Summary of Industry Research Conference Call Industry: Cement and Glass Manufacturing Key Points on Cement Industry - The national cement market price decreased by 1% week-on-week to 347 RMB/ton [1] - Price reductions were primarily observed in regions such as Henan, Hubei, Chongqing, Gansu, and Ningxia, with a decrease of 10-30 RMB/ton [1] - As the Spring Festival approaches, downstream mixing stations and engineering projects are halting operations, leading to a significant contraction in cement market demand [1] - The average shipment rate of cement enterprises in key regions fell by approximately 8 percentage points week-on-week, continuing the downward price trend [1] Key Points on Float Glass Industry - The average price of domestic float glass was 62 RMB per heavy box, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 0.4% [4] - The domestic float glass market is experiencing a rapid decline in demand, with limited adjustment power in prices, leading to overall price stability [4] - As of last Thursday, there were 262 float glass production lines nationwide, with 208 in operation, and a daily melting capacity of 148,935 tons, which decreased by 1,200 tons compared to the previous week [5] - The industry capacity utilization rate stands at 80.80% [5] - Inventory levels in monitored provinces reached 49.49 million heavy boxes, an increase of 220,000 heavy boxes or 0.45% from the previous week [5] - The production volume in monitored provinces was 11.82 million heavy boxes, with a consumption volume of 11.60 million heavy boxes, resulting in a production-sales ratio of 98.14% [5] Key Points on Photovoltaic Glass - The mainstream order price for 2.0mm coated panels is 10.8 RMB/square meter, remaining stable week-on-week; for 3.2mm coated panels, the price is 17.8 RMB/square meter, reflecting a decrease of 0.4% [5] - There are 398 production lines for photovoltaic glass nationwide, with a daily melting capacity of 87,300 tons, remaining stable week-on-week but down 1.68% year-on-year [5] - Sample inventory days are approximately 34.18 days, a decrease of 1.20% week-on-week [5] Key Points on Fiberglass - The domestic alkali-free roving market price is generally stable with slight increases in some mainstream products and individual yarn products [6] - The supply side shows limited changes in production capacity for roving, with inventory growth slowing down [6] - The electronic yarn market has seen significant price increases, with mainstream products rising by approximately 1,000 RMB/ton, and high-end products increasing by 2,000-4,000 RMB/ton [6] Key Points on Other Materials - As of February 7, the national average price for PVC was 4,916 RMB/ton, up 0.2% week-on-week; HDPE was 7,775 RMB/ton, up 0.1%; and PPR was 8,083 RMB/ton, up 0.4% [8] - The average price for light soda ash was 1,218 RMB/ton, stable week-on-week; heavy soda ash was 1,282 RMB/ton, also stable [8] - Soda ash inventory increased by 2.4% to 158,110 tons, with an operating rate of 83.25%, down 1.1 percentage points [8] - Carbon fiber prices remained stable, with T700-12K at 105 RMB/kg and T300-12K at 85 RMB/kg [9] - Carbon fiber inventory reached 13,200 tons, an increase of 2.7% week-on-week [9]

Investment Rating - The report recommends a "Buy" rating for several key companies in the building materials sector, including China Jushi, Huaxin Cement, and Dongfang Yuhong [5]. Core Insights - The building materials industry is experiencing a transformation, with traditional categories weakening while price increases are leading the recovery [1]. - The demand for cement is expected to stabilize in the short term, with a potential rebound in March due to seasonal construction activities [4][15]. - The fiberglass sector is seeing price increases driven by high demand for electronic yarn, while the overall market remains tight [4][42]. - The consumer building materials market is shifting towards high-quality products, supported by urban renewal strategies and price increases from leading companies [4][39]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry Transformation - The building materials industry plays a crucial role in supporting various sectors, including infrastructure and emerging industries [7]. - The industry is undergoing a transition towards high-quality development, with a focus on technological upgrades and sustainable practices [9]. 2. Traditional Materials Weakness and Price Increases - Cement demand is under pressure due to seasonal factors, with a decrease in total demand observed in January [15]. - The fiberglass market is experiencing stable prices for raw yarn, while electronic yarn prices are rising due to strong demand [42]. - Consumer building materials are seeing a shift towards high-quality products, with urban renewal driving demand [39]. 3. Market Confidence and Valuation Recovery - The building materials sector is witnessing a gradual recovery in valuations, supported by multiple favorable factors [4]. - The financial performance of the industry has improved, with significant cash flow recovery noted in the first three quarters [6]. 4. Investment Recommendations - For cement, the report suggests focusing on leading companies like Huaxin Cement and Conch Cement, which are expected to benefit from improved supply-demand dynamics [4]. - In the fiberglass sector, companies like China Jushi and China National Building Material are highlighted for their strong earnings potential [4]. - The consumer building materials segment is recommended for investment, particularly companies with strong brand and distribution advantages [4].

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview - **Industry Focus**: The records primarily discuss the cyclical sector, including commodities like precious metals, chemicals, oil shipping, and aviation [1][2][12]. Core Insights and Arguments Monetary Policy and Market Impact - **Federal Reserve's Stance**: Kevin Walsh's hawkish position as the new Fed Chair has temporarily alleviated concerns about the Fed's independence, but his proposed policies of balance sheet reduction and interest rate cuts may not effectively address issues like deficit monetization and government debt financing costs [1][27]. - **Liquidity Environment**: Both domestic and international liquidity conditions are currently loose, supporting price increases in precious and non-ferrous metals. Geopolitical instability and de-dollarization trends provide long-term support for these assets [1][4]. Commodity Performance - **Cyclical Sector Performance**: The cyclical sector in the A-share market has shown strong performance since early 2026, with significant gains in non-ferrous metals, particularly a 60% increase in precious metals in January [2][23]. - **Chemical Sector**: Despite recent price increases, the chemical sector is in a seasonal demand lull, and valuations are no longer attractive. The long-term outlook indicates a decrease in global chemical capacity growth due to reduced capital expenditure in China [5][6]. Oil Shipping Market - **High Demand and Pricing**: The oil shipping market is experiencing high demand due to OPEC+ production increases, with the VLOC freight index showing significant price increases. The market is characterized by limited supply and high demand, indicating a strong bullish outlook [1][13][14]. Aviation Sector - **Valuation and Recovery**: The aviation sector is currently facing short-term losses, but valuations have reached reasonable levels. Ticket prices are expected to recover and potentially exceed 2019 levels, with profit peaks possibly reaching 15 billion to 20 billion yuan [1][15][16]. Highway Sector - **Investment Attractiveness**: The highway sector has become more attractive relative to the broader market, with specific stocks like Sichuan Chengyu and Shenzhen International offering high dividend yields [1][17]. Additional Important Insights - **Geopolitical Factors**: The significant rise in non-ferrous metals prices in January 2026 was driven by geopolitical factors rather than traditional supply-demand dynamics, including U.S. interventions in various regions and military demand [23][25]. - **Future Trends in Chemical Industry**: The chemical industry is expected to face challenges due to stricter carbon emission regulations and reduced capital expenditure, leading to a decline in capacity growth [7][8][9]. - **Investment Opportunities**: Despite short-term price corrections, the long-term outlook for various commodities remains positive, with potential for price recovery as supply constraints and demand growth align [11][30][31]. Conclusion The cyclical sector is currently navigating a complex landscape influenced by monetary policy, geopolitical factors, and sector-specific dynamics. Investment opportunities exist, particularly in oil shipping, aviation, and select highway stocks, while caution is advised in the chemical sector due to valuation concerns and regulatory pressures.

【华泰建筑建材】细分行业周度经营数据跟踪260130 水泥：上周全国水泥市场价格环比回落0.8%。 价格回落地区主要是内蒙古、山东、广东和青海地区，幅度10-40元/吨。 元月底，南方地区气温回升，部分工程项目仍在赶工，水泥需求略有恢复，国内重点地区水泥企业出货率环比提 升3个百分点。 浮法玻璃：上周国内浮法玻璃均价62元/重箱，环比+0.9%。 【华泰建筑建材】细分行业周度经营数据跟踪260130 水泥：上周全国水泥市场价格环比回落0.8%。 浮法玻璃：上周国内浮法玻璃均价62元/重箱，环比+0.9%。 截至上周四，全国浮法玻璃生产线共计262条，在产210条，日熔量共计150135吨，较上一周增加600吨，行业产能 利用率81.94%。 周内产线点火1条，改产1条，暂无停产线。 截至1月29日，重点监测省份生产企业库存总量4927万重量箱，环比减少50万重量箱，降幅1.00%，库存天数26.71 天，环比减少0.27天。 上周重点监测省份产量1183.18万重量箱，消费量1233.18万重量箱，产销104.23%。 光伏玻璃：2.0mm镀膜玻璃主流订单价格10.8元/平方米，环比持平；3.2mm镀膜主流订 ...

行业 纯碱、玻璃日报 日期 2026 年 1 月 28 日 油） 021-60635738 lijie@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3031215 021-60635737 renjunchi@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3037892 021-60635740 pengjinglin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3075681 021-60635570 liuyouran@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F03094925 021-60635727 期货从业资格号：F03134307 fengzeren@ccb.ccbfutures.com 能源化工研究团队 研究员：李捷,CFA（原油燃料 研究员：任俊弛（PTA、MEG） 研究员：彭婧霖（聚烯烃） 研究员：刘悠然（纸浆） 研究员：冯泽仁（玻璃、纯碱） 请阅读正文后的声明 ＃summary＃ 每日报告 一、纯碱、玻璃行情回顾与操作建议 | 表1：纯碱、玻璃期货1月27日交易数据汇总 | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- ...

[Table_Page] 深度分析|建筑材料 证券研究报告 [Table_Title] 建筑材料行业 12 月投资端降幅扩大，2026 年有望开门红 [Table_Summary] 核心观点： [Table_Grade] 行业评级 持有 前次评级 持有 报告日期 2026-01-27 识别风险，发现价值 请务必阅读末页的免责声明 1 / 25 972918116公共联系人2026-01-27 16:41:57 ⚫ 12 月地产/基建投资降幅环比扩大，2026 年有望开门红。12 月固定资 产投资当月同比-15.1%，前值-12.0%；其中制造业/地产/狭义基建/广 义基建投资单月同比分别为-10.5%/-35.8%/-12.2%/-15.9%，增速环比 分别-6.1/-5.5/-2.5/-4.0pct，可能和"推动投资止跌回稳"政策方向既定 的情况下，地方政府会更倾向于把投资节奏集中于 2026 年初有关。 2025 年 1-12 月房地产开发投资/新开工面积/销售面积/竣工面积分别同 比-17.2%/-20.4%/-8.7%/-18.1%，12 月地产相关指标继续低位徘徊， 2026 开年之后二手房成交回暖 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for the building materials industry [1] Core Insights - The building materials industry is experiencing a mixed performance, with traditional materials weakening while high-demand electronic yarns support the resilience of fiberglass [1][3] - The industry is expected to see a recovery in 2025, driven by urban renewal strategies and a shift towards high-quality green materials [5][6] Summary by Sections 1. Industry Overview - The building materials sector is crucial for infrastructure and strategic emerging industries, with China leading in the production of various materials [6][7] - The industry is undergoing a transformation towards high-end, green, and digital solutions, supported by government initiatives [6][8] 2. Traditional Materials and Electronic Yarn - Cement demand remains weak, with high kiln shutdown rates and stable prices in December; a rebound is expected post-Spring Festival [10][14] - Fiberglass shows a mixed demand; traditional yarns face price stabilization while high-end electronic yarns continue to see price increases due to supply constraints [40][42] - Consumer building materials show slight improvement in retail sales, driven by year-end demand, but overall demand remains below previous years [38] 3. Market Dynamics - The building materials industry maintained a stable operation in December, with a business climate index of 102.9, indicating steady demand and production [9] - The industry is witnessing a gradual recovery in confidence, with a 3.66% increase in December, outperforming the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index [48][49] 4. Investment Recommendations - Cement companies like Huaxin Cement, Shangfeng Cement, and Conch Cement are recommended due to expected improvements in supply-demand dynamics and profitability [4] - For fiberglass, companies like China Jushi and China National Materials are highlighted for their strong positioning in high-demand segments [4] - Consumer building materials firms such as Oriental Yuhong and Beixin Building Materials are expected to benefit from urban renewal and quality upgrades [4]

Core Viewpoint - HuLong Securities maintains a "recommended" rating for the building materials industry, suggesting two main lines of focus: "anti-involution" policies that may alleviate overcapacity issues and the demand for high-end fiberglass products that could enhance industry profitability [1] Group 1: Industry Overview - From January 2 to December 23, 2025, the Shenwan Building Materials Index increased by 20.8%, ranking 11th among all Shenwan sectors, while the CSI 300 Index rose by 17.43%. The fiberglass sector performed exceptionally well, with a growth rate of 90.37% during the same period [2] - The supply-side "anti-involution" policies are expected to alleviate overcapacity in the cement industry, improving the supply-demand balance and enhancing profitability for leading companies such as Anhui Conch Cement (600585.SH), Shangfeng Cement (000672.SZ), and Huaxin Cement (600801.SH) [3] Group 2: Specific Material Insights - In the float glass sector, there are no significant improvements expected on the demand side, but supply-side "anti-involution" policies may lead to a reduction in capacity. The industry is currently in a phase of high inventory and low prices, with potential for improvement in supply-demand dynamics. Attention is recommended for Qibin Group (601636.SH) [4] - The photovoltaic glass industry is still facing overcapacity, but the implementation of "anti-involution" policies may improve the supply-demand situation. Leading companies with cost advantages are likely to benefit first, with a recommendation to focus on Fuyao Glass (601865.SH) [5] - In the consumer building materials sector, the increasing proportion of aging housing is expected to drive demand for renovation, positively impacting related consumer building materials. Recommended companies include Sankeshu (603737.SH), Beixin Building Materials (000786.SZ), Dongfang Yuhong (002271.SZ), Weixing New Materials (002372.SZ), and Jianlang Hardware (002791.SZ) [6] - The fiberglass sector is expected to avoid redundant capacity and fierce price competition due to ongoing "anti-involution" policies. The demand for mid-to-high-end fiberglass products, such as wind power yarn and electronic yarn, is on the rise, which may enhance industry profitability. Companies with a high sales proportion of mid-to-high-end products, such as China Jushi (600176.SH), China National Materials (002080.SZ), and Honghe Technology (603256.SH), are recommended for attention [7]

Core Viewpoint - The construction materials industry is expected to see improved profitability and demand in 2025, driven by "anti-involution" policies and a gradual recovery in key product demand [1][2]. Fundamental Analysis - In the first three quarters of 2025, demand for major construction materials showed slight improvement, while "anti-involution" policies positively impacted supply-side dynamics, leading to improved profitability across various sub-sectors [2]. - The construction materials index rose by 20.8% from January 2 to December 23, 2025, ranking 11th among all sectors, while the CSI 300 index increased by 17.43% during the same period [1][2]. Real Estate and Infrastructure - The real estate market continues to stabilize, with a downward trend in sales and completion rates, alongside declining housing prices; however, inventory reduction is evident as the area of unsold commercial housing has been decreasing since early 2025 [2]. - Infrastructure investment growth is declining despite an increase in the scale of special bonds directed towards land reserves [2]. Investment Recommendations - Focus on two main lines: 1. "Anti-involution" policies are expected to alleviate overcapacity issues in the construction materials sector, with an emphasis on traditional materials [2]. 2. The demand for high-end fiberglass products is anticipated to enhance industry profitability [2]. Sector-Specific Insights - **Cement**: The ongoing "anti-involution" policies are expected to ease overcapacity in the cement industry, with a long-term improvement in supply-demand dynamics anticipated to boost profitability, particularly for leading companies like Conch Cement [3]. - **Float Glass**: Demand remains weak, but supply-side changes from "anti-involution" policies may improve the supply-demand balance; companies like Xinyi Glass are recommended for attention [3]. - **Photovoltaic Glass**: The industry is currently facing overcapacity, but leading companies with cost advantages are likely to benefit from improved supply-demand conditions as "anti-involution" policies are implemented [3]. - **Consumer Building Materials**: The increasing proportion of aging housing is expected to drive demand for renovation-related building materials, with companies like Skshu Paint and Beixin Building Materials highlighted for potential investment [3]. Fiberglass Sector - The "anti-involution" policies are expected to prevent redundant capacity and curb vicious price competition in the fiberglass sector, with rising demand for mid-to-high-end fiberglass products likely to enhance profitability; companies such as China Jushi and Zhongcai Technology are recommended for investment [4].

Group 1: Cement Industry - The effect of capacity reduction is expected to become evident by 2026, improving the supply-demand balance and enhancing price recovery, leading to gradual profit restoration for companies [1] - In November, cement prices are expected to trend weakly due to seasonal demand reduction, despite a significant increase in kiln stoppage rates and a marginal decrease in clinker inventory [2] - The cement price is anticipated to stabilize until March next year, supported by high stoppage rates in northern regions and strong price stabilization intentions from companies [2] Group 2: Glass Fiber Industry - Demand for high-end coarse yarn has slightly declined, but mainstream electronic yarn demand continues to support price increases, with a marginal rise in coarse yarn prices [3] - The electronic yarn market shows stable demand, with prices increasing slightly, while high-end products maintain a favorable market outlook due to limited new capacity release [3] Group 3: Consumer Building Materials - Retail demand for home decoration materials weakened in October, with a year-on-year decline of 8.3%, while the cumulative retail sales from January to October grew by only 0.5% [4] - The ongoing urban renewal strategy is expected to release demand for renovation and old housing improvement, enhancing the market penetration of high-quality green building materials [4] Group 4: Float Glass Industry - The float glass market shows no significant changes in demand, with reduced production capacity leading to a contraction in total industry supply, yet prices continue to decline due to high inventory levels [5] - Short-term demand is expected to remain weak, but inventory pressure may ease, leading to a forecast of price stabilization [5] Group 5: Investment Recommendations - Companies to watch in the cement sector include Huaxin Cement, Shangfeng Cement, and Anhui Conch Cement [5] - In the glass fiber sector, focus on China Jushi and China National Materials [5] - For consumer building materials, recommended companies include Oriental Yuhong, Beixin Building Materials, Weixing New Materials, Sankeshu, and Tubao [5] - In the float glass sector, Qibin Group is highlighted for investment [5]