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存储芯片周度跟踪:现货市场整体价格趋稳,NAND产能加速切换-20250911
Yong Xing Zheng Quan· 2025-09-11 08:14
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Maintain Buy" [6] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights that the NAND market is experiencing a shift in production capacity towards new processes, leading to a reduction in supply of older process NAND, particularly the 256Gb TLC NAND, which is driving up spot prices [1] - The DRAM market saw a significant revenue increase in Q2 2025, reaching $31.63 billion, a 17.1% quarter-over-quarter growth, driven by rising contract prices and increased shipment volumes [2][26] - The HBM market is expected to grow significantly, with SK Hynix projecting the custom HBM market to reach hundreds of billions by 2030, driven by advancements in technology and increased demand from high-performance computing [3][27] Summary by Sections NAND Market - The spot prices for 22 types of NAND particles fluctuated between -5.97% and 6.14%, with an average change of -0.03% last week [1] - The transition to new NAND production processes is reducing the output of older processes, particularly affecting the supply of 256Gb TLC NAND [1] DRAM Market - The overall revenue for the DRAM industry in Q2 2025 was $31.63 billion, marking a 17.1% increase from the previous quarter [2] - The average selling price (ASP) of DRAM is increasing due to heightened purchasing activity from PC OEMs, smartphones, and CSPs, leading to a reduction in inventory levels [2][26] HBM Market - The HBM industry is expected to benefit from the rapid development of advanced computing chips, with companies like SK Hynix and Samsung adopting different technologies for next-generation HBM4 products [3] - The report suggests monitoring companies such as Saiteng Co., Yishitong, Lianrui New Materials, and Huahai Chengke for potential investment opportunities in the HBM sector [4] Investment Recommendations - The report maintains a positive outlook on the HBM industry chain and the semiconductor cycle recovery, recommending stocks like Dongxin Co. and suggesting attention to Zhaoyi Innovation, Hengshuo Co., and others in the storage chip sector [4]
存储芯片周度跟踪:CFM称大容量NAND供应或增加,DDR4高位横盘-20250630
Yong Xing Zheng Quan· 2025-06-30 07:54
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained as "Add" [7] Core Views - The report highlights the expected increase in 1Tb NAND supply in the second half of 2025 due to some manufacturers shifting production to advanced processes [1] - Micron has made significant progress in the 1-gamma DRAM technology node, with a notable increase in yield rates [2] - AMD's new MI350 series AI chips feature HBM3E memory capacity that is 1.6 times that of NVIDIA's GB200/B200, indicating competitive advancements in AI workloads [3] - The LPDDR4X supply is tightening, leading to price increases, while DDR4 memory prices remain stable due to market rationalization [4] Summary by Sections NAND Market - CFM reports that some NAND manufacturers are transitioning to advanced processes, which is expected to increase 1Tb NAND supply starting in the second half of 2025. Last week, NAND spot prices varied from 0.00% to 3.82%, with an average change of 1.56% [1][28] DRAM Market - Micron has achieved significant advancements in the 1-gamma DRAM technology node, with yield improvements surpassing previous records. The spot prices for DRAM increased by an average of 9.19% last week, with a range of 0.14% to 24.70% [2][28] HBM Market - AMD's MI350 series GPUs, designed for AI workloads, feature up to 288GB of HBM3E memory and 8TB/s memory bandwidth. The MI355X model has a memory capacity 1.6 times that of NVIDIA's comparable models, showcasing AMD's competitive edge [3][29] Market Trends - The LPDDR4X supply is tightening, leading to price increases, while DDR4 memory prices are stabilizing as the market becomes more rational. The overall supply situation remains challenging, with DDR4 memory delivery times still extended [4][30] Investment Recommendations - The report maintains a positive outlook on the HBM industry chain benefiting from the rapid development of advanced computing chips. Recommended companies include Saiteng Co., Yishitong, Lianrui New Materials, and Huahai Chengke. For storage chips, companies like Dongxin Co., Zhaoyi Innovation, Hengsuo Co., and others are highlighted as potential investments [5]