Core Viewpoint - The real estate industry in China is transitioning from a high-debt, high-leverage model to a new phase focused on "survival quality" and "new model exploration," indicating a shift from mere scale expansion to quality and service enhancement [1] Group 1: Market Consensus and Divergence - There is a consensus that the market has largely bottomed out, with limited room for further decline due to supportive policies like "guaranteeing delivery" and reduced down payments [2] - Divergence is evident among cities, with first-tier and strong second-tier cities showing resilient demand, while third and fourth-tier cities face high inventory and weak demand [2] - Financially stable state-owned and quality private enterprises are gaining market share, while heavily indebted firms struggle for survival, leading to increased industry consolidation [2] Group 2: Challenges and Solutions - The execution of supportive policies faces delays, with local fiscal pressures hindering timely implementation of incentives, and buyer confidence remains low, complicating inventory reduction efforts [3] - Inventory clearance is a significant challenge, especially in third and fourth-tier cities where the clearance cycle exceeds 24 months, necessitating innovative approaches from local governments [3] Group 3: Strategic Transformation - Real estate companies are restructuring strategies around reducing debt, ensuring cash flow, improving efficiency, and enhancing product quality, transitioning from developers to operators and service providers [4] - Companies like Longfor and China Jinmao are focusing on financial stability and optimizing land reserves in core cities to mitigate market risks [4] - Enhancing operational efficiency through asset divestment, light asset operations, and digital optimization is a priority for firms aiming to improve overall effectiveness [4] Group 4: Product Quality as a Competitive Focus - The industry is entering a phase where product quality becomes the ultimate competitive focus, with various companies establishing robust product systems to enhance living quality and sustainability [5] - The collaboration between policy and market dynamics is expected to strengthen, leading to a healthier and more sustainable real estate model that prioritizes quality over rapid growth [5]

转瞬2024年已临近尾声，回顾就不过多赘述 下周一（11月25日）安排了一场线上会议 来跟大家聊聊，对于2025年的展望 比如2025年度会是怎样的状态？ 新的年度，信心修复又会有怎样效果？ 具体思路应该是防御还是积极主动？ 债市 、 楼市 、 汇率 应该怎么判断？ 海外市场 会有哪些变化？ 贵金属 、 能源 又是怎样的看法？ 名额有限，欲报从速！ VIP 专享,非专享客户请联系服务人员获取 VIP 名额 P 言扫码即刻了解详 具体参与方式请扫描海报二维码，联系官方工作人员。 东北证券诚邀您共同 "拨云见日" 线上实时互动 第四季度 · 特邀会议 00 全球投资决策风向标 11/25 周一 19:00 ...