Core Viewpoint - The recent notice from the National Development and Reform Commission and the Energy Administration aims to enhance the price mechanism to promote the nearby consumption of renewable energy, requiring that the annual self-consumption of renewable energy should account for no less than 60% of the total available generation capacity and 30% of total electricity consumption, with new projects starting from 2030 required to meet at least 35% [1] Investment Highlights - The notice recommends commercial rooftop photovoltaics and highlights the potential of companies like Ankerui. It emphasizes the need for projects to have metering conditions and for grid companies to install metering devices to accurately measure electricity data at various stages [1] - The bidding for large-scale energy storage in August exceeded expectations, with a recommendation for storage operators like Southern Grid Storage. The combination of AI and the finalized document No. 136 is expected to drive the economic viability of large-scale storage, with domestic demand exceeding expectations [1] - Southern Grid Storage is positioned to benefit significantly as a large-scale storage operator within the Southern Grid, with a projected cumulative installed capacity of 654,200 kW and 1,298,300 kWh by the first half of 2025, alongside 10.28 million kW of pumped storage capacity [1] Industry Core Data Tracking - Electricity prices saw a 2% year-on-year decrease and a 1.3% month-on-month increase in August 2025. The price of thermal coal was reported at 680 RMB/ton as of September 12, 2025, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 1 RMB/ton [2] - The water level at the Three Gorges Reservoir was recorded at 162.88 meters, with inflow and outflow rates showing significant year-on-year increases of 33.59% and 198.15%, respectively [2] - Total electricity consumption from January to July 2025 reached 5.86 trillion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 4.5%, with various sectors showing different growth rates [2] - Cumulative power generation for the same period was 5.47 trillion kWh, with a year-on-year increase of 1.3%, while installed capacity additions in the first half of 2025 showed significant growth in renewable sources like wind and solar [2] Investment Recommendations - Companies within the Southern Grid system, such as Southern Grid Energy, Southern Grid Storage, and Southern Grid Technology, are recommended for investment opportunities [3] - The green electricity sector is expected to see improvements in asset quality and growth potential, with specific companies highlighted for attention [3] - The value of photovoltaic assets and charging station assets is anticipated to be reassessed positively due to regulatory support and market dynamics [3] - Investment opportunities in thermal power, particularly in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region, are also recommended [3] - The hydropower sector is expected to benefit from rising prices and low costs, with strong cash flow and dividend capabilities [3] - The nuclear power sector is projected to grow, with multiple approvals for new units expected to enhance profitability and dividends [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the utility sector [1]. Core Insights - The weighted average price of electricity in Jiangsu for September 2025 was 319.48 RMB/MWh, which is lower than market expectations. The total electricity traded was 8.111 billion kWh, with various sources contributing different amounts and prices [4]. - The report highlights a continued increase in electricity demand, with a 3.7% year-on-year growth in total electricity consumption for the first half of 2025 [15]. - The report suggests investment opportunities in green energy, photovoltaic assets, charging station assets, thermal power, hydropower, and nuclear power, emphasizing the potential for value reassessment in these areas [4]. Summary by Sections 1. Market Review - The SW utility index decreased by 0.67% from August 25 to August 29, 2025, underperforming compared to the ChiNext index [9]. - The top five gainers included Zhaoxin Co. (+33.6%) and Tianlun Gas (+13.2%), while the top five losers included ST Shengda (-9.5%) and Jiawei New Energy (-7.9%) [13]. 2. Electricity Sector Tracking 2.1. Electricity Consumption - Total electricity consumption in H1 2025 reached 4.84 trillion kWh, reflecting a 3.7% year-on-year increase [15]. - The growth rates for different sectors were: primary industry (+8.7%), secondary industry (+2.4%), tertiary industry (+7.1%), and urban-rural residential consumption (+4.1%) [15]. 2.2. Power Generation - Total power generation in H1 2025 was 4.54 trillion kWh, with a year-on-year increase of 0.8%. However, thermal and hydropower generation saw declines of 3.1% and 2.9%, respectively [23]. 2.3. Electricity Prices - The average electricity purchase price in August 2025 was 388 RMB/MWh, down 2% year-on-year but up 1.3% month-on-month [41]. 2.4. Thermal Power - The price of thermal coal at Qinhuangdao port was 690 RMB/ton as of August 29, 2025, a decrease of 17.76% year-on-year [46]. - The cumulative installed capacity of thermal power reached 1.47 billion kW, with an increase of 4.7% year-on-year [49]. 2.5. Hydropower - The water level at the Three Gorges Reservoir was 162.19 meters, which is normal compared to previous years. Inflow and outflow rates increased by 35.48% and 47.46% year-on-year, respectively [55]. 2.6. Nuclear Power - In 2024, 11 new nuclear units were approved, indicating a positive trend in the development of nuclear power [67]. 2.7. Green Energy - New installations of wind and solar power in H1 2025 increased by 99% and 107% year-on-year, respectively [4]. 3. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies like Changjiang Electric for high dividend yield assets, and suggests monitoring companies involved in green energy and charging stations for potential value reassessment [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the utility sector, specifically recommending investment in Changjiang Electric for its high dividend asset allocation value [1]. Core Insights - Changjiang Electric has announced a shareholder dividend return plan for the next five years (2026-2030), committing to a minimum cash dividend of 70% of the annual net profit attributable to shareholders [3]. - The report highlights a decrease in electricity prices, with the average grid purchase price in July 2025 down 3% year-on-year and 1.4% month-on-month [36]. - The report tracks key industry data, including a 3.7% year-on-year increase in total electricity consumption in H1 2025, with total consumption reaching 4.84 trillion kWh [12]. Summary by Sections 1. Market Review - The SW Utility Index fell by 0.55% during the week of August 11-15, 2025, underperforming compared to the ChiNext Index [8]. - Notable stock performances included a 28.7% increase for Fuan Energy and a 9.4% decrease for Huayin Electric [11]. 2. Electricity Sector Tracking 2.1. Electricity Consumption - Total electricity consumption in H1 2025 was 4.84 trillion kWh, reflecting a 3.7% year-on-year increase, with growth in all sectors [12]. 2.2. Power Generation - Total power generation in H1 2025 reached 4.54 trillion kWh, a 0.8% year-on-year increase, with declines in thermal and hydro power generation [21]. 2.3. Electricity Prices - The average grid purchase price in July 2025 was 382 RMB/MWh, down 3% year-on-year [36]. 2.4. Thermal Power - As of August 15, 2025, the price of thermal coal at Qinhuangdao was 698 RMB/ton, down 16.51% year-on-year but up 16 RMB/ton week-on-week [45]. 2.5. Hydropower - The water level at the Three Gorges Reservoir was 160.34 meters as of August 15, 2025, with inflow and outflow rates showing a year-on-year decrease [57]. 2.6. Nuclear Power - In 2024, 11 new nuclear units were approved, indicating a continued positive trend in nuclear power development [72]. 3. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on high-dividend stocks like Changjiang Electric, as well as opportunities in green energy, photovoltaic assets, and thermal power investments [3].