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【笔记20251118— 债市:心如止水、古井无波、买即成佛】
债券笔记· 2025-11-18 14:05
Group 1 - The bond market shows a slight upward trend in long-term bond yields, with the central bank conducting a 407.5 billion yuan reverse repurchase operation, resulting in a net injection of 3.7 billion yuan [3][4]. - The interbank funding rates remain stable, with DR001 around 1.53% and DR007 around 1.52%, indicating a marginal contraction in the funding environment [4][6]. - The stock market is performing weakly, with a slight decline of 0.81% in the A-share market, while the Nikkei 225 index dropped by 3.22%, influenced by rising Japanese bond yields [6][7]. Group 2 - The 10-year government bond yield opened at 1.80% and fluctuated around 1.805%, reflecting a stable sentiment in the bond market despite external pressures [6][7]. - The trading volume in the repo market shows a significant decrease, with R001 at 62.2 billion yuan and R007 at 6.96 billion yuan, indicating a contraction in market activity [5][6]. - The overall market sentiment is described as calm, with no significant news impacting the trading environment, leading to a stable bond market despite the weak stock performance [3][6].
【笔记20250704— 30Y国债成“顶流”】
债券笔记· 2025-07-04 10:52
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes that trends are accelerated by news stimuli rather than changed, indicating that current market movements are aligned with broader trends [1]. Group 1: Market Conditions - The central bank conducted a 340 billion yuan reverse repurchase operation, with 5,259 billion yuan of reverse repos maturing today, resulting in a net withdrawal of 4,919 billion yuan [2]. - The funding environment remains balanced and loose, with the DR001 rate around 1.31% and DR007 at approximately 1.42% [3]. - The interbank funding rates show a slight decline, with R001 at 1.36% (down 1 basis point) and R007 at 1.49% (up 97 basis points) [4]. Group 2: Bond Market Dynamics - The bond market sentiment is stable, with the 10-year government bond yield fluctuating around 1.64% after opening flat [5]. - Despite rumors of regulatory investigations into short-term bond funds buying long-term government bonds, market enthusiasm remains high, with the 30-year government bond becoming the most active [6]. - The 30-year government bond recorded over 1,300 transactions, while the 10-year government bonds saw over 1,000 transactions, indicating a shift in investor preference towards ultra-long bonds [6].