpoint - The manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) in China rose to 50.1% in December 2025, marking the first expansion since April 2025, indicating a recovery in both production and demand [1][5]. Group 1: Manufacturing PMI Overview - The manufacturing PMI increased by 0.9 percentage points from the previous month, reaching the expansion zone [5]. - The production index and new orders index were reported at 51.7% and 50.8%, respectively, both showing significant month-on-month increases [6][7]. - In 2025, the monthly manufacturing PMI figures were 49.1%, 50.2%, 50.5%, 49%, 49.5%, 49.7%, 49.3%, 49.4%, 49.8%, 49.0%, 49.2%, and 50.1% [5]. Group 2: Sector Performance - Among the 21 surveyed industries, 16 showed an increase in PMI compared to the previous month, indicating improved business conditions [2][8]. - High-tech manufacturing, equipment manufacturing, and consumer goods sectors reported PMIs of 52.5%, 50.4%, and 50.4%, respectively, all above the expansion threshold [2][8]. - The new export orders index rose to 49.0%, up 1.4 percentage points, although it remains below the expansion threshold [7][9]. Group 3: Economic Indicators - The production activity expectation index reached 55.5%, indicating increased confidence among manufacturing enterprises regarding market development [10]. - The supplier delivery time index was reported at 50.2%, suggesting that the delivery times for raw materials are improving [9]. - The inventory indices for finished products and raw materials showed signs of recovery, with finished product inventory rising to 48.2% and raw materials inventory at 47.8% [9].

Core Insights - The China Warehousing Index for November 2025 is reported at 50.4%, a slight decrease of 0.2 percentage points from October, indicating stable overall industry performance [1] - New order volume continues to grow, and facility utilization rates have increased, reflecting a recovery in market demand and smoother supply chain connections [1] - The business activity expectation index has risen to 55.3%, indicating improved confidence among enterprises regarding future demand [3] Group 1: Warehousing Index and Performance - The Warehousing Index remains above 50%, suggesting a stable industry operation despite a minor decline [1] - The new orders index stands at 50.5%, unchanged from October, with various sectors showing differing performance levels [1] - Facility utilization index increased to 52.4%, indicating higher efficiency in several sectors [1] Group 2: Inventory and Turnover - The ending inventory index is at 50%, up by 0.6 percentage points from October, with certain sectors experiencing higher inventory levels [1] - The average inventory turnover index decreased to 50%, down by 1.2 percentage points, with some sectors performing better than others [2] Group 3: Future Expectations - The business activity expectation index has increased by 4.2 percentage points, reflecting a positive outlook for future demand [3] - Continued policy support is anticipated to further stimulate investment and consumption-related demand, contributing to a favorable development trend in the warehousing industry [3]

Core Insights - The manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) in China for November is reported at 49.2%, reflecting a 0.2 percentage point increase from the previous month, indicating an improvement in economic conditions [1] Group 1: Manufacturing Sector Performance - The new export orders index stands at 47.6%, which is a 1.7 percentage point increase from last month, showing a significant rise in demand [1] - The high-tech manufacturing sector's new export orders index increased by over 3 percentage points compared to last month, while the consumer goods manufacturing sector's new export orders index rose by over 2 percentage points [1] - Overall, the new orders index for manufacturing is at 49.2%, up by 0.4 percentage points from the previous month, suggesting a recovery in market demand [1] Group 2: Business Confidence - The production and business activity expectation index is at 53.1%, which is a 0.3 percentage point increase from last month, indicating enhanced confidence among manufacturing enterprises regarding recent market developments [1]

Core Viewpoint - The manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) in China for November is reported at 49.2%, indicating a slight improvement in the manufacturing sector's performance compared to the previous month [1] Summary by Categories Manufacturing PMI - The manufacturing PMI increased by 0.2 percentage points from the previous month, reflecting an overall improvement in the sector's economic conditions [1] Sub-indices Performance - The new export orders index stands at 47.6%, up by 1.7 percentage points from last month, showing a significant rise [1] - The high-tech manufacturing sector's new export orders index increased by over 3 percentage points compared to the previous month [1] - The consumer goods manufacturing sector's new export orders index rose by more than 2 percentage points from last month [1] Market Demand and Confidence - The overall market demand in the manufacturing sector is recovering, with the new orders index at 49.2%, an increase of 0.4 percentage points from the previous month [1] - The production and business activity expectations index is at 53.1%, which is an increase of 0.3 percentage points, indicating enhanced confidence among manufacturing enterprises regarding recent market developments [1]