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帮主郑重:指数分化银行创新高,午后关注这两条线!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-20 05:35
老铁们,上午收盘了!今天这市场真是"银行笑、创业板哭",沪指在银行股护航下涨0.38%,创业板却跌了0.52%,超3000只个股下跌。中国银行、工商银 行双双创历史新高,这画面像极了"大象跳舞,蚂蚁搬家"! 先说银行股为啥这么猛。中国银行涨超4%,建设银行紧跟其后,邮储银行、民生银行涨近3%。这帮"大象"突然起舞,背后是资金在寻找避风港——LPR连 续按兵不动,净息差压力缓解,加上汇金系券商整合(中金吸并东兴、信达)催生金融板块热度,银行股成了震荡市里的"压舱石"。 再看锂电板块的持续爆发。威领股份涨停,盛新锂能涨超7%,碳酸锂期货价格更是冲上10.22万元/吨,创年内新高。这波行情背后是供需格局逆转——赣锋 锂业董事长预测2026年碳酸锂价格可能突破20万元,储能需求明年预计翻倍,产业链"长协锁单"已成常态。 海南板块也来凑热闹。海南海药、京粮控股涨停,康芝药业涨近10%。但帮主得提醒,这类区域题材波动大,海南发展之前就因业绩承诺延期股价大跌,追 高需谨慎! 拖后腿的板块也不少: · 中船系全线飘绿,中船特气跌超4%,军工板块近期分化明显; · 旅游酒店集体调整,云南旅游跌超5%,消费复苏预期仍在反复。 更 ...
【建筑建材】政策信号扭转预期,重点关注光伏玻璃、浮法玻璃、水泥、碳纤维行业——中央财经委提出“治理反内卷”精神学习(孙伟风)
光大证券研究· 2025-07-04 14:17
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent policy signals from the Chinese government aimed at addressing issues of low-price competition and promoting high-quality development in various industries, particularly focusing on the construction materials sector and the photovoltaic industry [2][3]. Policy Signals and Market Reactions - The meeting chaired by Xi Jinping emphasized the need to advance the construction of a unified national market and to guide enterprises in improving product quality while phasing out outdated production capacity [2]. - Following the meeting, sectors such as steel, coal, and building materials saw significant gains, indicating a reallocation of funds from previously hot sectors to lower-performing cyclical sectors [3]. Focus on Specific Industries - The article highlights the photovoltaic industry as a key area for potential supply-side reforms due to severe overcapacity and widespread losses across the entire industry chain [3]. - In the construction materials sector, the profitability ranking from weakest to strongest is as follows: carbon fiber (significant losses), photovoltaic glass (losses), float glass (large industry losses, with leading companies barely profitable), cement (some companies in loss), and fiberglass (most companies profitable) [4]. Industry-Specific Insights - Photovoltaic glass prices have reached historical lows, with current prices for 2.0mm single-coated glass ranging from 10.5 to 12 RMB per square meter, and the average net profit in the industry is reported at -362 RMB per ton [4]. - The float glass industry is experiencing a majority of production lines operating at a loss, with specific production costs reported for different fuel types, indicating a challenging profitability environment [5]. - The carbon fiber industry has been in a negative profit situation for nearly two years, with an average gross profit of -8,543 RMB per ton as of late June [6]. Conclusion - The article suggests that the government's clear policy direction may lead to a series of supply-side reforms, potentially reversing supply-demand dynamics and improving product prices and corporate profitability in the affected sectors [3].