光伏产业内卷
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光伏产业亟须规范竞争“硬标尺”
中国能源报· 2026-01-13 00:03
Core Viewpoint - The key to solving the photovoltaic industry's development dilemma lies in raising the technical efficiency threshold and implementing precise policy guidance to support strong and capable players [2][6]. Group 1: Industry Challenges - The phenomenon of "involution" in the photovoltaic industry has escalated from a market concern to a regulatory focus, with the central economic work conference emphasizing the need for comprehensive rectification of "involution-style" competition [3]. - The State Administration for Market Regulation has initiated compliance guidance on price competition in the photovoltaic industry, highlighting issues such as low-quality competition and repetitive construction that have led to widespread profitability difficulties and distorted market resource allocation [3]. Group 2: Technological Innovation - Traditional models relying solely on scale expansion are no longer sustainable; technological innovation is becoming a crucial force for progress [5]. - The president of the China International Science and Technology Promotion Association emphasizes that "core technology autonomy" is essential for maintaining sustainable and valuable "scale leadership" in the industry [5]. - The "Photovoltaic Manufacturing Industry Normative Conditions (2024 Edition)" has raised the component efficiency admission standard to 23.1%, with encouragement for the application of high-efficiency components not lower than 23.8% in large-scale renewable energy projects [5]. Group 3: Capacity and Market Dynamics - The industry faces structural contradictions due to an imbalance in capacity, particularly in upstream sectors like silicon materials and wafers, where supply exceeds actual demand [8]. - With the slowdown in new installations, excess capacity is being cleared through price reductions, which increases competitive pressure throughout the industry chain [8]. - Forecasts indicate a significant decline in new installation growth rates, with estimates suggesting a drop of approximately 20% by 2026 under neutral scenarios [8]. Group 4: Collaborative Restructuring - The industry must transition from excessive competition to collaborative development, with all segments of the supply chain (silicon materials, wafers, batteries, components) aligning production capacity with market demand to avoid blind expansion [8][9]. - Horizontal collaboration is necessary to break the isolated development patterns of different segments, while vertical collaboration should focus on achieving profitability balance across the entire supply chain [9]. Group 5: Financial Risk Management - The industry requires clear and stable regulatory frameworks to guide development and set standards, particularly in terms of financial risk control [10]. - Companies with high debt levels, some exceeding 70% asset-liability ratios, need to manage their financial health more effectively to avoid risks associated with blind expansion [10]. - Key financial indicators, such as the cash-to-short-term debt ratio, are critical for assessing short-term solvency, with most major companies currently above the safety line [10]. Group 6: Future Development - The photovoltaic industry is at a critical juncture, transitioning from scale expansion to high-quality development, necessitating a collaborative effort in technical standards, capacity constraints, and operational norms to shift the focus from price competition to value creation [11].
经济日报:光伏业反内卷向外延才能赢未来
Bei Jing Ri Bao Ke Hu Duan· 2025-09-11 00:13
Core Viewpoint - The photovoltaic (PV) industry is facing severe challenges due to low-price competition and quality inconsistencies, prompting regulatory bodies in China to take action to promote quality over quantity in the sector [1][2][3]. Group 1: Industry Challenges - The current low-price competition is squeezing profit margins for companies, forcing them to cut R&D investments, which threatens long-term sustainability and innovation [2]. - The "bad money drives out good" effect is evident, where high-quality producers are losing market share to low-cost competitors, leading to a slowdown in technological advancement and stability in the supply chain [2]. - The industry is experiencing a misallocation of social capital due to homogeneous competition, exacerbating the overall challenges faced by the sector [2]. Group 2: Regulatory Response - Six government departments have initiated measures to regulate the PV industry, focusing on establishing a "red-green light" system to differentiate between projects that meet national standards and those that do not [3]. - The aim is to create a fair market environment by curbing unfair competition practices, such as selling below cost, thereby allowing companies to compete based on technology, efficiency, and brand [3]. - Industry self-regulation is emphasized as a crucial step towards maturity, with industry associations playing a key role in maintaining market order and promoting compliance among companies [3]. Group 3: Future Directions - Companies are encouraged to transform internal competition into external growth by focusing on technological innovation, which can redefine cost structures and escape the price war [4]. - Expanding into new application scenarios can create new demand and reduce system costs, allowing for better pricing strategies [4]. - Upgrading the role of Chinese PV companies from merely selling products to providing comprehensive solutions and services can enhance value chains and profitability [4]. - Building a resilient ecosystem through collaboration among industry players is essential for sustainable growth, as it allows for shared risk and innovation [4]. Group 4: Historical Perspective - Historical trends indicate that every reshuffle in the PV industry presents opportunities, and embracing value co-creation rather than zero-sum competition is vital for maintaining global leadership [5].
“再上任何产能都是害人害己”—— 光伏巨头谈破内卷“三件事”
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-06-11 08:57
Core Viewpoint - The Chinese photovoltaic industry is undergoing systematic restructuring due to challenges such as supply-demand imbalance and trade barriers, necessitating industry consolidation and capacity control to overcome internal competition and achieve value upgrades [1][3][6]. Group 1: Industry Challenges and Responses - The photovoltaic industry faces three major challenges: intensified trade barriers, global internal competition, and severe supply-demand imbalance [3]. - Companies like Trina Solar emphasize the need for industry consolidation, strict capacity control, and enhanced intellectual property protection to navigate current challenges [3]. - The industry has experienced significant price declines, with polysilicon prices dropping over 39%, silicon wafer prices over 50%, and battery and module prices around 30% [3]. Group 2: Market Dynamics and Evolution - The global photovoltaic installed capacity is projected to exceed 600 GW in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of over 30%, bringing total installed capacity to over 2.2 TW, nearly equal to coal power [2]. - The photovoltaic industry has evolved from being policy-driven to a market-driven model, with a focus on market-based pricing and diverse energy supply models [2]. - The industry is transitioning from a single power generation role to a hub connecting energy production, storage, and consumption [2]. Group 3: Future Outlook and Strategic Directions - Companies express optimism about the future, believing that the current challenges are temporary and that the industry is on the verge of a transformation towards stable development [6]. - The industry is encouraged to integrate new technologies such as artificial intelligence and big data to enhance digitalization and intelligence in photovoltaic production [5]. - There is a call for regional cooperation to leverage the strengths of different areas, particularly integrating eastern market advantages with western renewable resources [5].